scholarly journals Tax Revenue and Government Expenditure in Sri Lanka: An Econometric AEG Testing Approach

2016 ◽  
Vol 66 ◽  
pp. 31-37 ◽  
Author(s):  
A.L.M. Aslam
Keyword(s):  
Sri Lanka ◽  
Government Expenditure ◽  
Tax Revenue ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Independent Variable ◽  
The Government ◽  
Relationship Of ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Cointegration Relationship

In the global economic administration, tax revenue has been identified as the engine of the government expenditure, but the relationship of them was not investigated econometrically, this situation formulated a research gap for tasting the relationship of them. The aim of this study was to examine the Cointegration relationship among the tax revenue and the government expenditure in Sri Lanka. This study considered two time series variables such as the tax revenue and the government expenditure. The tax revenue was considered as the independent variable and the government expenditure was considered as the dependent variable. The sample period of this study was from 1950 to 2013.The Cointegration technique was used to check the long run relationship and the Error Correction Mechanism was employed to investigate the short run behavior of the tax revenue on the government expenditure. According to the empirical results, the R-squared of the estimated model was 0.99. In the meantime, the Durbin Watson statistics was 0.828. However, this model did not suffer from the spurious problem because the residual of this model was stationary. The tax revenue has sustained positive relationship with government expenditure. And also, the partial coefficients of tax revenue and its probability values in the estimated model were 0.695 (0.000) in short run and 1.031 (0.000) in long run periods. Therefore, the tax revenue and government expenditure had cointegrated at level form I(0) and maintained the long and short run relationship between them.

Effects of Government Expenditure on Private Investment in Nigerian Economy (1980–2016)

2018 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 147-156
Author(s):  
Taiwo Akinlo ◽  
Olusola Joel Oyeleke
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Government Expenditure ◽  
Private Investment ◽  
Correction Model ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Government ◽  
The Interest Rate ◽  
The Relationship

This study examined the effect of government expenditure on private investment in Nigeria during the period 1980–2016. The error correction model analysis was used in the study to analyze the relationship between the two variables. The study found that there is a long-run relationship among the variables and that the interest rate and inflation have negative but significant impact on private investment in the long run. On the other hand, government expenditure has positive but insignificant impact on private investment in the long run. In the short run, government expenditure and interest rate have a significant positive impact on private investment in Nigeria, while GDP per capita and inflation negatively impact private investment. The study concluded that there is the need for the government to increase its expenditure particularly on the provision of more infrastructural facilities as this will attract more investment from within and outside the country.

PENGUJIAN WAGNER'S LAW VERSUS KEYNESIAN HYPOTHESIS: PENDEKATAN REGIONAL INDONESIA

2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 181-193
Author(s):  
Esti Pasaribu ◽  
Septriani Septriani
Keyword(s):  
Government Expenditure ◽  
Granger Causality Test ◽  
Empirical Theory ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Wagner’S Law ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Wagner's Law ◽  
The Government ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Positive Effect

In this paper, we tested the Wagner’s Law against the Keynesian Hypothesis for Indonesia using granger causality test. After conducting theoretical and empirical theory, this paper is analysing the relationship between government expenditure and GDP percapita. The long run parameters and causality test found valid Wagners’ Law in Indonesia not Keynesian Hypothesis. The results reveal a positive and statistically significant long run effect running from economic growth toward the government expenditure refer to Wagner’s Law in Indonesia. Further more, the growth of population is giving a positive effect for government expenditure also.

scholarly journals Impact of Exchange Rate Volatility on Unemployment in Pakistan

2021 ◽  
Vol VI (II) ◽  
pp. 49-66
Author(s):  
Atiq Ur Rahman ◽  
Salyha Zulfiqar Ali Shah ◽  
Qamar uz Zaman
Keyword(s):  
Developing Countries ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Exchange Rate Volatility ◽  
Stability Tests ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Government ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Long Run Equilibrium

Unemployment is an alarming issue for bothdeveloped and developing countries, which sometimesvaries from region to region as well. Unemployment accompaniedwith Exchange Rate Volatility (ERV, hereafter) worsens thesituation. This paper tries to explore the relationship between ERVand unemployment and other selected factors in the case ofPakistan from 1980 to 2018. After necessary simulation, the studysupported the analyses through the autoregressive distributed lagmodel. Where, long-run coefficient reveals that ERV and exportsboth are positively affecting unemployment; whereas, import isinversely related to unemployment. Alternatively, export and GDPare inversely affecting unemployment in the short run; further,stability tests also support the relationship between the selectedvariables to achieve the long-run equilibrium. The study furthersuggests that the Government of Pakistan need to stabilizeexchange rate to control unemployment, which is 8 percent in thelong-run and 11 percent in the short run.

scholarly journals Long-run equilibrium between personal income tax and economic growth in Bulgaria

2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 55-67
Author(s):  
S. Tanchev ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Income Tax ◽  
Personal Income ◽  
Tax Revenue ◽  
Personal Income Tax ◽  
Vector Error Correction ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Long Run Equilibrium

The study analyzes the relationship of personal income tax and economic growth in the long and short runs to show which type of income tax (progressive or proportional) is more compatible with Bulgaria’s economic growth. The methods of Vector Error Correction and Correlation are applied to determine the long-run and short-run impacts of the two types of income tax. The research covers the period from the first quarter of 1999 to the first quarter of 2020. Eurostat data (85 observations) were used. The empirical research has been divided into two periods. The long-run and short-run relationships between economic growth and tax revenue from progressive income tax in Bulgaria have first been studied, followed by the relationship between economic growth and the tax revenue from proportional income tax. The research results show that there is a long-run equilibrium relationship, but not a short-run relationship, between personal income tax and economic growth. The results imply that the progressive income tax is more compatible with economic growth than proportional income tax in Bulgaria in the long run. In the short run, the progressive income tax and proportional income tax have not shown statistically significant relationships with economic growth. Therefore, a progressive income tax leads to greater economic growth than a proportional income tax. From a long-run equilibrium standpoint, it is advisable that Bulgaria switch from proportional to progressive income taxation. It may be inferred that progressive taxation is more appropriate for economic growth than proportional taxation. The results are in conformity with the theory of endogenic growth and reject the neoclassical theory.

scholarly journals DÉFICIT FISCAL, CRECIMIENTO ECONÓMICO E INFLACIÓN, ¿UNA RELACIÓN EXÓGENA?

2020 ◽  
Vol 79 (312) ◽  
pp. 89
Author(s):  
Federico Novelo Urdanivia ◽  
Nancy Muller Durán
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Government Expenditure ◽  
Negative Relationship ◽  
Sole Source ◽  
Output Growth ◽  
Fiscal Deficit ◽  
Economic Growth Rate ◽  
Long Run ◽  
The Government ◽  
The Relationship

<p>En este artículo analizamos la relación entre el crecimiento económico, el déficit fiscal y la inflación en México, considerando el periodo en que ha estado vigente la autonomía del Banco de México respecto del gobierno. Estimamos dos modelos CVAR para demostrar que si el gasto de gobierno es endógeno al crecimiento económico, entonces el déficit fiscal no es necesariamente la única causa de la inflación. Nuestros resultados muestran que, aún sin causalidad en el sentido de Granger, existe una relación negativa de largo plazo entre el gasto de gobierno y la inflación. De manera conjunta, ambos modelos revelan que a mayor crecimiento económico, mayor gasto fiscal y menor inflación.</p><p> </p><p align="center">FISCAL DEFICIT, ECONOMIC GROWTH AND INFLATION, AN EXOGENOUS RELATIONSHIP?</p><p align="center"><strong>ABSTRACT</strong><strong></strong></p><p>This paper deals with the relationship between output growth, fiscal deficit and the rate of inflation in Mexico for the period of the independence of Banco de México. A couple of CVAR models are estimated with the aim of testing whether the government expenditure is endogenous to economic growth, in which case the fiscal deficit will not necessarily be the sole source of inflation. According to our empirical results, it is shown that there is a long-run negative relationship between government spending and inflation, without involving a Granger causality. Both models jointly reveal that the higher the economic growth rate, the larger government expenditure and the lower the rate of inflation.</p>

scholarly journals GDP and Public Expenditure in Education, Health, and Defense. Empirical Research for Greece

Mathematics ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (18) ◽  
pp. 2319
Author(s):  
Kyriaki Efthalitsidou ◽  
Eleni Zafeiriou ◽  
Konstantinos Spinthiropoulos ◽  
Ioannis Betsas ◽  
Nikolaos Sariannidis
Keyword(s):  
National Income ◽  
Public Expenditures ◽  
The Public ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Time Period ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Scientific Value ◽  
Relationship Of ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Public Expenditure In Education

Wagner Law and Keynesian approaches are the two fundamental theories of public finance. The aim of this study is to assess empirical evidence for the public spending–national income relationship at a disaggregated level for the time period 1995–2019. The sectoral public expenditures include education, health, and defense. The data employed were derived by EUROSTAT and OECD. Based on our findings, a sole relationship of the variables was validated, while the causality of the relationship provides conflict results depending on whether two-variate or multivariate methodology is employed. In the case of the multivariate framework that outperforms the two-variate approach in terms of information, the causality is directed from government expenses to the GDP level, validating the Keynesian approach in the long run as well as in the short run. On the other hand, the results validate Wagner Law based on the results of Granger causality pairwise test. A potential interpreatation for the results found is related to the measures imposed by the Memorandum, since the disproportionate cuts of the public expenses in the period of crisis have determined the evolution of national income. The scientific value of the presents study stands on the suggestion of potential effective measures aiming at the limitation of national income shrinkage in periods of severe economic crises worldwide.

An Empirical Relationship between Trade Liberalization and Poverty: Comparative analysis of Selected SAARC Countries

2021 ◽  
Vol 39 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ummara Ghazanfar ◽  
Rab Nawaz Lodhi ◽  
Marium Sara Minhas Bandeali ◽  
Arslan Khalil
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Sri Lanka ◽  
Trade Liberalization ◽  
Significant Relationship ◽  
Practical Implication ◽  
Empirical Relationship ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Relationship

The purpose of this study is to examine the relationship between trade liberalization, economic growth and poverty in four SAARC countries (Bangladesh, India, Pakistan, and Sri Lanka). The quantitative research method is employed on secondary data of four SAARC countries. The data on poverty, trade liberalization and economic growth is collected from World Bank website for the period of 1980-2019. ARDL (Autoregressive Distributed Lag Approach) is used to uncover the relationship between trade liberalization, economic growth, and poverty. In the case of Bangladesh, we find a significant relationship between trade liberalization and poverty in the short run, but insignificant in long run. The results are the same when we used tariffs as a measure of trade liberalization.  In the case of India, no significant relationship exists between trade liberalization and poverty both in long run as well as in the short run.  In the case of Pakistan, no significant relationship exists between trade liberalization and poverty in the short run, but we find a significant relationship in the long run. When we used nominal tariff rate as a measure of trade liberalizations, then the significant relationship exists both in the long as well as in the short run. In the case of Sri Lanka significant relationship exist between the short run as well as in long run. This study has practical implication for policy makers in essence that only trade liberalization is not enough to reduce poverty in SAARC countries, there should be other structural transformational polices also be implement in order to get the full benefits of free trade policies. This study is unique in the sense that time series analysis on trade-poverty nexus in these four countries (Bangladesh, India, Pakistan, and Sri Lanka) is new contribution in existing literature.

Loss of Employment, Lockdown Measures and Government Responses in Malaysia during the Covid-19 Pandemic: A Note

2021 ◽  
Vol 22 (3) ◽  
pp. 1525-1549
Author(s):  
Muzafar Shah Habibullah ◽  
Mohd Yusof Saari ◽  
Sugiharso Safuan ◽  
Badariah Haji Din ◽  
Anuar Shah Bali Mahomed
Keyword(s):  
Job Loss ◽  
Positive Association ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Ardl Approach ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Auto Regressive ◽  
The Government ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Stimulus Package

In this paper, we use daily administrative data from January 25, 2020 to December 31, 2020 to examine the relationship between job losses and the Malaysian lockdown measures. The Auto Regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) approach is used to estimate both the long-run and short-run models. The results of the Bounds F-test for cointegration reveal that there is a long-run link between job losses and the Malaysian government lockdown measures (both linear and non-linear). The positive association between job loss and lockdown measures shows that as the lockdown gets tighter, more people will lose their jobs. However, as time passes, especially in conjunction with the government stimulus package programmes, job losses decrease.

INFLATION AND UNEMPLOYMENT RELATIONSHIP: A DYNAMIC REPORT OF NIGERIA AND MEXICO IN THE PERSPECTIVE OF PHILLIPS CURVE FROM 1991-2016

2019 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. 11-30
Author(s):  
Oluwasefunmi Eunice Irewole
Keyword(s):  
Inverse Relationship ◽  
Phillips Curve ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
The World Bank ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Simple Regression Analysis ◽  
The Government ◽  
The Relationship

This research study investigated the relationship between unemployment and inflation in Nigeria and Mexico from 1991-2016. Secondary data were used to gather data from the World Bank database, Central Bank of Nigeria and Bank of Mexico. In order to determine the set objective, OLS and simple regression analysis of the econometric model were used. The models specified inflation as function unemployment, money supply % GDP, total Gross Formation Products. Based on the above test carried out, the study finds out that: Inflation significantly has little impact on unemployment in Nigeria both in the long – run and short – run within the period under review. In Mexico, there is actually no significant relationship between unemployment and inflation because when inflation is high, unemployment in Mexico is also high. The study shows that investors have an inverse relationship with unemployment in Mexico. There is also an inverse relationship between inflation and GDP in Mexico and Nigeria. And in regard to the findings above the study recommends that the government should use discretionary policy that would reduce unemployment by boosting the level of investment and maintaining stability in the money sup-ply as it had a positive impact on Inflation in the long run. Friedman is of the view that the increase in government spending and the rate at which economy borrows, the higher the inflation.

scholarly journals Human Capital Development and Economic Growth Nexus in Zimbabwe

2019 ◽  
Vol 23 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sanderson Abel ◽  
Nyasha Mhaka ◽  
Pierre Le Roux
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Human Capital ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Labour Force ◽  
Government Expenditure ◽  
Human Capital Development ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Capital Development ◽  
The Relationship

This study empirically examined the relationship between human capital development and economic growth in Zimbabwe for the period 1980 to 2015, using time series analysis techniques of co-integration, error correction model, and Granger causality tests. The study was motivated by changes which have characterised the financing of human capital since the country attained independence. A decade after independence, the government was able to adequately finance the social sectors; however, thereafter government financing has been declining since the adoption of the structural adjustment programme. The findings of this study indicate the existence of a short-run and long-run relationship between human capital development and economic growth in Zimbabwe. On the direction and significance of the relationship, the result is mixed. Human capital development, proxied by government expenditure on health, had a significant positive impact on economic growth—both in the short run and the long run—reaffirming that a healthy labour force will be more productive and efficient. Human capital development, proxied by government expenditure on education, was found to negatively impact economic growth in the long run. In conclusion, a positive relationship between human capital development and economic growth in Zimbabwe was found, although the relationship is weak.

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