Identification of the affected areas by mass movement through a physically based model of landslide hazard combined with an empirical model of debris flow

2008 ◽  
Vol 45 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Roberto A. T. Gomes ◽  
Renato F. Guimarães ◽  
Osmar A. Carvalho ◽  
Nelson F. Fernandes ◽  
Eurípedes A. Vargas ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Debris Flow ◽  
Empirical Model ◽  
Mass Movement ◽  
Landslide Hazard ◽  
Physically Based Model ◽  
Physically Based

scholarly journals Estimation of debris flow critical rainfall thresholds by a physically-based model

2012 ◽  
Vol 9 (11) ◽  
pp. 12797-12824 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. N. Papa ◽  
V. Medina ◽  
F. Ciervo ◽  
A. Bateman
Keyword(s):  
Debris Flow ◽  
Debris Flows ◽  
Rainfall Threshold ◽  
Richards Equation ◽  
Reduced Form ◽  
Physically Based Model ◽  
Rainfall Characteristics ◽  
South Italy ◽  
Infinite Slope Stability Model ◽  
Physically Based

Abstract. Real time assessment of debris flow hazard is fundamental for setting up warning systems that can mitigate its risk. A convenient method to assess the possible occurrence of a debris flow is the comparison of measured and forecasted rainfall with rainfall threshold curves (RTC). Empirical derivation of the RTC from the analysis of rainfall characteristics of past events is not possible when the database of observed debris flows is poor or when the environment changes with time. For landslides triggered debris flows, the above limitations may be overcome through the methodology here presented, based on the derivation of RTC from a physically based model. The critical RTC are derived from mathematical and numerical simulations based on the infinite-slope stability model in which land instability is governed by the increase in groundwater pressure due to rainfall. The effect of rainfall infiltration on landside occurrence is modelled trough a reduced form of the Richards equation. The simulations are performed in a virtual basin, representative of the studied basin, taking into account the uncertainties linked with the definition of the characteristics of the soil. A large number of calculations are performed combining different values of the rainfall characteristics (intensity and duration of event rainfall and intensity of antecedent rainfall). For each combination of rainfall characteristics, the percentage of the basin that is unstable is computed. The obtained database is opportunely elaborated to derive RTC curves. The methodology is implemented and tested on a small basin of the Amalfi Coast (South Italy).

scholarly journals THE FRAMEWORK ON MULTI-SCALE LANDSLIDE HAZARD EVALUATION IN CHINA

2016 ◽  
Vol XLI-B8 ◽  
pp. 105-107 ◽  
Author(s):  
W. Y. Li ◽  
C. Liu ◽  
J. Gao
Keyword(s):  
Hot Spot ◽  
Regional Scale ◽  
Landslide Hazard ◽  
Physical Models ◽  
Slope Instability ◽  
Hazard Evaluation ◽  
Landslide Risk ◽  
Physically Based Model ◽  
Multi Scale ◽  
Physically Based

Nowadays, Landslide has been one of the most frequent and seriously widespread natural hazards all over the world. How landslides can be monitored and predicted is an urgent research topic of the international landslide research community. Particularly, there is a lack of high quality and updated landslide risk maps and guidelines that can be employed to better mitigate and prevent landslide disasters in many emerging regions, including China. This paper considers national and regional scale, and introduces the framework on combining the empirical and physical models for landslide evaluation. Firstly, landslide susceptibility in national scale is mapped based on empirical model, and indicates the hot-spot areas. Secondly, the physically based model can indicate the process of slope instability in the hot-spot areas. The result proves that the framework is a systematic method on landslide hazard monitoring and early warning.

scholarly journals THE FRAMEWORK ON MULTI-SCALE LANDSLIDE HAZARD EVALUATION IN CHINA

2016 ◽  
Vol XLI-B8 ◽  
pp. 105-107 ◽  
Author(s):  
W. Y. Li ◽  
C. Liu ◽  
J. Gao
Keyword(s):  
Hot Spot ◽  
Regional Scale ◽  
Landslide Hazard ◽  
Physical Models ◽  
Slope Instability ◽  
Hazard Evaluation ◽  
Landslide Risk ◽  
Physically Based Model ◽  
Multi Scale ◽  
Physically Based

Nowadays, Landslide has been one of the most frequent and seriously widespread natural hazards all over the world. How landslides can be monitored and predicted is an urgent research topic of the international landslide research community. Particularly, there is a lack of high quality and updated landslide risk maps and guidelines that can be employed to better mitigate and prevent landslide disasters in many emerging regions, including China. This paper considers national and regional scale, and introduces the framework on combining the empirical and physical models for landslide evaluation. Firstly, landslide susceptibility in national scale is mapped based on empirical model, and indicates the hot-spot areas. Secondly, the physically based model can indicate the process of slope instability in the hot-spot areas. The result proves that the framework is a systematic method on landslide hazard monitoring and early warning.

scholarly journals Predicting the Initiation Area of a Debris Flow Using Geomorphological Characteristics and a Physically-Based Model

2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (2) ◽  
pp. 137-147
Author(s):  
Chang-Ho Song ◽  
Ji-Sung Lee ◽  
Yun-Tae Kim
Keyword(s):  
Debris Flow ◽  
Debris Flows ◽  
Physically Based Model ◽  
Index Analysis ◽  
Geotechnical Characteristics ◽  
Deposition Area ◽  
Significant Damage ◽  
Physically Based ◽  
Error Index ◽  
Success Index

A debris flow is a phenomenon in which sediment matter and water become mixed and flow down to a deposition area, thereby causing significant damage to people and property. In Korea, majority of the past debris flows initiated in the form of shallow landslides during rainfall. To address the hazards associated with debris flows, it is necessary to establish a method for predicting the location of the debris flow initiation. In this study, we propose a method for predicting the source of a debris flow by incorporating geomorphological characteristics and designing a physically-based model. The geomorphological characteristics associated with the initiation area of the debris flow were determined by analyzing previous literature. The physically-based model was developed by incorporating landslide inventory data, rainfall data, and geotechnical characteristics, and the map of safety factor less than 1.2 was thereby established. Furthermore, the region prone to the occurrence of debris flows was identified by the superposition of each unstable pixel obtained from the geomorphological characteristics and the physically-based model. The proposed method was validated through quantitative index analysis. The obtained results indicate that compared to other methods, the proposed method has a high success index and a low error index for predicting the source of a debris flow.

scholarly journals A new approach to mapping landslide hazards: a probabilistic integration of empirical and physically based models in the North Cascades of Washington, USA

2019 ◽  
Vol 19 (11) ◽  
pp. 2477-2495
Author(s):  
Ronda Strauch ◽  
Erkan Istanbulluoglu ◽  
Jon Riedel
Keyword(s):  
Statistical Approach ◽  
Joint Probability ◽  
North Cascades ◽  
Physically Based Model ◽  
New Approach ◽  
The North ◽  
Debris Avalanches ◽  
Landslide Hazards ◽  
Infinite Slope Stability Model ◽  
Physically Based

Abstract. We developed a new approach for mapping landslide hazards by combining probabilities of landslide impacts derived from a data-driven statistical approach and a physically based model of shallow landsliding. Our statistical approach integrates the influence of seven site attributes (SAs) on observed landslides using a frequency ratio (FR) method. Influential attributes and resulting susceptibility maps depend on the observations of landslides considered: all types of landslides, debris avalanches only, or source areas of debris avalanches. These observational datasets reflect the detection of different landslide processes or components, which relate to different landslide-inducing factors. For each landslide dataset, a stability index (SI) is calculated as a multiplicative result of the frequency ratios for all attributes and is mapped across our study domain in the North Cascades National Park Complex (NOCA), Washington, USA. A continuous function is developed to relate local SI values to landslide probability based on a ratio of landslide and non-landslide grid cells. The empirical model probability derived from the debris avalanche source area dataset is combined probabilistically with a previously developed physically based probabilistic model. A two-dimensional binning method employs empirical and physically based probabilities as indices and calculates a joint probability of landsliding at the intersections of probability bins. A ratio of the joint probability and the physically based model bin probability is used as a weight to adjust the original physically based probability at each grid cell given empirical evidence. The resulting integrated probability of landslide initiation hazard includes mechanisms not captured by the infinite-slope stability model alone. Improvements in distinguishing potentially unstable areas with the proposed integrated model are statistically quantified. We provide multiple landslide hazard maps that land managers can use for planning and decision-making, as well as for educating the public about hazards from landslides in this remote high-relief terrain.

New physically based model for thermal induced initial stress in 3D for silicon germanium films after deposition

2014 ◽  
Vol 33 (6) ◽  
pp. 2121-2138 ◽  
Author(s):  
Abderrazzak El Boukili
Keyword(s):  
Thermal Expansion ◽  
Initial Stress ◽  
Silicon Germanium ◽  
Rate Of Change ◽  
Thermal Mismatch ◽  
Electronic Band ◽  
Physically Based Model ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Physically Based ◽  
Pmos Transistor

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to provide a new three dimension physically based model to calculate the initial stress in silicon germanium (SiGe) film due to thermal mismatch after deposition. We should note that there are many other sources of initial stress in SiGe films or in the substrate. Here, the author is focussing only on how to model the initial stress arising from thermal mismatch in SiGe film. The author uses this initial stress to calculate numerically the resulting extrinsic stress distribution in a nanoscale PMOS transistor. This extrinsic stress is used by industrials and manufacturers as Intel or IBM to boost the performances of the nanoscale PMOS and NMOS transistors. It is now admitted that compressive stress enhances the mobility of holes and tensile stress enhances the mobility of electrons in the channel. Design/methodology/approach – During thermal processing, thin film materials like polysilicon, silicon nitride, silicon dioxide, or SiGe expand or contract at different rates compared to the silicon substrate according to their thermal expansion coefficients. The author defines the thermal expansion coefficient as the rate of change of strain with respect to temperature. Findings – Several numerical experiments have been used for different temperatures ranging from 30 to 1,000°C. These experiments did show that the temperature affects strongly the extrinsic stress in the channel of a 45 nm PMOS transistor. On the other hand, the author has compared the extrinsic stress due to lattice mismatch with the extrinsic stress due to thermal mismatch. The author found that these two types of stress have the same order (see the numerical results on Figures 4 and 12). And, these are great findings for semiconductor industry. Practical implications – Front-end process induced extrinsic stress is used by manufacturers of nanoscale transistors as the new scaling vector for the 90 nm node technology and below. The extrinsic stress has the advantage of improving the performances of PMOSFETs and NMOSFETs transistors by enhancing mobility. This mobility enhancement fundamentally results from alteration of electronic band structure of silicon due to extrinsic stress. Then, the results are of great importance to manufacturers and industrials. The evidence is that these results show that the extrinsic stress in the channel depends also on the thermal mismatch between materials and not only on the material mismatch. Originality/value – The model the author is proposing to calculate the initial stress due to thermal mismatch is novel and original. The author validated the values of the initial stress with those obtained by experiments in Al-Bayati et al. (2005). Using the uniaxial stress generation technique of Intel (see Figure 2). Al-Bayati et al. (2005) found experimentally that for 17 percent germanium concentration, a compressive initial stress of 1.4 GPa is generated inside the SiGe layer.

A physically based model to simulate maxillo-facial surgery from 3D CT images

1999 ◽  
Vol 15 (2) ◽  
pp. 217-221 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alessandro Sarti ◽  
Roberto Gori ◽  
Claudio Lamberti
Keyword(s):  
Ct Images ◽  
3D Ct ◽  
Physically Based Model ◽  
Facial Surgery ◽  
Physically Based
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