A method to predict solar photovoltaic soiling using artificial neural networks and multiple linear regression models

2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (4) ◽  
pp. 981-1002 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kudzanayi Chiteka ◽  
Rajesh Arora ◽  
S. N. Sridhara
2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (14) ◽  
pp. 216 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bruno V. C. Guimarães ◽  
Sérgio L. R. Donato ◽  
Ignacio Aspiazú ◽  
Alcinei M. Azevedo ◽  
Abner J. de Carvalho

Behavior analysis and plant expression are the answers the researcher needs to construct predictive models that minimize the effects of the uncertainties of field production. The objective of this study was to compare the simple and multiple linear regression methods and the artificial neural networks to allow the maximum security in the prediction of harvest in ‘Gigante’ cactus pear. The uniformity test was conducted at the Federal Institute of Bahia, Campus Guanambi, Bahia, Brazil, coordinates 14°13′30″ S, 42°46′53″ W and altitude of 525 m. At 930 days after planting, we evaluated 384 basic units, in which were measured the following variables: plant height (PH); cladode length (CL), width (CW) and thickness (CT); cladode number (CN); total cladode area (TCA); cladode area (CA) and cladode yield (Y). For the comparison between the artificial neural networks (ANN) and regression models (single and multiple-SLR and MLR), we considered the mean prediction error (MPE), the mean quadratic error (MQE), the mean square of deviation (MSD) and the coefficient of determination (R2).The values estimated by the ANN 7-5-1 showed the best proximity to the data obtained in field conditions, followed by ANN 6-2-1, MLR (TCA and CT), SLR (TCA) and SLR (CN). In this way, the ANN models with the topologies 7-2-1 and 6-2-1, MLR with the variables total cladode area and cladode thickness and SLR with the isolated descriptors total cladode area and cladode number, explain 85.1; 81.5; 76.3; 74.09 and 65.87%, respectively, of the yield variation. The ANNs were more efficient at predicting the yield of the ‘Gigante’ cactus pear when compared to the simple and multiple linear regression models.


2017 ◽  
Vol 44 (12) ◽  
pp. 994-1004 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ivica Androjić ◽  
Ivan Marović

The oscillation of asphalt mix composition on a daily basis significantly affects the achieved properties of the asphalt during production, thus resulting in conducting expensive laboratory tests to determine existing properties and predicting the future results. To decrease the amount of such tests, a development of artificial neural network and multiple linear regression models in the prediction process of predetermined dependent variables air void and soluble binder content is presented. The input data were obtained from a single laboratory and consists of testing 386 mixes of hot mix asphalt (HMA). It was found that it is possible and desirable to apply such models in the prediction process of the HMA properties. The final aim of the research was to compare results of the prediction models on an independent dataset and analyze them through the boundary conditions of technical regulations and the standard EN 13108-21.


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