Abstract
Background Early postoperative hyperglycemia is common and associated with poor postoperative outcomes. We aimed to estimate the pooled incidence, risk factors and clinical outcomes of early postoperative hyperglycemia in men and women globally. Method and analysis We will conduct a systematic review and meta-analysis of cohort studies published before January 1, 2020, reporting the incidence of postoperative hyperglycemia. We will search the following databases: PubMed (MEDLINE), Scopus, EMBASE, Cochrane Library, OVID (HEALTH STAR), OVID (MEDLINE), Joana Briggs Institute EBF Database and Web of Science. No age, geographical location, study-design or language limits will be applied. This protocol was developed in accordance with the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses Protocols guidelines. Two reviewers (JAL, AES) will independently screen citations, abstracts and will identify full-text articles for inclusion, extract data and evaluate the quality and bias of included studies. Discrepancies will be resolved by consensus or consultation with a third researcher (PS). The risk of bias of included studies will be evaluated by the appropriate Cochrane risk of bias tool. The primary outcome will be the overall incident rate of postoperative hyperglycemia. Secondary outcomes are the risk factors and clinical outcomes of postoperative hyperglycemia. We will use the random-effects model with a logit transformation of proportions for the pooling of studies. We will assess the between-study heterogeneity using the I 2 statistic, and Cochrane’s Q statistic (significance level < 0.05). We will perform subgroup meta-analyses to look at geographical differences in the incidence of postoperative hyperglycemia and conduct a meta-regression analysis, using study level median age, year of publication, study level gender proportions, the proportion of type 2 diabetes, mean body mass index, American Society of Anesthesiologists and type of surgical procedure. We will report the probability of postoperative hyperglycemia as a measure of incidence rate, relative risk ratios (RR) and 95% confidence intervals to report the effects of the risk factors and postoperative outcomes. The Egger’s test and funnel plots will be used to assess publication bias.
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