Re-examining forward market efficiency Evidence from fractional and Harris-Inder cointegration tests

1999 ◽  
Vol 8 (4) ◽  
pp. 433-453 ◽  
Author(s):  
Taufiq Choudhry
2014 ◽  
Vol 40 (2) ◽  
pp. 189-199 ◽  
Author(s):  
Boonlert Jitmaneeroj

Purpose – In an introductory finance course, business school students often report difficulty in dealing with several variables and regression equations in testing the forward market efficiency and its relevant hypotheses: forward rate unbiasedness, rational expectations, risk neutrality and homogeneous expectations. The paper aims to discuss these issues. Design/methodology/approach – Although each of these hypotheses may be relatively easy to understand one by one, it is harder to see their linkages. Thus, the author develops the loop diagram for supplementing traditional instruction methods. Findings – The author finds that a significant majority of students prefer the loop diagram approach. Furthermore, students using loop diagram display more understanding of the forward market efficiency than those with access to a conventional instruction. Originality/value – The loop diagram provides students a simple visual aid for formulating a complete set of regressions and enables them to analyze a richer set of relationships between several hypotheses than what they typically see in finance textbooks.


2016 ◽  
Vol 4 (4) ◽  
pp. 12
Author(s):  
Noryati Ahmad

The question of whether the stock market is efficient has been an ongoing debate among researchers. Generally, empirical evidence indicates that most conventional stock indices for developed countries are weak form efficient while inconclusive results are discovered for developing countries. With the growing importance of the Islamic capital markets that run parallel to the conventional stock markets, similar question arises as to whether these new Islamic capital markets are also efficient. Hence this paper aims to examine the weak form efficiency of the Islamic stock indices. Autocorrelation Function (ACF) test and Variance Ratio (VR) test are used to test the market efficiency of the Islamic stock indices from China, India, South Africa, Malaysia, Dubai, Qatar and Japan. The study uses daily data covering the year 2008 until 2012. In addition, this paper attempts to unveil the dynamic causal relationships among the Islamic capital markets. Bivariate Granger Causality test is employed to achieve the objectives. Interestingly only the Islamic stock indices for Malaysia and India are weak form efficient while the results of the Islamic stock indices for Qatar and Kuwait are not. The results of the other Islamic stock indices studied are inconclusive. Johansen multivariate cointegration tests reveal no long-term relationship among the Islamic stock indices. On the other hand, bivariate Granger Causality tests report short run co-movements between Islamic stock indices of Muslim countries and non-Muslim countries, an indication of growing interest of the Islamic financial markets among investors.


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