scholarly journals The Performance of Alternative Interest Rate Risk Measures and Immunization Strategies under a Heath-Jarrow-Morton Framework

2005 ◽  
Vol 40 (3) ◽  
pp. 645-669 ◽  
Author(s):  
Senay Agca

AbstractUsing a Monte Carlo simulation, this study addresses the question of how traditional risk measures and immunization strategies perform when the term structure evolves in a Heath-Jarrow-Morton (1992) manner. The results suggest that, for immunization purposes, immunization strategies and portfolio formation strategies are more important than interest rate risk measures. The performance of immunization strategies depends more on the transaction costs and the holding period than on the risk measures. Moreover, the immunization performance of bullet and barbell portfolios is not very sensitive to interest rate risk measures.

This chapter discusses the method's application to interest rate risk. The method uses interest rate derivatives elaborating how to value the two-year inverse floater derivative in order to manage interest rate risk. The chapter presents a model for the interest rate risk associated with two-year Inverse Floater Derivative as follows: 1) Monte Carlo simulation is used to stochastically calculate the total Net Present Value (NPV) of the two-year Inverse Floater Derivative, the associated Variance, Standard Deviation and VAR; 2) Six Sigma process capability metrics are also stochastically calculated against desired specified target limits for the total NPV, as well as relating VAR of two-year Inverse Floater Derivative; 3) Simulation results are presented and analysed.


2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-13
Author(s):  
Enlin Tang ◽  
Wei Du

Under the condition of continuous innovation of financial derivatives and marketization of interest rate, interest rates fluctuate more frequently and fiercely, and the measurement of interest rate risk also attracts more attention. Under the premise that the fluctuation of interest rate follows fuzzy stochastic process, based on the option characteristics of financial instruments with embedded option, this paper takes effective duration and effective convexity as tools to measure interest rate risk when embedded options exist, tries to choose CIR extended model as term structure model, and uses the Monte Carlo method for hybrid low deviation sequences (HPL-MC) to analyze the prepayment characteristics of MBS, a representative financial instrument with embedded options, when interest rates fluctuate; on this basis, the effectiveness of effective duration management of interest rate risk is demonstrated with asset liability management cases of commercial banks.


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