Large parametric change-point detection by a V-box control chart

2016 ◽  
Vol 35 (2) ◽  
pp. 254-264 ◽  
Author(s):  
Konrad Furmańczyk ◽  
Stanisław Jaworski
2019 ◽  
Vol 46 (6) ◽  
pp. 790-809
Author(s):  
Ali Salmasnia ◽  
Mohammadreza Mohabbati ◽  
Mohammadreza Namdar

Although the significant role of social networks in communications between individuals has attracted researchers’ attention to the social networks, only few authors investigated social network monitoring in their studies. Most of the existing studies in this context suffer from the following three main drawbacks: (1) using the case-based network attributes such as person experiences and departments instead of the main attributes such as network density and centrality attributes, (2) monitoring the social attributes separately with the assumption that they are independent of each other and (3) ignoring detection of real time of change in the network. To overcome the above-mentioned disadvantages, this research develops a statistical method for monitoring the connections among actors in the social networks with the four most important network attributes consisting of (1) network density, (2) degree centrality, (3) betweenness centrality and (4) closeness centrality. To this end, a multivariate exponentially weighted moving average (MEWMA) control chart is used for simultaneous monitoring of these four correlated attributes. Furthermore, since the control chart usually does not alert a signal in the exact time of change due to type II error, this study presents a change point detection method to reduce cost and time required for diagnosing the control chart signal. Eventually, the efficiency of the proposed approach in comparison with the existing methods is evaluated through a simulation procedure. The results indicate that the suggested method has better performance than the univariate approach in detecting change point.


Epidemiologia ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (3) ◽  
pp. 294-304
Author(s):  
Luis A. Barboza ◽  
Paola Vásquez ◽  
Gustavo Mery ◽  
Fabio Sanchez ◽  
Yury E. García ◽  
...  

The aim of this paper is to infer the effects that change on human mobility had on the transmission dynamics during the first four months of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic in Costa Rica, which could have played a role in delaying community transmission in the country. First, by using parametric and non-parametric change-point detection techniques, we were able to identify two different periods when the trend of daily new cases significantly changed. Second, we explored the association of these changes with data on population mobility. This also allowed us to estimate the lag between changes in human mobility and rates of daily new cases. The information was then used to establish an association between changes in population mobility and the sanitary measures adopted during the study period. Results showed that during the initial two months of the pandemic in Costa Rica, the implementation of sanitary measures and their impact on reducing human mobility translated to a mean reduction of 54% in the number of daily cases from the projected number, delaying community transmission.


2016 ◽  
Vol 49 (3) ◽  
pp. 988-1005 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jedelyn Cabrieto ◽  
Francis Tuerlinckx ◽  
Peter Kuppens ◽  
Mariel Grassmann ◽  
Eva Ceulemans

Author(s):  
Thiago Mosqueiro ◽  
Martin Strube-Bloss ◽  
Rafael Tuma ◽  
Reynaldo Pinto ◽  
Brian H. Smith ◽  
...  

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