scholarly journals Evaluating large-scale propensity score performance through real-world and synthetic data experiments

2018 ◽  
Vol 47 (6) ◽  
pp. 2005-2014 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yuxi Tian ◽  
Martijn J Schuemie ◽  
Marc A Suchard
Author(s):  
Chun Kai Ling ◽  
Fei Fang ◽  
J. Zico Kolter

With the recent advances in solving large, zero-sum extensive form games, there is a growing interest in the inverse problem of inferring underlying game parameters given only access to agent actions. Although a recent work provides a powerful differentiable end-to-end learning frameworks which embed a game solver within a deep-learning framework, allowing unknown game parameters to be learned via backpropagation, this framework faces significant limitations when applied to boundedly rational human agents and large scale problems, leading to poor practicality. In this paper, we address these limitations and propose a framework that is applicable for more practical settings. First, seeking to learn the rationality of human agents in complex two-player zero-sum games, we draw upon well-known ideas in decision theory to obtain a concise and interpretable agent behavior model, and derive solvers and gradients for end-to-end learning. Second, to scale up to large, real-world scenarios, we propose an efficient first-order primal-dual method which exploits the structure of extensive-form games, yielding significantly faster computation for both game solving and gradient computation. When tested on randomly generated games, we report speedups of orders of magnitude over previous approaches. We also demonstrate the effectiveness of our model on both real-world one-player settings and synthetic data.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Christoph Käding ◽  
Jakob Runge

<p>The Earth’s climate is a highly complex and dynamical system. To better understand and robustly predict it, knowledge about its underlying dynamics and causal dependency structure is required. Since controlled experiments are infeasible in the climate system, observational data-driven approaches are needed. Observational causal inference is a very active research topic and a plethora of methods have been proposed. Each of these approaches comes with inherent strengths, weaknesses, and assumptions about the data generating process as well as further constraints.<br>In this work, we focus on the fundamental case of bivariate causal discovery, i.e., given two data samples X and Y the task is to detect whether X causes Y or Y causes X. We present a large-scale benchmark that represents combinations of various characteristics of data-generating processes and sample sizes. By comparing most of the current state-of-the-art methods, we aim to shed light onto the real-world performance of evaluated methods. Since we employ synthetic data, we are able to precisely control the data characteristics and can unveil the behavior of methods when their underlying assumptions are met or violated. Further, we give a comparison on a set of real-world data with known causal relations to complete our evaluation.</p>


Diabetes ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 69 (Supplement 1) ◽  
pp. 1588-P ◽  
Author(s):  
ROMIK GHOSH ◽  
ASHOK K. DAS ◽  
AMBRISH MITHAL ◽  
SHASHANK JOSHI ◽  
K.M. PRASANNA KUMAR ◽  
...  

Diabetes ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 69 (Supplement 1) ◽  
pp. 2258-PUB
Author(s):  
ROMIK GHOSH ◽  
ASHOK K. DAS ◽  
SHASHANK JOSHI ◽  
AMBRISH MITHAL ◽  
K.M. PRASANNA KUMAR ◽  
...  

2021 ◽  
Vol 51 (3) ◽  
pp. 9-16
Author(s):  
José Suárez-Varela ◽  
Miquel Ferriol-Galmés ◽  
Albert López ◽  
Paul Almasan ◽  
Guillermo Bernárdez ◽  
...  

During the last decade, Machine Learning (ML) has increasingly become a hot topic in the field of Computer Networks and is expected to be gradually adopted for a plethora of control, monitoring and management tasks in real-world deployments. This poses the need to count on new generations of students, researchers and practitioners with a solid background in ML applied to networks. During 2020, the International Telecommunication Union (ITU) has organized the "ITU AI/ML in 5G challenge", an open global competition that has introduced to a broad audience some of the current main challenges in ML for networks. This large-scale initiative has gathered 23 different challenges proposed by network operators, equipment manufacturers and academia, and has attracted a total of 1300+ participants from 60+ countries. This paper narrates our experience organizing one of the proposed challenges: the "Graph Neural Networking Challenge 2020". We describe the problem presented to participants, the tools and resources provided, some organization aspects and participation statistics, an outline of the top-3 awarded solutions, and a summary with some lessons learned during all this journey. As a result, this challenge leaves a curated set of educational resources openly available to anyone interested in the topic.


Omega ◽  
2021 ◽  
pp. 102442
Author(s):  
Lin Zhou ◽  
Lu Zhen ◽  
Roberto Baldacci ◽  
Marco Boschetti ◽  
Ying Dai ◽  
...  

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Seyed Hossein Jafari ◽  
Amir Mahdi Abdolhosseini-Qomi ◽  
Masoud Asadpour ◽  
Maseud Rahgozar ◽  
Naser Yazdani

AbstractThe entities of real-world networks are connected via different types of connections (i.e., layers). The task of link prediction in multiplex networks is about finding missing connections based on both intra-layer and inter-layer correlations. Our observations confirm that in a wide range of real-world multiplex networks, from social to biological and technological, a positive correlation exists between connection probability in one layer and similarity in other layers. Accordingly, a similarity-based automatic general-purpose multiplex link prediction method—SimBins—is devised that quantifies the amount of connection uncertainty based on observed inter-layer correlations in a multiplex network. Moreover, SimBins enhances the prediction quality in the target layer by incorporating the effect of link overlap across layers. Applying SimBins to various datasets from diverse domains, our findings indicate that SimBins outperforms the compared methods (both baseline and state-of-the-art methods) in most instances when predicting links. Furthermore, it is discussed that SimBins imposes minor computational overhead to the base similarity measures making it a potentially fast method, suitable for large-scale multiplex networks.


2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (7) ◽  
pp. 700
Author(s):  
Theodoros Mavridis ◽  
Christina I. Deligianni ◽  
Georgios Karagiorgis ◽  
Ariadne Daponte ◽  
Marianthi Breza ◽  
...  

Now more than ever is the time of monoclonal antibody use in neurology. In headaches, disease-specific and mechanism-based treatments existed only for symptomatic management of migraines (i.e., triptans), while the standard prophylactic anti-migraine treatments consist of non-specific and repurposed drugs that share limited safety profiles and high risk for interactions with other medications, resulting in rundown adherence rates. Recent advances in headache science have increased our understanding of the role of calcitonin gene relate peptide (CGRP) and pituitary adenylate cyclase-activating polypeptide (PACAP) pathways in cephalic pain neurotransmission and peripheral or central sensitization, leading to the development of monoclonal antibodies (mAbs) or small molecules targeting these neuropeptides or their receptors. Large scale randomized clinical trials confirmed that inhibition of the CGRP system attenuates migraine, while the PACAP mediated nociception is still under scientific and clinical investigation. In this review, we provide the latest clinical evidence for the use of anti-CGRP in migraine prevention with emphasis on efficacy and safety outcomes from Phase III and real-world studies.


Sensors ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (4) ◽  
pp. 1091
Author(s):  
Izaak Van Crombrugge ◽  
Rudi Penne ◽  
Steve Vanlanduit

Knowledge of precise camera poses is vital for multi-camera setups. Camera intrinsics can be obtained for each camera separately in lab conditions. For fixed multi-camera setups, the extrinsic calibration can only be done in situ. Usually, some markers are used, like checkerboards, requiring some level of overlap between cameras. In this work, we propose a method for cases with little or no overlap. Laser lines are projected on a plane (e.g., floor or wall) using a laser line projector. The pose of the plane and cameras is then optimized using bundle adjustment to match the lines seen by the cameras. To find the extrinsic calibration, only a partial overlap between the laser lines and the field of view of the cameras is needed. Real-world experiments were conducted both with and without overlapping fields of view, resulting in rotation errors below 0.5°. We show that the accuracy is comparable to other state-of-the-art methods while offering a more practical procedure. The method can also be used in large-scale applications and can be fully automated.


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