Serum Mac-2-Binding Protein Glycosylation Isomer at Virological Remission Predicts Hepatocellular Carcinoma and Death in Chronic Hepatitis B-Related Cirrhosis

Author(s):  
Tung-Hung Su ◽  
Cheng-Yuan Peng ◽  
Tai-Chung Tseng ◽  
Hung-Chih Yang ◽  
Chun-Jen Liu ◽  
...  

Abstract Background To investigate serum Mac-2-binding protein glycosylation isomer (M2BPGi) levels in predicting hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and mortality at virological remission (VR, HBV DNA <20 IU/mL) following antiviral therapy in chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients with cirrhosis. Methods This retrospective cohort study included patients with CHB-related Child-Pugh A cirrhosis undergoing long-term antiviral therapy. Serum M2BPGi levels were quantified and multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to identify risk predictors for HCC and death. Results A total of 126 and 145 patients were included in the derivation and validation cohorts, respectively. The mean age was 56, and the mean M2BPGi level was 1.86 cut-off index (COI) in the derivation cohort. After adjustment for confounders, a higher M2BPGi level at VR significantly predicted HCC (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.58, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.19-2.10, P=0.002) and death (HR: 2.17, 95% CI: 1.02-4.62, P=0.044). The M2BPGi ³3 COI significantly increased the risk of HCC and death in the derivation and validation cohorts. Serial M2BPGi levels declined significantly (P=0.0001) in non-HCC patients only, and remained significantly lower than those who developed HCC afterwards (P=0.039). Conclusions Serum M2BPGi levels at antiviral therapy-induced VR predict HCC development and death in patients with CHB-related Child-Pugh A cirrhosis.

2019 ◽  
Vol 3 (4) ◽  
pp. 493-503 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tomi Jun ◽  
Yao-Chun Hsu ◽  
Shintaro Ogawa ◽  
Yen-Tsung Huang ◽  
Ming-Lun Yeh ◽  
...  

2019 ◽  
Vol 34 (10) ◽  
pp. 1817-1823 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lung‐Yi Mak ◽  
Michael Ko ◽  
Elvis To ◽  
Danny Ka‐Ho Wong ◽  
Justin Hei‐Chun Ma ◽  
...  

2020 ◽  
Vol 21 (6) ◽  
pp. 2051
Author(s):  
Ayato Murata ◽  
Nozomi Amano ◽  
Sho Sato ◽  
Hironori Tsuzura ◽  
Ko Tomishima ◽  
...  

We aimed to analyze the serum level of a novel fibrosis marker, Mac-2-binding protein glycosylation isomer (M2BPGi), and its predictive value for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) development in chronic hepatitis B (CHB) under nucleot(s)ide analogue (NA) therapy. Serum M2BPGi levels were quantified in 147 CHB patients at baseline, 48 weeks after starting NA therapy, and at the patients’ last visit. The serum M2BPGi level serially decreased at each time point. During the median follow-up time of 6.6 years, 14 of 147 patients developed HCC. Multivariate Cox proportional hazard analysis demonstrated that high serum M2BPGi at 48 weeks was an independent risk factor for HCC development. A cutoff value of M2BPGi at 48 weeks > 1.5 showed an adjusted hazard ratio = 34.9 (95% confidence interval, 4.3–284.9). The 3- and 5-year cumulative incidence of HCC in patients with low M2BPGi were 0.9% and 4.2%, respectively, whereas those in patients with high M2BPGi were 10.1% and 25.6%, respectively (p < 0.001). In conclusion, Serum M2BPGi level at 48 weeks is a useful predictor for HCC development in patients with CHB who receive NA therapy.


2020 ◽  
Vol 223 (1) ◽  
pp. 139-146
Author(s):  
An K Le ◽  
Hwai-I Yang ◽  
Ming-Lun Yeh ◽  
Mingjuan Jin ◽  
Huy N Trinh ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Chronic hepatitis B (CHB) can progress to cirrhosis, but there are limited noninvasive tools available to estimate cirrhosis risk, including in patients receiving antiviral therapy. This study developed and validated a simple model to assess risk in CHB patients. Methods The derivation cohort included 3000 CHB patients from 6 centers in the United States, with 52.60% receiving antiviral therapy. External validation was performed for 4552 CHB individuals from similar cohorts in Taiwan, with 21.27% receiving therapy. Cox proportional hazards regression analyses were used to screen predictors and develop the risk score for cirrhosis. Areas under receiver operating characteristic curves (AUROCs) were calculated for predictive value. Results Sex, age, diabetes, antiviral treatment status/duration, hepatitis B e-antigen, and baseline alanine aminotransferase/aspartate aminotransferase levels were significantly associated with increased cirrhosis risk. A 13-point risk score was developed based on these predictors. The AUROCs for predicting cirrhosis risk were 0.82 at 3 years, 0.85 at 5 years, and 0.89 at 10 years in the derivation cohort, and 0.82, 0.79, and 0.77 in the validation cohort, respectively. Conclusions We developed and validated a simple cirrhosis prediction model with an independent external cohort that can be applied to both treatment-naive and treatment-experienced CHB patients in diverse settings and locations.


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