Running with a “Loser”

2019 ◽  
pp. 99-138
Author(s):  
Robert G. Boatright ◽  
Valerie Sperling
Keyword(s):  
Interest Groups ◽  
Presidential Elections ◽  
General Election ◽  
Election Campaigns ◽  
Rapid Shift

This chapter explores the effects of Donald Trump’s nomination on the conduct of Senate and House general election campaigns. Trump’s nomination prompted many Republican donors and interest groups to decrease their spending on the presidential race and increase their spending in support of other candidates. The chapter documents the effects of this rapid shift in resources on down-ballot campaigns, and compares 2016 to a variety of previous presidential elections in order to explore past Democratic and Republican strategies for insulating congressional candidates from problematic presidential nominees. The chapter shows how Republican donors and candidates distanced themselves from Trump (applying the lessons they had learned from past elections), and why they did so. Trump’s misogyny played an important role in the latter question, as many Republican candidates broke with Trump after the Access Hollywood tape emerged in October 2016.

Interest Group Issue Appeals: Evidence of Issue Convergence in Senate and Presidential Elections, 2008–2014

The Forum ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 12 (4) ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael M. Franz
Keyword(s):  
Interest Groups ◽  
Interest Group ◽  
Presidential Elections ◽  
Election Campaigns ◽  
Air War

AbstractInterest groups now play a prominent role in the air war. Their collective investment in election campaigns has skyrocketed in the aftermath of

Le terrorisme international et la cage d'escalier. La sécurité publique dans le débat politique en France, 2000–2003

2004 ◽  
Vol 19 (1) ◽  
pp. 135-151 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dominique Monjardet
Keyword(s):  
Presidential Elections ◽  
Criminal Activity ◽  
The United States ◽  
International Terrorism ◽  
Public Order ◽  
Election Campaigns ◽  
Security Issues ◽  
Legislative Changes ◽  
Entire Planet ◽  
Made In

AbstractIn the spring of 2001, statistics concerning criminality in France, - on the decline over the preceding five years, - showed an increase. The principal measure recommended by a Conference on Interior Security held in January 2001 was the adoption of legislative changes to combat the offences responsible for this increase in criminal activity, which the opposition was using to advantage in anticipation of the coming elections (legislative and presidential elections were slated for the spring of 2002). Thus in March 2001 the French Parliament approved first reading of a new “interior security law.” By the time of second reading in October 2001 the issue had become highly emotionally charged because of the events of September 11 in the United States, which resulted in the bill being “fortified” with a chapter “with a view to strengthening the war against terrorism.” Thus a link was made in the framework of a legislative text between daily security issues and international terrorism, - petty crime irritants to public order and epic conflicts affecting the entire planet. This link persisted, notably in polemics on security issues launched during the election campaigns, and subsequently in the measures instituted by the new government in May 2002. This paper exposes and criticizes this conflation.

scholarly journals Negativity, emotionality and populist rhetoric in election campaigns worldwide, and their effects on media attention and electoral success

2019 ◽  
Vol 34 (4) ◽  
pp. 410-444 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jacques Gerstlé ◽  
Alessandro Nai
Keyword(s):  
News Media ◽  
Media Coverage ◽  
Presidential Elections ◽  
Fear Appeals ◽  
Three Dimensions ◽  
Election Campaigns ◽  
Electoral Success ◽  
Media Attention ◽  
Electoral Campaigns

Very little is known in broad comparative terms about the nature and content of election campaigns. In this article, we present the first systematic and comparative assessment of the electoral campaigns of candidates having competed in elections across the world along three dimensions: negative campaigning, emotional campaigning and populist rhetoric. We do so by introducing a new dataset, based on expert judgements, that allows us to retrace the content of campaigns of 97 candidates having competed in 43 elections worldwide between 2016 and 2018. To put the importance of these three dimensions of electoral campaigns into perspective, we comparatively assess the extent to which these three dimensions are more or less likely to capture the attention of news media and to determine the electoral fate of those who rely on them. Our analyses reveal that negativity and emotionality significantly and substantially drive media coverage and electoral results: more positive and enthusiasm-based campaigns increase media attention, but so do campaigns based on personal attacks and fear appeals, especially during presidential elections and when the number of competing candidates is lower. Looking at electoral success, negativity backlashes overall, and yet personal attacks can be used successfully to increase the chances of an electoral victory. Furthermore, both appeals to enthusiasm (but not when a lot of candidates compete) and fear (especially in presidential elections) work as intended to capture the attention of the public and transform it into better electoral fortunes. We also discuss the results of a case study of the 2017 French presidential election, where we compare the campaigns of four leading candidates (Emmanuel Macron, Marine Le Pen, François Fillon and Jean-Luc Mélenchon); results of the case study offer interesting insights to understand the general trends, and beyond.

6. Subnational nominations and elections

2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
L. Sandy Maisel
Keyword(s):  
Status Quo ◽  
General Election ◽  
Election Campaigns ◽  
The Status

‘Subnational nominations and elections’ examines how candidates are selected to run for office below the level of the presidency, and how they run in general election campaigns. The importance of single-member districts, the ways in which electoral districts are drawn and the financing of elections, and the ways that campaigns are contested are each explored, though it is concluded that the overwhelmingly important factors in these elections are whether the president and party in power are popular and whether the electorate is satisfied with their performance. If they are, the status quo will be maintained. Incumbents of an unpopular party are, however, difficult to unseat.

The Struggle over Political Order in Egypt: The 2005 Elections

2006 ◽  
Vol 60 (2) ◽  
pp. 257-279 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yoram Meital
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Policy ◽  
Presidential Elections ◽  
Us Foreign Policy ◽  
Political Order ◽  
Election Campaigns ◽  
Political Arena ◽  
Arab Media ◽  
Parliamentary Elections ◽  
Political Sphere ◽  
Media Space

Although many have dismissed Egypt's first competitive presidential elections and the parliamentary elections of 2005 as a sham, the election campaigns marked a new departure in the Egyptian political sphere, including a shift in the domestic political balance. This article argues that the convergence of developments in the domestic political arena — including the emergence of new movements — the shifting emphasis of US foreign policy towards democratization, and the emergence of the new Arab media space, give the elections real significance despite the predictability of the results.

The Funding of Constituency Party General Election Campaigns in Great Britain

1999 ◽  
Vol 17 (4) ◽  
pp. 391-409 ◽  
Author(s):  
R J Johnston ◽  
I MacAllister ◽  
C J Pattie
Keyword(s):  
Great Britain ◽  
General Election ◽  
Election Campaigns

Political restructuring is on the way in Brazil

2018 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Presidential Elections ◽  
General Election ◽  
The Political ◽  
Liberal Party ◽  
Far Right ◽  
Social Democrats ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Protest Movements ◽  
Political Landscape ◽  
President Elect

Subject Changes to the political landscape. Significance This year’s general election has transformed the political landscape that prevailed for over two decades in Brazil. The centre-right Social Democrats (PSDB) were pushed away from the mainstream by a surging far-right led by President-elect Jair Bolsonaro. After winning four straight presidential elections, the Workers’ Party (PT) was defeated in the runoff. It retains some leverage, but now faces increasingly serious challenges to its hegemony on the centre-left. Impacts Ineffective management of relations with Congress could undermine Bolsonaro’s ability to pass key legislation. Protest movements not aligned to established parties could proliferate in the coming years. Bolsonaro’s Social Liberal Party (PSL) will fail to establish itself as a leading party in the longer term.

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