Mutual fund alpha and daily market-timing ability

2019 ◽  
Vol 36 (4) ◽  
pp. 662-681
Author(s):  
Qiang Bu
Keyword(s):  
Mutual Funds ◽  
Mutual Fund ◽  
Design Methodology ◽  
Market Timing ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Market Return ◽  
Timing Ability

Purpose This study aims to examine whether mutual funds can earn daily alpha and time daily market return. Design/methodology/approach Based on the Treynor and Mazuy (1966) model and the Henriksson and Merton (1981) model, the author tests the daily market-timing ability of actual mutual funds and bootstrapped mutual funds. Findings The author finds that daily alpha and daily market-timing ability can come from pure luck. In addition, the relation between fund alpha and market-timing ability is at best minimal. Originality/value Using bootstrapped funds as the benchmark, this study shows that daily fund market is overall efficient.

scholarly journals MANAGERIAL ABILITIES AND FACTOR INVESTMENT STYLE PERFORMANCES OF MALAYSIAN MUTUAL FUND MANAGERS

2021 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 118-135
Author(s):  
Pick-Soon Ling ◽  
Ruzita Abdul-Rahim
Keyword(s):  
Mutual Funds ◽  
Portfolio Management ◽  
Mutual Fund ◽  
Market Timing ◽  
Stock Selection ◽  
Investment Style ◽  
Fund Managers ◽  
Equity Mutual Funds ◽  
Timing Ability ◽  
Stock Picking

Background and Purpose: Studies focusing on mutual fund managerial abilities and investment style strategies are still scarce in the literature. Thus, this study aims to provide new evidence and insights into the managerial abilities and investment style performances of Malaysian fund managers.   Methodology: A total of 444 Malaysian equity mutual funds (EMFs) were evaluated using Carhart’s model incorporated with Treynor-Mazuy (T-M) and Henriksson-Merton (H-M) market timing models for the study period, from January 1995 to December 2017.   Findings: Fund managers displayed superior stock selection skills with 32 percent and 43 percent of funds for T-M and H-M respectively, with perverse market timing ability which accounted for 39 percent and 42 percent of funds for T-M and H-M respectively. Perverse timing ability had reduced the superior stock-picking skills of fund managers. This suggests that the EMFs performance could further improve if respective fund managers perform better in market timing ability. The finding also indicates that size effect (SMB) and value effect (HML) play significant roles in investment style strategies, while results of momentum factor (WML) propose that Malaysian fund managers have followed the contrarian strategy.   Contributions: This study contributes in several ways especially in the literature of portfolio management as the evidence is obtained from the largest mutual funds sample size and the longest study period. Moreover, this study also used the highest frequency data to study the effects of market timing which were overlooked in previous studies.   Keywords: Adjusted carhart, Malaysian market, market timing, mutual fund, stock selection.   Cite as: Ling, P-S., & Abdul-Rahim, R. (2021). Managerial abilities and factor investment style performances of Malaysian mutual funds.  Journal of Nusantara Studies, 6(1), 118-135. http://dx.doi.org/10.24200/jonus.vol6iss1pp118-135

FINRA fines broker-dealer for failing to apply Class A sales charge waivers for certain eligible customers on its mutual fund platform

2014 ◽  
Vol 15 (4) ◽  
pp. 53-56
Author(s):  
Richard F. Kerr
Keyword(s):  
Mutual Funds ◽  
Financial Institutions ◽  
Mutual Fund ◽  
Design Methodology ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Supervisory System ◽  
Enforcement Action ◽  
Class A

Purpose – To review FINRA enforcement action taken against a broker-dealer over failure to waive mutual fund sales charges for certain eligible customers and failure to establish, maintain, and enforce a supervisory system and written procedures reasonably designed to ensure eligible accounts received sales charge waivers as set forth in the mutual funds’ prospectuses. Design/methodology/approach – Reviews and summarizes FINRA’s finding’s regarding the broker-dealer’s failure to apply applicable mutual fund sales charge waivers, deficiencies in the broker-dealer’s supervisory system and written procedures resulting in the failure, resulting violations of FINRA rules, the broker-dealer’s remedial efforts, and the sanctions imposed. Findings – This settlement provides an important reminder for FINRA member broker-dealers of the need to ensure that eligible investors receive applicable sales charger waivers or are placed in the appropriate share class, and to establish, maintain, and enforce a supervisory system and written procedures reasonably designed to ensure eligible accounts received sales charge waivers as set forth in the mutual funds’ prospectuses. Originality/value – Practical explanation from experienced financial institutions lawyers.

Assessing foreign funds geographical focus timing skill

2016 ◽  
Vol 33 (2) ◽  
pp. 209-221
Author(s):  
Javier Rodríguez ◽  
Herminio Romero
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Mutual Funds ◽  
Hedge Funds ◽  
Design Methodology ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Market Timing ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Fund Managers ◽  
The Usa ◽  
Timing Models

Purpose This paper aims to study the market timing skill of USA-based foreign open-end mutual funds in their geographical focus market. Design/methodology/approach The authors use daily fund data and two multi-factor extensions of the Treynor-Mazuy (1966) and Henriksson-Merton (1981) timing models to measure US-based foreign funds’ market timing skill during 1999 to 2010. In particular, the authors study fund managers’ skill to time their geographical focus market. Findings The authors report that, in general, foreign funds do not accurately time their geographical focus market. However, during January 2008 to December 2010, the sub period that includes the 2008 global financial crisis, most foreign funds in this sample not only focused on their domestic market, the USA, but also demonstrated statistically significant, good timing skill. Originality/value Although US-based foreign funds’ market-timing skill is not an unexplored topic, this study is the first to consider these funds’ skill to time their geographical focus market, a skill that has been studied in the context of hedge funds.

Emerging market mutual fund performance: evidence for China

2017 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
pp. 167-187 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zia-ur-Rehman Rao ◽  
Muhammad Zubair Tauni ◽  
Amjad Iqbal ◽  
Muhammad Umar
Keyword(s):  
Asset Management ◽  
Mutual Fund ◽  
Factor Model ◽  
Emerging Market ◽  
Market Timing ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Fund Managers ◽  
Developed Markets ◽  
Timing Ability ◽  
Equity Funds

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to find whether Chinese equity funds outperform the market and do Chinese fund managers possess positive market timing ability. This study also aims to investigate whether well-performing (worst) funds of last year continue to perform well (worst) in the following year. Design/methodology/approach Capital Asset Pricing Model and Carhart four-factor model are used for performance analysis, whereas for analyzing market timing ability, the Treynor and Mazuy (1966) and Henriksson and Merton (1981) models are applied. To investigate persistence in the performance of Chinese equity funds, all equity funds are divided, on the basis of performance in the past 12 months, into three equally weighted groups (high, middle and low) and then observed for next 12 months. After that, groups are again rebalanced according to their performance. This study uses a panel regression model for analysis. Findings Chinese equity funds are successful in providing higher than market returns, and fund managers possess positive market timing ability. The authors find that Chinese equity funds do not show persistence in performance as witnessed in developed markets. Well-performing funds (worst funds) of last year do not continue to provide higher (lower) return in the following year. Moreover, the authors detect positive relationship of fund size, age and expense ratio with the fund’s performance. Overall results suggest that emerging market equity funds show better performance than that of developed markets. Practical implications Investors are better off if they invest in equity funds instead of index funds, as results illustrate that equity funds outperformed the market. Further, the strategy of buying well-performing funds of last year and selling poorly performing funds of last year does not look very attractive in China. This study helps investors to understand the Chinese managed funds industry, and such an understanding is also helpful for fund managers and asset management companies who use performance information in marketing strategies. Originality/value This is the first study to investigate the performance persistence in Chinese equity funds and also contributes to the literature about the performance and market timing ability of equity funds. The study takes the sample of 520 equity funds for the period from 2004 to 2014, which includes a period of financial crisis of 2008.

ANALISIS DATA PANEL PADA KINERJA REKSADANA SAHAM

Jurnal Varian ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 59-69
Author(s):  
I Gede Agus Astapa ◽  
Gede Suwardika ◽  
I Ketut Putu Suniantara
Keyword(s):  
Mutual Funds ◽  
Random Effects ◽  
Mutual Fund ◽  
Fixed Effects ◽  
Risk Model ◽  
Panel Data Analysis ◽  
Market Timing ◽  
Stock Selection ◽  
Timing Ability ◽  
Level Of Risk

Mutual funds is another investment opportunity with a more measurable risk as well as return high enough with enough capital is affordable for the community. Mutual fund performance can be measured by several indicators.. Modeling the performance of mutual funds modeled by regression of the data panel. The regression model estimation data panel will do with the three approaches, namely the approach of common effect, fixed effects and random effects. This research purpose to know the performance of mutual funds from stock selection skill variable influences, market timing ability and level of risk with the use of panel data analysis. The results shows that the Fund's performance is affected by the stock selection skill, market timing ability, and the level of risk. Model the right approach to model the performance of mutual funds by using a random effects model.

Director of SEC’s Division of Investment Management discusses alternative mutual funds

2014 ◽  
Vol 15 (4) ◽  
pp. 15-18
Author(s):  
Richard F. Kerr
Keyword(s):  
Mutual Funds ◽  
Financial Institutions ◽  
Mutual Fund ◽  
Design Methodology ◽  
Investment Strategies ◽  
Investment Management ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Fund Industry ◽  
Mutual Fund Industry ◽  
Alternative Investment

Purpose – To alert participants in the mutual fund industry to regulatory developments in the alternative mutual fund space as articulated by the SEC’s Director of the Division of Investment Management. Design/methodology/approach – Reviews the Director’s discussion of the SEC’s concerns related to Valuation, Liquidity, Leverage and Disclosure resulting from the proliferation of alternative mutual funds. Additionally, summarizes the Director’s comments regarding Board oversight of alternative mutual funds. Findings – While the Director’s speech does not establish any new law or regulation, it is a practical summary of the SEC’s expectations for mutual fund complexes when implementing and operating mutual funds with alternative investment strategies that have historically been the province of private funds. Originality/value – Practical explanation from experienced financial institutions lawyers.

Do Portuguese mutual funds display forecasting skills?

2017 ◽  
Vol 34 (4) ◽  
pp. 597-631
Author(s):  
Nuno Manuel Veloso Neto ◽  
Júlio Fernando Seara Sequeira da Mota Lobão ◽  
Elisabete Simões Vieira
Keyword(s):  
Mutual Funds ◽  
Market Timing ◽  
Public Information ◽  
Nonparametric Test ◽  
Future Research ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Timing Ability ◽  
Conditional Models ◽  
Equity Funds ◽  
First Time

Purpose This study aims to evaluate the performance of the Portuguese fund managers by examining the selectivity and market timing skills of 51 Portuguese mutual funds from June 2002 to March 2012. Design/methodology/approach The authors assess empirically the performance of a sample of funds by applying the unconditional and conditional models of Treynor and Mazuy (1966) and Henriksson and Merton (1981). Findings The results suggest that, overall, the Portuguese mutual funds do not possess selectivity or timing skills. However, regardless of the model used, the domestic equity funds exhibit a statistically significant market timing ability. Furthermore, the domestic and North American equity funds display positive selectivity during bull markets and timing skills during bear markets. Additionally, there is some evidence that older funds are better stock pickers than younger funds. Research limitations/implications To address some of the limitations of this study, the authors suggest for further research correcting the Treynor and Mazuy (1966) model for the convexity cost of replicating Merton’s (1981) option approach. Additionally, for further research, we suggest using a bigger sample, higher frequency data, as such data may lead to higher frequency of timing ability as proposed by Bollen and Busse (2001). To overcome some of the limitations of traditional models, future research may consider using Jiang’s (2003) nonparametric test, as it is not affected by manager’s risk aversion, or Ferson and Khang (2002) conditional performance evaluation using portfolios holdings. Originality/value The authors contribute to the current literature by extending the period of study to 10 years in comparison to previous studies; extending the sample of funds to 51; addressing, for the first time in this context, the importance of public information on funds’ performance, through the comparison of unconditional and conditional models of Treynor and Mazuy’s (1966) and Henriksson and Merton’s (1981); and, for the first time in the Portuguese context, analysing the relationship between funds’ size, age and market cycles and selectivity and market timing skills.

Impact of reporting delays on profitability of front-running strategies against mutual funds

2017 ◽  
Vol 43 (9) ◽  
pp. 999-1015 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sitikantha Parida
Keyword(s):  
Mutual Funds ◽  
Mutual Fund ◽  
Design Methodology ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Front Running ◽  
Reporting Delays ◽  
Public Disclosures ◽  
Reporting Delay ◽  
Practical Implications ◽  
Illiquid Assets

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to investigate if there is any impact of reporting delays on profitability of front-running strategies against the mutual funds. Design/methodology/approach The author studies if freshness of mutual fund holding information from public disclosures affects precision of flow-based front-running strategies against the funds and if the allowed 60-day reporting delay is able to protect the funds from these front-running activities against them. Findings Assuming no reporting delay, the author finds that returns from hypothetical front-running strategies are significant, when these are based on the most recent holding information and are not significant, when based on relatively old holding information. Interestingly, these front-running returns appear to be mostly driven by anticipated forced buys by the mutual funds (rather than anticipated forced sales). The return from a front-running strategy long on anticipated forced buys is higher when it is based on relatively illiquid assets. The author also finds that return from a front-running strategy short on anticipated forced sales is significant, when it is based on illiquid assets from relatively old holding information. Practical implications Hence, it appears that the allowed 60-day reporting delay is able to protect most of the funds from front-running activities against them, except for the funds holding illiquid assets from anticipated forced sales motivated front-running activities against them. Originality/value The paper addresses an interesting question, which has not been studied before – if freshness of fund holding information helps the front-running strategies against the funds and if the allowed reporting delay is effective in protecting the funds from these activities.

scholarly journals Analisis Securities Selection Skill dan Market Timing Ability Pada Kinerja Reksadana Syariah Campuran Di Bursa Efek Indonesia

2017 ◽  
Vol 2 (3) ◽  
pp. 215
Author(s):  
Marta Dwi Yana ◽  
Nur Indah Riwajanti ◽  
Fita Setiati
Keyword(s):  
Mutual Funds ◽  
Mutual Fund ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Market Timing ◽  
Sharpe Ratio ◽  
Continuous Training ◽  
Financial Service Authority ◽  
Purposive Sampling ◽  
Timing Ability ◽  
Investment Manager

<p><em></em><em>Abstract:</em></p><p><em>This research aims to measure the performance of the investment manager of Sharia mutual fund by analyzing his securities selection skill and market timing ability based on Treynor-Mazuy and Henriksson-Merton model. The population in this research are 93 mutual funds listed in Indonesian Stock Exchange from 2014 to 2016. The samples are 13 Sharia’s mutual fund taken by using purposive sampling techniques. This research uses regression method. The results show that the Sharpe Ratio indicates out of thirteen mutual funds, there are only four mutual funds that performed well, while nine other mutual funds were underperformed. The result based on the model of Treynor-Mazuy and Henriksson-Merton indicate that the investment managers did not have the securities selection skill and market timing ability. It is suggested that Financial Service Authority should hold continuous training for the investment managers and should issue a new certification specifically for the investment manager by increasing the standard of competence.</em></p><p>Abstrak:</p><p>Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengukur kinerja manajer investasi reksadana syariah dengan menganalisis <em>securities selection skill</em> dan <em>market timing ability </em>berdasarkan model Treynor-Mazuy dan Henriksson-Merton. Populasi dalam penelitian ini adalah 93 reksadana yang terdaftar di Bursa Efek Indonesia dari tahun 2014 sampai 2016. Sampelnya adalah 13 reksa dana syariah yang diambil dengan teknik purposive sampling. Penelitian ini menggunakan metode regresi. Hasil penelitian analisis Sharpe Ratio menunjukkan dari tiga belas reksa dana, hanya ada empat reksadana yang berjalan baik, sementara sembilan reksa dana lainnya kinerjanya kurang. Sedangkan berdasarkan model Treynor-Mazuy dan Henriksson-Merton menunjukkan bahwa manajer investasi tidak memiliki keahlian pemilihan sekuritas dan kemampuan waktu pasar. Selanjutnya, disarankan agar Otorita Jasa Keuangan mengadakan pelatihan terus menerus bagi manajer investasi dan perlu mengeluarkan sertifikasi baru khusus untuk manajer investasi untuk meningkatkan standar kompetensi.</p><p><em><br /></em></p>

scholarly journals PENGARUH STOCK SELESCTION SKIIL, MARKET TIMING ABILITY, TURNOVER RATIO DAN CASH FLOW TERHADAP KINERJA REKSA DANA SYARIAH

2019 ◽  
Vol 1 (01) ◽  
pp. 45-55
Author(s):  
Mega Mustika Sari ◽  
Sri Mulyati ◽  
Estu Widarwati
Keyword(s):  
Mutual Funds ◽  
Mutual Fund ◽  
Market Timing ◽  
Coefficient Of Determination ◽  
Research Report ◽  
Stock Selection ◽  
Turnover Ratio ◽  
Equity Mutual Funds ◽  
Timing Ability ◽  
Investment Manager

Mutual funds syariah are other investment opportunities with measurable risk and return is high enough with enough capital affordable to the community. Mutual funds syariah have an Investment Manager with the ability and knowledge of the market it is or will happen. Therefore, mutual funds syariah selected by investors because it is cheap, easy and "managed by the experts". This research analysted do stock selection skill, market timing ability, Turnover ratio and Cashflow can influence the performance of equity mutual funds syariah in Indonesia. The data used in this research are data on financial statements , Net Asset Value (NAV), SBI, IHSG, yearly data and prospectus of 10 equity mutual fund syariah that were sampled during this research report from 2011-2014. As a research methodology, we used F test and t test to examine research’s hypothesis, also used assumption classic test there are normality test, autocorrelation test, heteroscedasticity test and multicolinearity test. These results can be viewed on multiple regression analysis and the coefficient of determination, the R value of 0.513 means the relation between the stock selection skill, market timing ability, Turnover ratio and Cashflow to profitability by 51.3%, meaning that the relationship between variables was most closely. Adjusted R Square value of 0.545 which means 54,5% achievement of profitability can be explained by the stock selection skill, market timing ability, Turnover ratio and Cashflow. The remaining 45,5% can be explained by other factors not examined in this research..

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