Local Ice Loads on the Sakhalin-II Project Structures: Probability Analysis and Comparison by Existing Design Codes

Author(s):  
Olga A. Sabodash

In the study the probabilistic modeling of local ice loads and pressures on wide structure has been carried out. Probabilistic analysis has traditionally been focused on distribution of their maximum values. The “Molikpaq” (PA-A) ice-class platform for “Sakhalin-II” project is considered as an example. The input parameters were modelled by Monte-Carlo method taking into account of full-scale data in the Piltun-Astokhskoe field during 1989÷2002 ice seasons. A comparative analysis of local ice loads and pressures on wide structure has been made on the basis of the Russian and international design codes, standards and recommendations. The obtained local pressure values were compared with public available data collected on the “Molikpaq” (PA-A) platform. Some preliminary results and discussions are presented. Recommendations on the local ice loads and pressures for engineering design of structures on the Sakhalin offshore have been done.

The chain-of-bundles model for fibrous composites is reviewed, and an approximation to the probability of failure is derived. This leads to formulae for predicting the strength of such a composite. These formulae are developed in the context of an asymptotic theory, and the Monte Carlo method is used to study a specific case in more detail. We also discuss the size effect. The probabilistic analysis relies heavily on extreme value theory, and a brief survey of the relevant parts of that theory is included.


2018 ◽  
pp. 11-17
Author(s):  
A. Abdullaiev ◽  
S. Soldatov ◽  
V. Hann ◽  
S. Chernitskyi

The paper describes the methodology for the calculation of neutron fluence and energy release in WWER-1000 reactor cavity and baffle using the Monte Carlo MCNPX code. It formulates an approach to the simulation of a 3-D neutron source and conditions for the transport of neutrons and photons in the core. The research presents preliminary results of neutron fluence and energy release calculation in WWER-1000 reactor cavity and baffle. 


2013 ◽  
Vol 405-408 ◽  
pp. 735-739
Author(s):  
Ying Wu Zhou ◽  
Li Li Sui ◽  
Feng Xing

The paper presents an in-deep reliability study on concrete filled FRP tube columns using four well-known design codes which include the ACI 4402R-08, the CNR-DT200, UK code (TR55) , and the Chinese code. Monte Carlo method is utilized to calculate the reliability index of the column. The simulation results reveal that the reliability index depends heavily on the design code and the ACI 4402R-08 design code is found to be the most reliable one for the design of concrete filled FRP tube columns. The variation of the unconfined concrete strength has remarkable influences on the reliability of the column while the variation of the FRP tensile strength can hardly affect the reliability. Consequently, it is concluded that the partial safety factor for concrete or the FRP proposed in existing design codes may be suitably enhanced in order to make up the reliability loss due to the increment of the variation of concrete.


1974 ◽  
Vol 22 ◽  
pp. 307 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zdenek Sekanina

AbstractIt is suggested that the outbursts of Periodic Comet Schwassmann-Wachmann 1 are triggered by impacts of interplanetary boulders on the surface of the comet’s nucleus. The existence of a cloud of such boulders in interplanetary space was predicted by Harwit (1967). We have used the hypothesis to calculate the characteristics of the outbursts – such as their mean rate, optically important dimensions of ejected debris, expansion velocity of the ejecta, maximum diameter of the expanding cloud before it fades out, and the magnitude of the accompanying orbital impulse – and found them reasonably consistent with observations, if the solid constituent of the comet is assumed in the form of a porous matrix of lowstrength meteoric material. A Monte Carlo method was applied to simulate the distributions of impacts, their directions and impact velocities.


Author(s):  
Makoto Shiojiri ◽  
Toshiyuki Isshiki ◽  
Tetsuya Fudaba ◽  
Yoshihiro Hirota

In hexagonal Se crystal each atom is covalently bound to two others to form an endless spiral chain, and in Sb crystal each atom to three others to form an extended puckered sheet. Such chains and sheets may be regarded as one- and two- dimensional molecules, respectively. In this paper we investigate the structures in amorphous state of these elements and the crystallization.HRTEM and ED images of vacuum-deposited amorphous Se and Sb films were taken with a JEM-200CX electron microscope (Cs=1.2 mm). The structure models of amorphous films were constructed on a computer by Monte Carlo method. Generated atoms were subsequently deposited on a space of 2 nm×2 nm as they fulfiled the binding condition, to form a film 5 nm thick (Fig. 1a-1c). An improvement on a previous computer program has been made as to realize the actual film formation. Radial distribution fuction (RDF) curves, ED intensities and HRTEM images for the constructed structure models were calculated, and compared with the observed ones.


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