scholarly journals Invasive breast cancer and breast cancer mortality after ductal carcinoma in situ in women attending for breast screening in England, 1988-2014: population based observational cohort study

BMJ ◽  
2020 ◽  
pp. m1570 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gurdeep S Mannu ◽  
Zhe Wang ◽  
John Broggio ◽  
Jackie Charman ◽  
Shan Cheung ◽  
...  

AbstractObjectiveTo evaluate the long term risks of invasive breast cancer and death from breast cancer after ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS) diagnosed through breast screening.DesignPopulation based observational cohort study.SettingData from the NHS Breast Screening Programme and the National Cancer Registration and Analysis Service.ParticipantsAll 35 024 women in England diagnosed as having DCIS by the NHS Breast Screening Programme from its start in 1988 until March 2014.Main outcome measuresIncident invasive breast cancer and death from breast cancer.ResultsBy December 2014, 13 606 women had been followed for up to five years, 10 998 for five to nine years, 6861 for 10-14 years, 2620 for 15-19 years, and 939 for at least 20 years. Among these women, 2076 developed invasive breast cancer, corresponding to an incidence rate of 8.82 (95% confidence interval 8.45 to 9.21) per 1000 women per year and more than double that expected from national cancer incidence rates (ratio of observed rate to expected rate 2.52, 95% confidence interval 2.41 to 2.63). The increase started in the second year after diagnosis of DCIS and continued until the end of follow-up. In the same group of women, 310 died from breast cancer, corresponding to a death rate of 1.26 (1.13 to 1.41) per 1000 women per year and 70% higher than that expected from national breast cancer mortality rates (observed:expected ratio 1.70, 1.52 to 1.90). During the first five years after diagnosis of DCIS, the breast cancer death rate was similar to that expected from national mortality rates (observed:expected ratio 0.87, 0.69 to 1.10), but it then increased, with values of 1.98 (1.65 to 2.37), 2.99 (2.41 to 3.70), and 2.77 (2.01 to 3.80) in years five to nine, 10-14, and 15 or more after DCIS diagnosis. Among 29 044 women with unilateral DCIS undergoing surgery, those who had more intensive treatment (mastectomy, radiotherapy for women who had breast conserving surgery, and endocrine treatment in oestrogen receptor positive disease) and those with larger final surgical margins had lower rates of invasive breast cancer.ConclusionsTo date, women with DCIS detected by screening have, on average, experienced higher long term risks of invasive breast cancer and death from breast cancer than women in the general population during a period of at least two decades after their diagnosis. More intensive treatment and larger final surgical margins were associated with lower risks of invasive breast cancer.

2019 ◽  
Vol 3 (4) ◽  
Author(s):  
Peiyin Hung ◽  
Shi-Yi Wang ◽  
Brigid K Killelea ◽  
Sarah S Mougalian ◽  
Suzanne B Evans ◽  
...  

Abstract The use of sentinel lymph node biopsy (SLNB) for ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS) is controversial. Using population-cohort data, we examined whether SLNB improves long-term outcomes among patients with DCIS who underwent breast-conserving surgery. We identified 12 776 women aged 67–94 years diagnosed during 2001–2013 with DCIS who underwent breast-conserving surgery from the US Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results-Medicare dataset, 1992 (15.6%) of whom underwent SLNB (median follow-up: 69 months). Tests of statistical significance are two-sided. Patients with and without SLNB did not differ statistically significantly regarding treated recurrence (3.9% vs 3.7%; P = .62), ipsilateral invasive occurrence (1.4% vs 1.7%, P = .33), or breast cancer mortality (1.0% vs 0.9%, P = .86). With Mahalanobis-matching and competing-risks survival analyses, SLNB was not statistically significantly associated with treated recurrence, ipsilateral invasive occurrence, or breast cancer mortality (P ≥ .27). Our findings do not support the routine performance of SLNB for older patients with DCIS amenable to breast conservation.


2016 ◽  
Vol 34 (11) ◽  
pp. 1190-1196 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yasuaki Sagara ◽  
Rachel A. Freedman ◽  
Ines Vaz-Luis ◽  
Melissa Anne Mallory ◽  
Stephanie M. Wong ◽  
...  

Purpose Radiotherapy (RT) after breast-conserving surgery (BCS) is a standard treatment option for the management of ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS). We sought to determine the survival benefit of RT after BCS on the basis of risk factors for local recurrence. Patients and Methods A retrospective longitudinal cohort study was performed to identify patients with DCIS diagnosed between 1988 and 2007 and treated with BCS by using SEER data. Patients were divided into the following two groups: BCS+RT (RT group) and BCS alone (non-RT group). We used a patient prognostic scoring model to stratify patients on the basis of risk of local recurrence. We performed a Cox proportional hazards model with propensity score weighting to evaluate breast cancer mortality between the two groups. Results We identified 32,144 eligible patients with DCIS, 20,329 (63%) in the RT group and 11,815 (37%) in the non-RT group. Overall, 304 breast cancer–specific deaths occurred over a median follow-up of 96 months, with a cumulative incidence of breast cancer mortality at 10 years in the weighted cohorts of 1.8% (RT group) and 2.1% (non-RT group; hazard ratio, 0.73; 95% CI, 0.62 to 0.88). Significant improvements in survival in the RT group compared with the non-RT group were only observed in patients with higher nuclear grade, younger age, and larger tumor size. The magnitude of the survival difference with RT was significantly correlated with prognostic score (P < .001). Conclusion In this population-based study, the patient prognostic score for DCIS is associated with the magnitude of improvement in survival offered by RT after BCS, suggesting that decisions for RT could be tailored on the basis of patient factors, tumor biology, and the prognostic score.


2005 ◽  
Vol 8 (7) ◽  
Author(s):  
S. W. Duffy

Although much has been written about overdiagnosis in mammographical screening, analytical estimates of the extent of overdiagnosis are rare in the literature. Estimates specific to ductal carcinomain situ(DCIS) and the implications for future invasive disease are even more difficult to find. In this paper, we review studies of incidence of DCIS within breast screening programmes and its association with subsequent incidence of invasive breast cancer. Although sparse, published results suggest that the majority of DCIS cases have the propensity to progress to invasive disease.


2013 ◽  
Vol 31 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 1131-1131
Author(s):  
Xiudong Lei ◽  
Shaheenah S. Dawood ◽  
Constance T. Albarracin ◽  
Rebecca Dent ◽  
Sudeep Gupta ◽  
...  

1131 Background: Recent data indicate that the incidence of DCIS is rising. The purpose of this retrospective population based study was to examine incidence of and factors that contribute to the development of a subsequent breast primary. Methods: Using the SEER registry we identified female pts with a primary DCIS diagnosed between 1990 to 2005. Pts who had an invasive or in situ malignancy diagnosed prior to a diagnosis of DCIS were excluded. Cumulative incidence of a subsequent breast primary (invasive/non invasive) was estimated and compared across groups using the Chi-square test. Multivariable logistic regression models were then fitted to determine factors that could predict for the development of a subsequent breast primary. Results: 96,130 pts were identified of whom 14,573 (15.2%) had subsequent primaries. 9,037 (62%) pts had a subsequent primary in the breast of which 5,915 (65.5%) pts had an invasive breast cancer. Among pts who developed an invasive breast cancer 68% had hormone receptor positive disease, 59% had grade I/II disease and 80% had stage I/II disease. 2 and 5-year cumulative incidence of developing a subsequent breast primary was 3.2% and 5.9% respectively. 2 and 5-year cumulative incidence of developing a subsequent invasive breast primary was 1.6% and 3.4% respectively. 5-year cumulative incidence of developing a subsequent breast primary among pts who were of white, black and other race was 5.8%, 6.8% and 6.1% respectively (P<0.001). In the multivariable logistic model the probability of developing a subsequent breast primary decreased with each increasing year of diagnosis of DCIS (OR 0.91, 95%CI 0.91-0.92, p<0.001). Other factors that predicted for the development of a subsequent breast primary included younger age at diagnosis, non-white race and lack of surgical or radiation therapy for DCIS. Conclusions: Our results indicate that a significant proportion of pts with a diagnosis of DCIS go on to develop invasive breast cancer and may warrant further investigation to determine biological risk factors, appropriate screening procedures and possible interventions to decrease incidence. Target groups that may benefit include pts who are young and of non white race at the time of diagnosis of DCIS.


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