Cardiovascular risk model performance in women with and without hypertensive disorders of pregnancy

Heart ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 105 (4) ◽  
pp. 330-336 ◽  
Author(s):  
Veerle Dam ◽  
N Charlotte Onland-Moret ◽  
W M Monique Verschuren ◽  
Jolanda M A Boer ◽  
Laura Benschop ◽  
...  

ObjectivesCompare the predictive performance of Framingham Risk Score (FRS), Pooled Cohort Equations (PCEs) and Systematic COronary Risk Evaluation (SCORE) model between women with and without a history of hypertensive disorders of pregnancy (hHDP) and determine the effects of recalibration and refitting on predictive performance.MethodsWe included 29 751 women, 6302 with hHDP and 17 369 without. We assessed whether models accurately predicted observed 10-year cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk (calibration) and whether they accurately distinguished between women developing CVD during follow-up and not (discrimination), separately for women with and without hHDP. We also recalibrated (updating intercept and slope) and refitted (recalculating coefficients) the models.ResultsOriginal FRS and PCEs overpredicted 10-year CVD risks, with expected:observed (E:O) ratios ranging from 1.51 (for FRS in women with hHDP) to 2.29 (for PCEs in women without hHDP), while E:O ratios were close to 1 for SCORE. Overprediction attenuated slightly after recalibration for FRS and PCEs in both hHDP groups. Discrimination was reasonable for all models, with C-statistics ranging from 0.70-0.81 (women with hHDP) and 0.72–0.74 (women without hHDP). C-statistics improved slightly after refitting 0.71–0.83 (with hHDP) and 0.73–0.80 (without hHDP). The E:O ratio of the original PCE model was statistically significantly better in women with hHDP compared with women without hHDP.ConclusionsSCORE performed best in terms of both calibration and discrimination, while FRS and PCEs overpredicted risk in women with and without hHDP, but improved after recalibrating and refitting the models. No separate model for women with hHDP seems necessary, despite their higher baseline risk.

BMJ ◽  
2017 ◽  
pp. j3078 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ida Behrens ◽  
Saima Basit ◽  
Mads Melbye ◽  
Jacob A Lykke ◽  
Jan Wohlfahrt ◽  
...  

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Sho Tano ◽  
Tomomi Kotani ◽  
Takafumi Ushida ◽  
Masato Yoshihara ◽  
Kenji Imai ◽  
...  

AbstractWeight gain during interpregnancy period is related to hypertensive disorders of pregnancy (HDP). However, in interpregnancy care/counseling, the unpredictability of the timing of the next conception and the difficulties in preventing age-related body weight gain must be considered while setting weight management goals. Therefore, we suggest considering the annual change in the body mass index (BMI). This study aimed to clarify the association between annual BMI changes during the interpregnancy period and HDP risk in subsequent pregnancies. A multicenter retrospective study of data from 2009 to 2019 examined the adjusted odds ratio (aOR) of HDP in subsequent pregnancies. The aORs in several annual BMI change categories were also calculated in the subgroups classified by HDP occurrence in the index pregnancy. This study included 1,746 pregnant women. A history of HDP (aOR, 16.76; 95% confidence interval [CI], 9.62 − 29.22), and annual BMI gain (aOR, 2.30; 95% CI, 1.76 − 3.01) were independent risk factors for HDP in subsequent pregnancies. An annual BMI increase of ≥ 1.0 kg/m2/year was related to HDP development in subsequent pregnancies for women without a history of HDP. This study provides data as a basis for interpregnancy care/counseling, but further research is necessary to validate our findings and confirm this relationship.


Open Heart ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 7 (2) ◽  
pp. e001273
Author(s):  
Odayme Quesada ◽  
Ki Park ◽  
Janet Wei ◽  
Eileen Handberg ◽  
Chrisandra Shufelt ◽  
...  

AimsHypertensive disorders of pregnancy (HDP) predict future cardiovascular events. We aim to investigate relations between HDP history and subsequent hypertension (HTN), myocardial structure and function, and late gadolinium enhancement (LGE) scar.Methods and resultsWe evaluated a prospective cohort of women with suspected ischaemia with no obstructive coronary artery disease (INOCA) who underwent stress/rest cardiac magnetic resonance imaging (cMRI) with LGE in the Women’s Ischemia Syndrome Evaluation-Coronary Vascular Dysfunction study. Self-reported history of pregnancy and HDP (gestational HTN, pre-eclampsia, toxaemia and eclampsia) were collected at enrollment. In our cohort of 346, 20% of women report a history of HDP. HDP history was associated with 3.2-fold increased odds of HTN. Women with a history of both HDP and HTN had higher cMRI measured left ventricular (LV) mass compared with women with HDP only (99.4±2.6 g vs 87.7±3.2 g, p=0.02). While we found a similar frequency of LGE scar, we observed a trend towards increased LGE scar size (5.1±3.4 g vs 8.0±3.4 g, p=0.09) among the women with HDP history compared to women without.ConclusionIn a high-risk cohort of women with suspected INOCA, 20% had a history of HDP. Women with HDP history were more likely to develop HTN. Our study demonstrates higher LV mass in women with HDP and concomitant HTN. Although the presence of LGE scar was not different in women with and without HDP history, we observed a trend towards larger scar size in women with HDP. Future studies are needed to better assess the relationship of HDP and cardiac morphology and LGE scarring in a larger cohort of women.


2020 ◽  
Vol 112 (6) ◽  
pp. 1429-1437 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mariel Arvizu ◽  
Jennifer J Stuart ◽  
Janet W Rich-Edwards ◽  
Audrey J Gaskins ◽  
Bernard Rosner ◽  
...  

ABSTRACT Background It is unclear whether adherence to diet recommendations for the prevention of cardiovascular disease (CVD) in the general population is also related to the risk of hypertensive disorders of pregnancy, including pre-eclampsia and gestational hypertension (GHTN). Objectives The aim was to evaluate the relation of prepregnancy adherence to the American Heart Association (AHA) diet recommendations and the Dietary Approaches to Stop Hypertension (DASH) with the risk of pre-eclampsia and GHTN. Methods Between 1991 and 2009, we prospectively followed 16,892 singleton pregnancies among 11,535 women who participated in the Nurses’ Health Study II. Prepregnancy diet was assessed every 4 y, from which we calculated dietary pattern scores from the DASH diet (8 components) and the diet recommendations from the AHA 2020 Strategic Impact Goals (primary score: 5 components; secondary score: primary score plus 3 components). Pregnancy outcomes were self-reported, and we estimated the RR (95% CI) of pre-eclampsia and GHTN with log-binomial regression using generalized estimating equations to account for repeat pregnancies and adjusting for potential confounders. Results Women had a mean (SD) age of 34.4 (34.0) y at pregnancy. Pre-eclampsia was reported in 495 (2.9%) pregnancies and GHTN in 561 (3.3%) pregnancies. The RR (95% CI) of pre-eclampsia for women in the highest quintile of the DASH was 0.65 (0.48, 0.87) compared with women in the lowest score quintile. A similar inverse trend was observed for the AHA primary (0.74; 95% CI: 0.55, 1.00) and secondary (0.81; 95% CI: 0.61, 1.07) scores comparing women in the highest versus the lowest score quintile. Neither the DASH nor the AHA scores were related to GHTN. Conclusions Women with higher adherence to dietary recommendations for the prevention of CVD in the general population had a lower risk of pre-eclampsia—a common pregnancy complication related to higher CVD risk among women—than women with lower adherence to these recommendations.


2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (3) ◽  
pp. 343-353
Author(s):  
Yiming Chen ◽  
Zhen Xie ◽  
Xue Wang ◽  
Qingxin Xiao ◽  
Xiao Lu ◽  
...  

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Emily W. Harville ◽  
Pashupati P. Mishra ◽  
Mika Kähönen ◽  
Emma Raitoharju ◽  
Saara Marttila ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Women with a history of complications of pregnancy, including hypertensive disorders, gestational diabetes or an infant fetal growth restriction or preterm birth, are at higher risk for cardiovascular disease later in life. We aimed to examine differences in maternal DNA methylation following pregnancy complications. Methods Data on women participating in the Young Finns study (n = 836) were linked to the national birth registry. DNA methylation in whole blood was assessed using the Infinium Methylation EPIC BeadChip. Epigenome-wide analysis was conducted on differential CpG methylation at 850 K sites. Reproductive history was also modeled as a predictor of four epigenetic age indices. Results Fourteen significant differentially methylated sites were found associated with both history of pre-eclampsia and overall hypertensive disorders of pregnancy. No associations were found between reproductive history and any epigenetic age acceleration measure. Conclusions Differences in epigenetic methylation profiles could represent pre-existing risk factors, or changes that occurred as a result of experiencing these complications.


2019 ◽  
Vol 40 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
V Chulkov ◽  
O Tarasova ◽  
N Vereina ◽  
V L Chulkov ◽  
S Sinitsin

Abstract Introduction A history of hypertensive disorders of pregnancy (HDP) has the unique potential to identify women at higher risk of future maternal cardiovascular disease (CVD), for whom targeted risk-reduction interventions may be particularly helpful. Purpose The aim of the study was to assess the factors and biomarkers of cardiometabolic risk in women with a history of hypertensive disorders of pregnancy. Methods Cross-sectional study of risk factors and biomarkers of cardiometabolic risk among young women with a history of HDP in comparison with normotensive patients during pregnancy. 117 women were studied: gr. 1 – 33 with a history of HDP, 40 [40–43] years; gr. 2 – 44 without a history of HDP, 39 [32–43] years. The control group consisted of 40 patients, 25 [23–28] years. The time interval after delivery was on average 5 to 19 years. We measured serum glucose, insulin, HOMA-IR, lipids, leptin, adiponectin. Left ventricular mass index (LVMI) was estimated by TTE. Data are presented as M±SD and Me (Q25–Q75). Results Women with HDP more often had hypertension (n=27; 82%), obesity (n=20; 39%) and smoking (n=9; 27%), p1–2,3 <0.05. A higher plasma levels of glucose mmol/L (5.5±0.7 vs 5.2±0.6 and 5.1±0.5), leptin ng/ml (42 [30–50] vs 24 [13–32] and 19 [10–29]) and lower plasma levels of adiponectin were observed in gr.1 vs gr. 2 and controls. Mean value of LVMI (g/m2) was statistically higher in women with HDP vs. without HDP and controls (119.9±23.7 vs 85.9±15.2 and 77.6±11.3), p1–2,3 <0.05. Conclusion It is shown that in women with a history of HDP subsequent changes in carbohydrate and lipid metabolism in combination with arterial hypertension and abdominal obesity, which constitute a cluster of the metabolic syndrome, are revealed after careful examination. These changes are also accompanied by insulin resistance, hyperinsulinemia, adipokine imbalance and more pronounced target organ damage.


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