Projecting the future impact of past accomplishments in tobacco control

2020 ◽  
pp. tobaccocontrol-2019-055487
Author(s):  
Michael V Maciosek ◽  
Ann W St Claire ◽  
Paula A Keller ◽  
Amy B LaFrance ◽  
Zack Xu ◽  
...  

BackgroundThe benefits to adults who quit smoking increase over time as former smokers live longer, healthier lives. Youth who never smoke will benefit for decades. Thus, the long-term population effects of tobacco prevention and control policies may be substantial. Yet they are rarely quantified in evaluations of state tobacco control programmes.MethodsUsing a microsimulation model, we predicted the benefits to Minnesotans from 2018 to 2037 of having reduced cigarette smoking prevalence from 1998 to 2017. We first simulated the health and economic harms of tobacco that would have occurred had smoking prevalence stayed at 1997 levels. The harms produced by that scenario were then compared with harms in scenarios with smoking declining at observed rates from 1998 to 2017 and either expected declines from 2018 to 2037 or a greater decline to 5% prevalence in 2037.ResultsWith expected smoking prevalence decreases from 2018 to 2037, Minnesotans will experience 12 298 fewer cancers, 72 208 fewer hospitalisations for cardiovascular disease and diabetes, 31 913 fewer respiratory disease hospitalisations, 14 063 fewer smoking-attributable deaths, $10.2 billion less in smoking-attributable medical expenditures and $9.4 billion in productivity gains than if prevalence had stayed at 1997 levels. These gains are two to four times greater than for the previous 20 years, and would be about 15% higher if Minnesota achieves a 5% adult prevalence rate by 2037.ConclusionsThe tobacco control measures implemented from 1998 to 2017 will produce accelerated benefits during 2018–2037 if modest progress in tobacco prevalence rates is maintained.

2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (4) ◽  
pp. 295-299
Author(s):  
Lian He ◽  
Xiaoxin Chen ◽  
Chunzi Shao

Objectives: Tobacco control measures can be divided into three types: regulatory, economic, and informational respectively. This paper focuses on the role and effect of different types of tobacco control measures during the epidemic prevention and control period in China. Conclusion: Firstly, as strong and powerful measures, economic measures can significantly reduce cigarette sales in the short term. However, the Chinese government did not adjust the cigarette consumption-tax rate during the period. Economic measures thus did not play an important role. Secondly, Due to few people in public places and workplaces, regulatory measures were "out of effect" in a short term. Therefore, there were insufficient evidence to find out whether regulatory measures are effective or not. Finally, China's tobacco production increased slightly during this period. This reflected that informational measures did not play an effective role.


2015 ◽  
Vol 61 (3) ◽  
pp. 188-195 ◽  
Author(s):  
Andrej Kunca ◽  
Milan Zúbrik ◽  
Juraj Galko ◽  
Jozef Vakula ◽  
Roman Leontovyč ◽  
...  

Abstract Salvage felling is one of the indicators of the forest health quality and stability. Most of the European Union countries monitor forest harmful agents, which account for salvage felling, in order to see trends or functionality between factors and to be able to predict their development. The systematic evidence of forest harmful agents and volume of salvage felling in Slovakia started at the Forest Research Institute in Zvolen in 1960. The paper focuses on the occurrence of the most relevant harmful agents and volume of salvage felling in the Slovak forests over the last decade. Within the 10 years period (2004–2013) salvage felling in Slovakia reached 42.31 mil. m3 of wood, which was 53.2% of the total felling. Wind and European spruce bark beetle Ips typographus damaged 78.4% of salvage wood, i.e. they were the most important pest agents. Norway spruce (Picea abies) was the most frequently damaged tree species that represented the amount of 35.6 mil. m3 of wood (81.2% of total volume of salvage felling). As Norway spruce grows mostly in mountains, these regions of Central and Northern Slovakia were most affected. At the damaged localities new forests were prevailingly established with regard to suitable ecological conditions for trees, climate change scenarios and if possible, natural regeneration has been preferred. These approaches in forest stand regeneration together with silvicultural and control measures are assumed to gradually decrease the amount of salvage felling over long term perspective.


2011 ◽  
Vol 140 (9) ◽  
pp. 1702-1709 ◽  
Author(s):  
L. M. NGUYEN ◽  
J. P. MIDDAUGH

SUMMARYThis study reports on gastroenteritis outbreaks suspected of being norovirus infections in eight long-term care facilities. A descriptive epidemiological investigation was used to depict sources of infections and control measures. Outbreaks affected 299 (31%) of 954 residents and 95 (11%) of 843 staff. Attack rates were higher in residents (range 17–55%) than staff (range 3–35%). Person-to-person spread was suspected. The case-hospitalization rate was 2·5%, and no death occurred. Eight staff members were employed at multiple affected facilities and may have introduced disease into three facilities. Thirty-two stool specimens were positive for norovirus by real-time reverse transcriptase–polymerase chain reaction or enzyme immunoassay. Sequenced specimens were closely related to GII.4 New Orleans. A concurrent Clostridium difficile outbreak was also detected at one facility. Staff members who work at multiple facilities may transmit norovirus between them. Regulatory agencies should consider precluding ill staff from working in multiple facilities during outbreaks. Guidelines to control norovirus must be applied promptly and meticulously by facilities.


2016 ◽  
Vol 2016 ◽  
pp. 1-9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jobert Richie N. Nansseu ◽  
Jean Joel R. Bigna

Introduction. This review examines whether electronic cigarettes (e-cigs) implementation or vulgarization in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) could be helpful in curtailing the toll of tobacco smoking in the region. Discussion. There are about 1.3 billion smokers worldwide, with nearly 80% of them living in developing countries where the burden of tobacco-related illnesses and deaths is the heaviest. Studies report that e-cigs may facilitate smoking cessation, reduction, or abstinence and may pose only a small fraction of the risks of traditional tobacco cigarettes; e-cigs may also considerably reduce second-hand smoking. Thereby, implementation of e-cig use could help to substantially reduce the burden driven by tobacco smoking in SSA, in a particular context of lack of regulations and control policies towards this threat. However, the evidence is not clear on whether e-cigs are risk-free, especially if used in the long term. Conclusions. On the whole, if e-cigs were to be introduced in SSA, they should be strictly recommended to current and/or ex-smokers as a method to quit smoking or prevent relapse and never-smokers should be strongly encouraged to avoid using these devices. Bans on sales of e-cigs to youngsters should be legislated, e-cig advertisements prohibited, and their usage continuously controlled and monitored.


2004 ◽  
Vol 18 (3) ◽  
pp. 816-819 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jeffrey T. Edwards ◽  
Lawrence R. Oliver

Trumpetcreeper, a deciduous, perennial vine found in the midwestern and southeastern United States, causes crop losses through direct competition and by crop entanglement, and control measures include both herbicides and tillage. The regenerative capacity of trumpetcreeper rootstocks of varying length and diameter when planted at different depths was evaluated in greenhouse experiments in Arkansas. Deeper placement of rootstocks delayed trumpetcreeper emergence but had no effect on shoot growth after emergence. Larger rootstock segments produced more shoots per plant and more total biomass production. However, smaller rootstock segments produced more shoots and total biomass per centimeter of rootstock. Overall, decreasing trumpetcreeper rootstock size will delay shoot emergence but may not result in increased long-term control.


1999 ◽  
Vol 20 (05) ◽  
pp. 312-317 ◽  
Author(s):  
Maxine Armstrong-Evans ◽  
Margaret Litt ◽  
Margaret A. McArthur ◽  
Barbara Willey ◽  
Darlene Cann ◽  
...  

AbstractObjectives:To describe the investigation and control of transmission of vancomycin-resistant enterococci (VRE) in a residential long-term-care (LTC) setting.Outbreak Investigation:A strain of vancomycin-resistantEnterococcus faeciumnot previously isolated in Ontario colonized five residents of a 254-bed LTC facility in Toronto. The index case was identified when VRE was isolated from a urine culture taken after admission to a local hospital. Screening of rectal swabs from all 235 residents identified four others who were colonized with the same strain ofE faecium.Control Measures:Colonized residents were cohorted. VRE precautions were established as follows: gown and gloves for resident contact, restriction of contact between colonized and noncolonized residents, no sharing of personal equipment, and daily double-cleaning of residents' rooms and wheelchairs.Outcome:Two colonized residents died of causes unrelated to VRE. Although bacitracin therapy (75,000 units four times a day X 14 days) failed to eradicate carriage in two of three surviving residents, both cleared their carriage within 7 weeks. Repeat rectal swabs from 224 residents (91%) 2 months after isolation precautions were discontinued and from 125 residents (51%) 9 months later identified no new cases. Total cost of investigation and control was $12,061 (Canadian).Conclusion:VRE may be transmitted in LTC facilities, and colonized LTC residents could become important VRE reservoirs. Control of VRE transmission in LTC facilities can be achieved even with limited resources.


2020 ◽  
Vol 30 (Supplement_5) ◽  
Author(s):  
J Petkeviciene ◽  
V Kriaucioniene ◽  
A Raskiliene

Abstract Background Tobacco control measures carried out in the countries can affect social inequalities in the smoking habit. This study aimed to examine the 20-year trends in social patterning of daily smoking in Lithuania. Methods The data were obtained from 11 biannual cross-sectional postal surveys of Lithuanian Health Behaviour Monitoring, beginning in 1994. Each survey used a randomly selected nationally representative independent sample of 3000-4000 inhabitants aged 20-64 drawn from the population register. In total, 8738 men and 11822 women participated in the surveys. The analysis of daily smoking involved the respondents who had smoked daily for at least one year. Results The prevalence of daily smoking was increasing up to the year 2000, especially among women, while a decreasing trend in men and levelling off a trend in women was observed afterwards. In the last survey, 33.3% of men and 12.5% of women were daily smokers. The proportion of daily smokers was higher among younger than older participants; however, the age difference in smoking decreased over time. The highly educated men and women smoked less than those with low education. The odds ratio (OR) of smoking in men with university versus lower education was 0.42 (95% CI 0.37-0.47) and in women - 0.68 (95% CI 0.60-0.78). The proportion of smoking men decreased in all educational groups; however, the differences in the smoking prevalence remained. Since 2000, the educational gradient in smoking among women was increasing due to a decline in smoking prevalence among women with university education. More women living in big cities than in non-urban areas were daily smokers (OR 1.29; 95% CI 1.15-1.44). Over 20 years, no consistent difference in the smoking trends by place of residence was found in both genders. Conclusions The 20-year trends in social patterning of daily smoking differed between men and women. Inequalities in daily smoking by age and education remained in both genders. Key messages In Lithuania, the trends and social differences in daily smoking were related to gender. Comprehensive tobacco control measures targeting young and lower educated groups should be implemented aiming to reduce social inequalities in smoking.


2020 ◽  
pp. tobaccocontrol-2020-055722 ◽  
Author(s):  
Amanda Y. Kong ◽  
Brian A. King

Much of the progress in reducing cigarette smoking and tobacco-related morbidity and mortality among youth and adults is attributable to population-level strategies previously described in the context of the Tobacco Control Vaccine. The retail environment is used heavily by the tobacco industry to promote and advertise its products, and variations in exposure to and characteristics of the retail environment exist across demographic groups. It is therefore also an essential environment for further reducing smoking, as well as ameliorating racial, ethnic and socioeconomic tobacco-related disparities. This commentary provides an overview of the importance of incorporating strategies focused on the tobacco retailer environment (availability; pricing and promotion; advertising and display; age of sale; and retail licensure) as part of a comprehensive approach to tobacco prevention and control. To reach tobacco endgame targets, such innovative strategies are a complement to, but not a replacement for, long-standing evidence-based components of the Tobacco Control Vaccine.


2019 ◽  
pp. tobaccocontrol-2018-054825 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael V Maciosek ◽  
Amy B LaFrance ◽  
Ann St Claire ◽  
Zack Xu ◽  
Morgan Brown ◽  
...  

BackgroundAdult smoking prevalence in Minnesota fell from 21.8% in 1997 to 15.2% in 2016. This reduction improved heart and lung health, prevented cancers, extended life and reduced healthcare costs, but quantifying these benefits is difficult.Methods1.3 million individuals were simulated in a tobacco policy model to estimate the gains to Minnesotans from 1998 to 2017 in health, medical spending reductions and productivity gains due to reduced cigarette smoking. A constant prevalence scenario was created to simulate the tobacco harms that would have occurred had smoking prevalence stayed at 1997 levels. Those harms were compared with tobacco harms from a scenario of actual smoking prevalence in Minnesota from 1998 to 2017.ResultsThe simulation model predicts that reducing cigarette smoking from 1998 to 2017 has prevented 4560 cancers, 31 691 hospitalisations for cardiovascular disease and diabetes, 12 881 respiratory disease hospitalisations and 4118 smoking-attributable deaths. Minnesotans spent an estimated $2.7 billion less in medical care and gained $2.4 billion in paid and unpaid productivity, inflation adjusted to 2017 US$. In sensitivity analysis, medical care savings ranged from $1.7 to $3.6 billion.ConclusionsMinnesota’s investment in comprehensive tobacco control measures has driven down smoking rates, saved billions in medical care and productivity costs and prevented tobacco related diseases of its residents. The simulation method employed in this study can be adapted to other geographies and time periods to bring to light the invisible gains of tobacco control.


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