Comparison of Logistic Regression and Discriminant Analyses for Stock Identification of Anadromous Fish, with Application to Striped Bass (Morone saxatilis) and American Shad (Alosa sapidissima)

1990 ◽  
Vol 47 (8) ◽  
pp. 1570-1577 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael H. Prager ◽  
Mary C. Fabrizio

We examined the applicability of logistic regression to stock identification studies and compared its performance on two data sets to that of linear and quadratic discriminant functions. Logistic regression can be used to model a categorical dependent variable associated with continuous or discrete independent variables, and is preferred to discriminant analyses when the explanatory variables are not multivariate normal. Our examples were American shad (Alosa sapidissima) from the Connecticut River and Hudson River estuaries, and striped bass (Morone Saxatilis) from the Hudson River, Chesapeake Bay, and Roanoke River estuaries. In the examples we used a resampling method to assess classification and allocation errors of the two methods on new data. For the shad data, the logistic model classified significantly more fish correctly, and provided a significantly better estimate of stock composition. For the striped bass data, the two methods classified about the same proportion of fish correctly, but the logistic model gave a significantly better estimate of stock composition.

2001 ◽  
Vol 79 (1) ◽  
pp. 129-136 ◽  
Author(s):  
Thomas P Hurst ◽  
David O Conover

The importance of activity to overwintering fishes has received little attention. Activity imposes two constraints: maximum swimming speed limits habitats that can be occupied for short periods of time, while the metabolic cost of swimming limits the habitats that are suitable for long-term residence. We measured the energetic consequences of activity and maximum swimming speeds of young-of-the-year striped bass (Morone saxatilis), a species that overwinters in tidal estuaries. The energetic cost of swimming was determined from energy changes in unfed fish forced to swim at various speeds, while energy changes in fed fish provided a measure of their ability to offset swimming costs through feeding. In high-velocity treatments, mortality was size-dependent and appeared to be related to fatigue rather than to depletion of energy reserves. The energetic cost of swimming increased with swimming velocity, but fish increased food consumption and thereby met their metabolic needs. In a second experiment the thermal dependence of swimming capacity in winter-acclimated striped bass was measured. Swimming speeds increased with temperature, from 2.7 body lengths (BL)/s at 2°C to 4.8 BL/s at 8 and 11°C, but were considerably below observed flow velocities in the Hudson River, suggesting a need for behavioral or physical refuge from tidal currents. These results indicate the flexibility of energy budgets of overwintering fishes, allowing energetic stress to be minimized by reducing activity or elevating food-consumption rates when sufficient prey are available.


1972 ◽  
Vol 29 (10) ◽  
pp. 1495-1499 ◽  
Author(s):  
Raymond C. Levesque ◽  
Roger J. Reed

Food habits of young American shad (Alosa sapidissima) were studied in the Connecticut River above Holyoke, Massachusetts, 1969. Diurnal feeding data revealed a peak in stomach content volume at 8:00 PM during midsummer. Larval shad fed mainly on aquatic crustaceans and tendipedid larvae and pupae. Juveniles ingested the most abundant organisms: crustaceans, tendipedid larvae and pupae, hydropsychid larvae and adult insects. Electivity data indicated positive selection for tendipedid pupae and crustaceans and negative selection for hydropsychid larvae and tendipedid larvae. Selection of Trichoptera larvae by young shad in significant amounts was documented for the initial time.


1973 ◽  
Vol 30 (12) ◽  
pp. 1847-1860 ◽  
Author(s):  
Julian J. Dodson ◽  
William C. Leggett

The migratory behavior of American shad (Alosa sapidissima) approaching their natal river during the final saltwater stage of the spawning migration was studied using ultrasonic tracking and conventional tagging procedures. Initial displacement of most sonic-tagged shad released without displacement adjacent to and 10 km west of the Connecticut River was not in the direction of the home river. These fish, however, homed successfully to the Connecticut River as did dart-tagged shad released in the same areas.Shad exhibited two major behavior patterns; countercurrent orientation in response to the reversing tidal current and adjustment of swimming speed to changes in tidal velocity. Countercurrent orientation was equally significant during daylight and darkness, whereas the adjustment of swimming speeds to tidal current velocity was more significant during daylight than darkness.Shad tracked to the west exhibited a westerly bias inherent in the basic open water behavior patterns. Shad exhibited a greater degree of directed movement when oriented against the ebb tide and adjusted their swimming speeds to exceed the ebb tide velocity and to approximately equal the flood tide velocity. Shad tracked to the east exhibited the same major behavior patterns but with the opposite directional bias.A hypothesis is presented suggesting that the location of the home river is achieved by means of a nonrandom search. Environmental clues indicative of the Connecticut River act to establish a preferred direction of displacement while the actual unidirectional displacement is achieved by reference to the rate and direction of tidal currents.


2002 ◽  
Vol 59 (5) ◽  
pp. 787-795 ◽  
Author(s):  
Thomas P Hurst ◽  
David O Conover

We examined the role of salinity, body size, and energetic state in determining low temperature tolerance of young-of-the-year (YOY) striped bass (Morone saxatilis) and used this information to map optimal overwintering habitat in the Hudson River estuary. A long-term experiment compared survival at 15 ppt and 30 ppt. In additional experiments, winter-acclimated fish were exposed to temperature declines (2.3°C·day–1 to 1°C·week–1) at salinities from 0 ppt to 35 ppt. Highest survival at low temperatures was consistently observed at intermediate salinities. These results suggest that the observed distribution of overwintering striped bass is related to physiological constraints on osmo regulatory ability at low temperatures. Low temperature tolerance appeared unrelated to body size and energetic state. Salinity profiles were used to describe the location and extent of optimal wintering habitats under various hydrographic regimes. The location of optimal habitats was displaced by over 27 km along the river axis because of variation in salinity regime. Changes in the availability of optimal habitat may be responsible for variation in recruitment to the Hudson River population. These results demonstrate the need to consider a holistic approach encompassing all seasons of the year in assessing habitat requirements of fishes.


1991 ◽  
Vol 48 (9) ◽  
pp. 1724-1734 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kathleen Nolan ◽  
Joseph Grossfield ◽  
Isaac Wirgin

We used restriction endonuclease analysis of mitochondrial DNA (mtDNA) to differentiate among spawning stocks of American shad (Alosa sapidissima). Highly purified mtDNA was isolated from shad from four major spawning rivers: the St. John's (Florida), the Delaware, and the Hudson in the United States and the Miramichi in New Brunswick, Canada. Primarily four-and-five-base-cutting restriction enzymes were used to prepare both individual enzyme profiles and composite genotypes. Three separate spawning stocks, St. John's, Delaware–Hudson, and Miramichi, could be distinguished based on frequency differences in mtDNA genotypes generated by single restriction enzyme digests. We could not distinguish Delaware from Hudson River shad. Only a single definitive restriction site polymorphism was observed among all samples, but polyacrylamide gel electrophoretic mobility variants were common. Eco RI, Dde I, and Rsa I revealed stock-specific mtDNA genotypes. The frequencies of some genotypes occurred in latitudinal clines. Fifty-seven of 81 fish showed individual-specific composite genotypes. Geographic partitioning of genotypes suggests that mtDNA analysis may be useful for the identification of some American shad stocks and their relative contributions to mixed coastal fisheries.


1998 ◽  
Vol 55 (5) ◽  
pp. 1122-1130 ◽  
Author(s):  
Thomas P Hurst ◽  
David O Conover

Winter mortality plays a significant role in the dynamics of some temperate fish populations and has been shown to be size-dependent for some species, but not for others. Our objective was to determine how winter mortality affects the recruitment dynamics of Hudson River striped bass (Morone saxatilis). We used catch-per-unit-effort data from three separate surveys targeting young-of-the-year (YOY), overwintering, and age 1 striped bass. Age 1 abundance was negatively correlated with the severity of winter. In contrast, the abundance of age 0 fish was not correlated with age 1 abundance, suggesting that winter mortality greatly modifies year-class strength. A progressive increase in the mean length of YOY fish, coupled with a decrease in the coefficient of variation in length, occurred during some winters. Laboratory experiments showed that growth in length requires temperatures in excess of 10°C; hence, these changes likely result from selective mortality of smaller fish. Direct evidence of size-dependent mortality was obtained from a laboratory experiment that exposed fish to ambient conditions throughout the winter. Accounting for interannual differences in the severity and size dependency of winter mortality may improve our ability to evaluate striped bass year-class strength in the Hudson River.


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