scholarly journals Estimation of Underreported Cases of Infections and Deaths from COVID-19 for Countries with Limited and Scarce Data: Examples from Nepal

2022 ◽  
Vol 2022 ◽  
pp. 1-11
Author(s):  
Jyoti U. Devkota

COVID-19 pandemic has overburdened the public healthcare system around the world. Further, lockdown imposed to curb the spread of pandemic has shown to have an adverse effect on economic and health status of an individual. It has also compelled us to switch from the physical world to virtual world, thus depriving us of benefits of person-to-person direct contact. People from developing countries are specially affected. An average person here lacks basic skills needed to survive in the digital world. Due to limited COVID-19 testing capacities in such countries, there is also less testing. Less testing means less contact tracing, underreported cases, and rapid spread of disease. In this paper, the underreported cases of daily infections and daily deaths are predicted using mathematical models. This is based on daily data published by the Government of Nepal. Here, Kathmandu valley is taken as a model area for estimation of underreporting. The behavior of probability of infection, probability of recovery, and probability of deaths is also mathematically analyzed. A time-dependent susceptible infected and recovered model is also proposed. Here, the second wave of COVID-19 is analyzed in detail from 1 Feb 2021 to 1 June 2021. The effect of lockdown on the psychology of people is also modeled with principal components analysis. The inherent and latent factors affecting the people in lockdown are identified. This is based on detailed primary data collected from a survey of 277 households.

2018 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 404
Author(s):  
Tubagus Arya Abdurachman

The discussion of this research is the development of creative cities in a country is the result of the efforts of the government and creative actors in the city in the country. Creative city can not be separated from the potential of social capital that is owned by the people in the city. Social capital is a social organization concept that includes network of norms and social trusts that facilitate mutual coordination and cooperation including in developing the regional economy. This research aims to (1) know the contribution of social capital in making a creative city, (2) express the social capital and creativity of individuals and communities to realize creative city, and (3) know aspects of social capital that dominant influence on a creativity of the city. The method of this research is qualitative primary data with technic observation and indepth interview, also secondary data in the form of document and archive analysis from Bandung city as one of creative city in Indonesia. Research is done during 2015-2016. Conclusions this research are (1)Social capital that form trust, tolerance, cooperation, openness, and independence of the community greatly contributes in the creation of creative city because through the braided integration of social capital that forms a norm of behavior binding for its citizens to be creative and does not require material capital,(2)Individual urban creativity formed through the process of socialization of elements of social capital in the life of society to trigger creativity of individuals and society as a whole, and (3) The form of openness, tolerance, and cooperation are the dominant elements of social capital in growing the creativity of individuals and societyKeywords: Creatif city, Social capital


Al-Burz ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 259-276
Author(s):  
Shaheen Usman Kakar ◽  
Dr. Mumtaz Ali Baloch ◽  
Dr. Shahida Habib

  Water is of basic substance for Human development, the water brought environment, economy, civilization, livelihood provisions and well being for the society. Comprehensively understanding factors affecting the availability of water for household the water consumption behavior are required to be designed for efficient and effective water uses. To address the issue we randomly investigated 200 households in five different populated towns of Quetta city. The primary data was collected through household questionnaire survey and observation. On the other hand, secondary data included books, journal articles and websites. Data were analyzed using the Statistical Package for Social Science (SPSS). The findings of this study revealed that type of family, monthly income, major source of water, presence of garden at household and responsible factor of water shortage are significantly correlated with water availability. The survey concludes that the available water resources provided by the government are not enough for the daily household usage resultantly the respondents struggle hard to managed alternative water resources as per their requirement. The paper recommend to bring  awareness for the public sector about their right to water and provision of water sources is core responsibly of Government, especially to draw a policy for new constructions of water resources or by the remodeling of water and sanitation systems.


2018 ◽  
Vol 54 ◽  
pp. 06010
Author(s):  
Dwi Edi Wibowo ◽  
Benny Diah Madusari

Some certain types of seaweed, such as Euchema, Cottoni, Gracelaria, are also cultivated by people who live at coastal areas in Java. They make seaweed as a processed food like candies and solid porridge (dodol) because seaweed contains many nutrient substances, such as water (27,8%), protein (5,4%), carbohydrate (33,3%), fat (8,6%), coarse fiber (3%) and ashes (22,25%). Government should convince or guarantee with legal certainties, that people who consume goods and services, especially food products are safe, so that the existing of Rules as well as the regulations and other law for products set up and launched by the government, for giving protection to the people who use or consume the goods and products, will possibly bring a sense of security and improve welfare. The question is how is the legal protection for consumers on unlabelled processed food from seaweed? The Approach method used is empirical-juridical method which is used to solve problems by conducting research on primary data in the field. Juridical itself is a kind of research method referring to the law, the currently in force laws and regulations, and the theory of law.The regulations used in this research are Regulation No 8 / 1999 concerning Customers’ protection that is Regulation No.18 / 2012 concerning food.


2014 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Farooq-E-Azam Cheema ◽  

Purpose:Purpose of this case study and its analysis is to highlight the issue of transfer inherent with the classroom training especially in the government sector departments. Of-the-job training is an expensive investment disparate with its returns. The issue is growingly attracting the attention of the HRD writers and the practitioners. Methodology/Sampling:The study is based on comprehensive literature reviewed critically and the diverse factors affecting transfer of training from the training houses to the line departments. The good practices from the literature were juxtaposed with the actual practices of the Directorate of Human Resource Development Pakistan Customs and Sales Tax and the line departments that directorate was serving. Findings:In theory and practice both, measures relating to transfer of training from the training houses to the line departments is aimed at improving the organizations’ individual employee’s productivity and organizational performance in the result. It focuses on diverse elements and subsystems of the organization involved in the transfer of training including the training house management, the trainees, line managers and the top management of the client organizations. Involvement of the people in the process of organizational development is hall mark of this process.


2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 89-103
Author(s):  
Tasriani Tasriani

This study aims to determine the literacy of the village community about agricultural zakat and what factors are behind the lack of village people in paying agricultural zakat. This research approach uses a qualitative descriptive approach. Collecting data from this research are interviews, documentation, and observations. The sources of data obtained from primary data sources are from the head of Sidodadi Village, one of the hamlet heads, community leaders, and farmers. While the secondary data source is documentation obtained from the field. Zakat is a property that must be issued for Muslims to those who are entitled to receive it, such as the faqir, poor, amil, converts, slaves, gharim, fisabilillah, and ibn sabil. The agricultural zakat is all agricultural produce that is planted using seeds, the results of which can be eaten by humans and animals. Agricultural zakat can be in the form of grains, tubers, vegetables, fruits, flowers, and so on. The results of this study are the lack of public literacy about agricultural zakat, besides that there has been no socialization about agricultural zakat from community leaders and from the government which causes the people of Sidodadi Village to have low agricultural zakat literacy.


2016 ◽  
Vol 2 (01) ◽  
Author(s):  
Mertilinda Adelberty

Creating Good Governance is the role of the Government to improve the welfare of thecommunity. For the essence of government is public service. The Fire Department is anagency of local government office which is engaged in the social community services,particularly services in the handling of the fire hazard. The purpose of this study was todetermine the quality of service in the fire department of Surabaya in accordance withservice quality dimensions of Agus Dwiyanto namely: the attitude of the officer, theprocedures, time, facilities and services. Informants were taken are the people who neverget the services and Surabaya City Firefighters. In the method of data collection, theresearchers used primary data by using a questionnaire to the informant. The results showedthat the quality of service at the Fire Department in Surabaya based on five dimensions ofservice quality in general has not been fulfilled optimally. Particularly on indicators ofresponsiveness officer, indicators ease of the procedure, according to SOP service indicatorand service satisfaction indicators get low grades. Therefore, the Government Office offires are expected soon as possible to fix the procedures and services as well as the attitudeof officers to serve the community with optimal namely by providing training andeducation to the intense fire officials that the ability and insight to grow.Keywords: quality, service


2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (4) ◽  
pp. 1
Author(s):  
Aklima Akter ◽  
Farhana Ahmed ◽  
Tanzim Ahmed

Bangladesh is one of the most governance deficit countries of the world. In this reality, Upazila system, as an intermediate tier local government unit, is reestablished under the Upazila Parishad Act 2009. This Act is the basis of the formation and function of the Upazila Parishad. In this study, survey method has been applied to primary data collection from two upazila (Sylhet Sadar Upazila and Kanaighat Upazila) in Sylhet district. The study finds that the existing upazila parishad activities do not meet the demand of the people. Citizen’s trust on the Upazila Parishad is very low. The study also finds some other challenges, including unskilled manpower, proper planning and a lack of financial resouces. Moreover, the officials are not professional and their behaviors are not good while performing their duties. Most of the service receiver did not get best service from upazila officials. However this study suggests some recommendation for improving the service of upazila parishad. Officials should be highly trained and professional on their service delivery. By ensuring the best services, they can achieve the trust of general people.And the Government should take additional steps with regards to improving the upazila parishad service.


2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. xx-xx
Author(s):  
Omar Faruque

In 2017, the death toll from floods sweeping in northern areas of Bangladesh has climbed above 150. In Dinajpur, Rangpur, Lalmonirhat, Kurigram and Thakurgaon more than 57.18 lakh people have been affected by flood and 6.11 lakh hectares of land damaged by floods in 32 districts Flood is an important natural disaster that deeply destroys the infrastructure and socio-economic conditions of the area. After the flood, the flood victims are feeling very unlucky. Their crops are totally destroyed. They are uncertain about their future. They do not know what would be happened in tomorrow. This study is conducted to find out the real situations of the flood victims of the said areas. The primary objective of this study is to provide a review of the socio-economic conditions of flood-affected people of northern districts in Bangladesh. To develop the paper, primary as well as secondary data is used. The quantitative, as well as qualitative analysis, is conducted for the study. Primary data is collected through a set of well-structured questionnaires. To collect the primary data, a personal survey method is used. Computerized modern technology is applied in the coding, tabulating, and processing of data. The victims are asked for their perceptions of life. It reveals that no victim is extremely pleased with their life before and after the flood, and 35% of victims were pleased before the flood, but after the flood, that rate is reduced to 8%. On the other hand, 5% of victims were extremely displeased, but after the flood that is increased to 17%. Floods have huge consequences on people, economics, and the environment. Flooding of regions used for socioeconomic activities produces a variety of negative effects. The government has various programs for food, housing, medical, and education but that is not enough. It is very little than the affected people. Providing adequate support for flood-affected people and preventing floodwaters can save the people of the river basin. It is also revealed that, by solving some problems locally, some nationally, and some internationally, it is possible to fill the lives of flood-affected people with laughter and joy.


Author(s):  
Mu`adz Mu`adz ◽  
Komang Sundara

Tujuan dari penelitian ini untuk mengetahui bentuk-bentuk penyalahgunaan tanah milik daerah oleh masyarakat Desa Daha Kabupaten Dompu dan langkah-langkah yang ditempuh oleh pemerintah dan masyarakat dalam menyelesaikan penyalahgunaan tanah milik daerah oleh masyarakat Desa Daha Kabupaten Dompu. Jenis penelitian yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah jenis penelitian yuridis empiris dengan pendekatan sosiologis hukum. Metode pengumpulan data menggunakan wawancara dan dokumentasi. Sedangkan jenis data yang digunakan adalah data primer yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah data yang diperoleh dari hasil pencatatan dan dokumentasi hasil penelitian. Sumber data diperoleh dari hasil wawancara dan dokumentasi. Hasil penelitian ini yaitu 1) bentuk-bentuk penyalahgunaan tanah milik daerah oleh masyarakat antara lain (a) tanah milik pemda dijadikan jaminanhutang (b) menjual lepas tanah milik pemda (c) menggadaikan kepada pihak lain yang dilakukan oleh 70 orang warga. 2) langkah-langkah yang ditempuh oleh pemerintah dan masyarakat dalam menyelesaikan penyalahgunaan tanah milik daerah oleh masyarakat desa dilakukan dengan cara mediasi. Langkah yang ditempuh oleh Badan Pertanahan Nasional (BPN) antara lain (a) sepakat untuk menempuh proses mediasi (b) memahami masalah-masalah (c) membangkitkan pemilihan pemecahan masalah (d) mencapai kesepakatan (e) melaksanakan kesepakatan, bentuk mediasi yang dilakukan oleh Badan Pertanahan Nasional (BPN) adalah mediasi diluar pengadilan (Non Litigasi). The purpose of this study was to find out the forms of misuse of land owned by the people of Daha Daha Village and the steps taken by the government and the community in resolving the misuse of land owned by the people of Dompu District Daha Village. The type of research used in this study is a type of empirical juridical research with a sociological legal approach. Methods of data collection using interviews and documentation. While the type of data used is the primary data used in this study are data obtained from the results of recording and documentation of research results. Data sources were obtained from interviews and documentation. The results of this study are 1) the forms of misuse of land owned by the community, including (a) the land owned by the local government as collateral for debts (b) selling off land owned by the local government (c) pawning to other parties by 70 residents. 2) steps taken by the government and the community in resolving misuse of land owned by the village community by mediation. Steps taken by the National Land Agency (BPN) include (a) agreeing to take a mediation process (b) understanding the problems (c) generating selection of problem solving (d) reaching an agreement (e) implementing the agreement, the form of mediation carried out by National Land Agency (NLA) is mediation outside the court (Non Litigation)


2020 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 34-42
Author(s):  
Garba Shekwonuchie Yahaya ◽  
Idachaba Odekina Innocent ◽  
Saliu Hakeem Tomi

The well-being of every organization and institution lies on the performance of its employees. Local government area councils are created to render services and to address the social needs of the people. These services are highly essential to the sustenance of people at this level. However, when workers who are employed to discharge all these services on behalf of the government to the people are unable to perform their jobs as expected, problems arises as the expected social and economic service are barely executed. The study aimed at examining the effect of self-efficacy and distributive justice on employees’ performance in FCT area councils, Abuja. A survey research design was used and primary data were gathered through the use of questionnaire. A total of 217 returned questionnaires were analyzed. Structural equation model was used to analyze data using Smartpls2. Findings reveal that distributive justice and self-efficacy have a positive and significant effect on employees’ performance. The study, therefore, recommends that the operation of distribution justice should be encourage at the grass root level since the employees are motivated by their reward at the end of the day; Self efficacy  of the employees’ should also be improve through effective initiatives so as to motivate employees to perform their jobs optimally.


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