The Doctrine of the 'Special Interest' of the United States in the Region of the Caribbean Sea

2011 ◽  
Vol 24 (15) ◽  
pp. 3956-3970 ◽  
Author(s):  
Min Wen ◽  
Song Yang ◽  
Wayne Higgins ◽  
Renhe Zhang

Abstract During the boreal summer (June–August), vigorous convection appears over the eastern Pacific, southern Mexico, and northern South America, and oscillates on a distinct time scale of 10–20 days. Extended empirical orthogonal function (EEOF) analysis shows that the quasi-biweekly oscillation (QBWO) of the convection has two major modes: a west–east-orientated mode (WEM) and a north–south-orientated mode (NSM). The WEM, which is explained by the first two EEOF modes, originates over the eastern Atlantic, propagates westward along 15°N, and enhances over the Caribbean Sea before disappearing over the central Pacific. The NSM, explained by the third and fourth EEOF modes, originates over the western Pacific, moves eastward, and strengthens over the eastern Pacific. It shifts northward after arriving over the Caribbean Sea. Both modes have notable seasonal dependence, with the WEM more active in July and August and the NSM more active in June or earlier. The two distinct QBWO modes are linked to different rainfall patterns over the United States and Mexico. When the WEM is active in July and August, wet conditions occur over the southern central United States and dry conditions appear to the north. When the NSM is active in June, northern Mexico, the southwestern United States, the Missouri basin, and the northern Great Lakes are drier than normal, while southern Mexico and the eastern United States are wetter than normal. Significant variations in atmospheric circulation are found to be associated with the interannual variability of the NSM activity in June. However, these variations may not necessarily result from QBWO but, rather, provide a background for QBWO activity instead. In July and August, the association of QBWO with the precipitation pattern over North America may sometimes be related to hurricane activity.


2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (1) ◽  
pp. 298
Author(s):  
Raquel Gonçalves Pereira ◽  
Aline Aquino De Araujo ◽  
Michelle Simões Reboita

Os ciclones de escala sinótica são responsáveis por grandes mudanças no tempo das regiões onde atuam. Nos últimos anos tem aumentado o número de sistemas tropicais severos. Por exemplo, o ciclone Michael, ocorrido em outubro de 2018, causou muitos danos nos Estados Unidos (U$25 bilhões em prejuízo), inclusive 16 óbitos. Diante desse contexto, o objetivo do presente estudo é a análise sinótica da gênese e transição extratropical do ciclone Michael. Michael teve gênese no mar do Caribe, no dia 6 de outubro de 2018, associada a uma perturbação ciclônica em baixos níveis da atmosfera. O sistema chegou a categoria 5 na escala de Saffir-Simpson no dia 10 de outubro; já no dia 11 de outubro transicionou para ciclone extratropical e decaiu no dia 18 de outubro. A análise sinótica mostra que transição extratropical ocorre à medida que o sistema interage com uma região de intenso gradiente horizontal de temperatura do ar.  Cyclone Michael: genesis and extratropical transition   A B S T R A C T Synoptic-scale cyclones are responsible for major changes in the weather in the regions where they act. In recent years the number of severe tropical systems has increased. For example, cyclone Michael, which occurred in October 2018, caused a lot of damage in the United States ($ 25 billion in damage) including 16 deaths. Given this context, the objective of the present study is the synoptic analysis of the genesis and extratropical transition of cyclone Michael. Michael had genesis in the Caribbean Sea on October 6, 2018, associated with a cyclonic disturbance in low levels of the atmosphere. The system reached category 5 on the Saffir-Simpson scale on 10 October; on the 11 October it transitioned to an extratropical cyclone and decayed on the 18 October. The synoptic analysis shows that extratropical transition occurs as the system interacts with a region of intense horizontal air temperature gradient. Keywords: cyclone, synoptic analysis, extratropical transition. 


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