Quasi-Stationary, Extreme-Rain-Producing Convective Systems Associated with Midlevel Cyclonic Circulations

2009 ◽  
Vol 24 (2) ◽  
pp. 555-574 ◽  
Author(s):  
Russ S. Schumacher ◽  
Richard H. Johnson
Keyword(s):  
Convective Available Potential Energy ◽  
Extreme Rainfall ◽  
Surface Boundary ◽  
Convective Systems ◽  
Mesoscale Convective ◽  
Weak Boundaries ◽  
Extreme Rain ◽  
Building Behavior ◽  
Slow Moving ◽  
Convective Vortices

Abstract This study identifies and examines the common characteristics of several nocturnal midlatitude mesoscale convective systems (MCSs) that developed near mesoscale convective vortices (MCVs) or cutoff lows. All of these MCSs were organized into convective clusters or lines that exhibited back-building behavior, remained nearly stationary for 6–12 h, and produced locally excessive rainfall (greater than 200 mm in 12 h) that led to substantial flash flooding. Examination of individual events and composite analysis reveals that the MCSs formed in thermodynamic environments characterized by very high relative humidity at low levels, moderate convective available potential energy (CAPE), and very little convective inhibition (CIN). In each case, the presence of a strong low-level jet (LLJ) and weak midlevel winds led to a pronounced reversal of the wind shear vector with height. Most of the MCSs formed without any front or preexisting surface boundary in the vicinity, though weak boundaries were apparent in two of the cases. Lifting and destabilization associated with the interaction between the LLJ and the midlevel circulation assisted in initiating and maintaining the slow-moving MCSs. Based on the cases analyzed in this study and past events described in the literature, a conceptual model of the important processes that lead to extreme rainfall near midlevel circulations is presented.

scholarly journals Organization and Environmental Properties of Extreme-Rain-Producing Mesoscale Convective Systems

2005 ◽  
Vol 133 (4) ◽  
pp. 961-976 ◽  
Author(s):  
Russ S. Schumacher ◽  
Richard H. Johnson
Keyword(s):  
The United States ◽  
Radar Reflectivity ◽  
Mesoscale Convective Systems ◽  
Surface Boundary ◽  
Stratiform Rain ◽  
Convective Systems ◽  
Precipitation Total ◽  
Mesoscale Convective ◽  
Extreme Rain ◽  
Reflectivity Data

This study examines the radar-indicated structures and other features of extreme rain events in the United States over a 3-yr period. A rainfall event is defined as “extreme” when the 24-h precipitation total at one or more stations surpasses the 50-yr recurrence interval amount for that location. This definition yields 116 such cases from 1999 to 2001 in the area east of the Rocky Mountains, excluding Florida. Two-kilometer national composite radar reflectivity data are then used to examine the structure and evolution of each extreme rain event. Sixty-five percent of the total number of events are associated with mesoscale convective systems (MCSs). While a wide variety of organizational structures (as indicated by radar reflectivity data) are seen among the MCS cases, two patterns of organization are observed most frequently. The first type has a line, often oriented east–west, with “training” convective elements. It also has a region of adjoining stratiform rain that is displaced to the north of the line. The second type has a back-building or quasi-stationary area of convection that produces a region of stratiform rain downstream. Surface observations and composite analysis of Rapid Update Cycle Version 2 (RUC-2) model data reveal that training line/adjoining stratiform (TL/AS) systems typically form in a very moist, unstable environment on the cool side of a preexisting slow-moving surface boundary. On the other hand, back-building/quasi-stationary (BB) MCSs are more dependent on mesoscale and storm-scale processes, particularly lifting provided by storm-generated cold pools, than on preexisting synoptic boundaries.

Tracking Mesoscale Convective Systems that are Potential Candidates for Tropical Cyclogenesis

2020 ◽  
Vol 148 (2) ◽  
pp. 655-669 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kelly M. Núñez Ocasio ◽  
Jenni L. Evans ◽  
George S. Young
Keyword(s):  
Propagation Speed ◽  
Extreme Rainfall ◽  
Life Cycles ◽  
Mesoscale Convective Systems ◽  
Tropical Cyclogenesis ◽  
Convective System ◽  
Background Flow ◽  
Extreme Rainfall Events ◽  
Convective Systems ◽  
Mesoscale Convective

Abstract This study introduces the development of the Tracking Algorithm for Mesoscale Convective Systems (TAMS), an algorithm that allows for the identifying, tracking, classifying, and assigning of rainfall to mesoscale convective systems (MCSs). TAMS combines area-overlapping and projected-cloud-edge tracking techniques to maximize the probability of detecting the progression of a convective system through time, accounting for splits and mergers. The combination of projection on area overlapping is equivalent to setting the background flow in which MCSs are moving on. Sensitivity tests show that area-overlapping technique with no projection (thus, no background flow) underestimates the real propagation speed of MCSs over Africa. The MCS life cycles and propagation derived using TAMS are consistent with climatology. The rainfall assignment is also more reliable than with previous methods as it utilizes a combination of regridding through linear interpolation with high temporal and spatial resolution data. This makes possible the identification of extreme rainfall events associated with intense MCSs more effectively. TAMS will be utilized in future work to build an AEW–MCS dataset to study tropical cyclogenesis.

Mesoscale Convective Vortices in Multiscale, Idealized Simulations: Dependence on Background State, Interdependency with Moist Baroclinic Cyclones, and Comparison with BAMEX Observations

2010 ◽  
Vol 138 (4) ◽  
pp. 1119-1139 ◽  
Author(s):  
Robert J. Conzemius ◽  
Michael T. Montgomery
Keyword(s):  
Tangential Velocity ◽  
Mesoscale Convective System ◽  
Convective System ◽  
Pressure Amplitude ◽  
Moist Convection ◽  
Convective Systems ◽  
Mesoscale Convective ◽  
Common Center ◽  
Deep Moist Convection ◽  
Convective Vortices

Abstract A set of multiscale, nested, idealized numerical simulations of mesoscale convective systems (MCSs) and mesoscale convective vortices (MCVs) was conducted. The purpose of these simulations was to investigate the dependence of MCV development and evolution on background conditions and to explore the relationship between MCVs and larger, moist baroclinic cyclones. In all experiments, no mesoscale convective system (MCS) developed until a larger-scale, moist baroclinic system with surface pressure amplitude of at least 2 hPa was present. The convective system then enhanced the development of the moist baroclinic system by its diabatic production of eddy available potential energy (APE), which led to the enhanced baroclinic conversion of basic-state APE to eddy APE. The most rapid potential vorticity (PV) development occurred in and just behind the leading convective line. The entire system grew upscale with time as the newly created PV rotated cyclonically around a common center as the leading convective line continued to expand outward. Ten hours after the initiation of deep moist convection, the simulated MCV radii, heights of maximum winds, tangential velocity, and shear corresponded reasonably well to their counterparts in BAMEX. The increasing strength of the simulated MCVs with respect to larger values of background CAPE and shear supports the hypothesis that as long as convection is present, CAPE and shear both add to the strength of the MCV.

scholarly journals A numerical study of back-building process in a quasistationary rainband with extreme rainfall over northern Taiwan during 11–12 June 2012

2016 ◽  
Vol 16 (18) ◽  
pp. 12359-12382 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chung-Chieh Wang ◽  
Bing-Kui Chiou ◽  
George Tai-Jen Chen ◽  
Hung-Chi Kuo ◽  
Ching-Hwang Liu
Keyword(s):  
Numerical Study ◽  
Leading Edge ◽  
Extreme Rainfall ◽  
Cold Pool ◽  
Gradient Force ◽  
Pressure Gradient Force ◽  
Near Surface ◽  
Convective Systems ◽  
Mesoscale Convective ◽  
Northern Taiwan

Abstract. During 11–12 June 2012, quasistationary linear mesoscale convective systems (MCSs) developed near northern Taiwan and produced extreme rainfall up to 510 mm and severe flooding in Taipei. In the midst of background forcing of low-level convergence, the back-building (BB) process in these MCSs contributed to the extreme rainfall and thus is investigated using a cloud-resolving model in the case study here. Specifically, as the cold pool mechanism is not responsible for the triggering of new BB cells in this subtropical event during the meiyu season, we seek answers to the question why the location about 15–30 km upstream from the old cell is still often more favorable for new cell initiation than other places in the MCS. With a horizontal grid size of 1.5 km, the linear MCS and the BB process in this case are successfully reproduced, and the latter is found to be influenced more by the thermodynamic and less by dynamic effects based on a detailed analysis of convective-scale pressure perturbations. During initiation in a background with convective instability and near-surface convergence, new cells are associated with positive (negative) buoyancy below (above) due to latent heating (adiabatic cooling), which represents a gradual destabilization. At the beginning, the new development is close to the old convection, which provides stronger warming below and additional cooling at mid-levels from evaporation of condensates in the downdraft at the rear flank, thus yielding a more rapid destabilization. This enhanced upward decrease in buoyancy at low levels eventually creates an upward perturbation pressure gradient force to drive further development along with the positive buoyancy itself. After the new cell has gained sufficient strength, the old cell's rear-flank downdraft also acts to separate the new cell to about 20 km upstream. Therefore, the advantages of the location in the BB process can be explained even without the lifting at the leading edge of the cold outflow.

scholarly journals Seasonality and Trends of Drivers of Mesoscale Convective Systems in Southern West Africa

2021 ◽  
Vol 34 (1) ◽  
pp. 71-87
Author(s):  
Cornelia Klein ◽  
Francis Nkrumah ◽  
Christopher M. Taylor ◽  
Elijah A. Adefisan
Keyword(s):  
West Africa ◽  
Wind Shear ◽  
Dominant Role ◽  
West African Monsoon ◽  
Extreme Rainfall ◽  
Temperature Gradients ◽  
Mesoscale Convective Systems ◽  
Low Level ◽  
Convective Systems ◽  
Mesoscale Convective

AbstractMesoscale convective systems (MCSs) are the major source of extreme rainfall over land in the tropics and are expected to intensify with global warming. In the Sahel, changes in surface temperature gradients and associated changes in wind shear have been found to be important for MCS intensification in recent decades. Here we extend that analysis to southern West Africa (SWA) by combining 34 years of cloud-top temperatures with rainfall and reanalysis data. We identify clear trends in intense MCSs since 1983 and their associated atmospheric drivers. We also find a marked annual cycle in the drivers, linked to changes in the convective regime during the progression of the West African monsoon. Before the peak of the first rainy season, we identify a shear regime where increased temperature gradients play a crucial role for MCS intensity trends. From June onward, SWA moves into a less unstable, moist regime during which MCS trends are mainly linked to frequency increase and may be more influenced by total column water vapor. However, during both seasons we find that MCSs with the most intense convection occur in an environment with stronger wind shear, increased low-level humidity, and drier midlevels. Comparing the sensitivity of MCS intensity and peak rainfall to low-level moisture and wind shear conditions preceding events, we find a dominant role for wind shear. We conclude that MCS trends are directly linked to a strengthening of two distinct convective regimes that cause the seasonal change of SWA MCS characteristics. However, the convective environment that ultimately produces the most intense MCSs remains the same.

scholarly journals Structure and Motion of Severe-Wind-Producing Mesoscale Convective Systems and Derechos in Relation to the Mean Wind

2017 ◽  
Vol 32 (2) ◽  
pp. 423-439 ◽  
Author(s):  
Matthew A. Campbell ◽  
Ariel E. Cohen ◽  
Michael C. Coniglio ◽  
Andrew R. Dean ◽  
Stephen F. Corfidi ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Large Scale ◽  
Mean Flow ◽  
Convective Systems ◽  
Structure And Motion ◽  
Mesoscale Convective ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Wind Events ◽  
Motion Characteristics ◽  
Definition Of ◽  
Convective Vortices

Abstract The goal of this study is to document differences in the convective structure and motion of long-track, severe-wind-producing MCSs from short-track severe-wind-producing MCSs in relation to the mean wind. An ancillary goal is to determine if these differences are large enough that some criterion for MCS motion relative to the mean wind could be used in future definitions of “derechos.” Results confirm past investigations that well-organized MCSs, including those that produce derechos, tend to move faster than the mean wind, exhibiting a significantly larger degree of propagation (component of MCS motion in addition to the component contributed by the mean flow). Furthermore, well-organized systems that produce shorter-track swaths of damaging winds likewise tend to move faster than the mean wind with a significant propagation component along the mean wind. Therefore, propagation in the direction of the mean wind is not necessarily a characteristic that can be used to distinguish derechos from nonderechos. However, there is some indication that long-track damaging wind events that occur without large-scale or persistent bow echoes and mesoscale convective vortices (MCVs) require a strong propagation component along the mean wind direction to become long lived. Overall, however, there does not appear to be enough separation in the motion characteristics among the MCS types to warrant the inclusion of a mean-wind criterion into the definition of a derecho at this time.

scholarly journals Local and Regional Discriminators of Mesoscale Convective Vortex Development in Arizona

2003 ◽  
Vol 131 (8) ◽  
pp. 1939-1943
Author(s):  
David M. Brommer ◽  
Robert C. Balling ◽  
Randall S. Cerveny
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Wind Shear ◽  
Summer Season ◽  
Mesoscale Convective Systems ◽  
Convective Systems ◽  
Central United States ◽  
Mesoscale Convective ◽  
Mesoscale Convective Vortex ◽  
Convective Vortices ◽  
Rawinsonde Data

Abstract In approximately half of Arizona's summer season (June–September) mesoscale convective systems evolve into mesoscale convective vortices (MCVs). Analysis of satellite imagery identified MCVs in Arizona over the period 1991–2000, and local and regional rawinsonde data discriminated conditions conducive for MCV development. These results indicate that MCVs are more likely to form from convective systems when the local and regional environments are characterized by relative stability in the 850–700-hPa layer and moderate wind shear in the 500–200-hPa layer. These characteristics are similar to results reported for MCV development in the central United States.

scholarly journals Regional Characteristics of Extreme Rainfall Extracted from TRMM PR Measurements

2014 ◽  
Vol 27 (21) ◽  
pp. 8151-8169 ◽  
Author(s):  
Atsushi Hamada ◽  
Yuki Murayama ◽  
Yukari N. Takayabu
Keyword(s):  
Regional Differences ◽  
Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission ◽  
Extreme Rainfall ◽  
Horizontal Resolution ◽  
Mesoscale Convective Systems ◽  
Extreme Rainfall Events ◽  
Near Surface ◽  
Rainfall Events ◽  
Convective Systems ◽  
Mesoscale Convective

Abstract Characteristics and global distribution of regional extreme rainfall are presented using 12 yr of the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) Precipitation Radar (PR) measurements. By considering each rainfall event as a set of contiguous PR rainy pixels, characteristic values for each event are obtained. Regional extreme rainfall events are defined as those in which maximum near-surface rainfall rates are higher than the corresponding 99.9th percentile on a 2.5° × 2.5° horizontal-resolution grid. The geographical distribution of extreme rainfall rates shows clear regional differences. The size and volumetric rainfall of extreme events also show clear regional differences. Extreme rainfall rates show good correlations with the corresponding rain-top heights and event sizes over oceans but marginal or no correlation over land. The time of maximum occurrence of extreme rainfall events tends to be during 0000–1200 LT over oceans, whereas it has a distinct afternoon peak over land. There are also clear seasonal differences in which the occurrence over land is largely coincident with insolation. Regional extreme rainfall is classified by extreme rainfall rate (intensity) and the corresponding event size (extensity). Regions of “intense and extensive” extreme rainfall are found mainly over oceans near coastal areas and are likely associated with tropical cyclones and convective systems associated with the establishment of monsoons. Regions of “intense but less extensive” extreme rainfall are distributed widely over land and maritime continents, probably related to afternoon showers and mesoscale convective systems. Regions of “extensive but less intense” extreme rainfall are found almost exclusively over oceans, likely associated with well-organized mesoscale convective systems and extratropical cyclones.

scholarly journals Sensitivity of Precipitation Accumulation in Elevated Convective Systems to Small Changes in Low-Level Moisture

2015 ◽  
Vol 72 (6) ◽  
pp. 2507-2524 ◽  
Author(s):  
Russ S. Schumacher
Keyword(s):  
Surface Layer ◽  
Convective Available Potential Energy ◽  
Mesoscale Convective System ◽  
Extreme Rainfall ◽  
Heavy Rain ◽  
Convective System ◽  
Modeling Framework ◽  
Near Surface ◽  
Low Level ◽  
Convective Systems

Abstract Using a method for initiating a quasi-stationary, heavy-rain-producing elevated mesoscale convective system in an idealized numerical modeling framework, a series of experiments is conducted in which a shallow layer of drier air is introduced within the near-surface stable layer. The environment is still very moist in the experiments, with changes to the column-integrated water vapor of only 0.3%–1%. The timing and general evolution of the simulated convective systems are very similar, but rainfall accumulation at the surface is changed by a much larger fraction than the reduction in moisture, with point precipitation maxima reduced by up to 29% and domain-averaged precipitation accumulations reduced by up to 15%. The differences in precipitation are partially attributed to increases in the evaporation rate in the shallow subcloud layer, though this is found to be a secondary effect. More importantly, even though the near-surface layer has strong convective inhibition in all simulations and the convective available potential energy of the most unstable parcels is unchanged, convection is less intense in the experiments with drier subcloud layers because less air originating in that layer rises in convective updrafts. An additional experiment with a cooler near-surface layer corroborates these findings. The results from these experiments suggest that convective systems assumed to be elevated are, in fact, drawing air from near the surface unless the low levels are very stable. Considering that the moisture differences imposed here are comparable to observational uncertainties in low-level temperature and moisture, the strong sensitivity of accumulated precipitation to these quantities has implications for the predictability of extreme rainfall.

scholarly journals Synoptic Control of Convective Rainfall Rates and Cloud-to-Ground Lightning Frequencies in Warm-Season Mesoscale Convective Systems over North China

2018 ◽  
Vol 146 (3) ◽  
pp. 813-831 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rudi Xia ◽  
Da-Lin Zhang ◽  
Cuihong Zhang ◽  
Yongqing Wang
Keyword(s):  
Environmental Conditions ◽  
North China ◽  
Convective Available Potential Energy ◽  
Cloud Microphysics ◽  
Small Sample ◽  
Mesoscale Convective Systems ◽  
Convective Rainfall ◽  
Convective Systems ◽  
Mesoscale Convective ◽  
Cg Lightning

Abstract This study examines whether environmental conditions can control convective rainfall rates and cloud-to-ground (CG) lightning frequencies in mesoscale convective systems (MCSs) over north China (NC). A total of 60 identified MCSs over NC during June–August of 2008–13 were classified into 4 categories based on their high/low convective rainfall rates (HR/LR) and high/low CG lightning frequencies (HL/LL) (i.e., HRHL, HRLL, LRHL, and LRLL MCSs). MCSs with HR (HL) occurred most frequently in July (August), while those with LR or LL occurred most frequently in June; they followed closely seasonal changes. All MCSs were apt to form during afternoon hours. HRLL MCSs also formed during evening hours while HRHL MCSs could occur at any time of a day. A composite analysis of environmental conditions shows obvious differences and similarities among the HRHL, HRLL, and LRLL categories, while the LRHL MCSs exhibited little differences from the climatological mean because of its small sample size. Both the HRHL and HRLL MCSs occurred in the presence of upper-level anomalous divergence, a midlevel trough, and the lower-tropospheric southwesterly transport of tropical moist air. In contrast, LRLL MCSs took place as a result of daytime heating over mountainous regions, with little midlevel forcing over NC. The HRHL, HRLL, LRHL, and LRLL categories exhibited orders of the highest-to-smallest convective available potential energy and precipitable water but the smallest-to-largest convective inhibition and lifted indices. It is concluded that environmental conditions determine to some extent convective rainfall rates and CG lightning activity, although some other processes (e.g., cloud microphysics) also play certain roles, especially in CG lightning production.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document