scholarly journals Reexamining the Near-Core Radial Structure of the Tropical Cyclone Primary Circulation: Implications for Vortex Resiliency

2005 ◽  
Vol 62 (2) ◽  
pp. 408-425 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kevin J. Mallen ◽  
Michael T. Montgomery ◽  
Bin Wang
Keyword(s):  
Tropical Cyclone ◽  
Vertical Wind Shear ◽  
Relative Vorticity ◽  
Core Region ◽  
Vertical Shear ◽  
Theoretical Studies ◽  
True Nature ◽  
Radial Profiles ◽  
Tangential Wind ◽  
Radial Structure

Abstract Recent theoretical studies, based on vortex Rossby wave (VRW) dynamics, have established the importance of the radial structure of the primary circulation in the response of tropical cyclone (TC)–like vortices to ambient vertical wind shear. Linear VRW theory suggests, in particular, that the degree of broadness of the primary circulation in the near-core region beyond the radius of maximum wind strongly influences whether a tilted TC vortex will realign and resist vertical shear or tilt over and shear apart. Fully nonlinear numerical simulations have verified that the vortex resiliency is indeed sensitive to the initial radial structure of the idealized vortex. This raises the question of how well the “true” nature of a TC’s primary circulation is represented by idealized vortices that are commonly used in some theoretical studies. In this paper the swirling wind structure of TCs is reexamined by utilizing flight-level observations collected from Atlantic and eastern Pacific storms during 1977–2001. Hundreds of radial profiles of azimuthal-mean tangential wind and relative vorticity are constructed from over 5000 radial flight leg segments and compared with some standard idealized vortex profiles. This analysis reaffirms that real TC structure in the near-core region is characterized by relatively slow tangential wind decay in conjunction with a skirt of significant cyclonic relative vorticity possessing a negative radial gradient. This broadness of the primary circulation is conspicuously absent in some idealized vortices used in theoretical studies of TC evolution in vertical shear. The relationship of the current findings to the problem of TC resiliency is discussed.

scholarly journals Interannual Variability of Tropical Cyclones in the Australian Region: Role of Large-Scale Environment

2008 ◽  
Vol 21 (5) ◽  
pp. 1083-1103 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hamish A. Ramsay ◽  
Lance M. Leslie ◽  
Peter J. Lamb ◽  
Michael B. Richman ◽  
Mark Leplastrier
Keyword(s):  
Interannual Variability ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Vertical Wind Shear ◽  
Principal Component ◽  
Relative Vorticity ◽  
Vertical Shear ◽  
Scale Parameters ◽  
Australian Region ◽  
Sst Variability

Abstract This study investigates the role of large-scale environmental factors, notably sea surface temperature (SST), low-level relative vorticity, and deep-tropospheric vertical wind shear, in the interannual variability of November–April tropical cyclone (TC) activity in the Australian region. Extensive correlation analyses were carried out between TC frequency and intensity and the aforementioned large-scale parameters, using TC data for 1970–2006 from the official Australian TC dataset. Large correlations were found between the seasonal number of TCs and SST in the Niño-3.4 and Niño-4 regions. These correlations were greatest (−0.73) during August–October, immediately preceding the Australian TC season. The correlations remain almost unchanged for the July–September period and therefore can be viewed as potential seasonal predictors of the forthcoming TC season. In contrast, only weak correlations (<+0.37) were found with the local SST in the region north of Australia where many TCs originate; these were reduced almost to zero when the ENSO component of the SST was removed by partial correlation analysis. The annual frequency of TCs was found to be strongly correlated with 850-hPa relative vorticity and vertical shear of the zonal wind over the main genesis areas of the Australian region. Furthermore, correlations between the Niño SST and these two atmospheric parameters exhibited a strong link between the Australian region and the Niño-3.4 SST. A principal component analysis of the SST dataset revealed two main modes of Pacific Ocean SST variability that match very closely with the basinwide patterns of correlations between SST and TC frequencies. Finally, it is shown that the correlations can be increased markedly (e.g., from −0.73 to −0.80 for the August–October period) by a weighted combination of SST time series from weakly correlated regions.

scholarly journals An intercomparison of tropical cyclone best-track products for the southwest Pacific

2016 ◽  
Vol 16 (6) ◽  
pp. 1431-1447 ◽  
Author(s):  
Andrew D. Magee ◽  
Danielle C. Verdon-Kidd ◽  
Anthony S. Kiem
Keyword(s):  
Tropical Cyclone ◽  
Vertical Wind Shear ◽  
Geostationary Satellite ◽  
Vertical Shear ◽  
Tropical Cyclogenesis ◽  
Southwest Pacific ◽  
Zonal Winds ◽  
Spatio Temporal ◽  
Joint Typhoon Warning Center

Abstract. Recent efforts to understand tropical cyclone (TC) activity in the southwest Pacific (SWP) have led to the development of numerous TC databases. The methods used to compile each database vary and are based on data from different meteorological centres, standalone TC databases and archived synoptic charts. Therefore the aims of this study are to (i) provide a spatio-temporal comparison of three TC best-track (BT) databases and explore any differences between them (and any associated implications) and (ii) investigate whether there are any spatial, temporal or statistical differences between pre-satellite (1945–1969), post-satellite (1970–2011) and post-geostationary satellite (1982–2011) era TC data given the changing observational technologies with time. To achieve this, we compare three best-track TC databases for the SWP region (0–35° S, 135° E–120° W) from 1945 to 2011: the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC), the International Best Track Archive for Climate Stewardship (IBTrACS) and the Southwest Pacific Enhanced Archive of Tropical Cyclones (SPEArTC). The results of this study suggest that SPEArTC is the most complete repository of TCs for the SWP region. In particular, we show that the SPEArTC database includes a number of additional TCs, not included in either the JTWC or IBTrACS database. These SPEArTC events do occur under environmental conditions conducive to tropical cyclogenesis (TC genesis), including anomalously negative 700 hPa vorticity (VORT), anomalously negative vertical shear of zonal winds (VSZW), anomalously negative 700 hPa geopotential height (GPH), cyclonic (absolute) 700 hPa winds and low values of absolute vertical wind shear (EVWS). Further, while changes in observational technologies from 1945 have undoubtedly improved our ability to detect and monitor TCs, we show that the number of TCs detected prior to the satellite era (1945–1969) are not statistically different to those in the post-satellite era (post-1970). Although data from pre-satellite and pre-geostationary satellite periods are currently inadequate for investigating TC intensity, this study suggests that SPEArTC data (from 1945) may be used to investigate long-term variability of TC counts and TC genesis locations.

scholarly journals Observational Analysis of Tropical Cyclone Formation Associated with Monsoon Gyres

2013 ◽  
Vol 70 (4) ◽  
pp. 1023-1034 ◽  
Author(s):  
Liguang Wu ◽  
Huijun Zong ◽  
Jia Liang
Keyword(s):  
Tropical Cyclone ◽  
Tropical Cyclones ◽  
Western North Pacific ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Vertical Wind Shear ◽  
Relative Vorticity ◽  
Monsoon Trough ◽  
Cyclonic Circulation ◽  
Tropical Cyclone Formation ◽  
Monsoon Gyre

Abstract Large-scale monsoon gyres and the involved tropical cyclone formation over the western North Pacific have been documented in previous studies. The aim of this study is to understand how monsoon gyres affect tropical cyclone formation. An observational study is conducted on monsoon gyres during the period 2000–10, with a focus on their structures and the associated tropical cyclone formation. A total of 37 monsoon gyres are identified in May–October during 2000–10, among which 31 monsoon gyres are accompanied with the formation of 42 tropical cyclones, accounting for 19.8% of the total tropical cyclone formation. Monsoon gyres are generally located on the poleward side of the composited monsoon trough with a peak occurrence in August–October. Extending about 1000 km outward from the center at lower levels, the cyclonic circulation of the composited monsoon gyre shrinks with height and is replaced with negative relative vorticity above 200 hPa. The maximum winds of the composited monsoon gyre appear 500–800 km away from the gyre center with a magnitude of 6–10 m s−1 at 850 hPa. In agreement with previous studies, the composited monsoon gyre shows enhanced southwesterly flow and convection on the south-southeastern side. Most of the tropical cyclones associated with monsoon gyres are found to form near the centers of monsoon gyres and the northeastern end of the enhanced southwesterly flows, accompanying relatively weak vertical wind shear.

Examination of the Combined Effect of Deep-layer Vertical Shear Direction and Lower-Tropospheric Mean Flow on Tropical Cyclone Intensity and Size Based on the ERA5 Reanalysis

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Buo-Fu Chen ◽  
Christopher A. Davis ◽  
Ying-Hwa Kuo
Keyword(s):  
Tropical Cyclone ◽  
Inner Core ◽  
Vertical Wind Shear ◽  
Reanalysis Data ◽  
Vertical Shear ◽  
Shear Direction ◽  
Mean Flow ◽  
Representative Subset ◽  
Favorable Conditions ◽  
The Relationship

AbstractIdealized numerical studies have suggested that in addition to vertical wind shear (VWS) magnitude, the VWS profile also affects tropical cyclone (TC) development. A way to further understand the VWS profile’s effect is to examine the interaction between a TC and various shear-relative low-level mean flow (LMF) orientations. This study mainly uses the ERA5 reanalysis to verify that, consistent with idealized simulations, boundary-layer processes associated with different shear-relative LMF orientations affect real-world TC’s intensity and size. Based on analyses of 720 TCs from multiple basins during 2004–2016, a TC affected by an LMF directed toward downshear-left in the Northern Hemisphere favors intensification, whereas an LMF directed toward upshear-right is favorable for expansion. Furthermore, physical processes associated with shear-relative LMF orientation may also partly explain the relationship between the VWS direction and TC development, as there is a correlation between the two variables.The analysis of reanalysis data provides other new insights. The relationship between shear-relative LMF and intensification is not significantly modified by other factors [inner-core sea surface temperature (SST), VWS magnitude, and relative humidity (RH)]. However, the relationship regarding expansion is partly attributed to environmental SST and RH variations for various LMF orientations. Moreover, SST is critical to the basin-dependent variability of the relationship between the shear-relative LMF and intensification. For Atlantic TCs, the relationship between LMF orientation and intensification is inconsistent with all-basin statistics unless the analysis is restricted to a representative subset of samples associated with generally favorable conditions.

scholarly journals Reintensification and Eyewall Formation in Strong Shear: A Case Study of Typhoon Noul (2015)

2018 ◽  
Vol 146 (9) ◽  
pp. 2799-2817 ◽  
Author(s):  
Udai Shimada ◽  
Takeshi Horinouchi
Keyword(s):  
Doppler Radar ◽  
Vertical Wind Shear ◽  
Vertical Shear ◽  
Tangential Wind ◽  
Strong Shear ◽  
Vertically Aligned ◽  
Mean Structure ◽  
Convection Dominated ◽  
Left Quadrant

Abstract Strong vertical wind shear produces asymmetries in the eyewall structure of a tropical cyclone (TC) and is generally a hostile environment for TC intensification. Typhoon Noul (2015), however, reintensified and formed a closed eyewall despite 200–850-hPa vertical shear in excess of 11 m s−1. Noul’s reintensification and eyewall formation in strong shear were examined by using Doppler radar and surface observations. The evolution of the azimuthal-mean structure showed that the tangential wind at 2-km altitude increased from 30 to 45 m s−1 in only 5 h. During the first half of the reintensification, the azimuthal-mean inflow penetrated into the ~40-km radius, well inside the radius of maximum wind (RMW), at least below 4-km altitude, and reflectivity inside the RMW increased. As for the asymmetric evolution, vigorous convection, dominated by an azimuthal wavenumber-1 asymmetry, occurred in the downshear-left quadrant when shear started to increase and then moved upshear. A mesovortex formed inside the convective asymmetry on the upshear side. The direction of vortex tilt between the 1- and 5-km altitudes rotated cyclonically from the downshear-left to the upshear-right quadrant as the vortex was vertically aligned. In conjunction with the alignment, the amplitude of the wavenumber-1 convective asymmetry decreased and a closed eyewall formed. These features are consistent with the theory that a vortex can be vertically aligned through upshear precession. The analysis results suggest that the vortex tilt, vigorous convection, and subsequent intensification were triggered by the increase in shear in a convectively favorable environment.

scholarly journals Potential Uncertainties in the Analysis of Low-Wavenumber Asymmetries Caused by Aliasing Center in Tropical Cyclones

Atmosphere ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 10 (6) ◽  
pp. 300 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chengwu Zhao ◽  
Junqiang Song ◽  
Hongze Leng ◽  
Juan Zhao
Keyword(s):  
Angular Momentum ◽  
Tropical Cyclone ◽  
Tropical Cyclones ◽  
Small Displacement ◽  
Sensitivity Tests ◽  
Tangential Wind ◽  
Radial Structure ◽  
Direction Sensitivity ◽  
Asymmetric Wave ◽  
Cyclone Prediction

Variations in both symmetric wind components and asymmetric wave amplitudes of a tropical cyclone depend on the location of its center. Because the radial structure of asymmetries is critical to the wave–mean interaction, this study, under idealized conditions, examines the influences of a center location on the radial structure of the diagnosed asymmetries. It has been found that the amplitudes of aliasing asymmetries are mainly affected by the initial symmetric fields. Meanwhile, the radial structure of asymmetry is controlled by the aliasing direction. Sensitivity tests on the location of the center were employed to emphasize the importance of the aliasing direction using angular momentum equations. With a small displacement, the tendencies of azimuthal tangential wind are found to reverse completely when the center shifts to a different direction. This work concludes that the diagnostic results related to asymmetric decomposition should be treated rigorously, as they are prone to inaccuracies, which in turn affect cyclone prediction.

scholarly journals Tropical Cyclone Activity in the Fiji Region: Spatial Patterns and Relationship to Large-Scale Circulation

2009 ◽  
Vol 22 (14) ◽  
pp. 3877-3893 ◽  
Author(s):  
Savin S. Chand ◽  
Kevin J. E. Walsh
Keyword(s):  
Tropical Cyclone ◽  
El Niño ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
El Nino ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Vertical Wind Shear ◽  
Relative Vorticity ◽  
La Niña ◽  
Factors Affecting ◽  
La Nina

Abstract This study examines the variations in tropical cyclone (TC) genesis positions and their subsequent tracks for different phases of the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phenomenon in the Fiji, Samoa, and Tonga region (FST region) using Joint Typhoon Warning Center best-track data. Over the 36-yr period from 1970/71 to 2005/06, 122 cyclones are observed in the FST region. A large spread in the genesis positions is noted. During El Niño years, genesis is enhanced east of the date line, extending from north of Fiji to over Samoa, with the highest density centered around 10°S, 180°. During neutral years, maximum genesis occurs immediately north of Fiji with enhanced genesis south of Samoa. In La Niña years, there are fewer cyclones forming in the region than during El Niño and neutral years. During La Niña years, the genesis positions are displaced poleward of 12°S, with maximum density centered around 15°S, 170°E and south of Fiji. The cyclone tracks over the FST region are also investigated using cluster analysis. Tracks during the period 1970/71–2005/06 are conveniently described using three separate clusters, with distinct characteristics associated with different ENSO phases. Finally, the role of large-scale environmental factors affecting interannual variability of TC genesis positions and their subsequent tracks in the FST region are investigated. Favorable genesis positions are observed where large-scale environments have the following seasonal average thresholds: (i) 850-hPa cyclonic relative vorticity between −16 and −4 (×10−6 s−1), (ii) 200-hPa divergence between 2 and 8 (×10−6 s−1), and (iii) environmental vertical wind shear between 0 and 8 m s−1. The subsequent TC tracks are observed to be steered by mean 700–500-hPa winds.

scholarly journals Use of a Genesis Potential Index to Diagnose ENSO Effects on Tropical Cyclone Genesis

2007 ◽  
Vol 20 (19) ◽  
pp. 4819-4834 ◽  
Author(s):  
Suzana J. Camargo ◽  
Kerry A. Emanuel ◽  
Adam H. Sobel
Keyword(s):  
Tropical Cyclone ◽  
Relative Humidity ◽  
El Niño ◽  
El Nino ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Vertical Wind Shear ◽  
Vertical Shear ◽  
Interannual Variations ◽  
Genesis Potential Index ◽  
Potential Index

Abstract ENSO (El Niño–Southern Oscillation) has a large influence on tropical cyclone activity. The authors examine how different environmental factors contribute to this influence, using a genesis potential index developed by Emanuel and Nolan. Four factors contribute to the genesis potential index: low-level vorticity (850 hPa), relative humidity at 600 hPa, the magnitude of vertical wind shear from 850 to 200 hPa, and potential intensity (PI). Using monthly NCEP Reanalysis data in the period of 1950–2005, the genesis potential index is calculated on a latitude strip from 60°S to 60°N. Composite anomalies of the genesis potential index are produced for El Niño and La Niña years separately. These composites qualitatively replicate the observed interannual variations of the observed frequency and location of genesis in several different basins. This justifies producing composites of modified indices in which only one of the contributing factors varies, with the others set to climatology, to determine which among the factors are most important in causing interannual variations in genesis frequency. Specific factors that have more influence than others in different regions can be identified. For example, in El Niño years, relative humidity and vertical shear are important for the reduction in genesis seen in the Atlantic basin, and relative humidity and vorticity are important for the eastward shift in the mean genesis location in the western North Pacific.

scholarly journals Statistical Analysis of Tropical Cyclones in the Solomon Islands

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Edward Maru ◽  
Taiga Shibata ◽  
Kosuke Ito
Keyword(s):  
Tropical Cyclone ◽  
El Niño ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
El Nino ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Solomon Islands ◽  
Climatic Variability ◽  
Vertical Wind Shear ◽  
Longwave Radiation ◽  
Relative Vorticity

This paper examines the tropical cyclone (TC) activity in Solomon Islands (SI) using the best track data from Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre Brisbane and Regional Specialized Meteorological Centre Nadi. The long-term trend analysis showed that the frequency of TCs has been decreasing in this region while average TC intensity becomes strong. Then, the datasets were classified according to the phase of Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) and the index of El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) provided by Bureau of Meteorology. The MJO has sufficiently influenced TC activity in the SI region with more genesis occurring in phases 6-8, in which the lower outgoing longwave radiation indicates enhanced convective activity. In contrast, TC genesis occurs less frequently in phases 1, 2, and 5. As for the influence of ENSO, more TCs are generated in El Nino period. The TC genesis locations during El Nino (La Nina) period were significantly displaced to the north (south) over SI region. TCs generated during El Nino condition tended to be strong. This paper also argues the modulation in terms of seasonal climatic variability of large-scale environmental conditions such as sea surface temperature, low level relative vorticity, vertical wind shear, and upper level divergence.

The Structure and Evolution of Hurricane Elena (1985). Part I: Symmetric Intensification

2005 ◽  
Vol 133 (10) ◽  
pp. 2905-2921 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kristen L. Corbosiero ◽  
John Molinari ◽  
Michael L. Black
Keyword(s):  
Inner Core ◽  
Potential Temperature ◽  
Vertical Wind Shear ◽  
Relative Vorticity ◽  
Equivalent Potential Temperature ◽  
Constructive Interference ◽  
Wind Maximum ◽  
Radial Gradient ◽  
Equivalent Potential ◽  
Tangential Wind

Abstract One of the most complete aircraft reconnaissance and ground-based radar datasets of a single tropical cyclone was recorded in Hurricane Elena (1985) as it made a slow, 3-day anticyclonic loop in the Gulf of Mexico. Eighty-eight radial legs and 47 vertical incidence scans were collected aboard NOAA WP-3D aircraft, and 1142 ground-based radar scans were made of Elena’s eyewall and inner rainbands as the storm intensified from a disorganized category 2 to an intense category 3 hurricane. This large amount of continuously collected data made it possible to examine changes that occurred in Elena’s inner-core symmetric structure as the storm intensified. On the first day of study, Elena was under the influence of vertical wind shear from an upper-tropospheric trough to the west. The storm was disorganized, with no discernable eyewall and nearly steady values of tangential wind and relative vorticity. Early on the second day of study, a near superposition and constructive interference occurred between the trough and Elena, coincident with upward vertical velocities and the radial gradient of reflectivity becoming concentrated around the 30-km radius. Once an inner wind maximum and eyewall developed, the radius of maximum winds contracted and a sharp localized vorticity maximum emerged, with much lower values on either side. This potentially unstable vorticity profile was accompanied by a maximum in equivalent potential temperature in the eyewall, deeper and stronger inflow out to 24 km from the eyewall, and mean outflow toward the eyewall from the eye. Within 6–12 h, intensification came to an end and Elena began to slowly weaken. Vorticity and equivalent potential temperature at 850 hPa showed indications of prior mixing between the eye and eyewall. During the weakening stage, an outflow jet developed at the eyewall radius. A strong 850-hPa updraft accompanied the outflow jet, yet convection was less active aloft than before. This feature appeared to represent a shallow, outward-sloping updraft channel associated with the spindown of the storm.

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