Validation of toxicity burden score for use in phase I clinical trials
2514 Background: In phase I clinical trials, dose limiting toxicity (DLT) is defined as a binary outcome (DLT Yes/No). Concerns have been raised since this does not account for multiple non-DLTs that have a cumulative effect on drug tolerability and do not differentiate the severity of DLTs. Having a continuous toxicity burden score (TBS) as an outcome may provide more information regarding toxicity. We propose a new method for obtaining TBS. Methods: We illustrate the method using a phase I trial in lymphoma. The two main toxicities related to the experimental drug were low platelets and neuropathy with DLT defined as platelet count < 10,000/mm3 or grade 3 neuropathy. Three oncologists were asked to assign severity scores for the two main toxicities by assigning scores based on their impression of the impact of the toxicity on the patient and keeping in mind that DLT should be assigned a score of 1 and no toxicity should be assigned a score of 0. They were then given data from 25 patients along with their observed toxicities and the respective NCI toxicity grades and were asked to assign TBS to each patient. A mixed effects regression model was fit to the data. To validate the model, two of the oncologists assigned TBS to an additional list of 17 patients. Assuming the estimated TBS to be a rating, the three ratings (two oncologists and the estimated TBS) were compared using a mixed effects regression model. Results: The significant predictors of TBS are listed in the Table . Since no patient in the training data experienced grade 3 low- platelet and grade 4 neuropathy, model coefficients for these were not obtained. In the validation data, the TBS among the oncologists and the estimated TBS obtained using the fitted model were not different (P=0.18). Conclusions: A fitted model can be used to obtain TBS from maximal NCI toxicity grades suggesting the feasibility of using a continuous outcome such as TBS in dose finding studies. [Table: see text] No significant financial relationships to disclose.