Biomarkers for early prognostication of outcome in patients with bone-metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer treated with enzalutamide.

2017 ◽  
Vol 35 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. e16507-e16507
Author(s):  
Katrin Schlack ◽  
Martin Boegemann ◽  
Laura-Maria Krabbe ◽  
Karoline Kannen ◽  
Axel Semjonow ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Cox Regression ◽  
Prospective Trial ◽  
Specific Antigen ◽  
Progression Free Survival ◽  
Castration Resistant Prostate Cancer ◽  
Early Therapy ◽  
Free Survival ◽  
Difficult Decision ◽  
Castration Resistant ◽  
Kaplan Meier

e16507 Background: Enzalutamide (Enza) prolongs survival in men with mCRPC in pre- and post chemotherapy setting. Commonly used prostate-specific antigen (PSA) may lead to non-straightforward prognosis. This is especially true for bone mCRPC (bmCRPC) in which initial bone-flare may add to difficult decision making. During other therapies, bouncing of alkaline phosphatase (ALP-Bounce) was shown as a promising surrogate for survival outcome. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the prognostic ability of ALP-Bounce compared to standard PSA and lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) after initiation of Enza. Methods: Patients with bmCRPC were included and analyzed. PSA, LDH and ALP were monitored at 2, 4, 8 and 12 weeks under very early Enza treatment. ALP-Bounce vs. no Bounce was analyzed using Kaplan-Meier estimates and uni- and multivariate (UV/MV) cox-regression models. ALP-Bounce was defined as an increase of ALP after initiation of Enza with a subsequent, significant decline below baseline during the first 8 weeks of therapy. Results: Eighty-nine men were evaluable for analysis. The median overall survival (OS) of men with ALP-Bounce was 19 months (95% confidence interval: 7.9-30.1) compared to 12 months (7.7-16.3) for no Bounce. Analysis of progression-free survival (PFS) showed similar results with 8 (0-16.3) vs. 3 months (1.9-4.1). In UV no ALP-Bounce (Hazard Ratio (HR): 1.9 (1.1-3.3); p = 0.02), no PSA-decline ≥50% (HR: 2.3 (1.5-3.7); p < 0.01) and no LDH-Normalization (HR: 2.5 (1.6-4.1); p < 0.01) were significantly associated with worse PFS. In MV only no ALP-Bounce showed a trend towards worse PFS (HR: 2.1 (0.9-4.5); p = 0.09). In UV no LDH-normalization was a significant prognosticator of poor OS (HR: 2.6 (1.6-4.2); p < 0.01) while ALP-Bounce and PSA decline ≥50% were non-prognostic. In MV no LDH-normalization remained an independent prognosticator of poor OS (HR: 2.0 (1.1.-3.5); p = 0.02). Conclusions: ALP-Bounce and LDH-Normalization may add to identification of bmCRPC-patients with favorable prognosis during early therapy with Enza. The early occurence of ALP-Bounce might be beneficial. These results have to be validated in a prospective trial.

scholarly journals Response and Toxicity to the Second Course of 3 Cycles of 177Lu-PSMA Therapy Every 4 Weeks in Patients with Metastatic Castration-Resistant Prostate Cancer

Cancers ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (10) ◽  
pp. 2489
Author(s):  
Sazan Rasul ◽  
Tim Wollenweber ◽  
Lucia Zisser ◽  
Elisabeth Kretschmer-Chott ◽  
Bernhard Grubmüller ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Response Rate ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Progression Free Survival ◽  
Castration Resistant Prostate Cancer ◽  
Radioligand Therapy ◽  
Free Survival ◽  
Castration Resistant ◽  
Kaplan Meier ◽  
Node Metastases ◽  
Grade 3

Background: We investigated the response rate and degree of toxicity of a second course of three cycles of [177Lu]Lu-PSMA radioligand therapy (PSMA-RLT) every 4 weeks in mCRPC patients. Methods: Forty-three men (71.5 ± 6.6 years, median PSA 40.8 (0.87–1358 µg/L)) were studied. The response was based on the PSA level 4 weeks after the third cycle. The laboratory parameters before and one month after the last cycle were compared. Kaplan–Meier methods were used to estimate the progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS), and the Cox regression model was performed to find predictors of survival. Results: Twenty-six patients (60.5%) exhibited a PSA reduction (median PSA declined from 40.8 to 20.2, range 0.6–1926 µg/L, p = 0.002); 18 (42%) and 8 (19%) patients showed a PSA decline of ≥50% and ≥80%, respectively. The median OS and PFS were 136 and 31 weeks, respectively. The patients with only lymph node metastases survived longer (p = 0.02), whereas the patients with bone metastases had a shorter survival (p = 0.03). In the multivariate analysis, only the levels of PSA prior to the therapy remained significant for OS (p < 0.05, hazard ratio 2.43, 95% CI 1.01–5.87). The levels of hemoglobin (11.5 ± 1.7 g/dL vs. 11 ± 1.6 g/dL, p = 0.006) and platelets (208 ± 63 g/L vs. 185 ± 63 g/L, p = 0.002) significantly decreased one month after cycle three, though only two grade 3 anemia and one grade 3 thrombocytopenia were recorded. Conclusion: A further intensive PSMA-RLT course is well tolerated in mCRPC patients and associated with promising response rates and OS.

Clinical significance of AR mRNA quantification from circulating tumor cells (CTCs) in men with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC) treated with abiraterone (Abi) or enzalutamide (Enza).

2017 ◽  
Vol 35 (6_suppl) ◽  
pp. 132-132 ◽  
Author(s):  
John Silberstein ◽  
Brandon Luber ◽  
Hao Wang ◽  
Changxue Lu ◽  
Yan Chen ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Cox Regression ◽  
Prognostic Significance ◽  
Progression Free Survival ◽  
Continuous Variable ◽  
Castration Resistant Prostate Cancer ◽  
Free Survival ◽  
Mrna Quantification ◽  
Castration Resistant ◽  
Kaplan Meier ◽  
Psa Progression

132 Background: AR-targeting agents remain the backbone of mCRPC therapy. We previously reported an association between AR-V7 mRNA detection in CTCs and resistance to Abi/Enza (NEJM 2014). Here, we report the prognostic significance of full-length androgen receptor (AR-FL) mRNA quantification from CTCs in pts starting Abi or Enza. Methods: We prospectively enrolled mCRPC pts starting Abi or Enza, and examined the prognostic value of AR-FL detection using a CTC-based mRNA assay (modified AdnaTest, Qiagen). We examined PSA50 responses, PSA progression free survival (PSA-PFS), clinical/radiologic PFS (PFS), and overall survival (OS). We constructed multivariable (MVA) Cox regression models adjusting for AR-V7 status, PSA level, Gleason sum, number of prior therapies, prior Abi/Enza use, prior taxane use, presence of visceral disease, and ECOG score. Results: We enrolled 202 pts (median f/u 12.9 mo). AR-FL status was negative in 97/202 pts (48%), < median in 52/202 (26%) and > median in 53/202 (26%). Higher AR-FL levels correlated with positive AR-V7 detection (35.5 copies [range: 2.5–1209] in AR-V7+ vs 1.4 copies [range: 0–172.5] in AR-V7–, P< .001), as well as lower PSA50 responses (55.4 copies in nonresponders vs 6.7 copies in responders, P< .001). In Kaplan-Meier analysis, PSA-PFS, PFS and OS differed significantly between AR-FL negative, AR-FL < median, and AR-FL > median (Table). In MVA models, AR-FL level (as a continuous variable) was prognostic for PSA-PFS (HR 1.06, 95%CI 1.00–1.12, P= .04) and trended with prognosis for PFS (HR 1.04, 95%CI 0.99–1.11, P= .13) and OS (HR 1.07, 95%CI 1.00–1.15, P= .06). AR-V7 status was also independently prognostic for all outcomes in MVA analyses. Conclusions: This study demonstrates CTC-derived AR-FL copy number is prognostic for clinical outcomes in Abi/Enza-treated mCRPC pts. In addition to AR-V7 status, AR-FL quantification could serve as another molecular biomarker of Abi/Enza sensitivity after analytical validation/standardization. [Table: see text]

scholarly journals Cabazitaxel for Metastatic Castration-Resistant Prostate Cancer: Retrospective Data Analysis from an Indian Centre

2016 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 506-515
Author(s):  
Vanita Noronha ◽  
Amit Joshi ◽  
Vamshi Krishna Muddu ◽  
Vijay Maruti Patil ◽  
Kumar Prabhash
Keyword(s):  
Prostate Cancer ◽  
Specific Antigen ◽  
Progression Free Survival ◽  
Castration Resistant Prostate Cancer ◽  
Free Survival ◽  
Castration Resistant ◽  
Retrospective Data Analysis ◽  
Grade 3 ◽  
Named Patient Programme

Objective: To determine the efficacy and safety of cabazitaxel in metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC) patients from the named patient programme (NPP) at our centre. Methods: mCRPC patients who progressed on docetaxel were given cabazitaxel intravenously every 3 weeks until disease progression or unacceptable toxicity occurred. Overall survival, progression-free survival, prostate-specific antigen response, quality of life (QOL) changes, and safety were reported. Results: Nine men received cabazitaxel (median: 7 cycles; range: 1–27) under the NPP and were followed until death. Median survival was 14.07 months (1.07–23.80) and progression-free survival was 2.67 months (1.07–20.27). QOL was stable for most patients. Common adverse events (grade ≥3) were neutropenia (n = 8), anaemia (n = 4), and leucopenia (n = 4). Conclusion: These data from 9 patients are consistent with the results reported in the TROPIC study with a manageable safety profile.

scholarly journals Prognostic factors for patients treated with abiraterone

2020 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
pp. FSO436 ◽  
Author(s):  
Cecília M Alvim ◽  
André Mansinho ◽  
Rita S Paiva ◽  
Raquel Brás ◽  
Patrícia M Semedo ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Overall Survival ◽  
Median Overall Survival ◽  
Specific Antigen ◽  
Progression Free Survival ◽  
Abiraterone Acetate ◽  
Hazard Ratio ◽  
Castration Resistant Prostate Cancer ◽  
Free Survival ◽  
Castration Resistant ◽  
Prognostic And Predictive Factors

Aim: To evaluate prostate-specific antigen response (PSAr) defined as a ≥50% decrease in PSA concentration from the pretreatment value, as a prognostic factor in patients with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC) treated with abiraterone acetate (AA). Methods: Retrospective evaluation of patients with mCRPC treated with AA. Results: 124 patients were identified. Median overall survival and progression-free survival for patients achieving PSAr versus patients without PSAr were 29.3 versus 9.7 months and 17.0 versus 5.2 months, respectively. Multivariate analysis confirmed that PSAr correlated with better overall survival (hazard ratio: 0.19; 95% CI: 0.10−0.38; p < 0.001) and progression-free survival (hazard ratio: 0.24; 95% CI: 0.14−0.41; p < 0.001). Conclusion: PSAr can be utilized as prognostic and predictive factors in mCRPC patients treated with AA.

Efficacy and toxicity of q 2 weeks docetaxel versus weekly versus q 3 weeks in metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (CRPC).

2013 ◽  
Vol 31 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. e16087-e16087
Author(s):  
Akshiv Malhotra ◽  
Paula Rosenbaum ◽  
Bernard J. Poiesz
Keyword(s):  
Specific Antigen ◽  
Progression Free Survival ◽  
Response Rates ◽  
Test Results ◽  
Castration Resistant Prostate Cancer ◽  
Duration Of Treatment ◽  
Free Survival ◽  
Castration Resistant ◽  
Significant Toxicity ◽  
Number Of Patients

e16087 Background: Standard treatment for metastatic CRPC is docetaxel 75 mg/m2q3weeks. Methods: We retrospectively studied patients treated with q 1, 2, or 3 weeks docetaxel regimens at 30, 60 and 75 mg/m2, respectively. The choice of regimen and duration of treatment was decided by their oncologist. Patients who had been in a clinical trial previously, or treated with any other chemotherapy before docetaxel were excluded. On this basis 41 patients were studied. Prostate specific antigen (PSA) was used as the primary method to assess response and progression. Response was a decline of >/=50% from baseline value with no clinical or radiographic evidence of disease progression. For patients whose PSA did not decrease, progression was a >/= 25% increase from baseline. If the PSA decreased without reaching response criteria, progression was a >/= 25% increase from nadir. In those who responded, progression was a >/= 50% increase from nadir. The increase had to be at least 5ng/ml. Toxicity was graded on the basis of CTCAE version 4.0. Response rate and toxicity in the 3 arms was compared using a two by two square t-test. Results: There were 12, 14 and 15 patients in the q1w, q2w and q3w arms, respectively. Response rates, mean progression free survival (PFS), median PFS, mean overall survival (OS), median OS, mean cumulative dose (MCD) and toxicity are shown in table 1. Toxicity was similar in the q1w, q2w and q3w arms, except grade 1/2 neuropathy was higher in the q2w arm vs. the q1w arm (p=0.005). Conclusions: The MCD, response rates, PFS and OS in the q1w and q3w arms were similar to previously published reports. Patients in the q2w arm received a statistically significant higher MCD. Our data suggest a better outcome in the q2w arm as compared to the q1w and q3w arms. However, given the small number of patients studied, the results are not statistically significant. Toxicity was similar save for grade1/2 neuropathy. [Table: see text]

Results of subset analyses on overall survival (OS) from study CA184-043: Ipilimumab (Ipi) versus placebo (Pbo) in post-docetaxel metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC).

2014 ◽  
Vol 32 (4_suppl) ◽  
pp. 2-2 ◽  
Author(s):  
Charles G. Drake ◽  
Eugene D. Kwon ◽  
Karim Fizazi ◽  
Alberto Bossi ◽  
Alfons JM van den Eertwegh ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Prognostic Factors ◽  
Statistical Significance ◽  
Progression Free Survival ◽  
Castration Resistant Prostate Cancer ◽  
Free Survival ◽  
Prognostic Features ◽  
Castration Resistant ◽  
Kaplan Meier ◽  
To Receive ◽  
Clinical Trial Information

2 Background: The CA184-043 phase 3 study did not reach statistical significance for its primary endpoint of OS (HR=0.85, p=0.053). However, antitumor activity was observed in other efficacy endpoints, including progression-free survival. Prespecified subset analyses were performed to understand if any prognostic features may identify mCRPC patients (pts) more likely to benefit from Ipi treatment. Methods: 799 pts were randomized to receive a single dose of radiotherapy (RT) followed by either Ipi (N=399) or Pbo (N=400). Prespecified subset analyses based on Kaplan-Meier/Cox methodology were performed using known prognostic factors for OS in mCRPC. Results: Prespecified subset analyses suggested that Ipi may be more active in pts with favorable prognostic factors, including no visceral disease, alkaline phosphatase <1.5 ULN, and hemoglobin ≥11 g/dL (Table). The safety profile in this study was consistent with previous reports of Ipi. Conclusions: Based on these subset analyses, Ipi added to RT appears to have greater activity than RT alone in pts with a favorable prognostic profile. These results support continued investigation of Ipi in the ongoing CA184-095 study in chemotherapy-naive mCRPC pts. Clinical trial information: NCT00861614. [Table: see text]

Prognostication of outcome in men with bone metastatic castration-resistant-prostate-cancer with early rising PSA after initiation of abiraterone acetate.

2017 ◽  
Vol 35 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. e16514-e16514
Author(s):  
Martin Boegemann ◽  
Phillip Grossmann ◽  
Julie Steinestel ◽  
Katrin Schlack ◽  
Laura Maria Krabbe ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Cox Regression ◽  
Prospective Trial ◽  
Specific Antigen ◽  
Abiraterone Acetate ◽  
Castration Resistant Prostate Cancer ◽  
Castration Resistant ◽  
Psa Response ◽  
Early Rise ◽  
True Progression ◽  
Asymptomatic Men

e16514 Background: Abiraterone acetate (AA) prolongs survival in men with mCRPC in the pre- and post chemotherapy setting and is mainly used in asymptomatic men. In the first 12 weeks an early rise of prostate specific antigen (PSA) may occur followed by either delayed decline (PSA-flare) or true progression. Bouncing of alkaline phosphatase (ALP-Bouncing) was shown to be a promising marker for outcome and response during very early AA therapy. This retrospective study was conducted to analyze the capability of ALP-Bouncing to predict overall survival (OS) in men with bone mCRPC (bmCRPC) with rising PSA after initiation of AA therapy. Methods: Men with bmCRPC and rising PSA during early AA therapy were includeded and analyzed. PSA response rate (RR) was monitored according to PCWG2 criteria and assessed 12 weeks after start of AA treatment. PSA-flare vs. no flare and ALP-Bouncing vs. no Bouncing were analyzed using Kaplan-Meyer estimates and uni- and multivariate (UV/MV) cox-regression models. ALP-Bouncing was defined as increase of ALP after the beginning of AA with a subsequent significant decline below baseline during the first 8 weeks of therapy. Results: Forty men were evaluable for analysis: 20 men were chemotherapy naïve, 20 pretreated with docetaxel. The PSA RR was 30%. The median survival for ALP-Bouncing was 20 months (95% confidence interval (95%CI): 4.7-13.3) vs. 9 months (95%CI not distinguishable) for no ALP-bouncing (p = 0.04) and 13 months (95%CI: 8.8-17.2) for PSA-flare vs. 9 months (95%CI 4.4-13-6) for no PSA-flare (p = 0.62). In UV no ALP-bouncing was significantly associated with worse OS (Hazard Ratio (HR): 2.65 (95%CI: 1.0-7.0); p = 0.05). After adjustment for PSA-flare no AP-bouncing remained an independent prognosticator of worse OS (HR: 2.78 (95%CI: 1.0-7.71); p = 0.05). Conclusions: ALP-Bouncing, occurring earlier than delayed PSA-decline, may be a helpful marker to identify patients with subsequent favorable outcome in men with bmCRPC and rising PSA after initiation of AA therapy. These results have to be validated in a prospective trial.

The effect of AKR1C3 on the switch from prednisone to dexamethasone in metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer patients receiving abiraterone.

2020 ◽  
Vol 38 (6_suppl) ◽  
pp. 133-133
Author(s):  
Yuchao Ni ◽  
Jinge Zhao ◽  
Junru Chen ◽  
Guangxi Sun ◽  
Sha Zhu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Prostate Cancer ◽  
Progression Free Survival ◽  
Castration Resistant Prostate Cancer ◽  
First Line ◽  
Free Survival ◽  
Castration Resistant ◽  
Kaplan Meier ◽  
Psa Progression ◽  
Biochemical Progression ◽  
First Line Treatment

133 Background: Abiraterone is the first-line treatment for men with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC) and is recommended to be used with prednisone. Previous studies had demonstrated that the switch from prednisone to dexamethasone in some mCRPC patients can reverse abiraterone-resistance. However, it remains uncertain which group of patients will benefit from such switching. AKR1C3 is a critical enzyme contributing to the drug-resistance of abiraterone. Here, we aim to explore the significance of AKR1C3 in predicting the therapeutic efficacy of the corticosteroid switching in mCRPC patients receiving abiraterone. Methods: In total, 43 PCa patients treated with abiraterone after mCRPC between 2016 and 2018 in our institution were included. After biochemical progression in abiraterone plus prednisone, all cases received a corticosteroid switch to abiraterone plus dexamethasone. The expression of AKR1C3 was detected by immunohistochemical staining from re-biopsy (re‐Bx) of primary prostate lesions at the time of mCRPC. Kaplan‐Meier curves were used to analyze the association between AKR1C3 and treatment outcomes. Results: Totally, AKR1C3 was positive in 19 of 43 (44.19%) cases. In the corticosteroid switch treatment, 30% PSA decline was confirmed in 18/43 (41.86%) patients, while the median PSA progression‐free survival (PSA-PFS) and overall survival (OS) was 4.93 Mo and 31.57 Mo, respectively in the whole cohort. AKR1C3 expression was associated with statistically shorter median PSA-PFS (4.50 Mo vs 7.73 Mo; p =0.010) and numerically lower median OS (25.43 Mo vs 39.37 Mo, p =0.274). While the 30% PSA decline rate was numerically comparable between those with and without AKR1C3 expression (31.6% vs 50.0%, p =0.224). Conclusions: This study showed AKR1C3 detection in tissues from prostate re‐Bx at mCRPC was associated with poor PSA-PFS in the corticosteroid switch from abiraterone plus prednisone to abiraterone plus dexamethasone. These results would be helpful in making optimal personalized treatment decisions for patients with mCRPC, facilitating physicians predicting the effectiveness of corticosteroid switch treatment.

Efficacy of Combination Chemotherapy With Docetaxel, Estramustine and Carboplatin in Men With Castration-resistant Prostate Cancer

2021 ◽  
Vol 1 (5) ◽  
pp. 451-457
Author(s):  
KATSUYA HIKITA ◽  
MASASHI HONDA ◽  
RYUTARO SHIMIZU ◽  
SHOGO TERAOKA ◽  
BUNYA KAWAMOTO ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Prostate Cancer ◽  
Prostate Specific Antigen ◽  
Cancer Progression ◽  
Specific Antigen ◽  
Treatment Protocol ◽  
Area Under The Curve ◽  
Progression Free Survival ◽  
Castration Resistant Prostate Cancer ◽  
Free Survival ◽  
Castration Resistant

Background: The efficacy of docetaxel and carboplatin with oral estramustine was evaluated in patients with castration-resistant prostate cancer. Patients and Methods: Patients were treated with intravenous docetaxel at 30 mg/m2 on days 1, 8, 15, and 22 of a 28-day cycle. Intravenous carboplatin (area under the curve, 6 mg/ml/min) was administered on day 1. Patients received oral estramustine at 626.8 mg/day throughout the treatment protocol. Patients were evaluated for response, with treatment continued until cancer progression or onset of severe adverse events. Results: Twenty patients with castration-resistant prostate cancer were treated for a median of 3.5 cycles. Prostate-specific antigen decreased by more than 30% in 18 patients, including 14 patients with a decrease of more than 50%. Median overall survival was 11 months, prostate-specific antigen progression-free survival was 6.5 months, and radiographic progression-free survival was 7 months. Conclusion: Docetaxel and carboplatin with oral estramustine shows efficacy against castration-resistant prostate cancer.

Surrogacy analysis of prostate-specific antigen (PSA) decline for improved overall survival (OS) with enzalutamide (ENZ) in AFFIRM.

2016 ◽  
Vol 34 (2_suppl) ◽  
pp. 266-266
Author(s):  
Andrew J. Armstrong ◽  
Fred Saad ◽  
Neal D. Shore ◽  
Karim Fizazi ◽  
De Phung ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Treatment Effect ◽  
Prognostic Significance ◽  
Specific Antigen ◽  
Progression Free Survival ◽  
Pain Response ◽  
Castration Resistant Prostate Cancer ◽  
Free Survival ◽  
Castration Resistant ◽  
Post Hoc

266 Background: ENZ significantly increased OS for men with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC) vs. placebo and significantly decreased PSA levels. However, the prognostic significance and role of PSA falls as a surrogate for OS are not established. Methods: Men in the AFFIRM trial were grouped by maximal unconfirmed PSA decline during the 1st 90 days of treatment in a post-hoc analysis. Each PSA decline criterion was assessed for surrogacy for OS by the proportion of treatment effect (PTE)-explained and Prentice criteria. We also assessed the association of PSA decline with OS, progression-free survival (PFS), and pain response. Results: ENZ improved OS (hazard ratio 0.63, p < 0.001) and was associated with higher rates of PSA declines when compared to placebo (odds ratio > 19.0, p < 0.001). Greater declines in PSA were associated with longer OS, PSA PFS, radiographic PFS, and higher pain response when compared with no PSA decline or PSA increase (table). All decline measures from baseline were highly prognostic for OS and several ( > 0%, ≥ 30%, ≥ 50% declines) explained a proportion of the treatment effect (PTE 1.07–1.29, 95% CI lower bounds > 0.63), in which treatment was no longer significant after adjustment for the decline measures (p > 0.20). Full surrogacy was not demonstrated. Conclusions: In AFFIRM, > 0, ≥30%, and ≥50% PSA declines within 90 days of treatment fulfilled Prentice surrogacy criteria 1–3. Prentice 4, equivalency of survival adjusting for PSA decline outcomes, could not be demonstrated. PSA declines are associated with longer PFS and improved pain response. External prospective validation is needed. Clinical trial information: NCT00974311. [Table: see text]

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