Coagulopathy on the first postoperative day predicting the long-term survival of traumatic brain injury patients

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wenxing Cui ◽  
Shunnan Ge ◽  
Yingwu Shi ◽  
Xun Wu ◽  
Jianing Luo ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Term Survival ◽  
Long Term Survival ◽  
Cox Regression Analysis ◽  
Independent Risk Factors ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Underlying Risk

Abstract Objective: The purpose of this study was to identify the relationship between coagulopathy during the perioperative period (before the operation and on the first day after the operation) and the long-term survival of TBI patients undergoing surgery, as well as to explore the predisposing risk factors that may cause perioperative coagulopathy.Methods: This retrospective study included 447 TBI patients who underwent surgery from January 1, 2015 to April 25, 2019. Clinical parameters, including patient demographic characteristics, biochemical tests, perioperative coagulation function tests (before the operation and on the first day after the operation) and intraoperative factors were collected. Log-rank univariate analysis and Cox regression models were conducted to assess the relationship between perioperative coagulopathy and the long-term survival of TBI patients. Furthermore, univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to identify the underlying risk factors for perioperative coagulopathy.Results: Multivariate Cox regression analysis identified age, AIS(head) = 5, GCS ≤ 8, systolic pressure at admission < 90 mmHg and postoperative coagulopathy (all P < 0.05) as independent risk factors for survival following TBI; we were the first to identify postoperative coagulopathy as an independent risk factor. According to multivariate logistic regression analysis, for the first time, abnormal ALT and RBC at admission, preoperative coagulopathy, infusion of colloidal solution > 1100 mL and intraoperative bleeding > 950 mL (all P < 0.005) were identified as independent risk factors for postoperative coagulation following surgery after TBI.Conclusions: Those who suffered from postoperative coagulopathy due to TBI had a higher hazard for poor prognosis than those who did not. Closer attention should be paid to postoperative coagulopathy and more emphasis should be placed on managing the underlying risk factors.

scholarly journals Application value of nomogram and prognostic factors of gastric cancer patients who underwent D2 radical lymphadenectomy

2019 ◽  
Vol 19 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Guang-Chuan Mu ◽  
Yuan Huang ◽  
Zhi-Ming Liu ◽  
Xiang-Hua Wu ◽  
Xin-Gan Qin ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Gastric Cancer ◽  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Prognostic Factors ◽  
Cancer Patients ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Term Survival ◽  
Long Term Survival ◽  
Cox Regression Analysis ◽  
Gastric Cancer Patients

Abstract Background The aim of this study was to explore the prognostic factors and establish a nomogram to predict the long-term survival of gastric cancer patients. Methods The clinicopathological data of 421 gastric cancer patients, who were treated with radical D2 lymphadenectomy by the same surgical team between January 2009 and March 2017, were collected. The analysis of long-term survival was performed using Cox regression analysis. Based on the multivariate analysis results, a prognostic nomogram was formulated to predict the 5-year survival rate probability. Results In the present study, the total overall 3-year and 5-year survival rates were 58.7 and 45.8%, respectively. The results of the univariate Cox regression analysis revealed that tumor staging, tumor location, Borrmann type, the number of lymph nodes dissected, the number of lymph node metastases, positive lymph nodes ratio, lymphocyte count, serum albumin, CEA, CA153, CA199, BMI, tumor size, nerve invasion, and vascular invasion were prognostic factors for gastric cancer (all, P < 0.05). However, merely tumor staging, tumor location, positive lymph node ratio, CA199, BMI, tumor size, nerve invasion, and vascular invasion were independent risk factors, based on the results of the multivariate Cox regression analysis (all, P < 0.05). The nomogram based on eight independent prognostic factors revealed a well-degree of differentiation with a concordance index of 0.76 (95% CI: 0.72–0.79, P < 0.001), which was better than the AJCC-7 staging system (concordance index = 0.68). Conclusion The present study established a nomogram based on eight independent prognostic factors to predict long-term survival in gastric cancer patients. The nomogram would be beneficial for more accurately predicting the prognosis of gastric cancer, and provide important basis for making individualized treatment plans following surgery.

scholarly journals Cox Regression Analysis of 1739 Emergency Trauma Patients

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jun Shen ◽  
Feng Xu ◽  
Du Chen
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Oxygen Saturation ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Trauma Patients ◽  
Term Survival ◽  
Cox Regression Analysis ◽  
Revised Trauma Score ◽  
Independent Risk Factors ◽  
Trauma Score

Abstract BACKGROUND: Trauma is a damage caused by physical harm from external source. It has been one of the major causes of mortality. The purpose of this study was to explore the risk factors related to mortality among emergency trauma patients. METHODS: This was a retrospective study in trauma center of the First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University. The data were obtained from trauma database with patients registered from November 1, 2016 to November 30, 2019.Shapiro–Wilk test, Mann-Whitney test and Likelihood-ratio Chi squared test were used to assess the survival pattern. Cox regressions were performed to calculate the hazard ratios (HRs) of variables for death. RESULTS: The total 1739 emergency trauma patients, 44 (2.53%) died during the study period and 1695 (97.47%) were survival. Through univariable and multivariable Cox regression analysis, three independent risk factors for emergency death were screened out: pulse (Crude HR: 0.97, 95% Confidence Interval [CI]: 0.96-0.98; Adjuste HR: 1.04, 95% CI: 1.02-1.06), pulse oxygen saturation (Crude HR: 0.96, 95% CI: 0.95-0.97; Adjuste HR: 0.94, 95% CI: 0.91-0.97) and Revised Trauma Score (Crude HR: 0.69, 95% CI: 0.65-0.74; Adjuste HR: 0.79, 95% CI: 0.64-0.97).CONCLUSION: The survival outcome of emergency trauma patients was influenced by many factors. Pulse, pulse oxygen saturation (SpO2 ) and Revised Trauma Score (RTS) were the independent risk factors for mortality. Accurate analysis and judgment of the risk factors can improve cure efficiency and long-term survival rate.

scholarly journals Risk of Hepatocellular Carcinoma Remains High in Patients with HBV-Related Decompensated Cirrhosis and Long-Term Antiviral Therapy

2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-6
Author(s):  
Dong-Mei Zhu ◽  
Jing Xie ◽  
Chun-Yan Ye ◽  
Mei-Yun Qian ◽  
Yuan Xue
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Antiviral Therapy ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Decompensated Cirrhosis ◽  
Cox Regression Analysis ◽  
Independent Risk Factors ◽  
The Difference

Background. This study aimed to evaluate the risk factors of HCC development in patients with hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related DC and who underwent long-term antiviral therapy. Methods. Data from 308 patients with HBV-related DC and long-term antiviral therapy were collected and retrospectively reviewed. Cox regression analysis was used to analyze independent risk factors of HCC development. Results. Data from 129 patients with definite records were analyzed. The median follow-up time was 5 years (range, 1 to 8 years). At the end of the follow-up, 41 (31.8%) patients developed HCC, and the time from DC diagnosis to HCC incidence who received antiviral therapy was 4.4 years (range, 1–7 years). The incidence of HCC was higher in males (30/78, 38.5%) than in females (11/51, 21.6%) ( P  = 0.04). Patients who developed HCC were significantly older than those who did not develop HCC ( P  < 0.01). The incidence of HCC in patients receiving nucleoside analogues, nucleotide analogues, and combination therapy was 34.7%, 38.1%, and 33.3%, respectively, and the difference showed no significant differences ( P  = 0.95). Multivariate Cox regression analysis demonstrated that male gender and age ≥50 years are independent risk factors of HCC development (OR = 2.987 and 2.408; 95% CI (1.301–6.858) and (1.126–5.149); P  = 0.01 and 0.02, respectively). Conclusion. The risk of HCC remains to be high in patients with HBV-related DC, especially in males aged ≥50 years.

scholarly journals Good to excellent long-term survival of a single-design condylar constrained knee arthroplasty for primary and revision surgery

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
C. Theil ◽  
J. Schwarze ◽  
G. Gosheger ◽  
L. Poggenpohl ◽  
T. Ackmann ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Oxford Knee Score ◽  
Obese Patients ◽  
Term Survival ◽  
Long Term Survival ◽  
Cox Regression Analysis ◽  
Implant Survivorship ◽  
Revision Tka

Abstract Purpose The purpose of the study was to determine the long-term survivorship, functional outcomes of a single-design condylar constrained (CCK) TKA in primary and revision cases as well as to assess specific risk factors for failure. It was hypothesized that primary CCK TKA had a better survival than revision knees. Methods One hundred and forty three patients who underwent revision TKA (n = 119) or complex primary TKA (n = 24) using a single-design condylar constrained knee system (Genesis CCK, Smith & Nephew) performed at a single institution between 1999 and 2008 were retrospectively included. The median follow-up amounted to 11.8 years (IQR 10.3–14.4). Implant survivorship was analyzed using Kaplan–Meier survival estimates and multivariate Cox regression analysis to identify risk factors for failure. Function was determined using the Oxford Knee Score (OKS). Results The implant survival was 86.4% after five, 85.5% after ten and 79.8% at 15 years. A reduced implant survivorship was found in males (HR 5.16, p = 0.001), smokers (HR 6.53, p = 0.004) and in obese patients (HR 2.26, p = 0.095). Patients who underwent primary TKA had a higher revision-free implant survivorship compared to revision TKA at 15 years (100% vs. 76%, p = 0.036). The main cause for re-revision was infection in 10% of all revision TKA performed with the CCK design included, while no case was revised for instability. The median OKS was 39 (IQR 35–44) in 102 patients available for long-term functional outcome. Conclusion CCK implants are associated with excellent long-term survival when used in primary TKA; however, survival was worse when used during revision TKA. Males, smokers, obese patients and are at higher risk for revision. While instability and aseptic loosening were rare, infection remains a major concern. Level of evidence Level IV, retrospective observational study.

scholarly journals A Prognostic Model for Patients With Gastric Signet Ring Cell Carcinoma

2021 ◽  
Vol 20 ◽  
pp. 153303382110279
Author(s):  
Qinping Guo ◽  
Yinquan Wang ◽  
Jie An ◽  
Siben Wang ◽  
Xiushan Dong ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Signet Ring Cell Carcinoma ◽  
Signet Ring Cell ◽  
Training Set ◽  
Cox Regression Analysis ◽  
Signet Ring ◽  
Ring Cell ◽  
Independent Risk Factors

Background: The aim of our study was to develop a nomogram model to predict overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) in patients with gastric signet ring cell carcinoma (GSRC). Methods: GSRC patients from 2004 to 2015 were collected from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database and randomly assigned to the training and validation sets. Multivariate Cox regression analyses screened for OS and CSS independent risk factors and nomograms were constructed. Results: A total of 7,149 eligible GSRC patients were identified, including 4,766 in the training set and 2,383 in the validation set. Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that gender, marital status, race, AJCC stage, TNM stage, surgery and chemotherapy were independent risk factors for both OS and CSS. Based on the results of the multivariate Cox regression analysis, prognostic nomograms were constructed for OS and CSS. In the training set, the C-index was 0.754 (95% CI = 0.746-0.762) for the OS nomogram and 0.762 (95% CI: 0.753-0.771) for the CSS nomogram. In the internal validation, the C-index for the OS nomogram was 0.758 (95% CI: 0.746-0.770), while the C-index for the CSS nomogram was 0.762 (95% CI: 0.749-0.775). Compared with TNM stage and SEER stage, the nomogram had better predictive ability. In addition, the calibration curves also showed good consistency between the predicted and actual 3-year and 5-year OS and CSS. Conclusion: The nomogram can effectively predict OS and CSS in patients with GSRC, which may help clinicians to personalize prognostic assessments and clinical decisions.

scholarly journals Association of masseter area and radiodensity with three-month survival after proximal anterior circulation occlusion

2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
pp. 25-29 ◽  
Author(s):  
Iisa Lindström ◽  
Sara Protto ◽  
Niina Khan ◽  
Jussi Hernesniemi ◽  
Niko Sillanpää ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Ischemic Stroke ◽  
Acute Ischemic Stroke ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Multivariable Logistic Regression Analysis ◽  
Anterior Circulation ◽  
Term Survival ◽  
Cox Regression Analysis ◽  
Kaplan Meier

BackgroundMasseter area (MA), a surrogate for sarcopenia, appears to be useful when estimating postoperative survival, but there is lack of consensus regarding the potential predictive value of sarcopenia in acute ischemic stroke (AIS) patients. We hypothesized that MA and density (MD) evaluated from pre-interventional CT angiography scans predict postinterventional survival in patients undergoing mechanical thrombectomy (MT).Materials and methods312 patients treated with MT for acute occlusions of the internal carotid artery (ICA) or the M1 segment of the middle cerebral artery (M1-MCA) between 2013 and 2018. Median follow-up was 27.4 months (range 0–70.4). Binary logistic (alive at 3 months, OR <1) and Cox regression analyses were used to study the effect of MA and MD averages (MAavg and MDavg) on survival.ResultsIn Kaplan–Meier analysis, there was a significant inverse relationship with both MDavg and MAavg and mortality (MDavg P<0.001, MAavg P=0.002). Long-term mortality was 19.6% (n=61) and 3-month mortality 12.2% (n=38). In multivariable logistic regression analysis at 3 months, per 1-SD increase MDavg (OR 0.61, 95% CI 0.41 to 0.92, P=0.018:) and MAavg (OR 0.57, 95% CI 0.35 to 0.91, P=0.019) were the independent predictors associated with lower mortality. In Cox regression analysis, MDavg and MAavg were not associated with long-term survival.ConclusionsIn acute ischemic stroke patients, MDavg and MAavg are independent predictors of 3-month survival after MT of the ICA or M1-MCA. A 1-SD increase in MDavg and MAavg was associated with a 39%–43% decrease in the probability of death during the first 3 months after MT.

Predictive value of ankle–brachial index for long-term events of ischemic stroke in hemodialysis patients

Vascular ◽  
2020 ◽  
pp. 170853812092595
Author(s):  
Kai-Ni Lee ◽  
Li-Ping Chou ◽  
Chi-Chu Liu ◽  
Tsang-Shan Chen ◽  
Eric Kim-Tai Lui ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Ischemic Stroke ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Ankle Brachial Index ◽  
Hemodialysis Patients ◽  
Serum Phosphate ◽  
Cox Regression Analysis

Objectives The ankle–brachial index is a noninvasive modality to evaluate atherosclerosis and is a predictive role for future cardiovascular events and mortality. However, few studies have evaluated its relation to long-term future ischemic stroke in hemodialysis patients. Therefore, we examined the relationship between ankle–brachial index and ischemic stroke events among hemodialysis patients in a seven-year follow-up. Methods A total of 84 patients were enrolled. Ankle–brachial index was assessed in January 2009. Primary outcomes included ischemic stroke. An ankle–brachial index < 0.9 was considered abnormal and 1.4 ≥ ankle–brachial index ≥ 0.9 to be normal ankle–brachial index. Results Mean values for ankle–brachial index were 0.98 ± 0.21at study entrance. In addition, 28 patients encountered ischemic stroke in the seven-year follow-up. In univariate Cox regression analysis, old age (hazard ratio (HR): 1.065, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.030–1.102, p < 0.001), low seven-year averaged serum phosphate levels (HR: 0.473, 95% CI: 0.306–0.730, p = 0.001), and abnormal ankle–brachial index (HR: 0.035, 95% CI: 0.009–0.145, p < 0.001) were risk factors for ischemic stroke. In multivariate Cox regression analysis for significant variables in univariate analysis, abnormal ankle–brachial index (HR: 0.058, 95% CI: 0.012–0.279, p < 0.001) and low seven-year averaged serum phosphate levels (HR: 0.625, 95% CI: 0.404–0.968, p = 0.035) remained the risk factors for ischemic stroke. The risk of ischemic stroke was 3.783-fold in patients with abnormal ankle–brachial index compared with patients with normal ankle–brachial index (HR: 3.783, 95% CI: 1.731–8.269, p = 0.001). Conclusions These findings suggest that ankle–brachial index is an impressive predictor of future ischemic stroke among hemodialysis patients.

Safety and Feasibility of Thoracoscopic Lung Resection for Non-Small-Cell Lung Cancer in Octogenarians

2020 ◽  
pp. 155698452097162
Author(s):  
Xiaoying Lou ◽  
Andrew Sanders ◽  
Kaustubh Wagh ◽  
Jose N. Binongo ◽  
Manu Sancheti ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Lung Cancer ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Lung Resection ◽  
Small Cell ◽  
Small Cell Lung ◽  
Preoperative Risk ◽  
Term Survival ◽  
Long Term Survival ◽  
Cox Regression Analysis

Objective Octogenarians comprise an increasing proportion of patients presenting with non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC). This study examines postoperative morbidity and mortality, and long-term survival in octogenarians undergoing thoracoscopic anatomic lung resection for NSCLC, compared with younger cohorts. Methods We conducted a retrospective review of our institutional Society of Thoracic Surgeons General Thoracic Surgery Database of all patients ≥60 years old undergoing elective lobectomy or segmentectomy for pathologic stage I, II, and IIIA NSCLC between 2009 and 2018. Results were compared between octogenarians ( n = 71) to 2 younger cohorts of 60- to 69-year-olds ( n = 359) and 70- to 79-year-olds ( n = 308). Long-term survival among octogenarians was graphically summarized using the Kaplan–Meier method. Cox regression analysis was used to identify preoperative risk factors for mortality. Results A greater proportion of octogenarians required intensive care unit admission and discharge to extended-care facilities; however, postoperative length of stay was similar between groups. Among postoperative complications, arrhythmia and renal failure were more likely in the older cohort. Compared to the youngest cohort, in-hospital and 30-day mortality were highest among octogenarians. Overall survival among octogenarians at 1, 3, and 5 years was 87.3%, 61.8%, and 50.5%, respectively. On multivariable Cox regression analysis of baseline demographic variables, presence of stroke (hazard ratio [HR] = 28.5, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 6.1 to 132.7, P < 0.001) and coronary artery disease (HR = 2.5, 95% CI: 1.2 to 5.3, P = 0.02) were significant predictors of overall mortality among octogenarians. Conclusions Thoracoscopic resection can be performed with favorable early postoperative outcomes among octogenarians. Long-term survival, although comparable to their healthy peers, is worse than those of younger cohorts. Further study into preoperative risk stratification and alternative therapies among octogenarians is needed.

Histology, not Lymph Node Involvement, Predicts Long-Term Survival in Bronchopulmonary Carcinoids

2011 ◽  
Vol 77 (12) ◽  
pp. 1669-1674 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rebecca Johnson ◽  
Steven Trocha ◽  
Marc Mclawhorn ◽  
Mitchell Worley ◽  
Grace Wheeler ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Lymph Node ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Lymph Node Involvement ◽  
Term Survival ◽  
Pulmonary Carcinoid ◽  
Long Term Survival ◽  
Cox Regression Analysis ◽  
Node Involvement ◽  
Bronchopulmonary Carcinoid

Recently, the incidence of bronchopulmonary carcinoid has increased substantially, whereas survival associated with both subtypes has declined. We reviewed our experience with bronchopulmonary carcinoid to identify factors associated with long-term survival. We reviewed our cancer registry from 1985 to 2009 for all patients undergoing surgical resection for bronchopulmonary carcinoid. Cox regression analysis was used to evaluate prognostic factors. Fifty-two patients met criteria for inclusion. Forty-three patients (82%) presented with typical histology. The likelihood of lymph node metastasis was similar for patients with typical histology and patients with atypical histology. For patients with typical histology, the 5-year survival rates with and without lymph node metastases were 100 per cent and 97 per cent, respectively ( P = 0.420). The overall survival rate for patients with typical histology (97% at 5 years; 72% at 10 years) was significantly better than for patients with atypical histology (35% at 5 years, 0% at 10 years) ( P < 0.001). Univariate and multivariate analyses demonstrated that long-term survival was associated with histology but not lymph node involvement (hazards ratio = 14.6, 95% confidence interval: 1.7, 125.2). Our data suggests that long-term survival is associated with histology, not lymph node involvement. We found tumor histology to be the strongest predictor of long-term survival in patients with pulmonary carcinoid tumors.

Cardiotoxicity and related risk factors in long-term trastuzumab (T) administration for metastatic breast cancer (MBC): A retrospective analysis.

2013 ◽  
Vol 31 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. e11616-e11616
Author(s):  
Barbara Pistilli ◽  
Andrea Marcellusi ◽  
Michele Valeri ◽  
Umberto Torresi ◽  
Dania Nacciarriti ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Cardiac Disease ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Significant Risk ◽  
Concomitant Chemotherapy ◽  
Cox Regression Analysis ◽  
Significant Difference ◽  
History Of

e11616 Background: Continuing T beyond progression has become a common strategy in the treatment of human epidermal growth receptor 2- overexpressing (HER2) MBC. However, T administered for several years with concomitant chemotherapy elicits concern about cardiac safety especially in patients (pts) with risk factors. Methods: Cardiac events (CEs) and survival of HER2 MBC pts treated with T +/- chemotherapy at our institution from Dec 2003 to Jun 2012 were evaluated. CEs were graded by NCI-CTCAE v 3.0. Risk factors assessed for cardiotoxicity were: age, body mass index, antihypertensive therapy, history of cardiac disease, diabetes, hypothyroidism, smoking, prior radiotherapy on the chest wall, prior cumulative dose of anthracycline(A), interval between last A dose and first T dose, baseline LVEF, continued/interrupted T exposure, concomitant chemotherapy. Chi-square test was used to compare distribution of CEs over different times of T exposure (p≤ 0.05). Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis were used to assess the effect of risk predictors. Results: Sixty-two pts assessable. Median age 52 years (range, 29 to 76), median cumulative time receiving T 29.5 months (range, 3 to 99 months); 40 pts (64.5%) received T without interruption and 19 pts (30.6%) were treated for more than 36 months. CEs occurred in 11 out of all pts (17.7%): grade 1 in 3 pts (4.8%), grade 2 in 5 (8.1%) and grade 3 in 3 (4.8%). The rate of CEs showed no statistically significant difference in pts receiving T for up to 36 months and over: 7/43 (16.3%) and 4/19 (21%), respectively, (p =0.724). In univariate Cox regression analysis significant risk factors were: history of cardiac disease (HR 6,814, 95% CI: 1,384-33,542) and smoking (HR 5,228, 95% CI: 1,403-19,491). In multivariate analysis smoking was the only independent predictor (HR 5,886, 95% CI: 1,479-23,247). Median survival from MBC diagnosis was 50 months (range, 6 to 101 months). Conclusions: Despite the limited sample size, our analysis suggests that cardiotoxicity does not hamper a long-term use of T, since the rate of CEs did not increase in pts treated over 36 months. Moreover, smoking appears to be a predictive factor of T cardiotoxicity.

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