Inflation Risk Premia in the Term Structure of Interest Rates: Evidence from Euro Area Inflation Swaps

2009 ◽  
Author(s):  
Allan Sall Tang Andersen
2018 ◽  
Vol 17 (3) ◽  
pp. 397-431 ◽  
Author(s):  
Andrea Berardi ◽  
Alberto Plazzi

Abstract We incorporate a latent stochastic volatility factor and macroeconomic expectations in an affine model for the term structure of nominal and real rates. We estimate the model over 1999–2016 on U.S. data for nominal and TIPS yields, the realized and implied volatility of T-bonds, and survey forecasts of GDP growth and inflation. We find relatively stable inflation risk premia averaging at 40 basis points at the long-end, and which are strongly related to the volatility factor and conditional mean of output growth. We also document real risk premia that turn negative in the post-crisis period, and a non-negligible variance risk premium.


2010 ◽  
Vol 17 (4) ◽  
pp. 702-721 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ren-Raw Chen ◽  
Bo Liu ◽  
Xiaolin Cheng

2010 ◽  
Author(s):  
Peter Hoerdahl ◽  
Oreste Tristani

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document