Flexible Weather Index Insurance Design with Penalized Splines

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ken Seng Tan ◽  
Jinggong Zhang
Keyword(s):  
Penalized Splines ◽  
Index Insurance ◽  
Weather Index ◽  
Weather Index Insurance

scholarly journals Contrasting Influences of Seasonal and Intra-Seasonal Hydroclimatic Variabilities on the Irrigated Rice Paddies of Northern Peninsular Malaysia for Weather Index Insurance Design

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (9) ◽  
pp. 5207
Author(s):  
Zed Zulkafli ◽  
Farrah Melissa Muharam ◽  
Nurfarhana Raffar ◽  
Amirparsa Jajarmizadeh ◽  
Mukhtar Jibril Abdi ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Pearson Correlation ◽  
Extreme Rainfall ◽  
Peninsular Malaysia ◽  
Coefficient Of Determination ◽  
Index Insurance ◽  
Weather Index ◽  
Basis Risk ◽  
Insurance Contracts ◽  
Weather Index Insurance ◽  
Streamflow Statistics

Good index selection is key to minimising basis risk in weather index insurance design. However, interannual, seasonal, and intra-seasonal hydroclimatic variabilities pose challenges in identifying robust proxies for crop losses. In this study, we systematically investigated 574 hydroclimatic indices for their relationships with yield in Malaysia’s irrigated double planting system, using the Muda rice granary as a case study. The responses of seasonal rice yields to seasonal and monthly averages and to extreme rainfall, temperature, and streamflow statistics from 16 years’ observations were examined by using correlation analysis and linear regression. We found that the minimum temperature during the crop flowering to the maturity phase governed yield in the drier off-season (season 1, March to July, Pearson correlation, r = +0.87; coefficient of determination, R2 = 74%). In contrast, the average streamflow during the crop maturity phase regulated yield in the main planting season (season 2, September to January, r = +0.82, R2 = 67%). During the respective periods, these indices were at their lowest in the seasons. Based on these findings, we recommend temperature- and water-supply-based indices as the foundations for developing insurance contracts for the rice system in northern Peninsular Malaysia.

scholarly journals Farmers’ Demand for Informal Risk Management Strategy and Weather Index Insurance: Evidence from China

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yingmei Tang ◽  
Huifang Cai ◽  
Rongmao Liu
Keyword(s):  
Risk Management ◽  
Field Experiments ◽  
Management Strategies ◽  
Insurance Companies ◽  
Index Insurance ◽  
Insurance Demand ◽  
Weather Index ◽  
Weather Index Insurance ◽  
Risk Management Strategies ◽  
The Government

AbstractIn the absence of formal risk management strategies, agricultural production in China is highly vulnerable to climate change. In this study, field experiments were conducted with 344 households in Heilongjiang (Northeast China) and Jiangsu (East China) Provinces. Probit and logistic models and independent sample T-test were used to explore farmers’ demand for weather index insurance, in contrast to informal risk management strategies, and the main factors that affect demand. The results show that the farmers prefer weather index insurance to informal risk management strategies, and farmers’ characteristics have significant impacts on their adoption of risk management strategies. The variables non-agricultural labor ratio, farmers’ risk perception, education, and agricultural insurance purchase experience significantly affect farmers’ weather index insurance demand. The regression results show that the farmers’ weather index insurance demand and the influencing factors in the two provinces are different. Farmers in Heilongjiang Province have a higher participation rate than those in Jiangsu Province. The government should conduct more weather index insurance pilot programs to help farmers understand the mechanism, and insurance companies should provide more types of weather index insurance to meet farmers’ diversified needs.

scholarly journals POSSIBILITY OF WEATHER-INDEX INSURANCE FOR CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION IN NORTHEAST THAILAND

2017 ◽  
Vol 73 (5) ◽  
pp. I_377-I_383 ◽  
Author(s):  
Koshi YOSHIDA ◽  
Koki HOMMA ◽  
Masayasu MAKI ◽  
Keigo NODA ◽  
Hiroaki SHIRAKAWA ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Climate Change Adaptation ◽  
Index Insurance ◽  
Northeast Thailand ◽  
Weather Index ◽  
Weather Index Insurance

Quantifying spatial basis risk for weather index insurance

2012 ◽  
Vol 14 (1) ◽  
pp. 20-34 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael T. Norton ◽  
Calum Turvey ◽  
Daniel Osgood
Keyword(s):  
Index Insurance ◽  
Weather Index ◽  
Basis Risk ◽  
Weather Index Insurance

Mapping the customer centric weather index insurance service design using quality function deployment

2022 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Pankaj Singh ◽  
Gaurav Agrawal
Keyword(s):  
Quality Function Deployment ◽  
Service Design ◽  
Index Insurance ◽  
Importance Rating ◽  
Customer Requirements ◽  
Weather Index ◽  
Quality Function ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Weather Index Insurance ◽  
Design Requirements

PurposeThe present paper aims to propose a framework on weather index insurance (WII) service design by using quality function deployment (QFD).Design/methodology/approachThis study utilizes QFD technique to propose a customer oriented framework on WII service design. In initial phase, customer and design requirements were gathered to derive the relationship between customers' and managers' voice for construct the house of quality (HOQ). Later on, prioritized customer and design requirements as QFD outcome were utilized to develop the action plan matrix in order to suggest the future action plans.FindingsThis study proposed a customer centric framework on WII service design to address the customer requirements. Findings show that adequate claim payments, hassle free prompt claim payment and transparency in losses computation are prioritized customer requirements with highest importance rating, whereas, accurate claim estimation, claim management system and advancement of technology are prioritized service design necessities with highest importance rating.Research limitations/implicationsThe proposed WII service design can enhance the quality of WII service by attain the higher standards of WII service in order to completely satisfy the customers.Practical implicationsThe proposed WII service design can provide a solution to the problems faced by WII industry by improve the customer's service experience and satisfaction.Originality/valueBased on best of author's knowledge, this paper first proposed a framework on WII service design by integrating customer and design requirements by using QFD.

Using a regional climate model to develop index-based drought insurance for sovereign disaster risk transfer

2020 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Roman Hohl ◽  
Ze Jiang ◽  
Minh Tue Vu ◽  
Srivatsan Vijayaraghavan ◽  
Shie-Yui Liong
Keyword(s):  
Climate Model ◽  
Regional Climate ◽  
Meteorological Drought ◽  
Drought Indices ◽  
Index Insurance ◽  
Weather Index ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Risk Transfer ◽  
Central Java ◽  
Weather Index Insurance

PurposeExamine the usability of rainfall and temperature outputs of a regional climate model (RCM) and meteorological drought indices to develop a macro-level risk transfer product to compensate the government of Central Java, Indonesia, for drought-related disaster payments to rice farmers.Design/methodology/approachBased on 0.5° gridded rainfall and temperature data (1960–2015) and projections of the WRF-RCM (2016–2040), the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) and the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) are calculated for Central Java over different time spans. The drought indices are correlated to annual and seasonal rice production, based on which a weather index insurance structure is developed.FindingsThe six-month SPI correlates best with the wet season rice production, which generates most output in Central Java. The SPI time series reveals that drought severity increases in future years (2016–2040) and leads to higher payouts from the weather index structure compared to the historical period (1960–2015).Practical implicationsThe developed methodology in using SPI for historical and projected periods allows the development of weather index insurance in other regions which have a clear link between rainfall deficit and agricultural production volatility.Originality/valueMeteorological drought indices are a viable alternative for weather index insurance, which is usually based on rainfall amounts. RCM outputs provide valuable insights into future climate variability and drought risk and prolong the time series, which should result in more robust weather index insurance products.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document