PUBLIC DEBT: NEW RISKS IN THE CONTEXT OF THE COVID-19 CRISIS. PART 2

2020 ◽  
pp. 84-101
Author(s):  
Galina Semeko ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Public Debt ◽  
Sharp Increase ◽  
Debt Crisis ◽  
Public Finances ◽  
Expert Opinions ◽  
Fiscal Incentives ◽  
The Face ◽  
The Impact

The crisis associated with the COVID-19 pandemic has led to unprecedented fiscal interventions in all affected countries, including Russia. A sharp increase in unplanned budget expenditures, in the face of a collapse of tax and export revenues, has created a threat of public finances destabilisation and debt spiral launch. The article presents expert opinions on the impact of debt growth on the economy, the threshold of debt towards GDP, and strategies that can prevent a debt crisis. Forecasts of growth in budget expenditures and public debt, as well as fiscal incentives applied in some countries are discussed.

scholarly journals Public debt: New risks in the context of the COVID-19 crisis. Part 1

2020 ◽  
pp. 84-101
Author(s):  
Galina Semeko ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Impact ◽  
Public Debt ◽  
Sharp Increase ◽  
Debt Crisis ◽  
Threshold Value ◽  
Public Finances ◽  
Expert Opinions ◽  
Fiscal Incentives

The crisis associated with the COVID-19 pandemic has led to unprecedented fiscal interventions in all affected countries, including Russia. The sharp increase in unplanned budget spending in the context of the collapse of tax and export revenues created the threat of destabilization of public finances and of deployment of a debt spiral. The article presents the expert opinions on the economic impact of the growth of such debt and on the threshold value of debt relative to GDP, as well as on strategies that can prevent a debt crisis. Discusses the forecasts of the growth of budgetary expenditures and public debt, as well as the fiscal incentives applied in different countries.

scholarly journals Public Debt and External Reserve: The Nigerian Experience (1981–2013)

2016 ◽  
Vol 2016 ◽  
pp. 1-7 ◽  
Author(s):  
Victoria Senibi ◽  
Emmanuel Oduntan ◽  
Obinna Uzoma ◽  
Esther Senibi ◽  
Akinde Oluwaseun
Keyword(s):  
Public Debt ◽  
Debt Crisis ◽  
Foreign Debt ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Economic Policies ◽  
Interest Payment ◽  
Endogenous Factors ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Domestic Savings ◽  
The Impact

Nigeria is confronted with the issue of limited capital and has to resort to foreign debt in order to augment domestic savings, balance of payment deficits, and shortfall in revenue which induce continuous raise in the debt stock at an alarming rate. In the light of this, this study assesses the impact of public debt on external reserve in Nigeria. The objectives of this study include the assessment of the trends and relationship between public debt and external reserve in Nigeria, using the Johansen cointegration and FMOLS technique on the secondary data from 1981 to 2013. The result revealed that public debt has a positive and significant effect on external reserve stock in the long run suggesting that the nation’s debt crisis can be attributed to both exogenous and endogenous factors such as the nature of the economy, economic policies, high dependence on oil, and swindling foreign exchange receipt. This study recommends that the federal government should employ more superior method to negotiate for fixed interest payment and varying amortization schemes, as well as seek multiyear rescheduling rather than year by year basis.

scholarly journals The role of military expenditure and arms imports in the Greek debt crisis

2016 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Eftychia Nikolaidou
Keyword(s):  
Public Debt ◽  
Debt Crisis ◽  
Empirical Work ◽  
Interesting Case ◽  
Military Expenditure ◽  
The European Union ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Impact

Despite the vast amount of empirical work performed on the defense–growth relationship, the impact of military expenditure on public debt is a largely neglected topic. The recent Greek debt crisis brought to the forefront the role of military expenditure as well as the inefficiencies and the inability of the EU to deal with the European debt crisis. This article investigates the role of military expenditure (among other factors) in the evolution of the Greek debt over the period 1970-2011. Greece is a particularly interesting case in this regard, given its high military burden since 1974 and the recent debt crisis that led the country to sign a bail-out package presented by the European Union, the European Central Bank, and the International Monetary Fund, which involves extreme austerity measures and cuts in public spending. Employing the ARDL approach to cointegration, this article concludes that military expenditure and arms imports have had an adverse (i.e., increasing) effect on Greek public debt in the short-run, while investment has helped to reduce debt both in the short- and the long-run.

Fiscal Rules—Anchoring Expectations for Sustainable Public Finances

Policy Papers ◽  
2009 ◽  
Vol 09 ◽  
Author(s):  
Keyword(s):  
Data Base ◽  
Public Debt ◽  
Sharp Increase ◽  
Developing Economies ◽  
Fiscal Rules ◽  
Fiscal Consolidation ◽  
Medium Term ◽  
Fiscal Deficits ◽  
Public Finances ◽  
Design And Implementation

The sharp increase in fiscal deficits and public debt in most advanced and several developing economies has raised concerns about the sustainability of public finances and highlighted the need for a significant adjustment over the medium term. This paper assesses the usefulness of fiscal rules in supporting fiscal consolidation, discusses the design and implementation of rules based on a new data base spanning the whole Fund membership, and explores the fiscal framework that could be adopted as countries emerge from the crisis.

Trends in Collective Bargaining, Wage Stagnation and Income Inequality under Austerity

2020 ◽  
pp. 71-96
Author(s):  
Ian Cunningham ◽  
Philip James
Keyword(s):  
Collective Bargaining ◽  
Public Debt ◽  
Trade Unions ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Debt Crisis ◽  
Economic Policies ◽  
Factors Influencing ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Wage Outcomes

This chapter discusses the impact of the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) and austerity on collective bargaining and wage outcomes internationally. It adopts a perspective that sees the GFC and austerity as providing a convenient point from which to further consolidate neoliberalism's hold on society and simultaneously undermine one of the chief forms of resistance — trade unions and collective bargaining. The chapter begins by exploring trends in collective bargaining in the EU and North America (US and Canada) in the post-GFC period. In doing so, it identifies a common trajectory in nation-state policies that encompasses a shift towards identifying the GFC as a public debt crisis; the blaming of trade unions and their members (in particular public sector workers) for the crisis; and the introduction of reforms to collective bargaining and union security designed to reinforce deflationary austerity policies. The chapter then examines trends in wage growth and equality since 2008 and considers the factors influencing them and the extent to which they can be viewed as a product of the neoliberal-informed economic policies and reforms adopted in response to the crisis.

scholarly journals Wpływ współczesnego kryzysu ekonomicznego na stan finansów publicznych państw Grupy Wyszehradzkiej

Ekonomia ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 23 (2) ◽  
pp. 57-73
Author(s):  
Mikołaj Mielczarek
Keyword(s):  
European Union ◽  
Economic Crisis ◽  
Public Debt ◽  
The European Union ◽  
The Czech Republic ◽  
Public Finances ◽  
The Public ◽  
Sector Analysis ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Visegrad Group

The impact of contemporary economic crisis on public finances of the Visegrad GroupThe article attempts to assess the state of public finances of the Visegrad Group V4 during the contemporary economic crisis. At the beginning there are shown two faces of the economic crisis in the European Union and that this crisis firstly took the form of abanking crisis, and next extend to the public finance sector. Analysis of GDP proved that when we have crisis in the European Union in all V4 countries there has been adecline in the volume of GDP, and in the next years there were rather its growth. Analysis of the budget deficit showed that in 2008-2015 the V4 countries had problems in complying with the deficit below 3% of GDP. At the same time analysis of public debt showed that as aresult of the economic crisis public debt in the Visegrad Group had atendency to rather increase, but in the Czech Republic, Poland and Slovakia, it was less than 60% of GDP, while in Hungary exceeded 71% of GDP.

scholarly journals Supreme Audit Institutions and Sustainability of Public Finance. Links and Evidence along the Economic Cycles

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (17) ◽  
pp. 9757 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ionel Bostan ◽  
Mihaela Brindusa Tudose ◽  
Raluca Irina Clipa ◽  
Ionela Corina Chersan ◽  
Flavian Clipa
Keyword(s):  
Public Debt ◽  
Member States ◽  
Public Finances ◽  
Secondary Sources ◽  
Public Deficit ◽  
Government Deficit ◽  
And Control ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Control Of Corruption ◽  
The Eu

Against the backdrop of concerns for diminishing the vulnerabilities of the economies of the Member States, the EU has adopted measures to strengthen budgetary discipline and control of the public deficit. In this context, the responsibility of government institutions has increased, not only in ensuring the sustainability of public finances but also in direct or indirect cooperation for good economic governance. From this perspective, this study aims to assess the impact of macroeconomic variables and those associated with supreme audit institutions on the sustainability of public finances measured by the size and dynamics of government deficit and gross public debt. Additionally, the impact of the same variables on governmental effectiveness and control of corruption has also been assessed. The data collected from secondary sources and panel data models were used to conduct an empirical study of the EU Member States which covered the 2002–2019 period and the sub-periods, divided as follows: pre-crisis, crisis, and post-crisis. The results of the study show that supreme audit institutions, through their organizational structure, the nature of their activities, and professionalism, may contribute to the reduction of public deficit and gross public debt and, implicitly, to higher efficiency and control of corruption. The results of analyses for the sub-periods show that ISAs played a more important role in reducing government deficit during crisis and post-crisis periods. By confirming or rejecting the results of the few studies that have been conducted so far, this study provides additional evidence that fills the gaps in the literature.

Secular stagnation in the modern world

2018 ◽  
pp. 125-141 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. M. Drobyshevsky ◽  
P. V. Trunin ◽  
A. V. Bozhechkova
Keyword(s):  
Public Debt ◽  
Capital Accumulation ◽  
Technological Development ◽  
Japanese Economy ◽  
Modern World ◽  
Key Factors ◽  
Destruction Process ◽  
Secular Stagnation ◽  
The Impact

The paper studies the factors of secular stagnation. Key factors of long-term slowdown in economic growth include the slowdown of technological development, aging population, human capital accumulation limits, high public debt, creative destruction process violation etc. The authors analyze key theoretical aspects of long-term stagnation and study the impact of these factors on Japanies economy. The authors conclude that most of the factors have significant influence on the Japanese economy for recent decades, but they cannot explain all dynamics. For Russia, on the contrary, we do not see any grounds for considering the decline in the economy since 2013 as an episode of secular stagnation.

European Economies Stability Faced With Potential Outburst of Sovereign Debt Crisis. An Empirical Study Using Neural Network

2013 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 3255-3260
Author(s):  
Stelian Stancu ◽  
Alexandra Maria Constantin
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Sovereign Debt ◽  
Debt Crisis ◽  
Banking System ◽  
Sovereign Debt Crisis ◽  
European Level ◽  
Continuous Growth ◽  
Economic Context ◽  
European Economies ◽  
The Impact

Instilment, on a European level, of a state incompatible with the state of stability on a macroeconomic level and in the financial-banking system lead to continuous growth of vulnerability of European economies, situated at the verge of an outburst of sovereign debt crises. In this context, the current papers main objective is to produce a study regarding the vulnerability of European economies faced with potential outburst of sovereign debt crisis, which implies quantitative analysis of the impact of sovereign debt on the sensitivity of the European Unions economies. The paper also entails the following specific objectives: completing an introduction in the current European economic context, conceptualization of the notion of “sovereign debt crisis, presenting the methodology and obtained empirical results, as well as exposition of the conclusions.

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