A multivariate risk assessment of the airborne transmission of SARS-Cov-2 in different scenarios in Bangladesh: Identifying potential danger zones and proposing solutions

2021 ◽  
pp. 111-126
Author(s):  
Arfaa Feezanul Islam ◽  
Salemun Bahar ◽  
Nadim Reza Khandaker
Keyword(s):  
Environmental Parameters ◽  
Airborne Particles ◽  
Transmission Risk ◽  
Multivariate Approach ◽  
Potential Danger ◽  
Risk Matrix ◽  
Modified Model ◽  
Virus Particles ◽  
Multivariate Risk ◽  
Mitigation Methods

Bangladesh is a developing country with one of the world’s densest populations, and thus, is very vulnerable to the impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic. Bangladesh has found it challenging to contain the transmission of SARS-CoV-2, leading to a high number of COVID-19 cases. The dominant avenue of SARS-CoV-2 transmission is through airborne droplets. We have attempted to compare the probability of SARS-CoV-2 transmission in different scenarios and situations, with a view to proposing mitigations to reduce this risk in the context of the country. A multivariate approach was taken, whereby a number of physical and environmental parameters were considered. Based on the Wells-Riley model, we have integrated several different equations into the original, developing a modified model that takes into account the factors of distancing, ventilation and the decay of airborne particles. The modified model was run on a number of different scenarios and situations. From the results, a distance risk matrix was developed, which indicates the relative risk of transmission someone faces at a distance from an infectious person compared to the risk being at some other distance. Additionally, it was found that environments with strong sunlight exposure and high temperature and humidity have greatly reduced transmission risk, as the airborne deactivation of virus particles is accelerated. Proper ventilation in indoor situations also greatly reduces this risk. The results of the study are used to suggest a number of mitigation methods that can be adapted as policy or guidelines.

scholarly journals Multivariate Risk-Neutral Pricing of Reverse Mortgages under the Bayesian Framework

Risks ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 11
Author(s):  
Jackie Li ◽  
Atsuyuki Kogure ◽  
Jia Liu
Keyword(s):  
House Price ◽  
Interest Rate Risk ◽  
Price Risk ◽  
Multivariate Approach ◽  
Reverse Mortgage ◽  
Principle Of Maximum Entropy ◽  
Multivariate Risk ◽  
Reverse Mortgages ◽  
Principle Of Maximum ◽  
Financial Environment

In this paper, we suggest a Bayesian multivariate approach for pricing a reverse mortgage, allowing for house price risk, interest rate risk and longevity risk. We adopt the principle of maximum entropy in risk-neutralisation of these three risk components simultaneously. Our numerical results based on Australian data suggest that a reverse mortgage would be financially sustainable under the current financial environment and the model settings and assumptions.

scholarly journals Non-invasive adapted N-95 mask sampling captures variation in viral particles expelled by COVID-19 patients: Implications in understanding SARS-CoV2 transmission

PLoS ONE ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (4) ◽  
pp. e0249525
Author(s):  
Kalpana Sriraman ◽  
Ambreen Shaikh ◽  
Swapneil Parikh ◽  
Shreevatsa Udupa ◽  
Nirjhar Chatterjee ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Healthy Volunteers ◽  
Control Strategies ◽  
Secondary Infection ◽  
Transmission Risk ◽  
Nasopharyngeal Swab ◽  
Virus Particles ◽  
Patient Demographics ◽  
Non Invasive ◽  
Viral Particles ◽  
Key Driver

Infectious respiratory particles expelled by SARS-CoV-2 positive patients are attributed to be the key driver of COVID-19 transmission. Understanding how and by whom the virus is transmitted can help implement better disease control strategies. Here we have described the use of a noninvasive mask sampling method to detect and quantify SARS-CoV-2 RNA in respiratory particles expelled by COVID-19 patients and discussed its relationship to transmission risk. Respiratory particles of 31 symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 positive patients and 31 asymptomatic healthy volunteers were captured on N-95 masks layered with a gelatin membrane in a 30-minute process that involved talking/reading, coughing, and tidal breathing. SARS-CoV-2 viral RNA was detected and quantified using rRT-PCR in the mask and in concomitantly collected nasopharyngeal swab (NPS) samples. The data were analyzed with respect to patient demographics and clinical presentation. Thirteen of 31(41.9%) patients showed SARS-COV-2 positivity in both the mask and NPS samples, while 16 patients were mask negative but NPS positive. Two patients were both mask and NPS negative. All healthy volunteers except one were mask and NPS negative. The mask positive patients had significantly lower NPS Ct value (26) compared to mask negative patients (30.5) and were more likely to be rapid antigen test positive. The mask positive patients could be further grouped into low emitters (expelling <100 viral copies) and high emitters (expelling >1000 viral copies). The study presents evidence for variation in emission of SARS-CoV-2 virus particles by COVID-19 patients reflecting differences in infectivity and transmission risk among individuals. The results conform to reported secondary infection rates and transmission and also suggest that mask sampling could be explored as an effective tool to assess individual transmission risks, at different time points and during different activities.

Recent Applications of High Resolution Electron Microscopy to Crystalline Arrays of Virus Particles

1978 ◽  
Vol 36 (3) ◽  
pp. 470-482 ◽  
Author(s):  
R.W. Horne
Keyword(s):  
Electron Microscopy ◽  
Image Processing ◽  
Analytical Techniques ◽  
Staining Technique ◽  
High Resolution Electron Microscopy ◽  
Optical Diffraction ◽  
Full Potential ◽  
Virus Particles ◽  
Resolution Electron ◽  
Wide Range

The technique of surrounding virus particles with a neutralised electron dense stain was described at the Fourth International Congress on Electron Microscopy, Berlin 1958 (see Home & Brenner, 1960, p. 625). For many years the negative staining technique in one form or another, has been applied to a wide range of biological materials. However, the full potential of the method has only recently been explored following the development and applications of optical diffraction and computer image analytical techniques to electron micrographs (cf. De Hosier & Klug, 1968; Markham 1968; Crowther et al., 1970; Home & Markham, 1973; Klug & Berger, 1974; Crowther & Klug, 1975). These image processing procedures have allowed a more precise and quantitative approach to be made concerning the interpretation, measurement and reconstruction of repeating features in certain biological systems.

Biological and Surface Properties of C-Type Virus Particles Produced by Novikoff Ascites Hepatoma Cells

1977 ◽  
Vol 35 ◽  
pp. 388-389
Author(s):  
D.C. Hixson ◽  
J.C. Chan ◽  
J.M. Bowen ◽  
E.F. Walborg
Keyword(s):  
Surface Properties ◽  
Ricinus Communis ◽  
Rat Kidney ◽  
Leukemia Virus ◽  
Viral Envelope ◽  
Virus Particles ◽  
Chemically Induced ◽  
Sarcoma Virus ◽  
Hepatocarcinoma Cells ◽  
Type C

Several years ago Karasaki (1) reported the production of type C virus particles by Novikoff ascites hepatocarcinoma cells. More recently, Weinstein (2) has reported the presence of type C virus particles in cell cultures derived from transplantable and primary hepatocellular carcinomas. To date, the biological function of these virus and their significance in chemically induced hepatocarcinogenesis are unknown. The present studies were initiated to determine a possible role for type C virus particles in chemically induced hepatocarcinogenesis. This communication describes results of studies on the biological and surface properties of type C virus associated with Novikoff hepatocarcinoma cells.Ecotropic and xenotropic murine leukemia virus (MuLV) activity in ascitic fluid of Novikoff tumor-bearing rats was assayed in murine sarcoma virus transformed S+L- mouse cells and S+L- mink cells, respectively. The presence of sarcoma virus activity was assayed in non-virus-producing normal rat kidney (NRK) cells. Ferritin conjugates of concanavalin A (Fer-Con wheat germ agglutinin (Fer-WGA), and Ricinus communis agglutinins I and II (Fer-RCAI and Fer-RCAII) were used to probe the structure and topography of saccharide determinants present on the viral envelope.

Further Observations on the Virus of Epizootic Diarrhea of Infant Mice. An Electron Microscopic Study

1967 ◽  
Vol 25 ◽  
pp. 110-111
Author(s):  
W. G. Banfield ◽  
G. Kasnic ◽  
J. H. Blackwell
Keyword(s):  
Electron Microscope ◽  
Infected Cell ◽  
Microscopic Study ◽  
Intestinal Epithelium ◽  
Ultrastructural Study ◽  
Osmium Tetroxide ◽  
Lead Citrate ◽  
Electron Microscopic ◽  
Virus Particles ◽  
Infected Cells

An ultrastructural study of the intestinal epithelium of mice infected with the agent of epizootic diarrhea of infant mice (EDIM virus) was first performed by Adams and Kraft. We have extended their observations and have found developmental forms of the virus and associated structures not reported by them.Three-day-old NLM strain mice were infected with EDIM virus and killed 48 to 168 hours later. Specimens of bowel were fixed in glutaraldehyde, post fixed in osmium tetroxide and embedded in epon. Sections were stained with uranyl magnesium acetate followed by lead citrate and examined in an updated RCA EMU-3F electron microscope.The cells containing virus particles (infected) are at the tips of the villi and occur throughout the intestine from duodenum through colon. All developmental forms of the virus are present from 48 to 168 hours after infection. Figure 1 is of cells without virus particles and figure 2 is of an infected cell. The nucleus and cytoplasm of the infected cells appear clearer than the cells without virus particles.

Recent Studies on a Murine Leukemia Virus Grown in Tissue Culture

1967 ◽  
Vol 25 ◽  
pp. 106-107
Author(s):  
L. Z. de Tkaczevski ◽  
E. de Harven ◽  
C. Friend
Keyword(s):  
Tissue Culture ◽  
Solid Tumors ◽  
Murine Leukemia Virus ◽  
Leukemia Virus ◽  
Supernatant Fluid ◽  
Virus Particles ◽  
Friend Leukemia ◽  
Type C ◽  
Leukemia Viruses ◽  
Murine Leukemia

Despite extensive studies, the correlation between the morphology and pathogenicity of murine leukemia viruses (MLV) has not yet been clarified. The virus particles found in the plasma of leukemic mice belong to 2 distinct groups, 1 or 2% of them being enveloped A particles and the vast majority being of type C. It is generally believed that these 2 types of particles represent different phases in the development of the same virus. Particles of type A have been thought to be an earlier form of type C particles. One of the tissue culture lines established from Friend leukemia solid tumors has provided the material for the present study. The supernatant fluid of the line designated C-1A contains an almost pure population of A particles as illustrated in Figure 1. The ratio is, therefore, the reverse of what is unvariably observed in the plasma of leukemic mice where C particles predominate.

Uranyl Acetate and Rotary Shadowing to Increase the Contrast of Small Aggregated Virus Particles

1969 ◽  
Vol 27 ◽  
pp. 424-425
Author(s):  
Lee F. Ellis ◽  
Richard M. Van Frank ◽  
Walter J. Kleinschmidt
Keyword(s):  
Electron Microscopy ◽  
Tissue Culture ◽  
Density Gradient ◽  
Density Gradient Centrifugation ◽  
Gradient Centrifugation ◽  
Uranyl Acetate ◽  
Interferon Inducer ◽  
Virus Particles ◽  
Staining Methods ◽  
Rotary Shadowing

The extract from Penicillum stoliniferum, known as statolon, has been purified by density gradient centrifugation. These centrifuge fractions contained virus particles that are an interferon inducer in mice or in tissue culture. Highly purified preparations of these particles are difficult to enumerate by electron microscopy because of aggregation. Therefore a study of staining methods was undertaken.

Periodic Structure in the Matrix Protein of an Insect Virus

1982 ◽  
Vol 40 ◽  
pp. 302-303
Author(s):  
H.M. Mazzone ◽  
W.F. Engler ◽  
R. Zerillo ◽  
G.F. Bahr
Keyword(s):  
Inclusion Body ◽  
Periodic Structure ◽  
Matrix Protein ◽  
Malacosoma Disstria ◽  
Insect Virus ◽  
Virus Particles ◽  
The Matrix ◽  
Nucleopolyhedrosis Virus

The nucleopolyhedrosis virus (NPV) of the forest tent cater - pillar (Malacosoma disstria Hubner) has been analyzed in our laboratories. As a representative of the Baculovirus class, the NPV has virus particles enclosed with in a proteinaceous structure, the inclusion body.

(EB) Virus: Latency and Expression in Transplanted and Cultured Human Cells

1971 ◽  
Vol 29 ◽  
pp. 368-369
Author(s):  
B. G. Uzman ◽  
M. M. Kasac ◽  
H. Saito ◽  
A. Krishan
Keyword(s):  
Cell Lines ◽  
Primary Cultures ◽  
Virus Particles ◽  
Barr Virus ◽  
Virus Latency ◽  
Virus Surveillance ◽  
Cultured Human Cells ◽  
Epstein Barr ◽  
Serial Transplantation ◽  
Tubular Arrays

In conjunction with the cultivation and transplantation of cells from human tumors by the Programs of Microbiology and Immunogenetics, virus surveillance by electron microscopy has been routinely employed. Of particular interest in this regard have been 3 cell lines cultured from lymph nodes or spleen of 2 patients with Hodgkin's disease and 1 patient with Letterer-Siwe's disease. Each of these cell lines when transplanted in Syrian hamster neonates conditioned with anti-lymphocyte serum grew as serially transplantable tumors; from such transplants of the 3 cell lines cell cultures were retrieved.Herpes type virus particles (Figs. 1, 2, 3) were found in the primary cultures of all three lines, in frozen thawed aliquots of same, and in cultures retrieved from their tumors growing by serial transplantation in hamsters. No virus was detected in sections of 25 of the serially transplanted tumors. However, in 10 such tumors there were repeated instances of tubular arrays in the cisternae of the endoplasmic reticulum (Fig. 4). On serologic examination the herpes virus was shown to be the Epstein-Barr virus.

Intramitochondrial Viruses of Reptilian Cell Origin

1972 ◽  
Vol 30 ◽  
pp. 318-319
Author(s):  
Philip D. Lunger ◽  
H. Fred Clark
Keyword(s):  
Particle Production ◽  
Outer Zone ◽  
Density Variation ◽  
Core Region ◽  
Mitochondrial Membranes ◽  
Virus Particles ◽  
The Core ◽  
Vipera Russelli ◽  
Maturation Stages ◽  
Type Particle

In the course of fine structure studies of spontaneous “C-type” particle production in a viper (Vipera russelli) spleen cell line, designated VSW, virus particles were frequently observed within mitochondria. The latter were usually enlarged or swollen, compared to virus-free mitochondria, and displayed a considerable degree of cristae disorganization.Intramitochondrial viruses measure 90 to 100 mμ in diameter, and consist of a nucleoid or core region of varying density and measuring approximately 45 mμ in diameter. Nucleoid density variation is presumed to reflect varying degrees of condensation, and hence maturation stages. The core region is surrounded by a less-dense outer zone presumably representing viral capsid.Particles are usually situated in peripheral regions of the mitochondrion. In most instances they appear to be lodged between loosely apposed inner and outer mitochondrial membranes.

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