Fear of Free Floating or Forced Exchange Rate Fixing

2004 ◽  
pp. 112-122
Author(s):  
O. Osipova
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Inflation Targeting ◽  
Exchange Rate Policy ◽  
Float Exchange Rate ◽  
Floating Exchange Rate ◽  
Rate Policy ◽  
Exchange Rate Arrangements ◽  
Pass Through

After the financial crisis at the end of the 1990 s many countries rejected fixed exchange rate policy. However actually they failed to proceed to announced "independent float" exchange rate arrangement. This might be due to the "fear of floating" or an irreversible result of inflation targeting central bank policy. In the article advantages and drawbacks of fixed and floating exchange rate arrangements are systematized. Features of new returning to exchange rates stabilization and possible risks of such policy for Russia are considered. Special attention is paid to the issue of choice of a "target" currency composite which can minimize external inflation pass-through.

Exchange Rate Regimes and Economic Stability

2010 ◽  
pp. 29-43
Author(s):  
S. Smirnov
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Inflation Targeting ◽  
Exchange Rate Regime ◽  
Exchange Rate Policy ◽  
Real Sector ◽  
Economic Stability ◽  
Exogenous Shocks ◽  
Floating Exchange Rate ◽  
Rate Policy ◽  
Managed Floating

The Bank of Russia intends to introduce inflation targeting policy and exchange rate free floating regime in three years. Exogenous shocks absorption which stabilizes the real sector of economy is usually considered to be one of the advantages of free floating exchange rate policy. However, our research based on the analysis of 25 world largest economies exchange rates and industrial production during the crisis of 2008-2009 does not confirm this hypothesis. The article also analyzes additional risks associated with free floating exchange rate regime in Russia and presents some arguments in favor of managed floating exchange rate regime.

Switching to Floating Exchange Rate in Russia under the Strategy of Price Stability

2015 ◽  
Vol 2015 (4) ◽  
pp. 11-29
Author(s):  
Sergey Dubinin ◽  
Nina Miklashevskaya
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Main Part ◽  
Inflation Targeting ◽  
World Market ◽  
Emerging Countries ◽  
Exchange Rate Policy ◽  
Policy Issues ◽  
The World ◽  
Floating Exchange Rate ◽  
Rate Policy

The article focuses on the implementation of the exchange rate policy of the Bank of Russia aimed to switch from the managed arrangement to floating under inflation targeting. It provides a theoretical framework of such policy with special regard to emerging countries. The main part of the article deals with the policy issues, which Russia has been facing within the western sanctions and oil price falling at the world market. It contains the analysis of risks, which countries implementing the switching to floating may be exposed to and which should be taken into account by government authorities. Special attention is paid to the measures of economic policy to minimize the risks. It is concluded that the switching to floating may be appropriate only in case of availability of a set of required conditions.

scholarly journals Fear of Floating in Turkey

2015 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 288
Author(s):  
Ilyas Sıklar ◽  
Taner Sekmen
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Currency Crises ◽  
Inflation Targeting ◽  
Foreign Exchange Rates ◽  
Before And After ◽  
Floating Exchange Rate ◽  
Pass Through ◽  
Exchange Rate Pass Through ◽  
Fear Of Floating

<p class="ber"><span lang="EN-GB">Many emerging markets have adopted floating exchange rate regimes after currency crises. Turkey has experienced a floating regime since 2002 combined with inflation targeting. The aim of this paper is to investigate the “fear of floating” phenomenon,</span><span lang="EN-GB"> named by Calvo and Reinhart (2002),</span><span lang="EN-GB"> in the transition to a low and stable inflation environment in Turkey before and after inflation targeting. The results demonstrate that the levels of exchange rate pass-through decreased substantially, thus weakening the “fear of floating” phenomenon in Turkey after inflation targeting. Therefore, we argue whether any reactions of the central bank to foreign exchange rates imply the “fear of floating” or the “fear of inflation”</span></p>

On the Exchange Rate Policy

2010 ◽  
pp. 21-28
Author(s):  
K. Yudaeva
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Inflation Targeting ◽  
Exchange Rate Policy ◽  
Institutional Changes ◽  
Crisis Period ◽  
Local Currency ◽  
High Inflation ◽  
Rate Policy ◽  
The Exchange Rate

The level of trust in the local currency in Russia is very low largely because of relatively high inflation. As a result, Bank of Russia during crisis times can not afford monetary policy loosening and has to fight devaluation expectations. To change the situation in the post-crisis period Russia needs to live through a continuous period of low inflation. Modified inflation targeting can help achieve such a result. However, it should be amended with institutional changes, particularly development of hedging instruments.

Conclusions

2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jeffry A. Frieden
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Exchange Rate Policy ◽  
Theoretical Argument ◽  
Economic Agents ◽  
Cross Border ◽  
Domestic Prices ◽  
Pass Through ◽  
Exchange Rate Pass Through ◽  
Export Competition

This chapter summarizes key findings. This book makes a simple theoretical argument about the distributional implications of exchange rate policy. It suggests that economic actors with important cross-border interests, exposed to currency volatility, will tend to prefer more stable and predictable exchange rates. It also claims that tradables producers will, all else being equal, tend to prefer a depreciated real exchange rate. These concerns will be tempered by the extent of exchange rate pass-through—that is, the degree to which currency movements affect domestic prices. The analysis in this book shows that countries whose economic agents are more involved in cross-border trade are more likely to fix their exchange rates in order to reduce currency volatility. Countries with large groups susceptible to import or export competition—import-competing manufacturers and export farmers—are more likely to choose flexible exchange rates that allow currency depreciations. Governments facing an election encourage or allow currency appreciation that increases the purchasing power of consumers.

scholarly journals The Speed of Exchange Rate Pass-Through

2019 ◽  
Vol 18 (1) ◽  
pp. 506-538 ◽  
Author(s):  
Barthélémy Bonadio ◽  
Andreas M Fischer ◽  
Philip Sauré
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Policy Change ◽  
Exchange Rate Policy ◽  
Trade Data ◽  
Daily Frequency ◽  
National Bank ◽  
Rate Policy ◽  
Working Day ◽  
Pass Through ◽  
Exchange Rate Pass Through

Abstract On January 15, 2015, the Swiss National Bank discontinued its minimum exchange rate policy of 1 euro against 1.2 Swiss francs. This policy change resulted in a sharp, unanticipated, and permanent appreciation of the Swiss franc by more than 11% against the euro. We analyze the pass-through of this unusually clean exchange rate shock into import unit values at the daily frequency using Swiss transaction-level trade data. Our key findings are twofold. First, for goods invoiced in euros, the pass-through is immediate and complete. Second, for goods invoiced in Swiss francs, the pass-through is partial and exceptionally fast: beginning on the second working day after the exchange rate shock, the medium-run pass-through is reached after 12 working days.

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