Applying Statistical Analysis and Machine Learning for Modeling the UCS from P-Wave Velocity, Density and Porosity on Dry Travertine

In the rock mechanics and rock engineering field, the strength parameter considered to characterize the rock is the uniaxial compressive strength (UCS). It is usually determined in the laboratory through a few statistically representative numbers of specimens, with a recommended minimum of five. The UCS can also be estimated from rock index properties, such as the effective porosity, density, and P-wave velocity. In the case of a porous rock such as travertine, the random distribution of voids inside the test specimen (not detectable in the density-porosity test, but in the compressive strength test) causes large variations on the UCS value, which were found in the range of 62 MPa for this rock. This fact complicates a sufficiently accurate determination of experimental results, also affecting the estimations based on regression analyses. Aiming to solve this problem, statistical analysis, and machine learning models (artificial neural network) was developed to generate a reliable predictive model, through which the best results for a multiple regression model between uniaxial compressive strength (UCS), P-wave velocity and porosity were obtained.