scholarly journals Breast Cancer Surgery 10-Year Survival Prediction by Machine Learning: A Large Prospective Cohort Study

Biology ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 47
Author(s):  
Shi-Jer Lou ◽  
Ming-Feng Hou ◽  
Hong-Tai Chang ◽  
Hao-Hsien Lee ◽  
Chong-Chi Chiu ◽  
...  

Machine learning algorithms have proven to be effective for predicting survival after surgery, but their use for predicting 10-year survival after breast cancer surgery has not yet been discussed. This study compares the accuracy of predicting 10-year survival after breast cancer surgery in the following five models: a deep neural network (DNN), K nearest neighbor (KNN), support vector machine (SVM), naive Bayes classifier (NBC) and Cox regression (COX), and to optimize the weighting of significant predictors. The subjects recruited for this study were breast cancer patients who had received breast cancer surgery (ICD-9 cm 174–174.9) at one of three southern Taiwan medical centers during the 3-year period from June 2007, to June 2010. The registry data for the patients were randomly allocated to three datasets, one for training (n = 824), one for testing (n = 177), and one for validation (n = 177). Prediction performance comparisons revealed that all performance indices for the DNN model were significantly (p < 0.001) higher than in the other forecasting models. Notably, the best predictor of 10-year survival after breast cancer surgery was the preoperative Physical Component Summary score on the SF-36. The next best predictors were the preoperative Mental Component Summary score on the SF-36, postoperative recurrence, and tumor stage. The deep-learning DNN model is the most clinically useful method to predict and to identify risk factors for 10-year survival after breast cancer surgery. Future research should explore designs for two-level or multi-level models that provide information on the contextual effects of the risk factors on breast cancer survival.

Cancers ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (12) ◽  
pp. 3817
Author(s):  
Shi-Jer Lou ◽  
Ming-Feng Hou ◽  
Hong-Tai Chang ◽  
Chong-Chi Chiu ◽  
Hao-Hsien Lee ◽  
...  

No studies have discussed machine learning algorithms to predict recurrence within 10 years after breast cancer surgery. This study purposed to compare the accuracy of forecasting models to predict recurrence within 10 years after breast cancer surgery and to identify significant predictors of recurrence. Registry data for breast cancer surgery patients were allocated to a training dataset (n = 798) for model development, a testing dataset (n = 171) for internal validation, and a validating dataset (n = 171) for external validation. Global sensitivity analysis was then performed to evaluate the significance of the selected predictors. Demographic characteristics, clinical characteristics, quality of care, and preoperative quality of life were significantly associated with recurrence within 10 years after breast cancer surgery (p < 0.05). Artificial neural networks had the highest prediction performance indices. Additionally, the surgeon volume was the best predictor of recurrence within 10 years after breast cancer surgery, followed by hospital volume and tumor stage. Accurate recurrence within 10 years prediction by machine learning algorithms may improve precision in managing patients after breast cancer surgery and improve understanding of risk factors for recurrence within 10 years after breast cancer surgery.


2006 ◽  
Vol 7 (9) ◽  
pp. 626-634 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ellen L. Poleshuck ◽  
Jennifer Katz ◽  
Carl H. Andrus ◽  
Laura A. Hogan ◽  
Beth F. Jung ◽  
...  

2019 ◽  
Vol 26 (4) ◽  
pp. 825-828 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chul‐Hyun Cho ◽  
Kyoung‐Lak Lee ◽  
Jihyoung Cho ◽  
Duhan Kim

2012 ◽  
Vol 107 (9) ◽  
pp. 1459-1466 ◽  
Author(s):  
R Sipilä ◽  
A-M Estlander ◽  
T Tasmuth ◽  
M Kataja ◽  
E Kalso

2021 ◽  
Vol 23 (11) ◽  
pp. 749-758
Author(s):  
Saranya N ◽  
◽  
Kavi Priya S ◽  

Breast Cancer is one of the chronic diseases occurred to human beings throughout the world. Early detection of this disease is the most promising way to improve patients’ chances of survival. The strategy employed in this paper is to select the best features from various breast cancer datasets using a genetic algorithm and machine learning algorithm is applied to predict the outcomes. Two machine learning algorithms such as Support Vector Machines and Decision Tree are used along with Genetic Algorithm. The proposed work is experimented on five datasets such as Wisconsin Breast Cancer-Diagnosis Dataset, Wisconsin Breast Cancer-Original Dataset, Wisconsin Breast Cancer-Prognosis Dataset, ISPY1 Clinical trial Dataset, and Breast Cancer Dataset. The results exploit that SVM-GA achieves higher accuracy of 98.16% than DT-GA of 97.44%.


Author(s):  
Peter T. Habib ◽  
Alsamman M. Alsamman ◽  
Sameh E. Hassnein ◽  
Ghada A. Shereif ◽  
Aladdin Hamwieh

Abstractin 2019, estimated New Cases 268.600, Breast cancer has one of the most common cancers and is one of the world’s leading causes of death for women. Classification and data mining is an efficient way to classify information. Particularly in the medical field where prediction techniques are commonly used for early detection and effective treatment in diagnosis and research.These paper tests models for the mammogram analysis of breast cancer information from 23 of the more widely used machine learning algorithms such as Decision Tree, Random forest, K-nearest neighbors and support vector machine. The spontaneously splits results are distributed from a replicated 10-fold cross-validation method. The accuracy calculated by Regression Metrics such as Mean Absolute Error, Mean Squared Error, R2 Score and Clustering Metrics such as Adjusted Rand Index, Homogeneity, V-measure.accuracy has been checked F-Measure, AUC, and Cross-Validation. Thus, proper identification of patients with breast cancer would create care opportunities, for example, the supervision and the implementation of intervention plans could benefit the quality of long-term care. Experimental results reveal that the maximum precision 100%with the lowest error rate is obtained with Ada-boost Classifier.


2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Bum-Joo Cho ◽  
Kyoung Min Kim ◽  
Sanchir-Erdene Bilegsaikhan ◽  
Yong Joon Suh

Abstract Febrile neutropenia (FN) is one of the most concerning complications of chemotherapy, and its prediction remains difficult. This study aimed to reveal the risk factors for and build the prediction models of FN using machine learning algorithms. Medical records of hospitalized patients who underwent chemotherapy after surgery for breast cancer between May 2002 and September 2018 were selectively reviewed for development of models. Demographic, clinical, pathological, and therapeutic data were analyzed to identify risk factors for FN. Using machine learning algorithms, prediction models were developed and evaluated for performance. Of 933 selected inpatients with a mean age of 51.8 ± 10.7 years, FN developed in 409 (43.8%) patients. There was a significant difference in FN incidence according to age, staging, taxane-based regimen, and blood count 5 days after chemotherapy. The area under the curve (AUC) built based on these findings was 0.870 on the basis of logistic regression. The AUC improved by machine learning was 0.908. Machine learning improves the prediction of FN in patients undergoing chemotherapy for breast cancer compared to the conventional statistical model. In these high-risk patients, primary prophylaxis with granulocyte colony-stimulating factor could be considered.


2020 ◽  
Vol 141 ◽  
pp. 104170
Author(s):  
Lamin Juwara ◽  
Navpreet Arora ◽  
Mervyn Gornitsky ◽  
Paramita Saha-Chaudhuri ◽  
Ana M. Velly

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