scholarly journals Accommodating Taste and Scale Heterogeneity for Front-Seat Passenger’ Choice of Seat Belt Usage

Mathematics ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (5) ◽  
pp. 460 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mahdi Rezapour ◽  
Khaled Ksaibati
Keyword(s):  
Mixed Model ◽  
Seat Belt ◽  
Model Fit ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Extended Model ◽  
Random Parameters ◽  
Front Seat ◽  
Scale Heterogeneity ◽  
Error Terms ◽  
The Cost

There is growing interest in implementation of the mixed model to account for heterogeneity across population observations. However, it has been argued that the assumption of independent and identically distributed (i.i.d) error terms might not be realistic, and for some observations the scale of the error is greater than others. Consequently, that might result in the error terms’ scale to be varied across those observations. As the standard mixed model could not account for the aforementioned attribute of the observations, extended model, allowing for scale heterogeneity, has been proposed to relax the equal error terms across observations. Thus, in this study we extended the mixed model to the model with heterogeneity in scale, or generalized multinomial logit model (GMNL), to see if accounting for the scale heterogeneity, by adding more flexibility to the distribution, would result in an improvement in the model fit. The study used the choice data related to wearing seat belt across front-seat passengers in Wyoming, with all attributes being individual-specific. The results highlighted that although the effect of the scale parameter was significant, the scale effect was trivial, and accounting for the effect at the cost of added parameters would result in a loss of model fit compared with the standard mixed model. Besides considering the standard mixed and the GMNL, the models with correlated random parameters were considered. The results highlighted that despite having significant correlation across the majority of the random parameters, the goodness of fits favors more parsimonious models with no correlation. The results of this study are specific to the dataset used in this study, and due to the possible fact that the heterogeneity in observations related to the front-seat passengers seat belt use might not be extreme, and do not require extra layer to account for the scale heterogeneity, or accounting for the scale heterogeneity at the cost of added parameters might not be required. Extensive discussion has been made in the content of this paper about the model parameters’ estimations and the mathematical formulation of the methods.

scholarly journals Cost-effectiveness of TAS-102 plus bevacizumab versus TAS-102 monotherapy in patients with metastatic colorectal cancer

2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Kiyoaki Sugiura ◽  
Yuki Seo ◽  
Takayuki Takahashi ◽  
Hideyuki Tokura ◽  
Yasuhiro Ito ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Colorectal Cancer ◽  
Health Care ◽  
Sensitivity Analysis ◽  
Cost Effectiveness ◽  
Combination Therapy ◽  
Metastatic Colorectal Cancer ◽  
Cost Effective ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Combination Regimen ◽  
The Cost

Abstract Background TAS-102 plus bevacizumab is an anticipated combination regimen for patients who have metastatic colorectal cancer. However, evidence supporting its use for this indication is limited. We compared the cost-effectiveness of TAS-102 plus bevacizumab combination therapy with TAS-102 monotherapy for patients with chemorefractory metastatic colorectal cancer. Method Markov decision modeling using treatment costs, disease-free survival, and overall survival was performed to examine the cost-effectiveness of TAS-102 plus bevacizumab combination therapy and TAS-102 monotherapy. The Japanese health care payer’s perspective was adopted. The outcomes were modeled on the basis of published literature. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) between the two treatment regimens was the primary outcome. Sensitivity analysis was performed and the effect of uncertainty on the model parameters were investigated. Results TAS-102 plus bevacizumab had an ICER of $21,534 per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) gained compared with TAS-102 monotherapy. Sensitivity analysis demonstrated that TAS-102 monotherapy was more cost-effective than TAS-102 and bevacizumab combination therapy at a willingness-to-pay of under $50,000 per QALY gained. Conclusions TAS-102 and bevacizumab combination therapy is a cost-effective option for patients who have metastatic colorectal cancer in the Japanese health care system.

scholarly journals Qualitative speed-accuracy tradeoff effects can be explained by a diffusion/fast-guess mixture model

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Roger Ratcliff ◽  
Inhan Kang
Keyword(s):  
Mixture Model ◽  
Diffusion Model ◽  
Response Times ◽  
Model Fit ◽  
Orientation Discrimination ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Stimulus Contrast ◽  
Accuracy Stress ◽  
Speed Accuracy ◽  
Selective Influence

AbstractRafiei and Rahnev (2021) presented an analysis of an experiment in which they manipulated speed-accuracy stress and stimulus contrast in an orientation discrimination task. They argued that the standard diffusion model could not account for the patterns of data their experiment produced. However, their experiment encouraged and produced fast guesses in the higher speed-stress conditions. These fast guesses are responses with chance accuracy and response times (RTs) less than 300 ms. We developed a simple mixture model in which fast guesses were represented by a simple normal distribution with fixed mean and standard deviation and other responses by the standard diffusion process. The model fit the whole pattern of accuracy and RTs as a function of speed/accuracy stress and stimulus contrast, including the sometimes bimodal shapes of RT distributions. In the model, speed-accuracy stress affected some model parameters while stimulus contrast affected a different one showing selective influence. Rafiei and Rahnev’s failure to fit the diffusion model was the result of driving subjects to fast guess in their experiment.

EM Algorithm Based on Fuzzification and its Application

2012 ◽  
Vol 532-533 ◽  
pp. 1445-1449
Author(s):  
Ting Ting Tong ◽  
Zhen Hua Wu
Keyword(s):  
Em Algorithm ◽  
Mixed Model ◽  
Image Data ◽  
Training Sample ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Parameter Learning ◽  
Weighted Degree ◽  
The Em Algorithm ◽  
The Impact

EM algorithm is a common method to solve mixed model parameters in statistical classification of remote sensing image. The EM algorithm based on fuzzification is presented in this paper to use a fuzzy set to represent each training sample. Via the weighted degree of membership, different samples will be of different effect during iteration to decrease the impact of noise on parameter learning and to increase the convergence rate of algorithm. The function and accuracy of classification of image data can be completed preferably.

Severe-to-Fatal Injury Risks in Crashes With Two Front-Seat Occupants by Seat Belt Use

2010 ◽  
Vol 11 (3) ◽  
pp. 294-299 ◽  
Author(s):  
David C. Viano ◽  
Chantal S. Parenteau
Keyword(s):  
Seat Belt ◽  
Front Seat ◽  
Fatal Injury ◽  
Seat Belt Use

scholarly journals Protocol for the health economic evaluation of increasing the weekend specialist to patient ratio in hospitals in England

BMJ Open ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. e015561 ◽  
Author(s):  
Samuel I Watson ◽  
Yen-Fu Chen ◽  
Julian F Bion ◽  
Cassie P Aldridge ◽  
Alan Girling ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Health Economic Evaluation ◽  
Care Quality ◽  
Expert Elicitation ◽  
Weekend Effect ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Risk Of Death ◽  
Causal Processes ◽  
Key Policy ◽  
The Uk ◽  
The Cost

IntroductionThis protocol concerns the evaluation of increased specialist staffing at weekends in hospitals in England. Seven-day health services are a key policy for the UK government and other health systems trying to improve use of infrastructure and resources. A particular motivation for the 7-day policy has been the observed increase in the risk of death associated with weekend admission, which has been attributed to fewer hospital specialists being available at weekends. However, the causes of the weekend effect have not been adequately characterised; many of the excess deaths associated with the ‘weekend effect’ may not be preventable, and the presumed benefits of improved specialist cover might be offset by the cost of implementation.Methods/designThe Bayesian-founded method we propose will consist of four major steps. First, the development of a qualitative causal model. Specialist presence can affect multiple, interacting causal processes. One or more models will be developed from the results of an expert elicitation workshop and probabilities elicited for each model and relevant model parameters. Second, systematic review of the literature. The model from the first step will provide search limits for a review to identify relevant studies. Third, a statistical model for the effects of specialist presence on care quality and patient outcomes. Fourth, valuation of outcomes. The expected net benefits of different levels of specialist intensity will then be evaluated with respect to the posterior distributions of the parameters.Ethics and disseminationThe study was approved by the Review Subcommittee of the South West Wales REC on 11 November 2013. Informed consent was not required for accessing anonymised patient case records from which patient identifiers had been removed. The findings of this study will be published in peer-reviewed journals; the outputs from this research will also form part of the project report to the HS&DR Programme Board.

scholarly journals Estimation of the HEC-HMS model parameters in data-scarce regions. Application to the Ouergha watershed (Sebou, Morocco)

2021 ◽  
Vol 314 ◽  
pp. 05002
Author(s):  
Hasna Moumni ◽  
Karima Sebari ◽  
Laila Stour ◽  
Abdellatif Ahbari
Keyword(s):  
Remote Sensing ◽  
Hydrological Model ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Flow Data ◽  
Random Parameters ◽  
Quality Of Data ◽  
Initial Values ◽  
Digital Elevation ◽  
Elevation Model

The availability, accessibility and quality of data are significant obstacles to hydrological modelling. Estimating the initial values of the hydrological model´’ ’s parameters is a laborious and determining task requiring much attention. Geographic information systems (GIS) and spatial remote sensing are prometting tools for processing and collecting data. In this work, we use an innovative approach to estimate the HEC-HMS hydrological model parameters from the soil map of Africa (250m), the land use map GLC30, the depth to bedrock map, the digital elevation model and observed flow data. The estimation approach is applied to the Ouergha basin (Sebou, Morocco). The proposed approach’s interest is to feed the HEC-HMS hydrological model with initial values of parameters close to the study area reality instead of using random parameters.

scholarly journals Dynamic torque calibration by means of model parameter identification

ACTA IMEKO ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 39 ◽  
Author(s):  
Leonard Klaus ◽  
Barbora Arendacká ◽  
Michael Kobusch ◽  
Thomas Bruns
Keyword(s):  
Frequency Response ◽  
Dynamic Behaviour ◽  
Measurement Data ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Dynamic Calibration ◽  
Extended Model ◽  
Unknown Parameters ◽  
Measuring Device ◽  
Torque Transducer ◽  
Least Squares Approach

For the dynamic calibration of torque transducers, a model of the transducer and an extended model of the mounted transducer including the measuring device have been developed. The dynamic behaviour of a torque transducer under test is going to be described by its model parameters. This paper describes the models with these known and unknown parameters and how the calibration measurements are going to be carried out. The principle for the identification of the transducer's model parameters from measurement data is described using a least squares approach. The influence of a variation of the transducer's parameters on the frequency response of the expanded model is analysed.

The cost-sensitive approximation of neighborhood rough sets and granular layer selection

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-11
Author(s):  
Jie Yang ◽  
Tian Luo ◽  
Lijuan Zeng ◽  
Xin Jin
Keyword(s):  
Rough Sets ◽  
Granular Layer ◽  
User Requirements ◽  
Extended Model ◽  
Target Concept ◽  
Approximation Model ◽  
Neighborhood Rough Sets ◽  
The Cost ◽  
Monotonically Decrease

Neighborhood rough sets (NRS) are the extended model of the classical rough sets. The NRS describe the target concept by upper and lower neighborhood approximation boundaries. However, the method of approximately describing the uncertain target concept with existed neighborhood information granules is not given. To solve this problem, the cost-sensitive approximation model of the NRS is proposed in this paper, and its related properties are analyzed. To obtain the optimal approximation granular layer, the cost-sensitive progressive mechanism is proposed by considering user requirements. The case study shows that the reasonable granular layer and its approximation can be obtained under certain constraints, which is suitable for cost-sensitive application scenarios. The experimental results show that the advantage of the proposed approximation model, moreover, the decision cost of the NRS approximation model will monotonically decrease with granularity being finer.

scholarly journals A graphical model for skewed matrix-variate non-randomly missing data

Biostatistics ◽  
2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lin Zhang ◽  
Dipankar Bandyopadhyay
Keyword(s):  
Mixed Model ◽  
Graphical Model ◽  
Linear Mixed Model ◽  
Disease Status ◽  
Epidemiological Studies ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Probit Regression ◽  
Pocket Depth ◽  
Cross Sectional ◽  
Missing Responses

SummaryEpidemiological studies on periodontal disease (PD) collect relevant bio-markers, such as the clinical attachment level (CAL) and the probed pocket depth (PPD), at pre-specified tooth sites clustered within a subject’s mouth, along with various other demographic and biological risk factors. Routine cross-sectional evaluation are conducted under a linear mixed model (LMM) framework with underlying normality assumptions on the random terms. However, a careful investigation reveals considerable non-normality manifested in those random terms, in the form of skewness and tail behavior. In addition, PD progression is hypothesized to be spatially-referenced, i.e. disease status at proximal tooth-sites may be different from distally located sites, and tooth missingness is non-random (or informative), given that the number and location of missing teeth informs about the periodontal health in that region. To mitigate these complexities, we consider a matrix-variate skew-$t$ formulation of the LMM with a Markov graphical embedding to handle the site-level spatial associations of the bivariate (PPD and CAL) responses. Within the same framework, the non-randomly missing responses are imputed via a latent probit regression of the missingness indicator over the responses. Our hierarchical Bayesian framework powered by relevant Markov chain Monte Carlo steps addresses the aforementioned complexities within an unified paradigm, and estimates model parameters with seamless sharing of information across various stages of the hierarchy. Using both synthetic and real clinical data assessing PD status, we demonstrate a significantly improved fit of our proposition over various other alternative models.

scholarly journals Nighttime seat belt use among front seat passengers: Does the driver's belt use matter?

2019 ◽  
Vol 70 ◽  
pp. 13-17
Author(s):  
Kwaku F. Boakye ◽  
Ruth A. Shults ◽  
Jerry D. Everett
Keyword(s):  
Seat Belt ◽  
Front Seat ◽  
Seat Belt Use
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