scholarly journals The Determinants of CDS Spreads in Multiple Industry Sectors: A Comparison between the US and Europe

Risks ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 6 (3) ◽  
pp. 89 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jatin Malhotra ◽  
Angelo Corelli

The paper analyzes the relationship between the credit default swaps (CDS) spreads for 5-year CDS in Europe and US, and fundamental macroeconomic variables such as regional stock indices, oil prices, gold prices, and interest rates. The dataset includes consideration of multiple industry sectors in both economies, and it is split in two sections, before and after the global financial crisis. The analysis is carried out using multivariate regression of each index vs. the macroeconomic variables, and a Granger causality test. Both approaches are performed on the change of value of the variables involved. Results show that equity markets lead in price discovery, bidirectional causality between interest rate, and CDS spreads for most sectors involved. There is also bidirectional causality between stock and oil returns to CDS spreads.

2011 ◽  
Vol 56 (189) ◽  
pp. 7-26
Author(s):  
Djordje Djukic ◽  
Malisa Djukic

Despite the anti-crisis measures in the US and the euro area that were the policy response to the global financial crisis in 2007 and 2008, the stress on the interbank money market was still present in 2009 and 2010. The increasing inflationary pressures will require an increase in the ECB key interest rate in the second half of 2011. The over indebted euro area countries will have to raise funds by issuing and selling bonds with high yields. Taking into account such an environment, in this paper we analyze the relevant interbank money market stress indicators during 2010 and the beginning of 2011, in order to estimate the effects of money markets interest rate movements on credit market interest rates, primarily in the euro area, during the post-crisis period.


2020 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 147
Author(s):  
Khoirunurrofik Khoirunurrofik ◽  
Mohammad Alvin Prabowosunu ◽  
Mohammad Ikhsan Fansuri

The banking industry has become a substantial part of the economy. This paper traces the change in market structure and assess the level of competition among the top 10 banks of Indonesia for the period 2005-2014. Then also distinguishing between before and after the Global Financial Crisis. Utilizing the Panzar-Rosse method and panel data, we discovered that the results show an increase in the H-value from 2005-2009 to 2010-2014 and a movement towards an almost perfectly competitive environment. Interest rates drove the short response of post-crisis on the competition. Therefore governmental supervision is required to prevent liquidity issues due to the imposition of high-interest rates. Keywords: Banking, Competition, Global Financial Crisis, Panzar-Rosse ModelJEL Classification: D40, D41, G21, L11


2009 ◽  
Vol 56 (4) ◽  
pp. 491-506 ◽  
Author(s):  
Djordje Djukic ◽  
Malisa Djukic

Throughout the current global financial crisis the market has continued to fall due to a lack of confidence of those banks that are not yet prepared to lend on the interbank money market. For instance, the negative repercussions of the crisis onto the Serbian financial sector have created a number of issues including a significant increase in lending rates, a difficulty, or impossibility, for the corporate sector to use cheap cross-border loans and a reduction in the supply of foreign exchange on that basis. The inability of the National Bank of Serbia to follow the aggressive reduction of the key interest rate that has been implemented by central banks in developed countries, partly explains the lack of a decline in short-term interest rates by the Serbian banking industry. The first section of the paper focuses on the effects of the financial crisis through the behavior of short-term interest rates in the US and Europe, while the second section gives an estimation of the effects of the global financial crisis on interest rates in the banking industry in Serbia.


Author(s):  
Irene Spagna

This chapter analyzes the growth of OTC derivatives before the global financial crisis of 2008 and the role of credit default swaps, in particular, in the near collapse of the global economy. It begins by exploring the basic characteristics of derivatives used as risk management instruments by investors to hedge against or exploit the volatility of asset prices. The analysis further reveals that the pre-crisis period was characterized by a broad-based consensus favoring deregulated markets and globally designed private rules. While not always unanimously supported, permissive public regulatory choices were often encouraged by interest group lobbying, the market-friendly views of many domestic authorities, and concerns about regulatory uncertainty and international competitiveness.


Author(s):  
Yilmaz Akyüz

The preceding chapters have examined the deepened integration of emerging and developing economies (EDEs) into the international financial system in the new millennium and their changing vulnerabilities to external financial shocks. They have discussed the role that policies in advanced economies played in this process, including those that culminated in the global financial crisis and the unconventional monetary policy of zero-bound interest rates and quantitative easing adopted in response to the crisis, as well as policies in EDEs themselves....


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