scholarly journals FDI, GDP, and CO2 Emission: ARDL Bound Cointegration Relationship Examination

2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (2S10) ◽  
pp. 132-138
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Error Correction ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Co2 Emission ◽  
Correction Term ◽  
Annual Data ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Bound Test

The study tries to evaluate empirically, the relationship between foreign direct investment (FDI) and environmental impact with GDP in India using annual data over the period 1980-1981 to 2017-18. The genuine effect on the earth, in any case, might be bigger because CO2 emission is one of the numerous contaminations produced by financial exercises. In any case, CO2 is a worldwide air toxin, our finding has some broad ramifications for the worldwide condition too, with India has risen as the fourth most noteworthy in the worldwide positioning of CO2 emissions by the turn of this century. The Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) Bound Test after which the cointegration and causality tests were analyzed. The error correction models were also predictable to scrutinize the short-run dynamics. The Granger causality test finally deep-rooted the presence of unidirectional causality which long runs from GDP and CO2 to foreign direct investment. The error correction estimates confirmed that the Error-Correction Term is statistically significant and has a negative sign, which confirms that there isn't any problem in the long-run equilibrium relationship between the independent (GDP & CO2 ) and dependent variables (FDI). The study concluded that FDI had a long-run relationship with GDP and CO2 emission

scholarly journals Causal Links between Trade Openness and Foreign Direct Investment in Romania

2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (3) ◽  
pp. 90
Author(s):  
Malsha Mayoshi Rathnayaka Mudiyanselage ◽  
Gheorghe Epuran ◽  
Bianca Tescașiu
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Test Procedure ◽  
Real Effective Exchange Rate ◽  
Foreign Direct Investments ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Fdi Inflows ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Long Run

In this increasingly globalized era, foreign direct investments are considered to be one of the most important sources of external financing for all countries. This paper investigates the causal relationship between trade openness and foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows in Romania during the period 1997–2019. Throughout this study, Trade Openness is the main independent variable, and Gross Domestic Product (GDP), Real Effective Exchange Rate (EXR), Inflation (INF), and Education (EDU) act as control variables for investigating the relationships between trade openness (TOP) and FDI inflow in Romania. The Auto Regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) Bounds test procedure was adopted to achieve the above-mentioned objective. Trade openness has negative and statistically significant long-run and short-run relationships with FDI inflows in Romania throughout the period. Trade openness negatively affects the FDI inflow, which suggest that the higher the level of openness is, the less likely it is that FDI will be attracted in the long run. The result of the Granger causality test indicated that Romania has a unidirectional relationship between trade openness and FDI. It also showed that the direction of causality ran from FDI to trade openness.

scholarly journals Causal Relationship between Foreign Direct Investment and Economic Growth in Nigeria: 1970-2013

2015 ◽  
Vol 7 (11) ◽  
pp. 230 ◽  
Author(s):  
Uwazie I. U. ◽  
Igwemma A. A. ◽  
Nnabu Bernard Eze
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Unit Root ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Developing Economies ◽  
Unit Root Test ◽  
Annual Data ◽  
Policy Reforms ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Long Run

Foreign direct investment is presumed to play immense role in economic growth in both developed and developing economies. This assumption has motivated the army of studies to actually determine the nexus between foreign direct investment and economic growth in Nigeria. But these studies were not unified on the direction of the causation, hence the need for the study. To effectively analyze the result, the study employs vector error correction model method of causality to analyze the annual data for the periods of 1970 to 2013. The Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) unit root test show presence of unit root at level but stationary after first difference. The Johansen cointegration test confirms that the variables are cointegrated while the granger causality test affirms that foreign direct investment and economic growth reinforce each other in the short run in Nigeria. Also, it is reported that foreign direct investment granger cause economic growth both in the short and long run in Nigeria. Based on these findings, the study advocates the adoption of aggressive policy reforms to boost investors’ confidence and promotion of qualitative human capital development to lure FDI into the country. It also suggests the introduction of selective openness to allow only the inflow of FDI that have the capacity to spillover to the economy. These will attract FDI and boost economic growth in Nigeria.

scholarly journals The Symmetric and Asymmetric impact of FDI Inflows, Economic growth, and Capital Investment on CO2 Emission in Oman-Evidence from ARDL and NARDL Approach

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ishfaq Hamid ◽  
Md Shabbir Alam ◽  
Muntasir Murshed ◽  
Pabitra Kumar Jena ◽  
Nadia Sha ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Carbon Dioxide ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Carbon Dioxide Emissions ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Capital Investment ◽  
Symmetric Model ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Bound Test

Abstract This study examines the symmetric and asymmetric nexus between capital investment, economic growth, foreign direct investment, and CO2 emissions in Oman during 1980- 2019. For this purpose, we applied ARDL Model for linear cointegration and NARDL model for nonlinear cointegration between capital investment, economic growth, foreign direct investment, and CO2 emissions. The bound test shows the long-term equilibrium relationship among CO2 emissions, capital investment, economic growth, and FDI in both models. The error correction mechanism demonstrates that CO2 emissions congregate to their long-run equilibrium level at a 50.1 percent annual pace of adjustment by integrating capital investment, economic growth, and FDI under the symmetric model. The causality test results show that carbon emissions and FDI, economic growth, and CO2 emissions exhibit bidirectional causal links. While, on the other hand, unidirectional causal links are running from capital investment to GDP. The asymmetric results show that positive shocks to FDI and economic growth have significant tumbling consequences on Oman's carbon dioxide emissions.In contrast, negative shocks in FDI and economic growth substantially increase carbon dioxide emissions. The research findings also reveal that carbon dioxide emissions are more resilient to negative shocks in FDI and economic growth. Based on these results, this study accomplishes that abatement measures should consist of strategies to enhance the deepness of FDI and economic growth in the Oman economy.JEL Classification: F21, Q56, C22

scholarly journals Exchange Rate Movement and Foreign Direct Investment in Asean Economies

2014 ◽  
Vol 2014 ◽  
pp. 1-10 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jaratin Lily ◽  
Mori Kogid ◽  
Dullah Mulok ◽  
Lim Thien Sang ◽  
Rozilee Asid
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
World Market ◽  
The Philippines ◽  
Annual Data ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Long Run ◽  
The Exchange Rate

The inflows of foreign direct investment (FDI) are important for a country's economic development, but the world market for FDI has become more competitive. This paper empirically analyses the exchange rate movements and foreign direct investment (FDI) relationship using annual data on ASEAN economies, that is, Malaysia, the Philippines, Thailand, and Singapore. By employing ARDL bounds test approach, the empirical results show the existence of significant long-run cointegration between exchange rate and FDI for the case of Singapore, Malaysia, and the Philippines with all countries recording negative coefficient implying that the appreciation of Singapore dollar, Malaysian ringgit, and the Philippine peso has a positive impact on FDI inflows. Using the ECM based ARDL approach for causality test, both Singapore and the Philippines show long-run bidirectional causality between exchange rate and FDI whereas long-run unidirectional causality running from the exchange rate to FDI in Malaysia. Furthermore, this study also found that short-run unidirectional causality running from the exchange rate to FDI exists in Singapore.

scholarly journals GROWTH EFFECTS OF FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT AND FINANCIAL DEEPENING IN NIGERIA (1981-2018)

2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (4) ◽  
pp. 49-67
Author(s):  
Gbenga F. BABARINDE ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Financial Deepening ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Growth Effects ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Money Velocity

This study investigates growth effects of foreign direct investment and financial deepening in Nigeria for the period 1981-2018. Data employed for this study were obtained from Central Bank of Nigeria Statistical Bulletin and World Development Indicators. Pairwise granger causality test and autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model were employed in the data analysis. Empirical results show that foreign direct investment (FDI) has positive significant effect on economic growth (GDP) in Nigeria both in the long and short runs. Financial deepening measured as broad money supply as a ratio of GDP (broad money velocity) has positive significant effect on GDP in Nigeria in the long run but the position is reversed to negative non-significant in the short run. In the long run, financial deepening indicator-credit to private sector as a ratio of GDP-, has negative non-significant effect on GDP in Nigeria while its influence is absent in the short run model. Findings also reveal a unidirectional causality from FDI to GDP. Likewise, unidirectional causality flows from GDP to each of the two financial deepening indicators, thus lending credence to the demand-following hypothesis. This study concludes that foreign direct investment and financial deepening have positive growth effects in Nigeria with causality flowing from foreign direct investment to economic growth and the latter granger-causing financial deepening in Nigeria. To boost economic growth, there is a need for Nigeria’s government to further develop the financial system and implement policies to stimulate FDI inflows to the country.

scholarly journals Gross National Income Growth and Foreign Direct Investment: Causation in the presence of Crisis in India

2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (9) ◽  
pp. 3099-3104
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Correction Term ◽  
National Income ◽  
Gross National Income ◽  
Policy Implications ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Auto Regressive

Gross National Income (GNI) of an economy explicates the standard of living of the population residing in a country. The growth in GNI indicates a successful development for a nation. In this paper, an interrelation between GNI growth and Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) has been discussed in the presence of Indian economic crisis by implementing the Auto Regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) Modelling approach. The data are ranging from the time of 1991 to 2017. The relationship is judged at the background of economic liberalization of India. The result shows that there exists a long-run impact of FDI on GNI growth. The existence of cointegration further necessitates the existence of short-run causality. In the short run, GNI growth Granger causes FDI. This proves that the model is significant for discussion both for the long and short run. The error correction term signifies that there exists a ninety-seven percent chance of the model to move back to its long-run equilibrium from short-run shocks. The reliability and stability of the whole model are judged by implementing CUCUM and CUSUMQ test. Finally, in conclusion, the model chosen for the study has indicated a few policy implications required for enhancing the GNI growth of India to fight back the situation of crisis.

scholarly journals Rural Labour Market Developments, Agricultural Productivity, and Real Wages in Bangladesh, 1950-2006

2008 ◽  
Vol 47 (1) ◽  
pp. 89-114 ◽  
Author(s):  
Akhand Akhtar Hossain
Keyword(s):  
Error Correction ◽  
Agricultural Development ◽  
Correction Term ◽  
Agricultural Productivity ◽  
Annual Data ◽  
Bounds Testing ◽  
Real Wages ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Recent Developments

This paper provides an overview of recent developments in rural labour markets in Bangladesh and also examines the trends and movements of agricultural productivity and real wages with annual data for the period 1950-2006. The paper links the movements of agricultural real wages to macroeconomic developments in general and agricultural development in particular. As part of empirical investigation, the paper develops a simple model of agricultural real wages that depend on agricultural productivity. In order to examine the long-run relationship between agricultural productivity and real wages, the paper applies the Autoregressive Distributed Lag Bounds testing approach. Empirical results suggest that there exists a long-run relationship between agricultural productivity and real wages, and that agricultural productivity can be treated as a ‘long-run forcing variable’ in explaining agricultural real wages. In the dynamic specification of real wages, the coefficient on oneperiod lagged error-correction term bears the expected negative sign and is significant. The forecasting ability of the error correction model is satisfactory with respect to the level or the percentage change of real wages. The overall results are consistent with the findings of earlier studies that agricultural productivity is a key determinant of real wages in Bangladesh.

scholarly journals Effects of Bank Credits on the Manufacturing Sector Output in Nigeria (1981-2018)

2020 ◽  
pp. 74-85
Author(s):  
Okere Peter.A ◽  
Okere, Cletus O ◽  
Nwaneto Ugonma
Keyword(s):  
Central Bank ◽  
Error Correction ◽  
Manufacturing Sector ◽  
Correction Term ◽  
Cointegration Test ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Auto Regressive ◽  
Bound Test

This study investigated the effects of bank credits on the manufacturing sector output in Nigeria from 1981-2018. The data for this study were sourced from Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) statistical bulletin. The study adopted the Auto-Regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) bound cointegration test approach and error correction. In the bound test following the ARDL, it investigated that the variables of interest put in the model are bound together in the long-run and error correction term displayed a negative and statistically significant. The negative value shows that there exists an modification speed from short-run disequilibrium towards the long-run balance. Given the error correction instrument outcome, the study revealed that bank credits exhibited a optimistic and significant relationship with the presentation of manufacturing sector in Nigeria. The study therefore recommends that policies geared towards deepening the financial sector and enhancing the healthy and soundness of banks should be vigorously pursued. Also the Central Bank of Nigeria should as a matter of urgency review downwards the lending interest rate in view of this COVID-19 pandemic threatening the whole world.

scholarly journals Foreign Direct Investment and Tourism Development in Africa

2020 ◽  
Vol 25 (4) ◽  
pp. 395-408
Author(s):  
Ogechi Adeola ◽  
Nathaniel Boso ◽  
Ellis L. C. Osabutey ◽  
Olaniyi Evans
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Tourism Development ◽  
Political Stability ◽  
Annual Data ◽  
African Countries ◽  
Fdi Inflows ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run

This study examines the nexus between foreign direct investment (FDI) inflow and tourism development. Using annual data for 44 countries in Africa from 1995 to 2014, and three different specifications of panel autoregressive distributed lag model, the study investigates short-run and long-run dynamics between FDI and tourism development. The study finds a significant positive relationship and a bidirectional long-run causality between FDI inflows and tourism development. In addition, the results show a negative short-run relationship between exchange rate and tourism development. Furthermore, there is evidence that economic growth and political stability are important determinants of tourism development. A major policy implication for African countries is that creating a politically stable environment and sustaining a growing economy help attract FDI inflows to boost tourism development.

scholarly journals Financial Deepening, Foreign Direct Investment and Output Performance in Nigeria

2018 ◽  
Vol 65 (2) ◽  
pp. 193-204
Author(s):  
Mumeen Olatunbosun Alabi ◽  
Sheriffdeen Adewale Tella ◽  
Ibrahim Abidemi Odusanya ◽  
Olumuyiwa Ganiyu Yinusa
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Financial Deepening ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Autoregressive Distributed Lag ◽  
Output Performance ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Financial Depth ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Bound Test

Abstract This study examines the relationship between financial deepening, foreign direct investment and output performance in Nigeria from 1980-2015 using the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) Bound Test approach. A long-run relationship was established between financial deepening indicators, foreign direct investment and output performance in Nigeria. Foreign direct investment and market capitalization as a percentage of the GDP exerted significantly on output performance both in the short-run and in the long-run periods. It is recommended that financial depth should be enhanced through improved and highly efficient provision of credit by banks to the real sector of the Nigerian economy.

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