scholarly journals A Comparative Analysis of Enhanced Machine Learning Algorithms for Smart Grid Stability Prediction

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
ANKIT GHOSH ◽  
ALOK KOLE
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Comparative Analysis ◽  
Smart Grid ◽  
Smart Grids ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Electricity Sector ◽  
Stochastic Gradient Descent ◽  
Energy Output ◽  
Gradient Boosting ◽  
Support Vector

<p>Smart grid is an essential concept in the transformation of the electricity sector into an intelligent digitalized energy network that can deliver optimal energy from the source to the consumers. Smart grids being self-sufficient systems are constructed through the integration of information, telecommunication, and advanced power technologies with the existing electricity systems. Artificial Intelligence (AI) is an important technology driver in smart grids. The application of AI techniques in smart grid is becoming more apparent because the traditional modelling optimization and control techniques have their own limitations. Machine Learning (ML) being a sub-set of AI enables intelligent decision-making and response to sudden changes in the customer energy demands, unexpected disruption of power supply, sudden variations in renewable energy output or any other catastrophic events in a smart grid. This paper presents the comparison among some of the state-of-the-art ML algorithms for predicting smart grid stability. The dataset that has been selected contains results from simulations of smart grid stability. Enhanced ML algorithms such as Support Vector Machine (SVM), Logistic Regression, K-Nearest Neighbour (KNN), Naïve Bayes (NB), Decision Tree (DT), Random Forest (RF), Stochastic Gradient Descent (SGD) classifier, XGBoost and Gradient Boosting classifiers have been implemented to forecast smart grid stability. A comparative analysis among the different ML models has been performed based on the following evaluation metrics such as accuracy, precision, recall, F1-score, AUC-ROC, and AUC-PR curves. The test results that have been obtained have been quite promising with the XGBoost classifier outperforming all the other models with an accuracy of 97.5%, recall of 98.4%, precision of 97.6%, F1-score of 97.9%, AUC-ROC of 99.8% and AUC-PR of 99.9%. </p>

scholarly journals A Comparative Analysis of Enhanced Machine Learning Algorithms for Smart Grid Stability Prediction

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
ANKIT GHOSH ◽  
ALOK KOLE
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Comparative Analysis ◽  
Smart Grid ◽  
Smart Grids ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Electricity Sector ◽  
Stochastic Gradient Descent ◽  
Energy Output ◽  
Gradient Boosting ◽  
Support Vector

<p>Smart grid is an essential concept in the transformation of the electricity sector into an intelligent digitalized energy network that can deliver optimal energy from the source to the consumers. Smart grids being self-sufficient systems are constructed through the integration of information, telecommunication, and advanced power technologies with the existing electricity systems. Artificial Intelligence (AI) is an important technology driver in smart grids. The application of AI techniques in smart grid is becoming more apparent because the traditional modelling optimization and control techniques have their own limitations. Machine Learning (ML) being a sub-set of AI enables intelligent decision-making and response to sudden changes in the customer energy demands, unexpected disruption of power supply, sudden variations in renewable energy output or any other catastrophic events in a smart grid. This paper presents the comparison among some of the state-of-the-art ML algorithms for predicting smart grid stability. The dataset that has been selected contains results from simulations of smart grid stability. Enhanced ML algorithms such as Support Vector Machine (SVM), Logistic Regression, K-Nearest Neighbour (KNN), Naïve Bayes (NB), Decision Tree (DT), Random Forest (RF), Stochastic Gradient Descent (SGD) classifier, XGBoost and Gradient Boosting classifiers have been implemented to forecast smart grid stability. A comparative analysis among the different ML models has been performed based on the following evaluation metrics such as accuracy, precision, recall, F1-score, AUC-ROC, and AUC-PR curves. The test results that have been obtained have been quite promising with the XGBoost classifier outperforming all the other models with an accuracy of 97.5%, recall of 98.4%, precision of 97.6%, F1-score of 97.9%, AUC-ROC of 99.8% and AUC-PR of 99.9%. </p>

scholarly journals Prediction of Healing Performance of Autogenous Healing Concrete Using Machine Learning

Materials ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (15) ◽  
pp. 4068
Author(s):  
Xu Huang ◽  
Mirna Wasouf ◽  
Jessada Sresakoolchai ◽  
Sakdirat Kaewunruen
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Search Algorithm ◽  
Weather Conditions ◽  
Prediction Performance ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Coefficient Of Determination ◽  
Gradient Boosting ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Self Healing ◽  
Artificial Neural Network Ann

Cracks typically develop in concrete due to shrinkage, loading actions, and weather conditions; and may occur anytime in its life span. Autogenous healing concrete is a type of self-healing concrete that can automatically heal cracks based on physical or chemical reactions in concrete matrix. It is imperative to investigate the healing performance that autogenous healing concrete possesses, to assess the extent of the cracking and to predict the extent of healing. In the research of self-healing concrete, testing the healing performance of concrete in a laboratory is costly, and a mass of instances may be needed to explore reliable concrete design. This study is thus the world’s first to establish six types of machine learning algorithms, which are capable of predicting the healing performance (HP) of self-healing concrete. These algorithms involve an artificial neural network (ANN), a k-nearest neighbours (kNN), a gradient boosting regression (GBR), a decision tree regression (DTR), a support vector regression (SVR) and a random forest (RF). Parameters of these algorithms are tuned utilising grid search algorithm (GSA) and genetic algorithm (GA). The prediction performance indicated by coefficient of determination (R2) and root mean square error (RMSE) measures of these algorithms are evaluated on the basis of 1417 data sets from the open literature. The results show that GSA-GBR performs higher prediction performance (R2GSA-GBR = 0.958) and stronger robustness (RMSEGSA-GBR = 0.202) than the other five types of algorithms employed to predict the healing performance of autogenous healing concrete. Therefore, reliable prediction accuracy of the healing performance and efficient assistance on the design of autogenous healing concrete can be achieved.

scholarly journals Comparison of Ensemble Machine Learning Methods for Soil Erosion Pin Measurements

2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 42
Author(s):  
Kieu Anh Nguyen ◽  
Walter Chen ◽  
Bor-Shiun Lin ◽  
Uma Seeboonruang
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Soil Erosion ◽  
Ensemble Methods ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Multivariate Adaptive Regression Splines ◽  
Gradient Boosting ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Ensemble Machine Learning ◽  
Boosting Method ◽  
Bagging Method

Although machine learning has been extensively used in various fields, it has only recently been applied to soil erosion pin modeling. To improve upon previous methods of quantifying soil erosion based on erosion pin measurements, this study explored the possible application of ensemble machine learning algorithms to the Shihmen Reservoir watershed in northern Taiwan. Three categories of ensemble methods were considered in this study: (a) Bagging, (b) boosting, and (c) stacking. The bagging method in this study refers to bagged multivariate adaptive regression splines (bagged MARS) and random forest (RF), and the boosting method includes Cubist and gradient boosting machine (GBM). Finally, the stacking method is an ensemble method that uses a meta-model to combine the predictions of base models. This study used RF and GBM as the meta-models, decision tree, linear regression, artificial neural network, and support vector machine as the base models. The dataset used in this study was sampled using stratified random sampling to achieve a 70/30 split for the training and test data, and the process was repeated three times. The performance of six ensemble methods in three categories was analyzed based on the average of three attempts. It was found that GBM performed the best among the ensemble models with the lowest root-mean-square error (RMSE = 1.72 mm/year), the highest Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE = 0.54), and the highest index of agreement (d = 0.81). This result was confirmed by the spatial comparison of the absolute differences (errors) between model predictions and observations using GBM and RF in the study area. In summary, the results show that as a group, the bagging method and the boosting method performed equally well, and the stacking method was third for the erosion pin dataset considered in this study.

Prediction and Analysis of Gold Prices using Ensemble Machine Learning Algorithms

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (VI) ◽  
pp. 4367-4374
Author(s):  
Gudipally Chandrashakar
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Gold Price ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Gradient Boosting ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Average Value ◽  
Ensemble Machine Learning

In this article, we used historical time series data up to the current day gold price. In this study of predicting gold price, we consider few correlating factors like silver price, copper price, standard, and poor’s 500 value, dollar-rupee exchange rate, Dow Jones Industrial Average Value. Considering the prices of every correlating factor and gold price data where dates ranging from 2008 January to 2021 February. Few algorithms of machine learning are used to analyze the time-series data are Random Forest Regression, Support Vector Regressor, Linear Regressor, ExtraTrees Regressor and Gradient boosting Regression. While seeing the results the Extra Tree Regressor algorithm gives the predicted value of gold prices more accurately.

scholarly journals A Comparative Analysis of Machine Learning Algorithms Modeled from Machine Vision-Based Lettuce Growth Stage Classification in Smart Aquaponics

2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (9) ◽  
pp. 442-449 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sandy C. Lauguico ◽  
◽  
Ronnie S. Concepcion II ◽  
Jonnel D. Alejandrino ◽  
Rogelio Ruzcko Tobias ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Comparative Analysis ◽  
Machine Vision ◽  
Nearest Neighbor ◽  
Learning Algorithms ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Urban Farming ◽  
K Nearest Neighbor ◽  
Lettuce Growth

The arising problem on food scarcity drives the innovation of urban farming. One of the methods in urban farming is the smart aquaponics. However, for a smart aquaponics to yield crops successfully, it needs intensive monitoring, control, and automation. An efficient way of implementing this is the utilization of vision systems and machine learning algorithms to optimize the capabilities of the farming technique. To realize this, a comparative analysis of three machine learning estimators: Logistic Regression (LR), K-Nearest Neighbor (KNN), and Linear Support Vector Machine (L-SVM) was conducted. This was done by modeling each algorithm from the machine vision-feature extracted images of lettuce which were raised in a smart aquaponics setup. Each of the model was optimized to increase cross and hold-out validations. The results showed that KNN having the tuned hyperparameters of n_neighbors=24, weights='distance', algorithm='auto', leaf_size = 10 was the most effective model for the given dataset, yielding a cross-validation mean accuracy of 87.06% and a classification accuracy of 91.67%.

scholarly journals MODIS-FIRMS and ground-truthing based wildfire likelihood mapping of Sikkim Himalaya using machine learning algorithms.

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Polash Banerjee
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Tree Cover ◽  
Anthropogenic Factors ◽  
Gradient Boosting ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Learning Methods ◽  
Sikkim Himalaya ◽  
Environmental Features ◽  
Machine Learning Methods

Abstract Wildfires in limited extent and intensity can be a boon for the forest ecosystem. However, recent episodes of wildfires of 2019 in Australia and Brazil are sad reminders of their heavy ecological and economical costs. Understanding the role of environmental factors in the likelihood of wildfires in a spatial context would be instrumental in mitigating it. In this study, 14 environmental features encompassing meteorological, topographical, ecological, in situ and anthropogenic factors have been considered for preparing the wildfire likelihood map of Sikkim Himalaya. A comparative study on the efficiency of machine learning methods like Generalized Linear Model (GLM), Support Vector Machine (SVM), Random Forest (RF) and Gradient Boosting Model (GBM) has been performed to identify the best performing algorithm in wildfire prediction. The study indicates that all the machine learning methods are good at predicting wildfires. However, RF has outperformed, followed by GBM in the prediction. Also, environmental features like average temperature, average wind speed, proximity to roadways and tree cover percentage are the most important determinants of wildfires in Sikkim Himalaya. This study can be considered as a decision support tool for preparedness, efficient resource allocation and sensitization of people towards mitigation of wildfires in Sikkim.

scholarly journals Techniques for Detecting Malware Traffic: A Comprehensive Approach to Feature Selection and Classification

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (12) ◽  
pp. 1-10
Author(s):  
Harsha A K
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Feature Selection ◽  
Random Forest ◽  
Learning Algorithms ◽  
Malware Detection ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Gradient Boosting ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Steady Increase ◽  
Extreme Gradient Boosting

Abstract: Since the advent of encryption, there has been a steady increase in malware being transmitted over encrypted networks. Traditional approaches to detect malware like packet content analysis are inefficient in dealing with encrypted data. In the absence of actual packet contents, we can make use of other features like packet size, arrival time, source and destination addresses and other such metadata to detect malware. Such information can be used to train machine learning classifiers in order to classify malicious and benign packets. In this paper, we offer an efficient malware detection approach using classification algorithms in machine learning such as support vector machine, random forest and extreme gradient boosting. We employ an extensive feature selection process to reduce the dimensionality of the chosen dataset. The dataset is then split into training and testing sets. Machine learning algorithms are trained using the training set. These models are then evaluated against the testing set in order to assess their respective performances. We further attempt to tune the hyper parameters of the algorithms, in order to achieve better results. Random forest and extreme gradient boosting algorithms performed exceptionally well in our experiments, resulting in area under the curve values of 0.9928 and 0.9998 respectively. Our work demonstrates that malware traffic can be effectively classified using conventional machine learning algorithms and also shows the importance of dimensionality reduction in such classification problems. Keywords: Malware Detection, Extreme Gradient Boosting, Random Forest, Feature Selection.

scholarly journals Evaluating Variable Selection and Machine Learning Algorithms for Estimating Forest Heights by Combining Lidar and Hyperspectral Data

2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (9) ◽  
pp. 507
Author(s):  
Sanjiwana Arjasakusuma ◽  
Sandiaga Swahyu Kusuma ◽  
Stuart Phinn
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Feature Selection ◽  
Learning Algorithms ◽  
Principal Component ◽  
Hyperspectral Data ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Gradient Boosting ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Forest Height ◽  
Extreme Gradient Boosting

Machine learning has been employed for various mapping and modeling tasks using input variables from different sources of remote sensing data. For feature selection involving high- spatial and spectral dimensionality data, various methods have been developed and incorporated into the machine learning framework to ensure an efficient and optimal computational process. This research aims to assess the accuracy of various feature selection and machine learning methods for estimating forest height using AISA (airborne imaging spectrometer for applications) hyperspectral bands (479 bands) and airborne light detection and ranging (lidar) height metrics (36 metrics), alone and combined. Feature selection and dimensionality reduction using Boruta (BO), principal component analysis (PCA), simulated annealing (SA), and genetic algorithm (GA) in combination with machine learning algorithms such as multivariate adaptive regression spline (MARS), extra trees (ET), support vector regression (SVR) with radial basis function, and extreme gradient boosting (XGB) with trees (XGbtree and XGBdart) and linear (XGBlin) classifiers were evaluated. The results demonstrated that the combinations of BO-XGBdart and BO-SVR delivered the best model performance for estimating tropical forest height by combining lidar and hyperspectral data, with R2 = 0.53 and RMSE = 1.7 m (18.4% of nRMSE and 0.046 m of bias) for BO-XGBdart and R2 = 0.51 and RMSE = 1.8 m (15.8% of nRMSE and −0.244 m of bias) for BO-SVR. Our study also demonstrated the effectiveness of BO for variables selection; it could reduce 95% of the data to select the 29 most important variables from the initial 516 variables from lidar metrics and hyperspectral data.

scholarly journals Encrypted DNP3 Traffic Classification Using Supervised Machine Learning Algorithms

2019 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 384-399 ◽  
Author(s):  
Thais de Toledo ◽  
Nunzio Torrisi
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Support Vector Machine ◽  
Decision Tree ◽  
Smart Grids ◽  
Learning Algorithms ◽  
Electric Utility ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Supervised Machine Learning ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Communication Link

The Distributed Network Protocol (DNP3) is predominately used by the electric utility industry and, consequently, in smart grids. The Peekaboo attack was created to compromise DNP3 traffic, in which a man-in-the-middle on a communication link can capture and drop selected encrypted DNP3 messages by using support vector machine learning algorithms. The communication networks of smart grids are a important part of their infrastructure, so it is of critical importance to keep this communication secure and reliable. The main contribution of this paper is to compare the use of machine learning techniques to classify messages of the same protocol exchanged in encrypted tunnels. The study considers four simulated cases of encrypted DNP3 traffic scenarios and four different supervised machine learning algorithms: Decision tree, nearest-neighbor, support vector machine, and naive Bayes. The results obtained show that it is possible to extend a Peekaboo attack over multiple substations, using a decision tree learning algorithm, and to gather significant information from a system that communicates using encrypted DNP3 traffic.

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