scholarly journals Impact d’une possible libéralisation commerciale entre le Brésil, les États-Unis, l'Union Européenne et la Chine sur l'économie brésilienne : Une analyse d'équilibre général calculable

2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 254-271
Author(s):  
Abdoulaye Aboubacari ◽  
Rayan Wolf ◽  
Ian Michael Trotter ◽  
Leonardo Bornacki de Mattos

La présente étude a évalué les effets de la formation d'un éventuel accord de libéralisation commerciale entre le Brésil, les États-Unis, l'Union Européenne et la Chine sur le PIB, sur le bien-être et sur les échanges commerciaux des pays membres. Pour atteindre l’objectif de ce travail, l’équilibre général calculable a été utilisé comme base, modélisé par le Projet d’Analyse de l’Équilibre Général (PAEG) pour les régions brésiliennes désagrégées. Les résultats indiquent une croissance du PIB, une amélioration du bien-être, ainsi qu'une amélioration d’échanges commerciaux brésiliens, représenté par les importations et les exportations.     Abstract: The present study evaluated the effects of the formation of a possible free trade agreement between Brazil, the United States, the European Union and China in the GDP, welfare and trade of the member countries. In order to achieve the objective of this work, the computable general equilibrium was used as a basis, being modeled by General Equilibrium Analysis Project (GEAP) for the disaggregated Brazilian regions. The results show GDP growth, improved welfare, and improved Brazilian trade represented by imports and exports. Keywords: USA, European Union, China, PAEG.     Recebido em: novembro/2019. Aprovado em: agosto/2020.

2018 ◽  
Vol 112 (4) ◽  
pp. 751-759 ◽  

Over the summer of 2018, trade relations between the United States and many of its trading partners continued to be marked by tensions. The United States and China ratcheted up their use of tariffs against each other. The United States both received and initiated requests for consultation with various countries at the World Trade Organization (WTO) related to its earlier steel and aluminum tariffs and to tariffs imposed in response by other countries. President Trump has continued to pursue the possibility of further tariffs, including with respect to automobile and uranium imports. The United States also escalated trade tensions with Turkey through various measures, explicitly linking some of these measures to Turkey's detainment of an American pastor. Despite the broader theme of tensions, negotiations have proved productive between the United States and two of its major trading partners—the European Union and Mexico—paving a way for future settlements. With the European Union, the Trump administration has reached a tentative understanding and agreed not to impose new tariffs while the parties negotiate toward finalizing this understanding. As to Mexico, in late August 2018 the Trump administration announced that the two countries had reached agreement with respect to many issues underlying their ongoing North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) negotiations.


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