scholarly journals The Bulgarian Pension System Reform and Implicit Pension Debt

2020 ◽  
pp. 5-20
Keyword(s):  
Social Insurance ◽  
Pension System ◽  
Pension Reform ◽  
Public Pension ◽  
System Reform ◽  
Public Pension Fund ◽  
Implicit Pension Debt ◽  
Long Term Forecasting ◽  
Pension Liabilities ◽  
The Impact

The impact of the Bulgarian pension sys­tem reform, implemented with the 2015 Social Insurance Code amendment act, on the im­plicit pension debt is the main focus of the present article. Holzmann’s methodology for calculation of open group pension liabilities is used (Holzmann et al., 2004). The long term forecasting of public pension fund revenues and expenditures is made possible through Professor John Wilkin’s actuarial model, which has been prepared within the scope of the World Bank’s assistance for Bulgaria in the implementation of the pension reform. The in­put in the model consists of demographic and macroeconomic suggestions as well as social security data for the 40-year period (2015- 2055) after pension reform enactment. The impact of the pension reform’s parameters on the implicit pension debt of the Bulgarian public pension system is elaborated through scenario analysis. Among the key findings of this article are the important role of the in­creasing of retirement age and serving period, as well as the contribution size for pension, for decreasing of implicit pension debt.

DEMOGRAPHIC, SOCIAL AND ECONOMIC DETERMINANTS OF THE PENSION REFORM PAYMENT PLAN OF THE PENSION SYSTEM BASED ON TRANSFER OF CAPITAL FROM OPF FUNDS TO IPA

2017 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 108-126
Author(s):  
Dariusz Prokopowicz
Keyword(s):  
Economic Policy ◽  
Social Insurance ◽  
Pension System ◽  
Pension Reform ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
System Reform ◽  
Economic Determinants ◽  
Reform Plan ◽  
Capital Construction

The article describes the demographic, social and economic determinants of the capital reform plan of the pillar of the pension system based on the transfer of capital from Open Pension Funds to the Individual Pension Accounts system. The purpose of the planned pension reform is to improve the efficiency of the capital pillar of the pension system. Reform should also counteract the negative impact of demographic change, i.e. the aging process, on the public finances of the participatory pension system managed by the Social Insurance Institution. From mid-2016, the Ministry of Development had present the "Capital Construction Program", that is an important pillar of economic policy developed in Poland in 2017, at press conferences organized by the Warsaw Stock Exchange. The main assumptions of this economic policy are laid down in the so plan for responsible development.

scholarly journals The Impact of Fiscal Conservatism ; A Case Study of the 2007 National Pension System Reform in Korea

2019 ◽  
Vol 4 (No. 1 Apr 2019) ◽  
pp. 17-38
Author(s):  
Jai Seop Lee
Keyword(s):  
Structural Transformation ◽  
Pension System ◽  
Pension Reform ◽  
Influential Factors ◽  
System Reform ◽  
Theoretical Assumption ◽  
Internal Contradiction ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Fiscal Conservatism

This research intends to identify the influential factors in the 2007 National Pension System (NPS) reform in Korea (the Republic of Korea) which drove the NPS toward a structural transformation. This research also examines the applicability of the theory of Clemens and Cook (1999) to the Korean policy shift, who argue that the innate driving force of a policy, an internal contradiction, can be a critical source of structural policy change. A literature review based case study was carried out in this research. The findings are as follows. Firstly, rising fiscal conservatism was the main determinant of the 2007 NPS structural reform. The processes and conditions of the reform documented were: the fiscal conservatism embedded in NPS generated serious policy problems and led to an accumulation of the internal contradictions within NPS by raising the question on its fundamental policy goal. As time passed without any self-correction mechanism with respect to the problematic policy, the NPS lost credibility in the eyes of the public and also lost policy legitimacy. At the same time, there was a competing policy alternative to the NPS. This was the universalistic tax-based Basic Old-Age Pension System. This has been a challenge to NPSin that it had been designed based on the social insurance financing principle. The pre-conditions for the structural NPS reform were fully complete and they could be exploited by self-interested political parties in the following policy-making stages. Secondly, the theoretical assumption that the internal contradiction of a policy can be a decisive power for structural transformation, as suggested by Clemens and Cook (1999) among others, was proven to be theoretically and practically accurate in the Korean public pension reform case.

養老領域中的代際衝突與代際公平——基於儒家倫理的視閾

2019 ◽  
Vol 17 (1) ◽  
pp. 11-28
Author(s):  
Jue WANG
Keyword(s):  
Social Insurance ◽  
Pension System ◽  
Pension Reform ◽  
Global Perspective ◽  
Policy Implications ◽  
Confucian Ethics ◽  
System Reform ◽  
Ethical Perspective ◽  
Generational Equity ◽  
Intergenerational Contract

LANGUAGE NOTE | Document text in Chinese; abstract also in English.從世界範園看，代際公平早已經是一個與養老金改革、醫療資源配置等問題深度捆綁的核心議題。代際公平危機首先凸顯在養老金赤字上，並進一步危及到社會養老保險制度的公平性，危及到養老保障制度的基礎－－代際契約。就倫理層面而言，如何在老齡化的壓力重構代際契約成為決定代際公平辯論走向的關鍵。本文擬簡述目前在代際公平辯論中佔主導地位的解釋範式，並批判性地審查其倫理意蘊與局限性。在此基礎上，本文擬提供一種基於儒家倫理思想的替代性的解釋範式。本文試圖論證儒家倫理及其蘊含的代際契約不僅為解決代際公平問題提供了新的思路，而且也為當前中國養老制度改革提供一些重要的政策建議。From a global perspective, generational equity has long been a core issue in pension reform and medical resource allocation. Indeed, discussion of generational equity involves a financial crisis related to pension deficits and the fairness of the pension system, which is a crisis that threatens the ethical foundation of the social insurance institution, i.e., the intergenerational contract. From an ethical perspective, how to reconstruct the intergenerational contract under the pressure of aging is crucial to the debate on generational equity. This study critically examines the dominant framework of the debate on generational equity and proposes an alternative interpretation framework based on Confucian ethics. Finally, this study argues that Confucian ethics and the interpretation of the intergenerational contract not only shed new light on the issue of generational equity but also provide important policy implications for the current pension system reform in China.DOWNLOAD HISTORY | This article has been downloaded 33 times in Digital Commons before migrating into this platform.

Pension Liabilities and Public Finances in Bolivia: Evidence from a Reformer Country

2007 ◽  
pp. 45-80
Author(s):  
Jaime A. Garrón Bozo
Keyword(s):  
Pension System ◽  
Pension Reform ◽  
Financial Burden ◽  
Fiscal Deficit ◽  
Public Accounting ◽  
Public Finances ◽  
Main Factors ◽  
Pension Liabilities ◽  
The Impact

In 1996 Bolivia undertook a radical pension reform, switching from an unfunded to a fully funded privately managed system. This paper analyzes the impact of the pension reform and post-reform pension policies (1997-2003) on public finances; it shows initial estimates for the transition cost, analyzes the main factors that increased the financial burden for the Treasury to unexpected levels, presents some public accounting considerations, and examines post-reform linkages between the Treasury and the new pension system. It concludes that the effect of the pension reform and post-reform pension policies on public finances has been two-fold: increasing considerably pension net liabilities, and inducing a higher fiscal deficit for the explicit report of the pension debt.

Pension Reform in Russia: Assessing the Susceptibility of GDP Production to a Shift in the Number of the Working-Age Population

2019 ◽  
pp. 80-86
Author(s):  
T. P. Skufina ◽  
S. V. Baranov
Keyword(s):  
Pension Reform ◽  
Fixed Capital ◽  
Economic Effects ◽  
Pension Scheme ◽  
Retirement Age ◽  
Working Age ◽  
Working Age Population ◽  
Long Term Forecasting ◽  
The Impact

The presented study considers the susceptibility of gross domestic product (GDP) production to a shift in the number of the working-age population due to an increase in retirement age starting with 2019.Aim. The study aims to examine the quantitative assessments of GDP production in Russia with allowance for the changes in the number of the working-age population due to an increase in the actual retirement age.Tasks. The authors forecast the number of the working-age population with allowance for an increase in the retirement age; develop a model to establish a correlation between the number of the workingage population, investment in fixed capital, and GDP production; quantify the impact of the shift in the number of the working-age population on GDP production in Russia. Methods. This study is based on the results of modeling and long-term forecasting.Results. An economic-mathematical model to establish a correlation between the number of the working-age population, investment in fixed capital, and GDP production is presented. To specify the economic effects of a shift in the number of the working-age population due to an increase in the retirement age, Russia’s GDP production is forecasted for the “old” and “new” (increased retirement age) pension scheme. The forecast is provided for three variants of the number of the working-age population.Conclusions. It is found that with the “old” pension scheme with a lower retirement age GDP production across all three variants will decrease by 2036 compared to 2017. With regard to the “new” scheme that increases the retirement age, it is concluded that an increase in the retirement age is a factor that facilitates GDP production. However, its effect on economic growth will be insignificant.

scholarly journals You Win Some, You Lose Some: Pension Reform in Bachelet’s First and Second Administrations

2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
pp. 204-230 ◽  
Author(s):  
Silvia Borzutzky
Keyword(s):  
Political Ideology ◽  
Pension System ◽  
Pension Reform ◽  
Presidential Power ◽  
Pension Policy ◽  
The Will ◽  
The Government ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Government Coalition

This article analyses and compares President Bachelet’s successful efforts to reform the Chilean pension system in 2008 and her failure to achieve the same objective in 2017. The article addresses the impact of electoral promises, policy legacies, policy ideology, presidential power, the role of the private sector, and the role that the government coalitions had in the process of pension reform during the Bachelet administrations. We argue that the 2008 reform was possible because of Bachelet’s personal commitment to reform and the presence of a stable governing coalition that had the will and capacity to legislate. In the second administration, although the policy legacies and ideology had remained the same, the reform did not materialise due to intense conflict within the administration and within the government coalition, as well as conflict between the administration and the coalition. These conflicts, in turn, generated a vicious cycle responsible for Bachelet’s declining popularity, limited political capital, and reduced support for reform. A stagnant economy further undermined these efforts. In brief, this article argues that when assessing success and failure in pension policy reform it is important to analyse not only policy legacies and political ideology but also the strength of the executive, the cohesion of the governing coalition, and the country’s economic performance.

scholarly journals Informality and the Challenge of Pension Adequacy

2019 ◽  
Vol 19 (149) ◽  
pp. 1
Author(s):  
Christoph Freudenberg ◽  
Frederik Toscani
Keyword(s):  
Pension System ◽  
Pension Reform ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Defined Benefit ◽  
Defined Contribution ◽  
Real Rate ◽  
Labor Market Reform ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Term Labor ◽  
Pension Adequacy

Past reforms have put the Peruvian pension system on a largely fiscally sustainable path, but the system faces important challenges in providing adequate pension levels for a large share of the population. Using administrative microdata at the affiliate level, we project replacement rates in the defined benefit (DB) and defined contribution (DC) pillars over the next 30 years and simulate the impact of various reform scenarios on the average level and distribution of pensions. In the DB pillar, the regressive minimum contribution period should be re-thought, while in the DC pillar a broadening of the contribution base and/or an increase in contribution rates would help increase replacement rates relative to the baseline forecast of 25-33 percent. A higher net real rate of return than assumed in the baseline would also have a significant positive impact. In the medium-term, labor market reform to tackle informality, and a broad pension reform to restructure the system and avoid competition between the DB and DC pillars should be a priority. Given low pension coverage, having a strong non-contributory pillar will remain important for the foreseeable future.

scholarly journals How the Pension System Responds to Pandemic Shocks: A Case Study of Georgia

2021 ◽  
Vol 17 (5) ◽  
Author(s):  
Maka Ghaniashvili
Keyword(s):  
Life Expectancy ◽  
Pension System ◽  
Pension Reform ◽  
Age Distribution ◽  
Financial Strain ◽  
Significant Step ◽  
Pros And Cons ◽  
Pension Benefits ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Fiscal Risks

The paper focuses on the impact of the pandemic crisis on pension system in Georgia and analyzes the pros and cons of the ongoing pension reforms in the country. Decreased birth rates and increased life expectancy over the next decades will significantly change the picture of the age distribution of the population in many countries. As life expectancy increases and the birth rate decreases, more people retire than are added to the workforce. A change in the demographic picture necessitates fundamental pension reform. At the same time, the world is facing a crisis caused by the COVID-19 pandemic. The future is uncertain, both medically and financially. Despite optimistic forecasts, the second wave of the COVID-19 pandemic has begun in many countries which further increases the degree of uncertainty. Funded pension schemes suffer from the crisis because lower returns diminish their asset values, while low yields on public debt instruments increase the present value of their liabilities. This can generate both explicit fiscal risks— in the case of government guarantees—and implicit fiscal risks through lower private pension benefits or financial strain on the sponsoring employers. Our research is focused on the pension system and its development problems in Georgia, taking into account that since 2019, 1st January, the existing financial, demographic and economic challenges have determined the establishment of a new pension system. Main sources for the research are data gathered from the international organizations and local governmental and statistical data softwares. Our research results show that the pension reform launched in 2019 in Georgia is a significant step forward in reducing social imbalances and fiscal pressures in the medium / long term. However, for further development, it is important to systematically assess the effectiveness of pension policies, taking into account factors such as changes in demographic structure, expected fiscal spending, the inequality gap and the crisis caused by the COVID-19 pandemic.

Policy will strain the German pension system

2018 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rates ◽  
Pension System ◽  
Pension Reform ◽  
Government Policies ◽  
Occupational Pension ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Low Interest Rates ◽  
Old Age Poverty ◽  
The Government ◽  
Pension Liabilities

Subject Germany’s pension system. Significance The pension system is under increasing pressure from demographic change, low interest rates and generous government policies. Impacts Increasing tax liabilities on pension incomes could increase the prevalence of old-age poverty. Rising pension liabilities in the occupational pension pillar could dampen business investment in years ahead. The question of pension reform could be the undoing of the government when the coalition parties meet to evaluate their work in late 2019.

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