scholarly journals 10.5937/industrija42-5561 = Exchange rate effect on stock returns in the East European emerging markets: A quantile regression approach

Industrija ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 42 (3) ◽  
pp. 7-21 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dejan Zivkov ◽  
Jovan Njegic ◽  
Jelisaveta Markelic
Risks ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (3) ◽  
pp. 86
Author(s):  
Rizwan Ali ◽  
Inayat Ullah Mangla ◽  
Ramiz Ur Rehman ◽  
Wuzhao Xue ◽  
Muhammad Akram Naseem ◽  
...  

In this study, we examine an empirical relationship between stock market volatility with the exchange rate and gold prices of an emerging market, “Pakistan”, employing daily and monthly data (PSX-100 Index) covering from 2001: Q3 to 2018: Q2. The study explains the average stock returns by applying MGARCH. Further, it investigates that the volatility in the exchange rate (Rs/US $) and gold prices remain equally strong in bearish and bullish conditions of the stock market by using a quantile regression approach (2001–2018). Additionally, the sample period is divided into two split samples that cover (2001–2007) and (2008–2018) respectively, based on global financial crises and applied similar analysis. The overall results show the negative impact of the exchange rate and gold price volatility on the stock market performance daily (monthly), supporting the argument that the stock market considers the exchange rate and gold price fluctuations as an adverse indicator and reacts negatively.


2015 ◽  
Vol 84 (1) ◽  
pp. 149-179 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gideon Boako ◽  
Maurice Omane-Adjepong ◽  
Joseph Magnus Frimpong

2021 ◽  
pp. 0958305X2199798
Author(s):  
Mushtaq Hussain Khan ◽  
Junaid Ahmed ◽  
Mazhar Mughal

This study explores the dependence between changes in world crude oil prices and the performance of the Pakistan Stock Exchange, at the aggregate as well as sectoral levels for the period from July 1997 to December 2016. Quantile regression approach is employed for a detailed examination of the structure and degree of dependence for three sub-periods corresponding to normal, rising, and falling oil price periods. We found that the dependence between changes in crude oil price and the sectoral stock returns is heterogeneous across industries and it exists in both bullish and bearish market trends. The dependence at the upper and lower quantiles is found to be a common feature across industries. Moreover, the dependence and direction of the relationship change at times of structural breaks. The findings highlight an external channel through which fluctuations in stock returns may impede the liquidity of the stock market of an oil-importing country such as Pakistan, thereby affecting the domestic economy.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Samir Cedic ◽  
Alwan Mahmoud ◽  
Matteo Manera ◽  
Gazi Salah Uddin

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