Vegetation and Plant Diversity of High-Altitude Mountains in Eastern Karadeniz (Black Sea) Region of Turkey and Climate Change Interactions

Author(s):  
Salih Terzioğlu ◽  
Aydın Tüfekçioğlu ◽  
Mahir Küçük
Author(s):  
V. O. Balabukh ◽  
S. V. Zibtsev

The aim of this study consists in assessment of impact of change of thermal regime, air moisture and weather phenomena on quantity and area of forest fires in the northern part of the Black Sea Region of Ukraine, their possible changes and consequences by the middle of XXI century with regard to modern climatic period for SRESA1B scenario and setting of some proportion of uncertainty of these changes. The study of regional peculiarities of climate change was performed on the basis of daily meteorological observations over the period of 1961-2013 in the context of Kherson region. To assess impact of weather conditions on fire safety data on number of forest fires and their area in the region over 1996-2013 (about 4 000 cases of fire) were used. The study was carried out using regression and correlation analysis. Calculation projections of climate characteristics’ change resulting in forest fires was performed for the period of 2021-2050 with relation to modern climatic period (1981-2010) using the data of regional climate model REMO with resolution of 25 km initiated by ECHAM5 global model calculation. It was found that number and area of forest fires in the northern part of the Black Sea Region of Ukraine is largely dependent on thermal regime, moisture and wind regime. Influence of temperature appears to be decisive and affects area of fires rather than their number. For example, increase of annual / summer average air temperature by 1°C can lead to increase of average area of fire almost by 110% and 90% respectively and increase of number of days with atmospheric drought and heat (maximum temperature above 30°C) by 10 days can cause increase of average area of fires by 130% and 80%. At the same time air temperature in September and October has a significant impact on number of fires: increase of monthly average air temperature by 1°C can lead to increase of number of fires by 20%. Climate change analysis conducted in Kherson oblast resulted in finding that over the recent decades the region faced a significant change of thermal regime, moisture and wind regime, recurrence of weather phenomena affecting number and area of forest fires. These changes led to increase of fire risks in the region. Evaluation of possible changes of these characteristics by the middle of the XXI century showed that the under SRES A1B scenario the region might expect further increase of temperature throughout the year, growth of number of hot days and duration of sultry period. Since these processes are accompanied by increase of duration of dry period these changes will significantly affect fire risk increase – number of forest fires and their area by the middle of the XXI century in Kherson region may significantly grow. Obtained results can be used to develop plans for adaptation to climate change.


Author(s):  
Viacheslav Liashenko ◽  
Olena Tsvirko ◽  
Nataliia Trushkina

The article proposes a comprehensive approach to assessing the development of the transport and logistics system of the Black Sea region. This approach is based on the use of a set of indicators that characterize the current state of the transport and logistics system from an environmental point of view. Such indicators include volumes of pollutant emissions from mobile sources; emissions of pollutants into the atmosphere from the activities of transport and warehousing; volumes of industrial waste (generated, disposed of, disposed of in specially designated places or facilities, accumulated during operation in specially designated places or facilities); current expenditures and capital investments for environmental protection in the field of transport and warehousing; capital investment in air protection and climate change; capital investments in waste management; current expenditures on-air protection and climate change issues; current costs of waste management; investments in capital repairs of fixed assets for environmental protection. On the basis of the received results of the carried-out diagnostics, modern ecological problems of functioning of transport and logistic system of the region are revealed. As a result of the research, it is proved that to ensure the effective functioning of the transport and logistics system of the Black Sea economic region on the basis of green economy and balanced sustainable development it is advisable to implement a comprehensive approach. Its essence is the symbiosis and integration of principles, functions, management methods, information systems, green technologies, and green financial instruments aimed at reducing greenhouse gas emissions, improving environmental safety, making sound innovative decisions on environmental management of logistics. It is established that in modern Ukrainian realities it is necessary to apply in the Black Sea region the best international practice of implementing the mechanism of "green" financing of infrastructure projects.


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