Extrapolation, Efficiency, and Stock Market Overreaction

1989 ◽  
Author(s):  
Paul B. Andreassen
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market

Predicting Stock Market Performance

2020 ◽  
pp. 1-10
Author(s):  
Thomas Plieger ◽  
Thomas Grünhage ◽  
Éilish Duke ◽  
Martin Reuter
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Risk Taking ◽  
Life Stress ◽  
Price Volatility ◽  
Individual Characteristics ◽  
Self Report ◽  
Financial Behavior ◽  
Market Simulation ◽  
Stock Market Performance ◽  
Risk Taking Behavior

Abstract. Gender and personality traits influence risk proneness in the context of financial decisions. However, most studies on this topic have relied on either self-report data or on artificial measures of financial risk-taking behavior. Our study aimed to identify relevant trading behaviors and personal characteristics related to trading success. N = 108 Caucasians took part in a three-week stock market simulation paradigm, in which they traded shares of eight fictional companies that differed in issue price, volatility, and outcome. Participants also completed questionnaires measuring personality, risk-taking behavior, and life stress. Our model showed that being male and scoring high on self-directedness led to more risky financial behavior, which in turn positively predicted success in the stock market simulation. The total model explained 39% of the variance in trading success, indicating a role for other factors in influencing trading behavior. Future studies should try to enrich our model to get a more accurate impression of the associations between individual characteristics and financially successful behavior in context of stock trading.

The Effects of Share Repurchase Announcements on Returns in the Malaysia Stock Market

2018 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 1 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tze San Ong ◽  
Pei San Ng
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Abnormal Return ◽  
Small Firms ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Share Repurchase ◽  
Before And After ◽  
Positive Abnormal Return ◽  
Repurchase Announcements ◽  
Signaling Hypothesis ◽  
Firm Characteristic

This paper examines the market response surrounding the share repurchase announcements of Malaysia Listed Companies from years 2012 to 2016. One sample T-test was carried out to identify the abnormal return in the range before and after 20 days from share repurchase announcements. The result shows a significant positive abnormal return in the day of repurchase announcements and continuously until day 1 after the announcements. Multiple regression analysis was performed in order to identify the firm characteristic of share repurchase. The finding is supported with information asymmetric, which shows that stock market reacts more favorably through the repurchase announcements by small firms than large firms. This study is consistent with the signaling hypothesis that shows share repurchase announcement can be an effective tool in stabilizing the stock market in Malaysia. The finding of this study acts as a useful tool for managers and investors to improve their decisions on share repurchase announcements in Malaysia. Company’s managers can conduct share repurchase announcements that are able to make the stock market react positively in order to generate positive abnormal returns.

How to Assure Stable Development in Unstable Financial Environment?

2007 ◽  
pp. 4-26 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Ershov
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Developed Countries ◽  
Market Liquidity ◽  
Market Mechanisms ◽  
Russian Economy ◽  
The Developed Countries ◽  
Russian Stock Market ◽  
Stable Development ◽  
Financial Environment

Growing involvement of Russian economy in international economic sphere increases the role of external risks. Financial problems which the developed countries are encountered with today result in volatility of Russian stock market, liquidity problems for banks, unstable prices. These factors in total may put longer-term prospects of economic growth in jeopardy. Monetary, foreign exchange and stock market mechanisms become the centerpiece of economic policy approaches which should provide for stable development in the shaky environment.

The “dividend puzzle” and the Russian stock market. Part 1

2020 ◽  
pp. 66-92 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. E. Abramov ◽  
A. D. Radygin ◽  
M. I. Chernova ◽  
R. M. Entov
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Financial Stability ◽  
Dividend Policy ◽  
General Context ◽  
Steady Increase ◽  
Main Research ◽  
For Profit ◽  
Dividend Payments ◽  
Stock Market Performance ◽  
Dividend Irrelevance

This article analyzes the key patterns of the dividend policy and the problem of the “dividend puzzle” in the general context of the development of the stock market in Russia. The article consists of two parts.In the first part we summarize main research trends of dividend policy in modern economic theory (the classical Modigliani—Miller theory of dividend irrelevance, agent and signal hypotheses, the smoothing model, the catering theory, etc.). We emphasize the theoretical analysis of motivation of the largest Russian companies for profit allocation and dividend payout, based on a sample of 236 joint stock companies. Since 2012, a steady increase in dividend payments has been revealed in both private and state-owned enterprises (SOEs). The bulk of dividend payments from SOEs accounts for only 12 major companies. Along with an increase in the market value, dividends have become an important factor in the total return on shares. Under current conditions, the probability of paying dividends depends not only on the size of the company and indicators of its’ financial stability, but also on the presence of the state in the capital of companies. However, the relationship between the probability of paying dividends and state participation in the ownership structure is not universal and can be explained by specific factors that go beyond the classical dividend theories.In the second part we will analyze the patterns of stock market performance and dividend policy of the largest Russian companies, motivation for dividend payouts and special aspects of SOEs policy.

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