scholarly journals New Epidemiological Model Suggestions Revealing Size of Epidemics Based on the COVID-19 Pandemic Example: Wavelength Models

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tevfik Bulut
Keyword(s):  
United Kingdom ◽  
Epidemiological Model ◽  
The Other ◽  
International Level ◽  
Other Hand ◽  
The Usa

AbstractThe main purpose of the study is to introduce the wavelength models developed to measure the size of outbreaks based on the COVID-19 example. In this way, the wavelengths of the outbreaks can be calculated, ensuring that the outbreaks are valid, reliable and easy to follow at the national and international level. Wavelength models consist of approved case, death, recovered case and net wavelength models. Thus, the size of the outbreak can be measured both individually and as a whole. COVID-19 cases of 181 countries were used to demonstrate the application of the models. The prominent findings in the applied wavelength models are as follows: the countries with the highest case wavelength are USA, Italy, Spain and Germany, respectively. However, Italy ranks first in the death wavelength, followed by Spain, the USA and France. On the other hand, China has taken the first place in the recovered case wavelength. This country was followed by Spain and Germany and Italy, respectively. Based on all these wavelength models mentioned, net wavelength lengths are calculated. According to the findings of net wavelengths obtained, Canada ranked first, followed by United Kingdom, USA and Italy, respectively.

scholarly journals Prediction of Size of the COVID-19 Pandemic Using Wavelength Models: Cases of Turkey and World

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tevfik Bulut ◽  
Mustafa Çağrı Yıldız
Keyword(s):  
Time Frame ◽  
The Other ◽  
Time Interval ◽  
Cumulative Number ◽  
International Level ◽  
Other Hand ◽  
First Case ◽  
The Usa

Abstract The main purpose of the study is to predict the magnitude of the Covid-19 pandemic by using epidemiological wavelength models in Turkey and at international level. Therefore, firstly, the first 36 days of wavelengths based on the number of daily coronavirus cases in Turkey were calculated. In addition, 114 countries were compared in terms of Covid-19 wavelengths considering the cumulative number of the pandemic cases occured at the end of the first 36 days for evaluation on an equal plane. In the last part of the study, the wavelengths of 185 countries were examined comparatively based on the cumulative number of cases at the end of the time frame from the first epidemic case until 2020-04-16 (including that date). According to the findings of wavelength obtained in Turkey, it was observed that case wavelength on 2020-04-11, death and recovered case wavelength on 2020-04-16, and net wavelength on 2020-03-26 reached its peak. China was the country having the highest wavelength of case, death, and recovered case wavelengths in 114 countries at the end of the first 36 days since the first case occurred. In that country, wavelengths of case, death and recovered case were 33.6, 23.5 and 30.7, respectively. The first three countries with the highest net wavelength at the end of the first 36 days were Serbia (36.5), Netherlands (33.5) and Portugal (30.3), respectively. On the other hand, the country having the highest case and death wavelengths among 185 countries in the time interval from the first case until the date of 2020-04-16 (including that date) was the USA, and case and death wavelengths were 39.7 and 30.7, respectively. The country with the highest recovered case wavelength was China (33.3). The first 3 countries with the highest wavelengths are Canada (51.4), England (45.0) and Serbia (39.2), respectively.

SCENARIOS FOR AN EXPANDING DEMAND OF TOURISM ON THE COASTS OF CUBA

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Oscar Gutiérrez-Bolívar ◽  
Oscar Gutiérrez-Bolívar ◽  
Pedro Fernández Carrasco ◽  
Pedro Fernández Carrasco
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
The Other ◽  
Sudden Increase ◽  
Tourist Destination ◽  
Other Hand ◽  
The Usa ◽  
The Impact

The opening of relationships between United States and Cuba could be a drive for a huge increase in the affluence of tourism to Cuba and especially to the coast areas. Cuba has been for many years an important tourist destination for people from many countries, but almost forbidden for US citizens. The proximity of the USA, its amount of population as well as their great acquisition power will increase in a very substantial way the demand for accommodation and other uses in the proximity of the coasts. There will be a need to implement a package of measures that reduce the impact of such sudden increase in the coastal line. On the other hand that augment in tourism could be an opportunity to improve the standard of life of Cubans. The consideration of different possibilities of such development, the analysis of the damages that each one could cause as well as the measures that could avoid, ameliorate or compensate such effects are the goals that are going to be presented in this paper.

scholarly journals “System Conditions”, System Failure, Structural Racism and Anti-Racism in the United Kingdom: Evidence from Education and Beyond

Societies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
pp. 42
Author(s):  
Paul Miller
Keyword(s):  
United Kingdom ◽  
Education Sector ◽  
The Other ◽  
System Failure ◽  
Structural Racism ◽  
The United Kingdom ◽  
Other Hand ◽  
Number Of Factors ◽  
The One

Racism in any society is fuelled by a number of factors, often acting independently of each other, or, at times, in concert with each other. On the one hand, anti-racism efforts rely on the alignment of four “system conditions” to stand a chance of successfully engaging and tackling racism. On the other hand, where these “system conditions” are not present, or where they are not in sync, this leads to “system failure”—a situation where racism is writ large in society and in the institutions therein, and where anti-racism efforts are severely hampered. Drawing on evidence from within the education sector and elsewhere in UK society, this paper examines how a lack of alignment between “system conditions” hampers antiracism efforts, and simultaneously reinforces racism in society and in institutions—leading to gridlock or “system failure” around anti-racism.

scholarly journals The Social Identity Change of Little Bee as the Main Character in Chris Cleave‟s The Other Hand

2019 ◽  
Vol 25 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Riska Hendika Rani
Keyword(s):  
United Kingdom ◽  
Social Identity ◽  
Identity Formation ◽  
The Other ◽  
Immigration Detention ◽  
Detention Center ◽  
The United Kingdom ◽  
Other Hand ◽  
Three Stages ◽  
British People

Chris Cleave‟s novel entitled The Other Hand pictures an African refugee‟s life in the United Kingdom and her struggle to survive in the country. As an illegal refugee from Africa who smuggles herself into a tea ship, Little Bee, the refugee, has to stay in the immigration detention center when she arrives in the United Kingdom. She deals with identity issues during her two-year-stay in the immigration detention center. The questions such as „why don‟t British people treat her in a good way‟ and „why do British people get respect and she does not‟ make her want to be treated like a British, which she assumes, being treated nicely in the United Kingdom. Under the paradigm of social identity theory which contains the three stages of identity formation proposed by Henri Tajfel and John Turner, this study attempts to explain Little Bee‟s process of identity formation. Focusing on Little Bee‟s struggle in the United Kingdom as an illegal refugee from Africa, this study analyzes the three stages of identity formation that Little Bee has been through during her social identity transformation, as well as the factors influencing her and her struggle during the process.

“Sovereign Democracy” Discourse in the Russian Foreign Policy

2018 ◽  
pp. 178-200
Author(s):  
Neziha Musaoğlu
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Policy ◽  
Russian Federation ◽  
The Other ◽  
Russian Foreign Policy ◽  
The West ◽  
Policy Practice ◽  
Other Hand ◽  
The Usa ◽  
The Russian Federation ◽  
The One

Many important changes occurred in the Russian Federation's foreign policy since 2000s with Putin's coming to power. Although the foreign policy is defined as pragmatic during this period, it is in fact ideologically constructed on the basis of the concept of “sovereign democracy.” The concept constitutes in the same time the source of loyalty of the Russian reelpolitik towards the West, especially the USA and of the Russian anti-globalist policies. The aim of this chapter is to analyze the intellectual, normative, and conceptual dimensions of the “sovereign democracy” concept that could serve to conceive the foreign policy practice of the Russian Federation, on the one hand, and on the other hand its dialectical relationships with the West in the era of globalization.

The Actuary in Canada

1956 ◽  
Vol 13 (04) ◽  
pp. 199-230
Author(s):  
T. R. Suttie
Keyword(s):  
United Kingdom ◽  
Life Insurance ◽  
The Other ◽  
Complete Picture ◽  
Other Hand ◽  
Insurance Business

I Shall not try in this paper to give a complete picture of the actuary in Canada, nor of the Canadian life insurance business. I have neither the space nor qualifications to attempt such a task.I shall, however, try to bring out the differences in these fields which would be most noticeable to a United Kingdom trained actuary coming to live and work in Canada. I have, I think, advantages in attempting to do this. I have not been in Canada for so long that I have forgotten the contrasts which struck me most forcibly, but on the other hand, after almost six years, I can hope to be a reasonably accurate guide and in some cases at least suggest an explanation for the differences.

Specific Performance: A Comparative Analysis (2)

2003 ◽  
Vol 7 (2) ◽  
pp. 194-217
Author(s):  
Shael Herman
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Comparative Analysis ◽  
United Nations ◽  
Final Section ◽  
The Other ◽  
Other Hand ◽  
Specific Performance ◽  
The Usa ◽  
United Nations Convention ◽  
Anglo American

The first part of this article appeared in the first issue of this volume of the Edinburgh Law Review. The article explores the regulation of specific performance of sales by reference to Spain and the USA and speculates on the interaction of these municipal laws with the United Nations Convention on Contracts for the International Sale of Goods (CISG). The first part compared Spanish and United States approaches to specific performance. In this second part the CISG's approach to specific performance is examined with the goal of inquiring, on one hand, whether the drafters have successfully accounted for both Anglo-American and Romano-Germanic preferences, or, on the other hand, whether the CISG's synthesis of the preferences is faulty and manifests incompatible goals that may be difficult to harmonise. Recent US decisions on specific performance under the CISG are discussed as well as some of the assumptions underlying the reasoning processes of US courts in commercial cases. The final section speculates on reasons for the intensity of the rivalry between proponents of specific performance as a primary remedy and those favouring damages as a primary remedy.

scholarly journals Preferences of Transcultural Diversity: The Idea of City Diplomacy

2019 ◽  
pp. 55-72
Author(s):  
Marta Ryniejska-Kiełdanowicz ◽  
Magdalena Ratajczak
Keyword(s):  
The Other ◽  
International Level ◽  
Other Hand ◽  
The One ◽  
Creative Role ◽  
The City

Cities create a transcultural sphere and a platform for transcultural dialogue.Cities play an important cultural-creative role and they try to become policy player onat the international level. The aim of this study is to evaluate the actions taken in cities from two perspectives. On the one hand how the multicultural (multi-lingual and multi-religious) cityscape is shaped, how the city is governed in order to create a space termed as a ‘meeting place’. On the other hand how these undertakings affect the image of the city on the international stage and how they contribute to the city diplomacy strategy.

Reply to Smith

1981 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
pp. 247-248
Author(s):  
Willem E. Saris ◽  
Cees P. Middendorp
Keyword(s):  
Statistical Analysis ◽  
Empirical Analysis ◽  
The Other ◽  
Statistical Procedures ◽  
Other Hand ◽  
The Usa ◽  
The Empirical Analysis

Although we appreciate the attention the critic has given to our paper, we are somewhat disappointed about the kind of criticism. It is said that the ‘empirical analysis is fundamentally flawed’. But if the analysis is flawed it must be very easy to show it by a reanalysis of the data. However, if one takes the time to look at the data used in this study one can see immediately that when the USSR's level of armaments is very low the USA is producing large amounts of missiles. On the other hand, when the USSR has a large number of missiles the USA's production is nil or very little. Consequently one must conclude that the USA cannot possibly be reacting to the activities of the USSR in the simple ways suggested by Richardson or Hamblin et al. This result was confirmed by our statistical analysis of the data. One can of course try other statistical procedures, as we did, but they all produce the same result: there is no reaction effect in the USA's behaviour.

scholarly journals A Corpus Assisted Comparative Study of Metadiscourse Markers in Opinion Articles of American and Pakistani Newspapers

2020 ◽  
Vol V (III) ◽  
pp. 43-53
Author(s):  
Athar Rashid ◽  
Arshad Ali ◽  
Shahid Abbas
Keyword(s):  
Comparative Study ◽  
Corpus Linguistics ◽  
The Other ◽  
Writing Style ◽  
Other Hand ◽  
The Usa ◽  
Usa Today ◽  
Primary Focus

Writers often use metadiscourse markers to express their messages compellingly and persuasively. The current research explores the frequency of metadiscourse markers in Pakistani and American Newspapers using corpus linguistics methods. Opinion articles from both The News and The USA Today were collected, cleaned, and analyzed using the AntConc software. The primary focus of the research was on two interpersonal features: hedges and boosters. The findings of the study suggest that American writers tend to use more metadiscourse markers than Pakistani writers do. The findings also suggest that the frequency of hedges is higher than that of boosters in both Pakistani and American articles. The findings also suggest that writers prefer to use hedges to convey doubt, uncertainty, and lack of confidence. On the other hand, writers prefer to use boosters when writing about facts that make their writing style more confident and assertive.

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