scholarly journals Predictive Classification of IBS-subtype: Performance of a 250-gene RNA expression panel vs. Complete Blood Count (CBC) profiles under a Random Forest model.

Author(s):  
Jeffrey Robinson

In this experiment, an R-script was developed to select the best performing machine learning (ML) predictive classification algorithm for IBS subtype, and compare the performance of two datasets from the same clinical cohort: 1) The Complete Blood Count (CBC) results, and 2) A 250 gene Nanostring expression panel run on RNA from the Buffy Coat fraction. This publicly available data was compiled from open-source repositories and previously published supplementary data. Column labels were reformatted according to tidy-data standards. NA values in the data were imputed based on the mean value of the data column. Subject groups included Control (ie. healthy), IBS-D (diarrhea predominant), and IBS-C (constipation predominant) subtypes. These groups had unequal numbers in the original study, and so random re-sampling was used to make the group numbers equal for downstream linear regression-based analyses. The data was randomly split into training and validation subsets, and 5 classification algorithms were tested. Random Forest was clearly the best performing algorithm for both CBC and gene expression panel data, generally with >95% predictive accuracy, without additional tuning. The 250-gene RNA expression panel performed somewhat better than the CBC profile under a Random Forest model, however the CBC profiles had only 13 predictor variables vs. the 250 of the RNA expression panel. Some artifacts may result from the duplication of IBS-D and IBS-C rows from to the group-size balancing method, and so larger and more comprehensive datasets will be obtained for a follow-up analysis. The R-script and reformatted data are published as supplementary material here, and as a component of the AnalyzeBloodworkv1.2 GitHub repository.

2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ning Xue ◽  
Guoping Ou ◽  
Weiguo Ma ◽  
Lina Jia ◽  
Jiahe Sheng ◽  
...  

Abstract Background We aimed to develop and validate a predictive model for the overall survival (OS) of patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC). Methods Overall, 519 patients were retrospectively reviewed in this study. In addition, a random forest model was used to identify significant prognostic factors for OS among NPC patients. Then, calibration plot and concordance index (C-index) were utilized to evaluate the predictive accuracy of the nomogram model. Results We used a random forest model to select the three most important features, dNLR, HGB and EBV DNA, which were significantly associated with the OS of NPC patients. Furthermore, the C-index of our model for OS were 0.733 (95% CI 0.673 ~ 0.793) and 0.772 (95% CI 0.691 ~ 0.853) in the two cohorts, which was significantly higher than that of the TNM stage, treatment, and EBV DNA. Based on the model risk score, patients were divided into two groups, associated with low-risk and high-risk. Kaplan–Meier curves demonstrated that the two subgroups were significantly associated with OS in the primary cohort, as well as in the validation cohort. The nomogram for OS was established using the risk score, TNM stage and EBV DNA in the two cohorts. The nomogram achieved a higher C-index of 0.783 (95% CI 0.730 ~ 0.836) than that of the risk score model 0.733 (95% CI 0.673 ~ 0.793) in the primary cohort (P = 0.005). Conclusions The established risk score model and nomogram resulted in more accurate prognostic prediction for individual patient with NPC.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Guangda Gao ◽  
Maofa Wang ◽  
Hongliang Huang ◽  
Weiyu Tang

Abstract The food problem is a major problem of common concern in the world, and the prediction of irrigation area can promote the solution of food and agricultural problems. In this paper, the data of grain production and irrigation area in the world are analyzed. An improved Random Forest Regression model is proposed and applied to the prediction of irrigation area. Based on ordinary Random Forest and Limit Tree Regression algorithm, an improved random forest prediction model for irrigation area in China is proposed. Firstly, the arithmetic mean value (AMM) of mean square error (MSE) and mean absolute error (MAE) was used as the evaluation index of the improved impure function and irrigation area prediction effect. Then, the grid search method is used to determine the optimal number of decision trees (70 trees and 30 trees respectively) in ordinary random forest and limit tree regression, and a new improved random forest model is established. After following, the model is compared with other prediction models, and 10 fold cross validation shows the rationality of the model. Finally, the error analysis of the improved Random Forest model shows that the prediction error is small. It is expected to be applied in the annual analysis of irrigation area in China.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Christian Thiele ◽  
Gerrit Hirschfeld ◽  
Ruth von Brachel

AbstractRegistries of clinical trials are a potential source for scientometric analysis of medical research and serve important functions for the research community and the public at large. Clinical trials that recruit patients in Germany are usually registered in the German Clinical Trials Register (DRKS) or in international registries such as ClinicalTrials.gov. Furthermore, the International Clinical Trials Registry Platform (ICTRP) aggregates trials from multiple primary registries. We queried the DRKS, ClinicalTrials.gov, and the ICTRP for trials with a recruiting location in Germany. Trials that were registered in multiple registries were linked using the primary and secondary identifiers and a Random Forest model based on various similarity metrics. We identified 35,912 trials that were conducted in Germany. The majority of the trials was registered in multiple databases. 32,106 trials were linked using primary IDs, 26 were linked using a Random Forest model, and 10,537 internal duplicates on ICTRP were identified using the Random Forest model after finding pairs with matching primary or secondary IDs. In cross-validation, the Random Forest increased the F1-score from 96.4% to 97.1% compared to a linkage based solely on secondary IDs on a manually labelled data set. 28% of all trials were registered in the German DRKS. 54% of the trials on ClinicalTrials.gov, 43% of the trials on the DRKS and 56% of the trials on the ICTRP were pre-registered. The ratio of pre-registered studies and the ratio of studies that are registered in the DRKS increased over time.


2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (8) ◽  
pp. 503
Author(s):  
Hang Liu ◽  
Riken Homma ◽  
Qiang Liu ◽  
Congying Fang

The simulation of future land use can provide decision support for urban planners and decision makers, which is important for sustainable urban development. Using a cellular automata-random forest model, we considered two scenarios to predict intra-land use changes in Kumamoto City from 2018 to 2030: an unconstrained development scenario, and a planning-constrained development scenario that considers disaster-related factors. The random forest was used to calculate the transition probabilities and the importance of driving factors, and cellular automata were used for future land use prediction. The results show that disaster-related factors greatly influence land vacancy, while urban planning factors are more important for medium high-rise residential, commercial, and public facilities. Under the unconstrained development scenario, urban land use tends towards spatially disordered growth in the total amount of steady growth, with the largest increase in low-rise residential areas. Under the planning-constrained development scenario that considers disaster-related factors, the urban land area will continue to grow, albeit slowly and with a compact growth trend. This study provides planners with information on the relevant trends in different scenarios of land use change in Kumamoto City. Furthermore, it provides a reference for Kumamoto City’s future post-disaster recovery and reconstruction planning.


2021 ◽  
pp. 100017
Author(s):  
Xinyu Dou ◽  
Cuijuan Liao ◽  
Hengqi Wang ◽  
Ying Huang ◽  
Ying Tu ◽  
...  

2021 ◽  
Vol 49 (3) ◽  
pp. 030006052199398
Author(s):  
Jinwu Peng ◽  
Zhili Duan ◽  
Yamin Guo ◽  
Xiaona Li ◽  
Xiaoqin Luo ◽  
...  

Objectives Liver echinococcosis is a severe zoonotic disease caused by Echinococcus (tapeworm) infection, which is epidemic in the Qinghai region of China. Here, we aimed to explore biomarkers and establish a predictive model for the diagnosis of liver echinococcosis. Methods Microarray profiling followed by Gene Ontology and Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes analysis was performed in liver tissue from patients with liver hydatid disease and from healthy controls from the Qinghai region of China. A protein–protein interaction (PPI) network and random forest model were established to identify potential biomarkers and predict the occurrence of liver echinococcosis, respectively. Results Microarray profiling identified 1152 differentially expressed genes (DEGs), including 936 upregulated genes and 216 downregulated genes. Several previously unreported biological processes and signaling pathways were identified. The FCGR2B and CTLA4 proteins were identified by the PPI networks and random forest model. The random forest model based on FCGR2B and CTLA4 reliably predicted the occurrence of liver hydatid disease, with an area under the receiver operator characteristic curve of 0.921. Conclusion Our findings give new insight into gene expression in patients with liver echinococcosis from the Qinghai region of China, improving our understanding of hepatic hydatid disease.


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