Short-term electricity load forecast performance comparison based on four neural network models

2015 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wang Jie-sheng ◽  
Zhu Qing-wen
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Network Models ◽  
Performance Comparison ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Neural Network Models ◽  
Forecast Performance ◽  
Load Forecast ◽  
Electricity Load

scholarly journals Demand Modelling in Telecommunications

10.14311/1121 ◽  
2009 ◽  
Vol 49 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Chvalina
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Intelligence ◽  
Neural Networks ◽  
Network Models ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Neural Network Models ◽  
Term Forecast ◽  
Artificial Intelligence Methods ◽  
Demand Modelling

This article analyses the existing possibilities for using Standard Statistical Methods and Artificial Intelligence Methods for a short-term forecast and simulation of demand in the field of telecommunications. The most widespread methods are based on Time Series Analysis. Nowadays, approaches based on Artificial Intelligence Methods, including Neural Networks, are booming. Separate approaches will be used in the study of Demand Modelling in Telecommunications, and the results of these models will be compared with actual guaranteed values. Then we will examine the quality of Neural Network models. 

scholarly journals Weather Nowcasting Using Deep Learning Techniques

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Makhamisa Senekane ◽  
Mhlambululi Mafu ◽  
Molibeli Benedict Taele
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Neural Networks ◽  
Deep Learning ◽  
Recurrent Neural Networks ◽  
Weather Forecasting ◽  
Network Models ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Neural Network Models ◽  
Precipitation Forecasting ◽  
Learning Techniques

Weather variations play a significant role in peoples’ short-term, medium-term or long-term planning. Therefore, understanding of weather patterns has become very important in decision making. Short-term weather forecasting (nowcasting) involves the prediction of weather over a short period of time; typically few hours. Different techniques have been proposed for short-term weather forecasting. Traditional techniques used for nowcasting are highly parametric, and hence complex. Recently, there has been a shift towards the use of artificial intelligence techniques for weather nowcasting. These include the use of machine learning techniques such as artificial neural networks. In this chapter, we report the use of deep learning techniques for weather nowcasting. Deep learning techniques were tested on meteorological data. Three deep learning techniques, namely multilayer perceptron, Elman recurrent neural networks and Jordan recurrent neural networks, were used in this work. Multilayer perceptron models achieved 91 and 75% accuracies for sunshine forecasting and precipitation forecasting respectively, Elman recurrent neural network models achieved accuracies of 96 and 97% for sunshine and precipitation forecasting respectively, while Jordan recurrent neural network models achieved accuracies of 97 and 97% for sunshine and precipitation nowcasting respectively. The results obtained underline the utility of using deep learning for weather nowcasting.

Neural Network Forecasting of Tourism Demand

2005 ◽  
Vol 11 (3) ◽  
pp. 301-328 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sen Cheong Kon ◽  
Lindsay W. Turner
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Network Models ◽  
Accurate Method ◽  
Future Research ◽  
Data Series ◽  
Structural Method ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Neural Network Models ◽  
The Neural Network ◽  
Short Term Forecasting

In times of tourism uncertainty, practitioners need short-term forecasting methods. This study compares the forecasting accuracy of the basic structural method (BSM) and the neural network method to find the best structure for neural network models. Data for arrivals to Singapore are used to test the analysis while the naïve and Holt-Winters methods are used for base comparison of simpler models. The results confirm that the BSM remains a highly accurate method and that correctly structured neural models can outperform BSM and the simpler methods in the short term, and can also use short data series. These findings make neural methods significant candidates for future research.

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