Accurate Heavy Hitter Detection with Sliding Window Approach

Author(s):  
Zijun Hang ◽  
Yongjie Wang ◽  
Shuguang Huang
2020 ◽  
Vol 68 ◽  
pp. 311-364
Author(s):  
Francesco Trovo ◽  
Stefano Paladino ◽  
Marcello Restelli ◽  
Nicola Gatti

Multi-Armed Bandit (MAB) techniques have been successfully applied to many classes of sequential decision problems in the past decades. However, non-stationary settings -- very common in real-world applications -- received little attention so far, and theoretical guarantees on the regret are known only for some frequentist algorithms. In this paper, we propose an algorithm, namely Sliding-Window Thompson Sampling (SW-TS), for nonstationary stochastic MAB settings. Our algorithm is based on Thompson Sampling and exploits a sliding-window approach to tackle, in a unified fashion, two different forms of non-stationarity studied separately so far: abruptly changing and smoothly changing. In the former, the reward distributions are constant during sequences of rounds, and their change may be arbitrary and happen at unknown rounds, while, in the latter, the reward distributions smoothly evolve over rounds according to unknown dynamics. Under mild assumptions, we provide regret upper bounds on the dynamic pseudo-regret of SW-TS for the abruptly changing environment, for the smoothly changing one, and for the setting in which both the non-stationarity forms are present. Furthermore, we empirically show that SW-TS dramatically outperforms state-of-the-art algorithms even when the forms of non-stationarity are taken separately, as previously studied in the literature.


2020 ◽  
Vol 45 (3) ◽  
pp. 197-201
Author(s):  
Haitham N Alahmad ◽  
Ji-Yeon Park ◽  
Nicholas J Potter ◽  
Bo Lu ◽  
Guanghua Yan ◽  
...  

Sensors ◽  
2012 ◽  
Vol 12 (4) ◽  
pp. 4187-4212 ◽  
Author(s):  
Libe Valentine Massawe ◽  
Johnson D. M. Kinyua ◽  
Herman Vermaak

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Moritz N. Lang ◽  
Sebastian Lerch ◽  
Georg J. Mayr ◽  
Thorsten Simon ◽  
Reto Stauffer ◽  
...  

<p>Non-homogeneous regression is a frequently-used post-processing method for increasing the predictive skill of probabilistic ensemble weather forecasts. To adjust for seasonally varying error characteristics between ensemble forecasts and corresponding observations, different time-adaptive training schemes, including the classical sliding training window, have been developed for non-homogeneous regression. This study compares three such training approaches with the sliding-window approach for the application of post-processing near-surface air temperature forecasts across Central Europe. The predictive performance is evaluated conditional on three different groups of stations located in plains, in mountain foreland, and within mountainous terrain, as well as on a specific change in the ensemble forecast system of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) used as input for the post-processing.</p><p>The results show that time-adaptive training schemes using data over multiple years stabilize the temporal evolution of the coefficient estimates, yielding an increased predictive performance for all station types tested compared to the classical sliding-window approach based on the most recent days only. While this may not be surprising under fully stable model conditions, it is shown that "remembering the past" from multiple years of training data is typically also superior to the classical sliding-window when the ensemble prediction system is affected by certain model changes. Thus, reducing the variance of the non-homogeneous regression estimates due to increased training data appears to be more important than reducing its bias by adapting rapidly to the most current training data only.</p>


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