Increased soil release of greenhouse gases shrinks terrestrial carbon uptake enhancement under warming

2020 ◽  
Vol 26 (8) ◽  
pp. 4601-4613
Author(s):  
Shuwei Liu ◽  
Yajing Zheng ◽  
Ruoya Ma ◽  
Kai Yu ◽  
Zhaoqiang Han ◽  
...  
2008 ◽  
Vol 21 (15) ◽  
pp. 3776-3796 ◽  
Author(s):  
Andrei P. Sokolov ◽  
David W. Kicklighter ◽  
Jerry M. Melillo ◽  
Benjamin S. Felzer ◽  
C. Adam Schlosser ◽  
...  

Abstract The impact of carbon–nitrogen dynamics in terrestrial ecosystems on the interaction between the carbon cycle and climate is studied using an earth system model of intermediate complexity, the MIT Integrated Global Systems Model (IGSM). Numerical simulations were carried out with two versions of the IGSM’s Terrestrial Ecosystems Model, one with and one without carbon–nitrogen dynamics. Simulations show that consideration of carbon–nitrogen interactions not only limits the effect of CO2 fertilization but also changes the sign of the feedback between the climate and terrestrial carbon cycle. In the absence of carbon–nitrogen interactions, surface warming significantly reduces carbon sequestration in both vegetation and soil by increasing respiration and decomposition (a positive feedback). If plant carbon uptake, however, is assumed to be nitrogen limited, an increase in decomposition leads to an increase in nitrogen availability stimulating plant growth. The resulting increase in carbon uptake by vegetation exceeds carbon loss from the soil, leading to enhanced carbon sequestration (a negative feedback). Under very strong surface warming, however, terrestrial ecosystems become a carbon source whether or not carbon–nitrogen interactions are considered. Overall, for small or moderate increases in surface temperatures, consideration of carbon–nitrogen interactions result in a larger increase in atmospheric CO2 concentration in the simulations with prescribed carbon emissions. This suggests that models that ignore terrestrial carbon–nitrogen dynamics will underestimate reductions in carbon emissions required to achieve atmospheric CO2 stabilization at a given level. At the same time, compensation between climate-related changes in the terrestrial and oceanic carbon uptakes significantly reduces uncertainty in projected CO2 concentration.


2014 ◽  
Vol 112 (2) ◽  
pp. 436-441 ◽  
Author(s):  
David Schimel ◽  
Britton B. Stephens ◽  
Joshua B. Fisher

Feedbacks from the terrestrial carbon cycle significantly affect future climate change. The CO2 concentration dependence of global terrestrial carbon storage is one of the largest and most uncertain feedbacks. Theory predicts the CO2 effect should have a tropical maximum, but a large terrestrial sink has been contradicted by analyses of atmospheric CO2 that do not show large tropical uptake. Our results, however, show significant tropical uptake and, combining tropical and extratropical fluxes, suggest that up to 60% of the present-day terrestrial sink is caused by increasing atmospheric CO2. This conclusion is consistent with a validated subset of atmospheric analyses, but uncertainty remains. Improved model diagnostics and new space-based observations can reduce the uncertainty of tropical and temperate zone carbon flux estimates. This analysis supports a significant feedback to future atmospheric CO2 concentrations from carbon uptake in terrestrial ecosystems caused by rising atmospheric CO2 concentrations. This feedback will have substantial tropical contributions, but the magnitude of future carbon uptake by tropical forests also depends on how they respond to climate change and requires their protection from deforestation.


Nature ◽  
1995 ◽  
Vol 373 (6512) ◽  
pp. 326-330 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. J. Francey ◽  
P. P. Tans ◽  
C. E. Allison ◽  
I. G. Enting ◽  
J. W. C. White ◽  
...  

2013 ◽  
Vol 10 (7) ◽  
pp. 11077-11109 ◽  
Author(s):  
G. Bala ◽  
N. Devaraju ◽  
R. K. Chaturvedi ◽  
K. Caldeira ◽  
R. Nemani

Abstract. Global carbon budget studies indicate that the terrestrial ecosystems have remained a~large sink for carbon despite widespread deforestation activities. CO2-fertilization, N deposition and re-growth of mid-latitude forests are believed to be key drivers for land carbon uptake. In this study, we assess the importance of N deposition by performing idealized near-equilibrium simulations using the Community Land Model 4.0 (CLM4). In our equilibrium simulations, only 12–17% of the deposited Nitrogen is assimilated into the ecosystem and the corresponding carbon uptake can be inferred from a C : N ratio of 20:1. We calculate the sensitivity of the terrestrial biosphere for CO2-fertilization, climate warming and N deposition as changes in total ecosystem carbon for unit changes in global mean atmospheric CO2 concentration, global mean temperature and Tera grams of Nitrogen deposition per year, respectively. Based on these sensitivities, it is estimated that about 242 PgC could have been taken up by land due to the CO2 fertilization effect and an additional 175 PgC taken up as a result of the increased N deposition since the pre-industrial period. Because of climate warming, terrestrial ecosystem could have lost about 152 PgC during the same period. Therefore, since preindustrial times terrestrial carbon losses due to warming may have been approximately compensated by effects of increased N deposition, whereas the effect of CO2-fertilization is approximately indicative of the current increase in terrestrial carbon stock. Our simulations also suggest that the sensitivity of carbon storage to increased N deposition decreases beyond current levels, indicating climate warming effects on carbon storage may overwhelm N deposition effects in the future.


2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (8) ◽  
pp. 739-743 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yao Zhang ◽  
Róisín Commane ◽  
Sha Zhou ◽  
A. Park Williams ◽  
Pierre Gentine

Author(s):  
Matthew P. Dannenberg ◽  
William K. Smith ◽  
Yulong Zhang ◽  
Conghe Song ◽  
Deborah N. Huntzinger ◽  
...  

2019 ◽  
Vol 225 (1) ◽  
pp. 105-112 ◽  
Author(s):  
William K. Smith ◽  
Andrew M. Fox ◽  
Natasha MacBean ◽  
David J. P. Moore ◽  
Nicholas C. Parazoo

2020 ◽  
Vol 125 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Min Huang ◽  
James H. Crawford ◽  
Gregory R. Carmichael ◽  
Joseph A. Santanello ◽  
Sujay V. Kumar ◽  
...  

2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (6) ◽  
pp. 1715-1734 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xuanze Zhang ◽  
Shushi Peng ◽  
Philippe Ciais ◽  
Ying‐Ping Wang ◽  
Jeremy D. Silver ◽  
...  

2020 ◽  
Vol 26 (6) ◽  
pp. 3368-3383 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jeongmin Yun ◽  
Sujong Jeong ◽  
Chang‐Hoi Ho ◽  
Hoonyoung Park ◽  
Junjie Liu ◽  
...  

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