scholarly journals Early tumor shrinkage identifies long-term disease control and survival in patients with lung cancer treated with atezolizumab

2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. e000500 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ashley M Hopkins ◽  
Ganessan Kichenadasse ◽  
Chris S Karapetis ◽  
Andrew Rowland ◽  
Michael J Sorich

BackgroundPreliminary evidence indicates that early tumor shrinkage (ETS) following immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI) initiation may be associated with survival outcomes in patients with advanced melanoma. ETS has not been explored as a biomarker of survival outcomes or patient-reported outcomes in patients with advanced non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) treated with ICIs.MethodsThe study pooled data from patients with NSCLC in the randomized trials OAK and POPLAR (atezolizumab vs docetaxel; n=1464), and single-arm atezolizumab trials BIRCH and FIR (n=797). The association between ETS (≥10% decrease in pretreatment sum-of-longest diameters of target-lesions at 6 weeks) and overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS), time to deterioration (TDD) in health-related quality-of-life (HRQoL) and physical function (PF) was assessed using Cox proportional hazard analysis.ResultsETS occurred in 20% of atezolizumab-treated patients with NSCLC within OAK and POPLAR and was associated with highly favorable OS (HR 0.33, p<0.001), PFS (HR 0.31, p<0.001), TDD in HRQoL (HR 0.73, p=0.01) and PF (HR 0.52, p<0.001). The results were replicated in the BIRCH and FIR data. Atezolizumab-treated patients achieving ETS had markedly improved OS compared with docetaxel-treated patients achieving ETS (24-month OS 55% vs 32%); PFS was also markedly improved (24-month PFS 31% vs 4%). In contrast, for patients not achieving ETS, atezolizumab-treatment was associated with more modest OS (24-month OS 23% vs 20%) and PFS (24-month PFS 3% vs 1%) improvement compared with docetaxel. Overall, the effect size for ETS within the atezolizumab-treated patients was significantly greater than that in the docetaxel-treated patients (P(interaction)=0.002 for OS and P(interaction)<0.001 for PFS).ConclusionsETS is an easily measurable biomarker, predictive of highly favorable survival and patient-reported outcomes with atezolizumab treatment for advanced NSCLC. Further, ETS identifies patients with significantly greater treatment benefit for ICI therapy.

Cancers ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (7) ◽  
pp. 939 ◽  
Author(s):  
Caterina Vivaldi ◽  
Lorenzo Fornaro ◽  
Carla Cappelli ◽  
Irene Pecora ◽  
Silvia Catanese ◽  
...  

Early tumor shrinkage (ETS) and depth of response (DoR) predict favorable outcomes in metastatic colorectal cancer. We aim to evaluate their prognostic role in metastatic pancreatic cancer (PC) patients treated with first-line modified-FOLFIRINOX (FOLFOXIRI) or Gemcitabine + Nab-paclitaxel (GemNab). Hence, 138 patients were tested for ETS, defined as a ≥20% reduction in the sum of target lesions’ longest diameters (SLD) after 6–8 weeks from baseline, and DoR, i.e., the maximum percentage shrinkage in the SLD from baseline. Association of ETS and DoR with progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) was assessed. ETS was reached in 49 patients (39.5% in the FOLFOXIRI, 29.8% in the GemNab group; p = 0.280). In the overall population, ETS was significantly associated with better PFS (8.0 vs. 4.8 months, p < 0.001) and OS (13.2 vs. 9.7 months, p = 0.001). Median DoR was −27.5% (−29.4% with FOLFOXIRI and −21.4% with GemNab, p = 0.016): DoR was significantly associated with better PFS (9.0 vs. 6.7 months, p < 0.001) and OS (14.3 vs. 11.1 months, p = 0.031). Multivariate analysis confirmed both ETS and DoR are independently associated with PFS and OS. In conclusion, our study added evidence on the role of ETS and DoR in the prediction of outcome of PC patients treated with first-line combination chemotherapy.


Cancers ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (3) ◽  
pp. 754 ◽  
Author(s):  
Aya Takahashi ◽  
Michihisa Moriguchi ◽  
Yuya Seko ◽  
Toshihide Shima ◽  
Yasuhide Mitsumoto ◽  
...  

We investigated the association between early tumor shrinkage (ETS) and treatment outcome in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma treated with lenvatinib (LEN). A retrospective analysis was performed in 104 patients. ETS was defined as tumor shrinkage at the first evaluation in the sum of target lesions’ longest diameters from baseline according to the Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (RECIST). The median overall survival (OS) was not reached, whereas the median progression-free survival (PFS) was 5.0 months. The receiver operating characteristic curve analysis in differentiating long-term responders (PFS ≥ 5.0 months) from short-term responders (PFS < 5.0 months) revealed an ETS cut-off value of 10%. ETS ≥ 10% was significantly correlated with better PFS and OS compared with ETS < 10%. Additionally, ETS ≥ 10% showed a better discrimination ability on prognosis compared with modified RECIST-based objective response at the first evaluation. Multivariate analysis confirmed ETS ≥ 10% as an independent predictor of better OS, as well as a Child–Pugh score of 5 and macrovascular invasion. In conclusion, ETS ≥ 10% was strongly associated with outcome in patients treated with LEN. This biomarker could allow earlier assessment of the treatment response and guide treatment decision-making for HCC.


2016 ◽  
Vol 34 (4_suppl) ◽  
pp. 237-237
Author(s):  
Yasuhiro Kaga ◽  
Yu Sunakawa ◽  
Yutaro Kubota ◽  
Teppei Tagawa ◽  
Taikan Yamamoto ◽  
...  

237 Background: Results from the phase III PRODIGE 4/ACCORD 11 trial provided one of current standard regimens for advanced pancreatic cancer (PC), consisting of oxaliplatin, irinotecan, fluorouracil, and leucovorin (FOLFIRINOX), which has superior response rate (RR) and survival benefit even with severe toxicity (Thierry C, et al. N Engl J Med 2011;364:1817-1825). There are several reports on the correlation between early tumor shrinkage (ETS) or depth of response (DpR) and survival in chemotherapies for colorectal cancer; however, few studies have investigated it in PC. We therefore analyzed retrospectively whether the ETS will predict outcomes in pts with PC treated with FOLFIRINOX therapy. Methods: Advanced PC pts with ECOG PS of 0 or 1, who received FOLFIRINOX as 1st- or 2nd-line treatment between November 2012 and July 2015 in 3 institutes of Showa University were included in this analysis. ETS was defined as a reduction ≥ 20% of target lesions’ diameters measured at 8 weeks from treatment start. We evaluated the association of ETS with progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) but also addressed the correlation between outcomes and DpR, which was percentage of maximal tumor shrinkage observed at the nadir diameter compared with baseline. Results: Fifty-nine PC pts with median age of 63 (range 34-76) years and males of 68% were enrolled: 80% of pts had metastatic disease. In the population, RR, median PFS, and OS were 28%, 5.4 months, and 10.7 months, respectively. Among 46 (78%) evaluable pts for the ETS, 12 (26%) pts experienced ETS. The PFS was significantly longer in pts with ETS compared to pts with no ETS (9.0 vs. 4.2 months, HR 0.43, 95%CI 0.17-0.96, log-rank P= 0.045). Moreover, pts with ETS had a better OS although no statistical significance (HR 0.53, log-rank P= 0.25). Median DpR was 11.1% (from -75.7 to 100), and the correlation of DpR with clinical outcome was observed (P= 0.024 for PFS, P= 0.22 for OS). Conclusions: This retrospective analysis suggests that the early response to FOLFIRINOX treatment may predict better outcomes in pts with advanced PC. The ETS may serve as a novel predictor of prolonged survival time in PC pts treated with FOLFIRINOX.


2012 ◽  
Vol 30 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 4631-4631 ◽  
Author(s):  
Viktor Gruenwald ◽  
Christoph Seidel ◽  
Martin Fenner ◽  
Michael Woike ◽  
Daniel Kalanovic

4631 Background: Several novel targeted agents significantly prolong overall survival (OS) in metastatic renal cell cancer (mRCC) patients (pts.). Translational research, however, has not identified any prospectively validated prognostic or predictive biomarkers. Recently, progression free survival (PFS), overall response rate (ORR) and early tumor shrinkage were proposed as putative predictors for clinical outcome. In this study we aim to explore the potential role of treatment induced tumor remission as a prognostic or predictive parameter in mRCC. Methods: In our analyses we investigated the putative prognostic role of best response according to RECIST 1.1 criteria (complete remission (CR), partial remission (PR), stable disease (SD), progressive disease (PD)) in first line Tyrosine-kinase inhibitor (TKI) treatment in n=83 pts. Responders were defined by achieving CR, PR or SD at any time during the course of treatment. Furthermore, we tested whether tumor shrinkage of 10% or more within 12 weeks of treatment qualifies as a potential cut-off-parameter to predict PFS or OS. Uni- and multivariate analyses were performed using Log-rang test, Kaplan-Meier-, and Cox-regression analysis. Results: Univariate analyses revealed that first-line treatment non-responders had a significantly shorter OS than responders (p <0.0001). Tumor shrinkage of <10% or ≥10% also correlated with an OS of 14.5 vs. 29.1 mo. (p=0.001) and a PFS of 3.0 vs. 11.5 mo. (p <0.001). In multivariate analyses tumor shrinkage of ≥10% was tested with other common variables such as ECOG, MSKCC-score, histology, and metastatic sites and proved to be a significant independent prognostic (HR 0.361; 95% CI 0.156-0.833) and predictive (HR 0.306; 95% CI 0.152-0.612) parameter. Conclusions: Our results outline that sensitivity to first line treatment of mRCC is an important prognostic factor in mRCC. Hereby tumor shrinkage of ≥10% within 12 weeks of treatment reveals a novel cut-off-parameter, which showed to be a promising prognostic and predictive marker in mRCC. Further investigations are needed to validate this parameter.


2015 ◽  
Vol 33 (3_suppl) ◽  
pp. 749-749
Author(s):  
Hiroshi Nakatsumi ◽  
Satoshi Yuki ◽  
Tetsuhito Muranaka ◽  
Hiraku Fukushima ◽  
Takashi Kato ◽  
...  

749 Background: It was reported that early tumor shrinkage (ETS) was associated with better overall survival (OS) in patients (pts) with metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) receiving cetuximab. We investigated association of ETS with progression free survival (PFS) in pts with unresectable colorectal liver metastases (CLM) from HGCSG0802 observational cohort study in pts with mCRC treated with first-line bevacizumab (BV)-based chemotherapy. Methods: The objective of HGCSG0802 was to evaluate PFS, OS, time to treatment failure (TTF), response rate (RR), safety and so on. The key eligibility criteria were evaluable lesions, older than 20 years old, ECOG PS 0-2. In this analysis, association of ETS at 8 weeks from the start of chemotherapy with pts characteristics, PFS and TTF was evaluated. Pts characteristics were compared using Student-t test, chi-square test and Fisher’s exact test. PFS and TTF were analyzed with Kaplan-Meier method and compared using log-rank test. Univariate analysis for the association of pts characteristics with PFS and TTF was performed using log-rank test, and multivariate analysis was performed using Cox proportional hazards model. Results: Of 108 pts (the full analysis set), 74 pts with CLM were evaluable for ETS. Forty-nine pts (66.2%) had ETS ≥20%. The pts characteristics between ETS ≥20% and <20% were well balanced. The median PFS was 7.3 months in ETS <20% versus 10.0 months in ETS ≥20% (HR 0.55; p=0.025). In multivariate analysis for PFS, there was no significant difference between ETS ≥20% and <20% (HR 0.585; p=0.066). The median TTF (ETS <20% v ≥20%) was 5,1 months vs. 7.7 months (HR 0.46; p=0.003). In multivariate analysis for TTF, there was significant difference between ETS ≥20% and <20% (HR 0.509; p=0.017). Conclusions: In this analysis, ETS ≥20% might be positive predictive marker for PFS and TTF in pts with CLM receiving first-line BV-based chemotherapy.


2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiaojuan Yang ◽  
Xinghong Xian ◽  
Yongsheng Wang ◽  
Meng Qiu

Abstract Background The prognostic potential of early tumor shrinkage (ETS) and depth of response (DpR) in pancreatic cancer (PC) is unclear. Here, we recruited 90 patients with recurrent and metastatic PC (RMPC) who had received chemotherapy as first-line therapy to assess the prognostic potential of these markers. Methods ETS is characterized as a ≥ 20% depletion in the sum-of-the-longest-diameters (SLD) of measurable tumor lesions at 6–12 weeks than the baseline. DpR is the maximum shrinkage (%) from the baseline to nadir. We evaluated corrections in ETS and DpR with survival. Results Of the 63 patients in which ETS assessment was possible, 21 (33.3%) achieved ETS. We found a significant association between the incidence of ETS and an improved rate of progression-free survival (PFS; 6.5 vs. 2.2 months; p < 0.001) and overall survival (OS; 12.1 vs. 6.0 months; p = 0.014). The median value of DpR was − 23.66%. DpR was also related to improved PFS (9.3 vs. 3.1 months; p < 0.001) and OS (18.2 vs. 7.3 months; p < 0.001). Patients who had distant metastasis, not local recurrence, with ETS showed markedly better outcomes. In a multivariate model, both ETS and DpR were independent predictors of OS in the whole population. Conclusions ETS and DpR may predict favorable outcomes for RMPC patients who had received chemotherapy as first-line therapy, independent of the agents used. Further studies on the exploratory analyses of the optimum ETS cut-off value in recurrent PC patients to predict favorable clinical outcomes are required.


2019 ◽  
Vol 37 (4_suppl) ◽  
pp. 631-631
Author(s):  
S.P. Somashekhar ◽  
Amit Rauthan ◽  
Ashwin K Rajgopal ◽  
Rohit Kumar C

631 Background: Early tumor shrinkage (ETS) and depth of response (DoR) predict overall survival (OS) in first-line chemotherapy + anti-EGFR monoclonal antibodies in KRAS wild-type metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC). This association and the predictive accuracy of response measurements were investigated in the first-line setting for FOLFOX/FOLFIRI plus cetuximab. Methods: We performed a study of FOLFOX/FOLFIRI plus cetuximab as first-line treatment in Indian patients with KRAS wild-type mCRC. The primary endpoint was response rate (RR), and secondary endpoints included progression-free survival (PFS), overall survival (OS), and safety. Radiologic assessments at week 8 were used to calculate the relative change in the sum of the longest diameters of the target lesions. Cox regression models analysis investigated associations between ETS and overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS). Results: Sixty (78.9 %) of 76 patients had ETS, which was associated with prolonged PFS and OS. Both ETS and DoR were able to predict survival as accurately as RECIST response. Both ETS and DoR were associated with PFS and OS at the univariate analyses and in the multivariate models stratified for other prognostic variables. In the study patients, the RR, median PFS, and OS were 68.4 %, 13.1 months, and 30.6 months, respectively. Median DpR was 52%. The DpR correlated with OS as well as PFS. FOLFOX plus cetuximab was active as a first-line, with no major toxicities. Conclusions: Our prospective evaluation of chronological tumor shrinkage showed that ETS and DpR correlate with outcomes in patients with KRAS wild-type mCRC who receive cetuximab-based chemotherapy. Achieving rapid and deep tumor shrinkage consistently delays tumor progression and prolongs survival in patients treated with first-line chemotherapy plus cetuximab. ETS is a promising and valuable end point for clinical trials’ design deserving further investigation.


2021 ◽  
Vol 37 (S1) ◽  
pp. 34-35
Author(s):  
Aline Silveira Silva ◽  
Ana França ◽  
Matheus Piccin Padilla ◽  
Luana Schroeder Macedo ◽  
Carlos Magliano ◽  
...  

IntroductionPatient-Reported Outcomes (PRO) are directly reported by the patient without interpretation of the patient's response by a clinician or anyone else and pertains to the patient's health, quality of life, or functional status associated with health care or treatment. It can provide patients’ perspectives regarding treatment benefit and harm, directly measure treatment benefit and harm beyond survival, and are often the outcomes of most importance to patients. This study aims to analyze outcomes reported by Brazilian women diagnosed with breast cancer and rank the most important attributes for these patients.MethodsObservational study composed of interviews and questionnaires applied to a convenience sample of women diagnosed with breast cancer. The instruments were developed taking into account the literature on the topic and the expertise of specialists. The questionnaire was built with close-ended questions using multiple-choice and a Likert scale, in order to rank the attributes and outcomes found in the interviews.ResultsThe total sample was composed of 65 women diagnosed with breast cancer. Twelve women were interviewed, in September 2020, to explore the main outcomes and preferences about their treatments, such as the most common side effects and the most impacted aspects of life after diagnosis and breast cancer treatment. Psychological, emotional, and sexual impacts were frequently described as aspects of life affected by the disease and its treatment. Fifty-three women, from all the five Brazilian regions, answered the survey applied in October and November 2020. Following an order of importance ranking, the following outcomes were chosen, respectively: overall survival, progression-free survival; and quality of life. The treatment effects that were considered less important, among this sample, were pain and adverse events.ConclusionsThinking about expanding the therapeutic quality of users, it is essential to take into account the experiences of patients. PRO is a trend in current research to achieve this goal, in order to influence the decisions of HTA agencies about the importance of valuing outcomes that affect patients' lives.


2021 ◽  
Vol 39 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 3558-3558
Author(s):  
Shingo Noura ◽  
Takeshi Kato ◽  
Tetsuji Terazawa ◽  
Masahiro Goto ◽  
Katsuya Ohta ◽  
...  

3558 Background: We previously reported the result of the phase II OGSG1602 study in which single agent of panitumumab (Pmab) demonstrated 76.5% and 50% of disease control rate (DCR), primary endpoint, and response rate (RR), respectively, in chemotherapy-naïve frail or elderly patietns (pts) with wild-type (wt) RAS unresectable colorectal cancer (CRC). Here, we reports the survival analysis including overall survival (OS) and progression free survival (PFS) in terms of sidedness and early tumor shrinkage (ETS). Methods: Thirty-six pts aged ≥76 years, or ≥65 considered unsuitable for intensive chemotherapy were enrolled and received Pmab 6 mg/kg intravenously every 2 weeks. Primary tumors located in the cecum to transverse colon were coded as right-sided tumors (RST), while tumors located from the splenic flexure to rectum were considered left-sided tumors (LST). Early tumor shrinkage (ETS) was determined as tumor reduction of 20% at week 8 compared to baseline. Results: Of total of 36 enrolled pts, 34 pts were included in the efficacy analysis, with pts with LST vs. RST being 26 vs. 8 cases, while pts who achieved ETS (ETS+) vs. those who did not achieve ETS (ETS-) being 15 vs. 19 cases. Among the evaluable 34 pts, the median PFS (mPFS) and median OS (mOS) were 6.0 months (95% Confidence Interval [CI]: 5.4-10.0) and 17.5 months (95%CI, 13.8-24.3), respectively, with the median follow-up of 17.0 months. For PFS, there were no significant differences between pts with LST vs. RST [6.6 months (95%CI, 5.4-11.5) vs. 4.9 months (95%CI, 1.9-NA), p = 0.120] but between pts with ETS+ vs. ETS- [10.4 months (95%CI, 7.4-NA) vs. months (95%CI, 2.1-7.9), p = 0.001]. Furthermore, OS was significantly different either in pts with LST vs. RST [19.3 months (95%CI, 14.2-NA) vs. 12.3 (95%CI, 9.9-NA), p = 0.043] or in pts with ETS+ vs. ETS- [ months (n = 15, 95%CI, 19.6-NA) vs. 10.1 months (n = 19, 95%CI, 6.8-21.8), p < 0.001]. Conclusions: Pmab monotherapy showed the favolable OS in the frail or elderly pts with RAS wt, unresectable CRC. Our data also confirmed the prognostic value of sidedness as well as predictive value of ETS in this setting. Clinical trial information: UMIN000024528. [Table: see text]


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