Three-Dimensional Dynamic Simulation System for Forest Surface Fire Spreading Prediction

2018 ◽  
Vol 32 (08) ◽  
pp. 1850026 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jianwei Li ◽  
Xiaowen Li ◽  
Chongchen Chen ◽  
Huiru Zheng ◽  
Naiyuan Liu
Keyword(s):  
Prediction Model ◽  
Forest Fire ◽  
Forest Fires ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Three Dimensional ◽  
Simulation System ◽  
Dynamic Visualization ◽  
Surface Fire ◽  
Fire Spreading ◽  
The Impact

Forest fire is one of the most frequent, fast spreading and destructive natural disasters. Many countries have developed their own fire prediction model and computational systems to predict the fire spreading, however, the user interaction, display effect and prediction accuracy have not yet met the requirements for firefighting in real forest fire events. The forest fire spreading is a complex process affected by multi-factors. Understanding the relationships between these multi-factors and the forest fire spreading trend is vital to predicting the fire spreading promptly and accurately to make the strategy in extinguishing the forest fire. In this paper, we propose and develop a three-dimensional (3D) forest fire spreading simulation system, FFSimulator, to visualize the impact of multi-factors to the fire spread. FFSimultor integrates the multi-factor analysis approach with the FARSITE prediction model to improve the prediction. The FFSimulator developed applies 3D scene organization, template-based vector data mapping and overlaps visualization techniques to provide a 3D dynamic visualization of large-scale forest fire. The 3D multi-factors superposition analysis simulates the impacts of individual factor and multi-factors on the trend of surface fire spreading, which can be used to identify the key sites for the prevention and the control of forest fires. The system has been tested and evaluated using real data of Shanghan forest fire.

scholarly journals Risk of large-scale fires in boreal forests of Finland under changing climate

2016 ◽  
Vol 16 (1) ◽  
pp. 239-253 ◽  
Author(s):  
I. Lehtonen ◽  
A. Venäläinen ◽  
M. Kämäräinen ◽  
H. Peltola ◽  
H. Gregow
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Forest Fire ◽  
Forest Fires ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Fire Danger ◽  
Short Period ◽  
Projected Change ◽  
Fire Activity ◽  
Model Variability ◽  
The Impact

Abstract. The target of this work was to assess the impact of projected climate change on forest-fire activity in Finland with special emphasis on large-scale fires. In addition, we were particularly interested to examine the inter-model variability of the projected change of fire danger. For this purpose, we utilized fire statistics covering the period 1996–2014 and consisting of almost 20 000 forest fires, as well as daily meteorological data from five global climate models under representative concentration pathway RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios. The model data were statistically downscaled onto a high-resolution grid using the quantile-mapping method before performing the analysis. In examining the relationship between weather and fire danger, we applied the Canadian fire weather index (FWI) system. Our results suggest that the number of large forest fires may double or even triple during the present century. This would increase the risk that some of the fires could develop into real conflagrations which have become almost extinct in Finland due to active and efficient fire suppression. However, the results reveal substantial inter-model variability in the rate of the projected increase of forest-fire danger, emphasizing the large uncertainty related to the climate change signal in fire activity. We moreover showed that the majority of large fires in Finland occur within a relatively short period in May and June due to human activities and that FWI correlates poorer with the fire activity during this time of year than later in summer when lightning is a more important cause of fires.

scholarly journals 3DIV update for 2021: a comprehensive resource of 3D genome and 3D cancer genome

2020 ◽  
Vol 49 (D1) ◽  
pp. D38-D46
Author(s):  
Kyukwang Kim ◽  
Insu Jang ◽  
Mooyoung Kim ◽  
Jinhyuk Choi ◽  
Min-Seo Kim ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Cell Line ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Three Dimensional ◽  
Cancer Cell Line ◽  
Cancer Genome ◽  
Structural Variations ◽  
3D Genome ◽  
Tightly Coupled ◽  
Regulatory Effects ◽  
The Impact

Abstract Three-dimensional (3D) genome organization is tightly coupled with gene regulation in various biological processes and diseases. In cancer, various types of large-scale genomic rearrangements can disrupt the 3D genome, leading to oncogenic gene expression. However, unraveling the pathogenicity of the 3D cancer genome remains a challenge since closer examinations have been greatly limited due to the lack of appropriate tools specialized for disorganized higher-order chromatin structure. Here, we updated a 3D-genome Interaction Viewer and database named 3DIV by uniformly processing ∼230 billion raw Hi-C reads to expand our contents to the 3D cancer genome. The updates of 3DIV are listed as follows: (i) the collection of 401 samples including 220 cancer cell line/tumor Hi-C data, 153 normal cell line/tissue Hi-C data, and 28 promoter capture Hi-C data, (ii) the live interactive manipulation of the 3D cancer genome to simulate the impact of structural variations and (iii) the reconstruction of Hi-C contact maps by user-defined chromosome order to investigate the 3D genome of the complex genomic rearrangement. In summary, the updated 3DIV will be the most comprehensive resource to explore the gene regulatory effects of both the normal and cancer 3D genome. ‘3DIV’ is freely available at http://3div.kr.

Optimization of the Navy’s three-dimensional mine impact burial prediction simulation model, Impact35, using high-order numerical methods

2021 ◽  
pp. 154851292110286
Author(s):  
Athanasios Donas ◽  
Ioannis Famelis ◽  
Peter C Chu ◽  
George Galanis
Keyword(s):  
Numerical Analysis ◽  
Numerical Methods ◽  
Prediction Model ◽  
Simulation Model ◽  
Three Dimensional ◽  
Simulation System ◽  
High Order ◽  
Alternative Methodology ◽  
Runge Kutta ◽  
Fifth Order

The aim of this paper is to present an application of high-order numerical analysis methods to a simulation system that models the movement of a cylindrical-shaped object (mine, projectile, etc.) in a marine environment and in general in fluids with important applications in Naval operations. More specifically, an alternative methodology is proposed for the dynamics of the Navy’s three-dimensional mine impact burial prediction model, Impact35/vortex, based on the Dormand–Prince Runge–Kutta fifth-order and the singly diagonally implicit Runge–Kutta fifth-order methods. The main aim is to improve the time efficiency of the system, while keeping the deviation levels of the final results, derived from the standard and the proposed methodology, low.

Global warming and forest fires in Canada

1993 ◽  
Vol 69 (3) ◽  
pp. 290-293 ◽  
Author(s):  
Brian J. Stocks
Keyword(s):  
Global Warming ◽  
Forest Fire ◽  
Forest Fires ◽  
Fire Management ◽  
Warming Trend ◽  
Research Activities ◽  
Forest Fire Management ◽  
The Future ◽  
Innovative Thinking ◽  
The Impact

The looming possibility of global warming raises legitimate concerns for the future of the forest resource in Canada. While evidence of a global warming trend is not conclusive at this time, governments would be wise to anticipate, and begin planning for, such an eventuality. The forest fire business is likely to be affected both early and dramatically by any trend toward warmer and drier conditions in Canada, and fire managers should be aware that the future will likely require new and innovative thinking in forest fire management. This paper summarizes research activities currently underway to assess the impact of global warming on forest fires, and speculates on future fire management problems and strategies.

scholarly journals Energy-Efficient Forest Fire Prediction Model based on Two-Stage Adaptive Duty-Cycled Hybrid X-MAC Protocol

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jin-Gu Kang ◽  
Dong-Woo Lim ◽  
Jin-Woo Jung
Keyword(s):  
Prediction Model ◽  
Forest Fire ◽  
Duty Cycle ◽  
Forest Fires ◽  
Energy Efficient ◽  
Mac Protocol ◽  
Two Stage ◽  
Fire Monitoring ◽  
Environmental Status ◽  
Mountain Environment

In this paper, we propose an adaptive duty-cycled hybrid X-MAC (ADX-MAC) protocol for energy-efficient forest fire prediction. The X-MAC protocol acquires the additional environmental status collected by each forest fire monitoring sensor for a certain period. And, based on these values, the length of sleep interval of duty-cycle is changed to efficiently calculate the risk of occurrence of forest fire according to the mountain environment. The performance of the proposed ADX-MAC protocol was verified through experiments the proposed ADX-MAC protocol improves throughput by 19% and was more energy-efficient by 24% compared to X-MAC protocol. As the probability of forest fires increases, the length of the duty cycle is shortened, confirming that the forest fires are detected at a faster cycle.

scholarly journals La gestione degli incendi boschivi in Canton Ticino: tentativo di una sintesi storica | Forest fire management in Canton Ticino: attempting a historical overview

2004 ◽  
Vol 155 (7) ◽  
pp. 263-277 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marco Conedera ◽  
Gabriele Corti ◽  
Paolo Piccini ◽  
Daniele Ryser ◽  
Francesco Guerini ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Forest Fire ◽  
Forest Fires ◽  
Fire Management ◽  
Southern Alps ◽  
Fire Fighting ◽  
Historical Overview ◽  
Forest Fire Management ◽  
Structural Measures ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Legislative Measures

The Southern Alps, in particular the Canton Ticino, is the region of Switzerland that is most affected by the phenomenon of forest fires. Therefore, the cantonal authorities are continually confronted with problems of prevention, fire fighting and mitigation of the effects of forest fires. In this article forest fire management in Canton Ticino is analyzed in historical terms, verifying in particular the impact of the methods used and the improvement of technology addressing the frequency of events and the extent of burned surfaces. In this way it has been possible to show how a few structural measures (better organization of fire fighting crews and equipment, introduction of aerial fire fighting techniques, electrification followed by construction of shelters along railway lines, etc.) have rather reduced the extent of burned surfaces, while legislative measures such as restrictions of open fires help to reduce the number of forest fires.

scholarly journals Production of peroxy nitrates in boreal biomass burning plumes over Canada during the BORTAS campaign

2016 ◽  
Vol 16 (5) ◽  
pp. 3485-3497 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marcella Busilacchio ◽  
Piero Di Carlo ◽  
Eleonora Aruffo ◽  
Fabio Biancofiore ◽  
Cesare Dari Salisburgo ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Boreal Forest ◽  
Forest Fire ◽  
Biomass Burning ◽  
Forest Fires ◽  
Chemical Mechanism ◽  
Fire Emissions ◽  
Fire Plumes ◽  
Peroxy Nitrates ◽  
In Fire ◽  
The Impact

Abstract. The observations collected during the BOReal forest fires on Tropospheric oxidants over the Atlantic using Aircraft and Satellites (BORTAS) campaign in summer 2011 over Canada are analysed to study the impact of forest fire emissions on the formation of ozone (O3) and total peroxy nitrates ∑PNs, ∑ROONO2). The suite of measurements on board the BAe-146 aircraft, deployed in this campaign, allows us to calculate the production of O3 and of  ∑PNs, a long-lived NOx reservoir whose concentration is supposed to be impacted by biomass burning emissions. In fire plumes, profiles of carbon monoxide (CO), which is a well-established tracer of pyrogenic emission, show concentration enhancements that are in strong correspondence with a significant increase of concentrations of ∑PNs, whereas minimal increase of the concentrations of O3 and NO2 is observed. The ∑PN and O3 productions have been calculated using the rate constants of the first- and second-order reactions of volatile organic compound (VOC) oxidation. The ∑PN and O3 productions have also been quantified by 0-D model simulation based on the Master Chemical Mechanism. Both methods show that in fire plumes the average production of ∑PNs and O3 are greater than in the background plumes, but the increase of ∑PN production is more pronounced than the O3 production. The average ∑PN production in fire plumes is from 7 to 12 times greater than in the background, whereas the average O3 production in fire plumes is from 2 to 5 times greater than in the background. These results suggest that, at least for boreal forest fires and for the measurements recorded during the BORTAS campaign, fire emissions impact both the oxidized NOy and O3,  but (1 ∑PN production is amplified significantly more than O3 production and (2) in the forest fire plumes the ratio between the O3 production and the ∑PN production is lower than the ratio evaluated in the background air masses, thus confirming that the role played by the ∑PNs produced during biomass burning is significant in the O3 budget. The implication of these observations is that fire emissions in some cases, for example boreal forest fires and in the conditions reported here, may influence more long-lived precursors of O3 than short-lived pollutants, which in turn can be transported and eventually diluted in a wide area.

Experimental assessment of the influence of radiant heat transfer on the transition of a crown fire to settlements

2021 ◽  
pp. 19-26
Author(s):  
Николай Петрович Копылов ◽  
Елена Юрьевна Сушкина ◽  
Александр Евгеньевич Кузнецов ◽  
Виктория Ивановна Новикова
Keyword(s):  
Heat Flow ◽  
Forest Fire ◽  
Fire Resistance ◽  
Fire Protection ◽  
Forest Fires ◽  
Radiant Heat ◽  
Radiant Heat Transfer ◽  
Crown Fire ◽  
Fire Front ◽  
The Impact

Проведены экспериментальные исследования влияния лучистого теплообмена на переход верхового лесного пожара на постройки IV и V степеней огнестойкости. Лесной верховой пожар моделировался горением штабеля древесины с интенсивностью тепловыделения, близкой к интенсивности при реальных пожарах. Получена зависимость изменения плотности теплового потока от расстояния до кромки горения. Экспериментально определены температура воздуха с подветренной стороны пожара и плотность выпадения искр в зависимости от расстояния. Проверена эффективность защиты растворами ретардантов деревянных строений от возгорания при лучистом теплообмене между факелом пламени пожара и объектом защиты. Crown fires are the main threat of the combustion transfer from the forest to objects located in it. Fire services dealing with forest fires face the problem how to protect these objects from forest fires. It is proposed to treat the object with retardant solutions before a forest fire approaches. To assess the effectiveness of such tactics for fire protection of objects when exposed to a heat flow from the combustion front there were carried out experiments on large-scale crown fire models. A crown fire is simulated with a pile of wood with a heat release rate of ≈ 13 MW m. The wind is generated by fans, its speed is close to the speed at which a forest fire occurs. Measurements of the heat flux density, medium temperature, and the density of sparks falling downwind of the fire front at different distances and heights were carried out. Calculations were carried out to assess the impact of heat flow on buildings of IV-V degrees of fire resistance. The results obtained are compared with experimental data and they are in good agreement. There have been determined the distances from the fire front at which the fire protection with retardant solutions is effective for structures of IV-V fire resistance degrees at radiant heat exchange.

scholarly journals Long-term temporal changes in the occurrence of a high forest fire danger in Finland

2012 ◽  
Vol 12 (8) ◽  
pp. 2591-2601 ◽  
Author(s):  
H. M. Mäkelä ◽  
M. Laapas ◽  
A. Venäläinen
Keyword(s):  
Forest Fire ◽  
Forest Fires ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Weather Conditions ◽  
Temporal Variations ◽  
Fire Danger ◽  
Specific Information ◽  
Climate Data ◽  
Forest Fire Danger

Abstract. Climate variation and change influence several ecosystem components including forest fires. To examine long-term temporal variations of forest fire danger, a fire danger day (FDD) model was developed. Using mean temperature and total precipitation of the Finnish wildfire season (June–August), the model describes the climatological preconditions of fire occurrence and gives the number of fire danger days during the same time period. The performance of the model varied between different regions in Finland being best in south and west. In the study period 1908–2011, the year-to-year variation of FDD was large and no significant increasing or decreasing tendencies could be found. Negative slopes of linear regression lines for FDD could be explained by the simultaneous, mostly not significant increases in precipitation. Years with the largest wildfires did not stand out from the FDD time series. This indicates that intra-seasonal variations of FDD enable occurrence of large-scale fires, despite the whole season's fire danger is on an average level. Based on available monthly climate data, it is possible to estimate the general fire conditions of a summer. However, more detailed input data about weather conditions, land use, prevailing forestry conventions and socio-economical factors would be needed to gain more specific information about a season's fire risk.

scholarly journals Mathematical Modeling of Heat Transfer in an Element of Combustible Plant Material When Exposed to Radiation from a Forest Fire

Safety ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 5 (3) ◽  
pp. 56 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nikolay Baranovskiy ◽  
Alena Demikhova
Keyword(s):  
Heat Transfer ◽  
Forest Fire ◽  
Forest Fires ◽  
Plant Material ◽  
Mathematical Physics ◽  
Burned Area ◽  
Herbaceous Plant ◽  
One Dimensional ◽  
Impact Prediction ◽  
The Impact

The last few decades have been characterized by an increase in the frequency and burned area of forest fires in many countries of the world. Needles, foliage, branches, and herbaceous plants are involved in burning during forest fires. Most forest fires are surface ones. The purpose of this study was to develop a mathematical model of heat transfer in an element of combustible plant material, namely, in the stem of a herbaceous plant, when exposed to radiation from a surface forest fire. Mathematically, the process of heat transfer in an element of combustible plant material was described by a system of non-stationary partial differential equations with corresponding initial and boundary conditions. The finite difference method was used to solve this system of equations in combination with a locally one-dimensional method for solving multidimensional tasks of mathematical physics. Temperature distributions were obtained as a result of modeling in a structurally inhomogeneous stem of a herbaceous plant for various scenarios of the impact of a forest fire. The results can be used to develop new systems for forest fire forecasting and their environmental impact prediction.

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