scholarly journals Investigation on the Effect of Probability Distribution on the Dynamic Response of Liquefiable Soils

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-14
Author(s):  
Juncheng Wang ◽  
Li Zhou ◽  
Wenzhi Song ◽  
Houle Zhang ◽  
Yongxin Wu

This study investigated the effect of different probabilistic distributions (Lognormal, Gamma, and Beta) to characterize the spatial variability of shear modulus on the soil liquefiable response. The parameter sensitivity analysis included the coefficient of variation and scale of fluctuation of soil shear modulus. The results revealed that the distribution type had no significant influence on the liquefication zone. In particular, the estimation with Beta distribution is the worst scenario. It illuminated that the estimation with Beta distribution can provide a conservative design if site investigation is absent.

2011 ◽  
Vol 243-249 ◽  
pp. 5632-5636
Author(s):  
Ya Li Ma ◽  
Ai Lin Zhang

Probability distribution law of corrosion initiation time of steel in concrete under chloride environment is discussed. Based on the Fick’s second law, by Monte Carlo, frequency distribution, distribution type and probability density is analyzed. The statistic parameters of the factors influencing the probability distribution of corrosion initiation time are studied and the expression for sensitivity analysis of corrosion initiation time is deduced. By sensitivity analysis can know, corrosion initiation time is found to be more sensitive to cover than the diffusion coefficient, and more sensitive to surface chloride concentration than the critical chloride level. The analysis of the paper perfects the methods of predicting the corrosion initiation time.


2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (5) ◽  
pp. 1097-1119
Author(s):  
Mohammed Hammad ◽  
Alireza Abbasi ◽  
Ripon K. Chakrabortty ◽  
Michael J. Ryan

PurposeThis research presents a framework that allows project managers to predict the next critical paths (CP(s)) and to take extra care when planning and executing those activities that have the potential to cause changes in a project's current CP(s).Design/methodology/approachThe method presented here is based on an assessment of each activity's contribution to the overall schedule variance, which involves assigning a probability distribution function to each activity duration in the project. A sensitivity analysis is also carried out, which forms the basis of identifying which activity most affects the project completion date and therefore will have the greatest effect in changing the CP.FindingsThe authors’ analysis reveals that the most appropriate probability density function (PDF) for the targeted project is the normal distribution. However, the aim of this work is not to determine the most suitable distribution for each activity but rather to study the effect of the activity distribution type on the CP prediction. The results show that the selection of the appropriate probability distribution is very important, since it can impact the CP prediction and estimated project completion date.Originality/valueThis research work proposes a delay analysis scheme which can help the project manager to predict the next CP and to improve performance by identifying which activity is the bottleneck. On the other hand, the simplicity arises from the fact that this method does not require any expensive machines or software to generate results.


2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 20
Author(s):  
Muhammad Ikbal Abdullah ◽  
Andi Chairil Furqan ◽  
Nina Yusnita Yamin ◽  
Fahri Eka Oktora

This study aims to analyze the sensitivity testing using measurements of realization of regional own-source revenues and operating expenditure and to analyze the extent of the effect of sample differences between Java and non-Java provinces by using samples outside of Java. By using sensitivity analysis, the results found the influence of audit opinion on the performance of the provincial government mediated by the realization of regional operating expenditure. More specifically, when using the measurement of the absolute value of the realization of regional operating expenditure it was found that there was a direct positive and significant influence of audit opinion on the performance of the Provincial Government. However, no significant effect of audit opinion was found on the realization value of regional operating expenditure and the effect of the realization value of regional operating expenditure on the performance of the Provincial Government. This result implies that an increase in audit opinion will be more likely to be used as an incentive for the Provincial Government to increase the realization of regional operating expenditure.


Author(s):  
H. Torab

Abstract Parameter sensitivity for large-scale systems that include several components which interface in series is presented. Large-scale systems can be divided into components or sub-systems to avoid excessive calculations in determining their optimum design. Model Coordination Method of Decomposition (MCMD) is one of the most commonly used methods to solve large-scale engineering optimization problems. In the Model Coordination Method of Decomposition, the vector of coordinating variables can be partitioned into two sub-vectors for systems with several components interacting in series. The first sub-vector consists of those variables that are common among all or most of the elements. The other sub-vector consists of those variables that are common between only two components that are in series. This study focuses on a parameter sensitivity analysis for this special case using MCMD.


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