Variability of the Meridional Overturning in the North Atlantic from the 50-Year GECCO State Estimation

2008 ◽  
Vol 38 (9) ◽  
pp. 1913-1930 ◽  
Author(s):  
Armin Köhl ◽  
Detlef Stammer

Abstract The German partner of the consortium for Estimating the Circulation and Climate of the Ocean (GECCO) provided a dynamically consistent estimate of the time-varying ocean circulation over the 50-yr period 1952–2001. The GECCO synthesis combines most of the data available during the entire estimation period with the ECCO–Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) ocean circulation model using its adjoint. This GECCO estimate is analyzed here for the period 1962–2001 with respect to decadal and longer-term changes of the meridional overturning circulation (MOC) of the North Atlantic. A special focus is on the maximum MOC values at 25°N. Over this period, the dynamically self-consistent synthesis stays within the error bars of H. L. Bryden et al., but reveals a general increase of the MOC strength. The variability on decadal and longer time scales is decomposed into contributions from different processes. Changes in the model’s MOC strength are strongly influenced by the southward communication of density anomalies along the western boundary originating from the subpolar North Atlantic, which are related to changes in the Denmark Strait overflow but are only marginally influenced by water mass formation in the Labrador Sea. The influence of density anomalies propagating along the southern edge of the subtropical gyre associated with baroclinically unstable Rossby waves is found to be equally important. Wind-driven processes such as local Ekman transport explain a smaller fraction of the variability on those long time scales.

2020 ◽  
Vol 33 (9) ◽  
pp. 3845-3862 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sijia Zou ◽  
M. Susan Lozier ◽  
Xiaobiao Xu

AbstractThe latitudinal structure of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) variability in the North Atlantic is investigated using numerical results from three ocean circulation simulations over the past four to five decades. We show that AMOC variability south of the Labrador Sea (53°N) to 25°N can be decomposed into a latitudinally coherent component and a gyre-opposing component. The latitudinally coherent component contains both decadal and interannual variabilities. The coherent decadal AMOC variability originates in the subpolar region and is reflected by the zonal density gradient in that basin. It is further shown to be linked to persistent North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) conditions in all three models. The interannual AMOC variability contained in the latitudinally coherent component is shown to be driven by westerlies in the transition region between the subpolar and the subtropical gyre (40°–50°N), through significant responses in Ekman transport. Finally, the gyre-opposing component principally varies on interannual time scales and responds to local wind variability related to the annual NAO. The contribution of these components to the total AMOC variability is latitude-dependent: 1) in the subpolar region, all models show that the latitudinally coherent component dominates AMOC variability on interannual to decadal time scales, with little contribution from the gyre-opposing component, and 2) in the subtropical region, the gyre-opposing component explains a majority of the interannual AMOC variability in two models, while in the other model, the contributions from the coherent and the gyre-opposing components are comparable. These results provide a quantitative decomposition of AMOC variability across latitudes and shed light on the linkage between different AMOC variability components and atmospheric forcing mechanisms.


2005 ◽  
Vol 35 (8) ◽  
pp. 1455-1472 ◽  
Author(s):  
Armin Köhl

Abstract Optimal observations are used to investigate the overturning streamfunction in the North Atlantic at 30°N and 900-m depth. Those observations are designed to impact the meridional overturning circulation (MOC) in numerical models maximally when assimilated and therefore establish the most efficient observation network for studying changes in the MOC. They are also ideally suited for studying the related physical mechanisms in a general circulation model. Optimal observations are evaluated here in the framework of a global 1° model over a 10-yr period. Hydrographic observations useful to monitor the MOC are primarily located along the western boundary north of 30°N and along the eastern boundary south of 30°N. Additional locations are in the Labrador, Irminger, and Iberian Seas. On time scales of less than a year, variations in MOC are mainly wind driven and are made up through changes in Ekman transport and coastal up- and downwelling. Only a small fraction is buoyancy driven and constitutes a slow response, acting on time scales of a few years, to primarily wintertime anomalies in the Labrador and Irminger Seas. Those anomalies are communicated southward along the west coast by internal Kelvin waves at the depth level of Labrador Sea Water. They primarily set the conditions at the northern edge of the MOC anomaly. The southern edge is mainly altered through Rossby waves of the advective type, which originate from temperature and salinity anomalies in the Canary Basin. Those anomalies are amplified on their way westward in the baroclinic unstable region of the subtropical gyre. The exact meridional location of the maximum MOC response is therefore set by the ratio of the strength of these two signals.


2007 ◽  
Vol 20 (19) ◽  
pp. 4940-4956 ◽  
Author(s):  
Uta Krebs ◽  
A. Timmermann

Abstract Using a coupled ocean–sea ice–atmosphere model of intermediate complexity, the authors study the influence of air–sea interactions on the stability of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC). Mimicking glacial Heinrich events, a complete shutdown of the AMOC is triggered by the delivery of anomalous freshwater forcing to the northern North Atlantic. Analysis of fully and partially coupled freshwater perturbation experiments under glacial conditions shows that associated changes of the heat transport in the North Atlantic lead to a cooling north of the thermal equator and an associated strengthening of the northeasterly trade winds. Because of advection of cold air and an intensification of the trade winds, the intertropical convergence zone (ITCZ) is shifted southward. Changes of the accumulated precipitation lead to the generation of a positive salinity anomaly in the northern tropical Atlantic and a negative anomaly in the southern tropical Atlantic. During the shutdown phase of the AMOC, cross-equatorial oceanic surface flow is halted, preventing dilution of the positive salinity anomaly in the North Atlantic. Advected northward by the wind-driven ocean circulation, the positive salinity anomaly increases the upper-ocean density in the deep-water formation regions, thereby accelerating the recovery of the AMOC considerably. Partially coupled experiments that neglect tropical air–sea coupling reveal that the recovery time of the AMOC is almost twice as long as in the fully coupled case. The impact of a shutdown of the AMOC on the Indian and Pacific Oceans can be decomposed into atmospheric and oceanic contributions. Temperature anomalies in the Northern Hemisphere are largely controlled by atmospheric circulation anomalies, whereas those in the Southern Hemisphere are strongly determined by ocean dynamical changes and exhibit a time lag of several decades. An intensification of the Pacific meridional overturning cell in the northern North Pacific during the AMOC shutdown can be explained in terms of wind-driven ocean circulation changes acting in concert with global ocean adjustment processes.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Reyhan Shirin Ermis ◽  
Paola Moffa-Sánchez ◽  
Alexandra Jahn ◽  
Kira Rehfeld

<p>The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) is essential to maintain the temperate climates of Europe and North America. It redistributes heat from the tropics, and stores carbon in the deep ocean. Yet, its variability and evolution are largely unknown due to the lack of long-term direct circulation measurements. Previous studies suggest a connection between the variability of the AMOC strength and a temperature dipole in the North Atlantic. These results suggest a substantial decline in the strength of the overturning at the onset of the industrial era. </p><p>Here we compare temperature reconstructions from four sediment cores in the North Atlantic with model simulations of the Community Earth System Model (CESM1) as well as the Hadley Centre Coupled Model (HadCM3) over the Common Era. By examining the correlation between the surface temperatures in the North Atlantic and the strength of the overturning we test the robustness of previously used temperature fingerprints. Analysing variability in the surface and subsurface temperatures as well as the overturning strength in models we assess possible drivers of variability in ocean circulation. We compare the persistence times and the time scale dependent variability of the AMOC, the surface and ocean temperatures in the model with those in the temperature reconstructions. The sub-surface reconstructions match with the 200m ocean temperatures in persistence times but not with the AMOC in the models. The surface temperatures in the models show persistence times similar to those obtained for the AMOC. However, time scale dependent variabilities in the surface temperatures do not match those found the AMOC. Therefore, temperature fingerprints might not be a reliable basis to reconstruct the ocean overturning strength.</p><p>Due to the systematic comparison of two models on different time scales and an assessment of surface to sub-surface temperatures this study could provide new insights into the variability of Atlantic overturning on decadal time scales and beyond.</p>


2015 ◽  
Vol 28 (19) ◽  
pp. 7659-7677 ◽  
Author(s):  
Claude Frankignoul ◽  
Guillaume Gastineau ◽  
Young-Oh Kwon

Abstract Maximum covariance analysis of a preindustrial control simulation of the NCAR Community Climate System Model, version 4 (CCSM4), shows that a barotropic signal in winter broadly resembling a negative phase of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) follows an intensification of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) by about 7 yr. The delay is due to the cyclonic propagation along the North Atlantic Current (NAC) and the subpolar gyre of a SST warming linked to a northward shift and intensification of the NAC, together with an increasing SST cooling linked to increasing southward advection of subpolar water along the western boundary and a southward shift of the Gulf Stream (GS). These changes result in a meridional SST dipole, which follows the AMOC intensification after 6 or 7 yr. The SST changes were initiated by the strengthening of the western subpolar gyre and by bottom torque at the crossover of the deep branches of the AMOC with the NAC on the western flank of the Mid-Atlantic Ridge and the GS near the Tail of the Grand Banks, respectively. The heat flux damping of the SST dipole shifts the region of maximum atmospheric transient eddy growth southward, leading to a negative NAO-like response. No significant atmospheric response is found to the Atlantic multidecadal oscillation (AMO), which is broadly realistic but shifted south and associated with a much weaker meridional SST gradient than the AMOC fingerprint. Nonetheless, the wintertime atmospheric response to the AMOC shows some similarity with the observed response to the AMO, suggesting that the ocean–atmosphere interactions are broadly realistic in CCSM4.


2013 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. 619-648 ◽  
Author(s):  
V. N. Stepanov ◽  
K. Haines

Abstract. We have investigated dominant mechanisms of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) variability at 26.5° N (without the Ekman component) on monthly timescales using 1° and 1/4° NEMO model data. All data were detrended and the seasonal cycle removed. The spatial lead-lag correlations of different hydrodynamic fields with the AMOC time series were calculated. The analysis shows that the AMOC depends on the strength of wind over the North Atlantic on different time scales. At ∼ 1 yr the January–June difference of mean sea level pressure between high and mid-latitudes in the North Atlantic defines (according to different model runs) 35–50% of the annual AMOC variability. At interannual time scales ∼ 4 yr after strong (weak) winds over the North Atlantic the AMOC transport becomes higher (lower) by means of an increase (a decrease) in deep water formation in the North Atlantic subpolar gyre. The analysis of the 1/4° NEMO model shows that about 30% of the AMOC variability is due to density changes in the top 1000 m in the Labrador and Irminger seas occurring about 4 yr early.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yaci Alvarez ◽  
Andre Luiz Belem

<p>The western boundary regime of the tropical South Atlantic Ocean is the main pathway of an important meridional transfer of warm and cold water masses that balances the global temperature on Earth, known as Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC). The AMOC is a system that depends on a delicate balance of temperature and salinity effects on density, and is considered one of the main elements of the terrestrial system. The objective of this work was to study the variability of the salinity in the Western Tropical Atlantic Ocean, in order to identify salt transport anomalies in the circulation of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation as a result of climate change. Based on 3 decades of hydrographic observations of the Northern Brazilian Current and of the Deep Western Boundary Current, neutral density surfaces, salinity anomalies, geostrophic transport and salt transport were calculated. In general, the results reveal a coherent decadal change in salinity in 5°S and 11°S. In the upper ocean, both water masses, the South Atlantic Central Water and the Antarctic Intermediate Water, presented an increase of the salinity. The Antarctic Intermediate Water shows small trends with a decrease in salinity values in the upper part of the layer and an increase at the border to the North Atlantic Deep Water. In the deep ocean, the North Atlantic Deep Water layers the salinity generally decreases and, as expected for a warmer ocean in the Southern Hemisphere, the Antarctic Bottom Water layer shows an increase in salinity. The geostrophic and salt transports suggest a multidecadal variability and the changes in upper layer salinity are consistent with an increased Agulhas leakage, as described in literature. In the deep ocean, water mass changes seem to be likely related to changes in weather patterns in the North Atlantic as well as in tropical circulation changes.</p>


2007 ◽  
Vol 37 (5) ◽  
pp. 1246-1265 ◽  
Author(s):  
Joël J-M. Hirschi ◽  
Peter D. Killworth ◽  
Jeffrey R. Blundell

Abstract An eddy-permitting numerical ocean model is used to investigate the variability of the meridional overturning circulation (MOC). Both wind stress and fluctuations of the seawater density contribute to MOC changes on subannual and seasonal time scales, whereas the interannual variability mainly reflects changes in the density field. Even on subannual and seasonal time scales, a significant fraction of the total MOC variability is due to changes of the density field in the upper 1000 m of the ocean. These changes reflect perturbations of the isopycnal structure that travel westward as Rossby waves. Because of a temporally changing phase difference between the eastern and western boundaries, the Rossby waves affect the MOC by modifying the basinwide east–west density gradient. Both the numerical model used in this study and calculations based on Rossby wave theory suggest that this effect can account for an MOC variability of several Sverdrups (Sv ≡ 106 m3 s−1). These results have implications for the interpretation of variability signals inferred from hydrographic sections and might contribute to the understanding of the results obtained from the Rapid Climate Change (RAPID) monitoring array deployed at 26°N in the North Atlantic Ocean.


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