Democratic peace: Does ethnic inclusiveness reduce interstate conflict?

2019 ◽  
pp. 019251211988473
Author(s):  
Seung-Whan Choi ◽  
Henry Noll
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Estimation Method ◽  
Interstate Conflict ◽  
Model Specification ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Democratic Peace ◽  
Interstate Disputes ◽  
Time Series Data Analysis ◽  
Cross National

In this study, we argue that ethnic inclusiveness is an important democratic norm that fosters interstate peace. When two states are socialized into the notion of ethnic tolerance, they acquire the ability to reach cooperative arrangements in time of crisis. Based on cross-national time-series data analysis covering the period 1950–2001, we illustrate how two states that are inclusive of their politically relevant ethnic groups are less likely to experience interstate disputes than states that remain exclusive. This finding was robust, regardless of sample size, intensity of the dispute, model specification, or estimation method. Therefore, we believe in the existence of ethnic peace: ethnic inclusiveness represents an unambiguous force for democratic peace.

Examining the Long Run Effects of Export, Import and FDI Inflows on the FDI Outflows from India: A Causality Analysis

2009 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 65-88
Author(s):  
Nandita Dasgupta
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Data Analysis ◽  
Driving Force ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Causality Analysis ◽  
Fdi Inflows ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Time Series Data Analysis ◽  
Trade And Investment

The objective of this paper is to examine the effects of international trade and investment related macro economic variables, namely, exports, imports and FDI inflows on the outflows of FDI from India over 1970 through 2005. Using time series data analysis, the empirical part of the paper finds unidirectional Granger Causality from export and import to FDI outflows but no such causality exists from FDI inflows to the corresponding outflows from India. Results confirm the assumption that lagged imports and exports are a driving force of ing front.

scholarly journals Periodic Time Series Data Analysis by Deep Learning Methodology

IEEE Access ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 8 ◽  
pp. 223078-223088
Author(s):  
Haolong Zhang ◽  
Haoye Lu ◽  
Amiya Nayak
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Deep Learning ◽  
Data Analysis ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Periodic Time Series ◽  
Time Series Data Analysis

Changepoint Analysis of Binary and Ordinal Probit Models: An Application to Bank Rate Policy Under the Interwar Gold Standard

2011 ◽  
Vol 19 (2) ◽  
pp. 188-204 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jong Hee Park
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Gold Standard ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Likelihood Function ◽  
Marginal Likelihood ◽  
Estimation Method ◽  
Simulated Data ◽  
Likelihood Method ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Ordinal Probit

In this paper, I introduce changepoint models for binary and ordered time series data based on Chib's hidden Markov model. The extension of the changepoint model to a binary probit model is straightforward in a Bayesian setting. However, detecting parameter breaks from ordered regression models is difficult because ordered time series data often have clustering along the break points. To address this issue, I propose an estimation method that uses the linear regression likelihood function for the sampling of hidden states of the ordinal probit changepoint model. The marginal likelihood method is used to detect the number of hidden regimes. I evaluate the performance of the introduced methods using simulated data and apply the ordinal probit changepoint model to the study of Eichengreen, Watson, and Grossman on violations of the “rules of the game” of the gold standard by the Bank of England during the interwar period.

Robust Extrema Features for Time-Series Data Analysis

2013 ◽  
Vol 35 (6) ◽  
pp. 1464-1479 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pramod K. Vemulapalli ◽  
Vishal Monga ◽  
Sean N. Brennan
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Data Analysis ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Time Series Data Analysis
Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document