Development of a Scheduling Model for Car Tourists’ 1-Day Tours

Author(s):  
Akimasa Fujiwara ◽  
Junyi Zhang

Focusing on car tourists’ 1-day tours, a new scheduling model combines a nested paired combinatorial logit (NPCL) type of destination and route choice model and a time allocation (TA) model. The NPCL model, developed previously from the generalized extreme value family of discrete choice models to represent the similarity between pairs of alternatives in the same choice nest as well as the influence of inclusive value, indicates destination choice in the bottom level and route choice in the top level. The TA model applies Becker's theory to determine the time allocated to each touring site. Utility of destination choice is influenced by the time spent at each site. Different route choices result in a level of service for the road network that varies hourly, varying available time used in the TA model. The TA model endogenously incorporates the influence of hourly variance in level of service at the site of interest, which is affected by the allocated time. An iteration estimation procedure is proposed to estimate the parameters consistently in both models. Finally, revealed preference tourist travel survey data collected in a tourist attraction region near the Sea of Japan indicate that the proposed scheduling model is effective in representing car tourists’ scheduling behavior for 1-day tours.

Author(s):  
Tetsuro Hyodo ◽  
Norikazu Suzuki ◽  
Katsumi Takahashi

A new modeling method that describes bicycle route or destination choice behavior is presented. Although there are numerous bicycle users in Japan, the urban transportation planning process often treats bicycles and pedestrians as a single mode. Therefore, a methodology by which to evaluate and analyze bicycle demand needs to be developed. A bicycle route choice model that describes the relationship between route choice behavior and facility characteristics (e.g., road width or sidewalk) has been proposed. This model can be applied to the planning of bicycle road networks. The data from a bicycle trip survey conducted in Japan are used to study the characteristics of the model. The model is applied to study access railway station choice (destination choice). The model can produce a better fit than can a conventional model.


Author(s):  
Irwan Prasetyo ◽  
Daisuke Fukuda ◽  
Hirosato Yoshino ◽  
Tetsuo Yai

Quantification of the value of time (VOT) is important for measurement of the benefit of transportation projects in terms of travel time savings. In Japan, VOT is considered higher on weekends than on weekdays because on the weekend people have limited time to allocate to discretionary activities that are not normally done on weekdays, such as family care-related activities. In Indonesia, a culturally diverse country, providers and users seem to have different perceptions of VOT. A method of analyzing the value of activity time is presented. It argues that the benefit of travel time saving should be evaluated in more detail on weekends by considering the value of discretionary activities to explain these phenomena theoretically. Activity diary surveys were conducted in Tokyo, Japan, and Jakarta, Indonesia, to verify the influence of psychological needs on people's holiday activities. Finally, a time allocation model that uses the revealed preference data and a marginal activity choice model that uses stated preference data are proposed to calculate the value of activity time. The theories underpinning these models are Maslow's psychological needs, consumer theory in economics, and a discrete choice model. The empirical results show that an individual's priority of needs influences time allocation. In particular, the results show that in Tokyo, spending time with family on weekends is more valuable than other types of activities, while in Indonesia the value of spending time with family exceeds that of work time even on weekdays.


1993 ◽  
Vol 25 (4) ◽  
pp. 495-519 ◽  
Author(s):  
S Reader

Monte Carlo simulation methods are used to confirm the identifiability of discrete choice models in which unobserved heterogeneity is specified as a random effect and modelled using the nonparametric mass-points approach. This simulation analysis is also used to examine alternative strategies for the estimation of such models by using a quasi-Newton maximum-likelihood estimation procedure, given the apparent sensitivity of model identification to choice of starting values. A mass-point model approach is then applied to a dataset of repeated choice involving household shopping trips between three types of retail centre, and the results from this approach are compared with those obtained from a conventional cross-sectional multinomial logit choice model as well as to results from a model in which a parametric distribution (the Dirichlet) is used to model the unobserved heterogeneity.


Author(s):  
Toshiyuki Yamamoto ◽  
Satoshi Fujii ◽  
Ryuichi Kitamura ◽  
Hiroshi Yoshida

Driver behavior under congestion pricing is analyzed to evaluate the effects of alternative congestion pricing schemes. The analysis, which is based on stated preference survey results, focuses on time allocation, departure time choice, and route choice when a congestion pricing scheme is implemented on toll roads in Japan. A unique feature of the model system of this study is that departure time choice and route choice are analyzed in conjunction with the activities before and after the trip. A time allocation model is developed to describe departure time choice, and a route and departure time choice model is developed as a multinomial logit model with alternatives representing the choice between freeways and surface streets and, for departure time, the choice from among before, during, or after the period when congestion pricing is in effect. The results of the empirical analysis suggest that departing during the congestion pricing period tends to have higher utilities and that a worker and a nonworker have quite different utility functions. The comparative analysis of different congestion pricing schemes is carried out based on the estimated parameters. The results suggest that the probability of choosing each alternative is stable even if the length of the congestion pricing period changes, but a higher congestion price causes more drivers to change the departure time to before the congestion pricing period.


2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-14
Author(s):  
Shin-Hyung Cho ◽  
Seung-Young Kho

Modelling route choice behaviours are essential in traffic operation and transportation planning. Many studies have focused on route choice behaviour using the stochastic model, and they have tried to construct the heterogeneous route choice model with various types of data. This study aims to develop the route choice model incorporating travellers’ heterogeneity according to the stochastic route choice set. The model is evaluated from the empirical travel data based on a radio frequency identification device (RFID) called dedicated short-range communication (DSRC). The reliability level is defined to explore the travellers’ heterogeneity in the choice set generation model. The heterogeneous K-reliable shortest path- (HK α RSP-) based route choice model is established to incorporate travellers’ heterogeneity in route choice behaviour. The model parameters are estimated for the mixed path-size correction logit (MPSCL) model, considering the overlapping paths and the heterogeneous behaviour in the route choice model. The different behaviours concerning the chosen routes are analysed to interpret the route choice behaviour from revealed preference data by comparing the different coefficients’ magnitude. There are model validation processes to confirm the prediction accuracy according to travel distance. This study discusses the policy implication to introduce the traveller specified route travel guidance system.


Author(s):  
Yifei Xie ◽  
Yundi Zhang ◽  
Arun Prakash Akkinepally ◽  
Moshe Ben-Akiva

This paper presents a methodology for enhancing discrete choice models for managed lane travel behavior with personal trip history. We refer to this process as personalization and the enhanced model as a personalized choice model. With the objective of better understanding managed lane choices and improving the model’s prediction capability, personalization was carried out at two levels. First, we used each traveler’s habits and travel experiences before each trip for constructing a set of explanatory variables that could be used with any model structure. Second, under a logit mixture framework, the distribution of random parameters was updated with Bayesian inference according to personal trip history. The structure of the parameter distribution explicitly considered preference variations across individuals (interpersonal heterogeneity), as well as preference variations across trips performed by the same individual (intrapersonal heterogeneity). The proposed methodology is especially relevant for modeling revealed preference (RP) data from automatic vehicle identification sensors, for which limited socioeconomic characteristics of travelers are available. An empirical study was conducted on an operational managed lane corridor near Dallas/Fort Worth Airport in Texas. Available trip records over a 5-month period were utilized. A hierarchical Bayes estimator was adopted for efficient model estimation. The results suggest significant inter- and intrapersonal heterogeneity and that the proposed personalization method improves the model’s explanatory power and prediction capability. To the best of our knowledge, this paper represents the first introduction of personalization in managed lane choice behavior modeling and the first attempt to estimate intrapersonal heterogeneity with RP data.


Author(s):  
Kiran Shakeel ◽  
Taha Hossein Rashidi ◽  
Travis S. Waller

One of the major challenges associated with the analysis of route choice modeling is the formulation of the choice set of alternatives that may allow a relatively accurate prediction of demand for travel routes. The subset of route alternatives in the choice set should be relevant and feasible and include the attributes considered most by travelers when they choose a route. This research investigated the role and significance of route choice set formations with a focus on the perspectives of the modeler and of travelers. Revealed preference data were collected from Sydney, Australia, residents about their choice of route for their most recent commuting trip. The survey tool was programmed to use the Google Maps application programming interfaces to collect the route choice information, including the selected route and the set of routes that were considered. Three discrete choice models were used to investigate the traveler’s inclination toward certain attributes of routes, considering both car and public transit routes with the master choice set. The effect of possible bias generated because of the formation of route choice from the perspective of the modeler was also analyzed and presented with the results. The results show the intuitive signs of various attributes, with travel time being the significant factor for route choice. The difference between the choice sets considered by the traveler and by the modeler also suggests that those considered by the modeler possess enough variation to offer the possibility of better capturing important factors affecting route choice behavior.


2015 ◽  
Vol 2526 (1) ◽  
pp. 108-118 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohamed S. Mahmoud ◽  
Khandker M. Nurul Habib ◽  
Amer Shalaby

This paper presents an investigation of the mode choice behavior of cross-regional commuters in the greater Toronto and Hamilton area of Ontario, Canada. A survey of cross-regional intermodal passenger travel (called SCRIPT) was developed and conducted during the spring and the fall of 2014. SCRIPT collects data on respondents' revealed preference in daily commuting trips to pivot each respondent's mode choice stated preference experiment separately. An innovative multimodal trip planner tool was developed to generate feasible travel options for each stated preference experiment with information on household auto ownership level, proximity to transit, work start time, and total travel time from home to work, as well as predeveloped discrete choice models to identify access station locations of intermodal travel modes. The stated preference experiments were based on the D-efficient design technique. The survey used 1,203 randomly selected cross-regional commuters. The paper reports on a mode choice model estimated by the revealed preference data portion of the survey to verify the validity of the survey design, sampling procedure, and data quality. An empirical model provides insight into cross-regional commuters' mode choice behavior.


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